Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Louisiana Downs
Monday - May 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LAD-1   WIN (2/7/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/6/5)-(2/7/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/6/5)-(2/7/6/5)-(2/7/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/6/5)-(2/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/7/6/5)-(2/5/3)-(7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LAD-2   WIN (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/3)-(2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/3)-(7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/5/3)-(7/5)-(5/7/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
LAD-3   WIN (7/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/5)-(7/5/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (7/5)-(7/5/2)-(7/5/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (7/5)-(5/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/5)-(5/7/6)-(3/8/5/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LAD-4   WIN (5/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/6)-(5/7/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/7/6)-(5/7/6/3)-(5/7/6/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/7/6)-(3/8/5/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/7/6)-(3/8/5/9)-(4/7/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LAD-5   WIN (3/8/5/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/5/9)-(3/8/5/9/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/8/5/9)-(3/8/5/9/2)-(3/8/5/9/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/8/5/9)-(4/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/8/5/9)-(4/7/1)-(1/7/6/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LAD-6   WIN (4/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/1)-(4/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/7/1)-(4/7/1)-(4/7/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/7/1)-(1/7/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/7/1)-(1/7/6/3)-(5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
LAD-7   WIN (1/7/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/6/3)-(1/7/6/3/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/7/6/3)-(1/7/6/3/10)-(1/7/6/3/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/7/6/3)-(5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
LAD-8   WIN (5) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (5)-(5/7/8/3) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    TRI (5)-(5/7/8/3)-(5/7/8/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LAD-1   05/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CORVETTE SPIRIT Feb17 Jan26 Jan04 Dec19 Nov25 (melancon donald)TORRES HUGO 117 2.00    
2  ROCKDALE Mar24 Mar10 Jan15 Dec15 Nov18 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 5.00 32% 2.10    
3  OPTIMISTIC Apr28 Apr13 Feb03 Jan19 Jan06 (nelson eric )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 15.00    
4  MR. PRIORITY May07 Apr21 Mar15 Mar04 Feb21 (husak j)MELANCON G 119 10.00    
5  SHARK HARBOR Apr02 Mar18 Mar11 Mar01 Feb07 (lorefice)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 6.00 13% 6.50    
6  GALLANT STAR May04 Apr19 Mar24 Mar02 Feb16 (husak j)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 2.50 14% 6.20    
7  CAYMANS COBRA Apr15 Apr01 Mar19 Jan22 Jan08 (duhon paul)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 4.50 16% 5.20    
 
LAD-2   05/22/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOUBLE PRIORITY Feb16 Jan27 Jan06 Dec19 Nov19 (beavin judy)SUAREZ ANGEL 121 12.00    
2  ANICLUDE Mar26 Mar05 Jan22 Jan12 Dec19 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 2.00 45% 1.20    
3  GRAHAM 'S CRUISER May10 Apr12 Feb11 Jan14 Dec27 (alberto anto)BARRERA J 116 6.00 12% 7.20    
4  VALIANT DEFENDER Apr26 Mar26 Mar05 Feb12 Jan27 (zenon charles)VARGAS P 124 3.50    
5  BOSSHOG THEM DUKES Mar26 Mar05 Feb17 Jan15 Dec23 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 2.50 15% 5.50    
6  DA GOLD ROOM Apr26 Mar26 Mar03 Feb12 Jan22 (west patric)BALTHAZAR JARED 124 8.00    
 
LAD-3   05/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DON'TCALLMEPATSY Mar15 Feb04 Dec10 Nov18 Sep04 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 2.50    
2  RUN NATALIE RUN May04 Apr14 Feb24 Jan21 Jan04 (ward ronnie)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 3.50 ★    
3  CECE WAVE May07 Apr16 Mar31 Feb15 Jan27 (duhon paul)LOZADA CARLOS 122 10.00    
4  SHEZA SALTY GAL Apr14 Feb22 Feb01 Dec22 Nov10 (delany sarah)FUSILIER C 122 8.00    
5  HOPEITSMYLUCKYDAY Mar15 Feb25 Feb04 Dec31 Dec09 (hodges james)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 6.00 18% 4.50    
SCR  CHICKIETOWN STAR May10 Jan11 Dec08 Oct06 Sep19 (cormier wins)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 15.00    
7  CUTE DINERO QUEEN Mar22 Feb18 Jan21 Dec28 Nov26 (ramirez ros)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 122 2.00 52% 0.90    
 
LAD-4   05/22/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHO DAT GREY Feb28 Jan12 Dec16 Dec07 Nov19 (beavin judy)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 121 3.50    
2  CUSTOM MAIDEN May14 Feb15 Jan28 Jan18 Dec16 (washington ri)LOZADA CARLOS 121 10.00    
3  SIMPLE SUNDAY Dec20 Nov22 Jul11 Jun12 May08 (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 121 3.00 ★    
4  LIL HOT TODDY Feb15 Jan28 Dec27 Jun12 May15 (lara jorge)MEDELLIN ERICK 116 12.00    
5  JOANIE GAL Jan25 Dec29 Aug21 Jul24 Jul05 (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 2.50 45% 1.20    
6  CAVIAR RESOLUTION Feb24 Feb09 Dec29 Dec15 Aug16 (duhon joseph)BARRERA J 119 8.00 6% 14.90    
7  BEAUX TOX Feb28 Feb15 Jan28 Jan12 Nov19 (turner patti)SUAREZ ANGEL 121 6.00 22% 3.60    
 
LAD-5   05/22/2023 4950ft TURF RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRIPLE Jan20 Dec28 Dec15 Nov02 Sep24 (nelson r)BURNINGHAM J 124 12.00    
2  OWEN THE ICE MAN Feb10 Feb02 Jan07 Dec22 Dec01 (hatcher nat)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 119 5.00 ★    
3  RONALDS GATSBY May06 Mar26 Mar01 Feb09 Jan07 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 2.50 31% 2.20    
4  CLEARLY A JET May06 Apr04 Mar07 Feb18 Jan13 (dixon tim)MEDELLIN ERICK 114 8.00    
5  STAR READY May06 Mar26 Feb09 Jan07 Dec17 (balderas alfon)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 3.50 9% 10.00    
6  ADDISONS WARRIOR Dec15 Oct22 Sep13     (pish danny)LOZADA CARLOS 119 10.00    
7  RICKY RIGHT May06 Apr22 Dec17     (delany sarah)FUSILIER C 119 15.00    
8  VERO CAMPIONE Mar22 Jan07 Mar20 Feb12 Jan16 (duke steven)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 4.00 27% 2.70    
9  FLAT OUT FABIO Feb25 Feb10 Jan20 Dec28 Dec15 (gomez c)GREEN AUBRIE 124 4.50 8% 11.50    
 
LAD-6   05/22/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HARDCORE FOLKLORE Feb25 Feb10 Jan18 Jan05 Dec15 (turner patti)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 6.00 8% 12.10    
SCR  KING'S LUTE Feb04 Dec31 Nov19 Oct15 Aug06 (woodley )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 114 2.50    
3  FAR BEYOND May07 Apr29 Feb17 Jan26 Dec10 (ward ronnie)STOKES J 122 4.00    
4  LUNAR MODULE May08 Apr08 Mar12 Feb17   (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 3.00 37% 1.70    
5  BREAD WINNER May05 Apr23 Mar25 Mar04 Jan22 (villafranco ma)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 4.50    
6  STOCKPILER May06 Apr21 Mar22 Feb23 Feb12 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 122 10.00    
7  NO WHITE FLAGS Jul31         (woodley j)THORNTON G 117 8.00 30% 2.30    
 
LAD-7   05/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOOSIER Apr12 Mar23 Feb24 Feb04 Dec23 (mouton chadw)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 3.50 34% 2.00    
SCR  LUCAS ZIP IT May11 Nov25 Oct26 Oct05 Sep03 (journet al)ALBERT S 117 12.00    
3  KING OF CONTRABAND Feb28 Feb18 Jan20 Jan05 Nov25 (ward ronnie)STOKES J 122 5.00 5% 18.20    
4  SON CARLOS Feb15 Feb02 Jan12 Aug09 Jul12 (dunn ra)LOZADA CARLOS 122 15.00    
5  PITCH AND RUN Feb09 Jan28 Jan13 Oct20 Sep18 (dunn r)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 8.00    
6  LOUISIANA FLASH May06 Apr07 Feb10 Nov25 Oct26 (hurle)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 117 8.00 12% 7.40    
7  CALICOCO Mar23 Feb24 Feb05 Dec31 Dec10 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 4.00 25% 3.00    
8  DIAL UNCLE JOEY May05 Apr14 Feb25 Nov30 Nov09 (cormier houston)FUSILIER C 117 20.00    
9  RISKTAKER May06 Mar09 Feb18 Jan27 Jan16 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 122 12.00    
10  SONO Apr28 Mar23 Feb24 Feb05 Jan15 (calhoun willia)SUAREZ ANGEL 117 4.50 ★    
11  REVERENT May06 Mar23 Mar05 Feb17 Jan22 (larrosa )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 20.00    
 
LAD-8   05/22/2023 3300ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NATE'S WAY May05 Apr23 Mar11 Feb19 Jan29 (deathera)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 15.00    
2  DUKE OF CARTHANIA Jan19 Dec04 Nov13 Jul03 Feb26 (munoz yovani)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 8.00    
3  MEANT FOR ME Mar31 Feb28 Feb16 Jan12 May29 (johnson henry )SUAREZ ANGEL 122 5.00 ★    
4  MEN OF KYLE Apr01 Sep15 Aug26 Jul17 Jul02 (duhon paul)MELANCON G 122 8.00    
5  OLD HOMESTEAD Mar18 Aug26 Aug01 Jul02 May21 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 122 4.00 77% 0.30    
6  HE'S A BOMB May14 May05 Apr16 Mar22 Mar09 (govea cesar)SINGH R 124 6.00    
7  COUNT DE MONET Apr29 Mar05 Dec31 Dec09 Sep29 (swearingen to)BAILEY CHEL-C 117 3.50 ★    
8  PEPPER JACK May14 Mar12 Feb17 Feb05 Jan22 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 119 3.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.