Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Oaklawn Park
Thursday - March 09, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
OP-1   WIN (1) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (1)-(1/6/2/4/7) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1)-(1/6/2/4/7)-(1/6/2/4/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (1)-(8/1/5) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
OP-2   WIN (8/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/1/5)-(8/1/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/1/5)-(8/1/5/3)-(8/1/5/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/1/5)-(5/7/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/1/5)-(5/7/8/6)-(6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
OP-3   WIN (5/7/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/8/6)-(5/7/8/6/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/7/8/6)-(5/7/8/6/4)-(5/7/8/6/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/7/8/6)-(6/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/7/8/6)-(6/4)-(8/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
OP-4   WIN (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/4)-(6/4/1/7/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (6/4)-(6/4/1/7/5)-(6/4/1/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4)-(8/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/4)-(8/5/7)-(5/11/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
OP-5   WIN (8/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/5/7)-(8/5/7/2/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/7)-(8/5/7/2/9)-(8/5/7/2/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (8/5/7)-(5/11/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/5/7)-(5/11/3)-(2/5/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
OP-6   WIN (5/11/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/11/3)-(5/11/3/10/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/11/3)-(5/11/3/10/7)-(5/11/3/10/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/11/3)-(2/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/11/3)-(2/5/4)-(4/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
OP-7   WIN (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/4)-(2/5/4/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/4)-(2/5/4/1/7)-(2/5/4/1/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/5/4)-(4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/5/4)-(4/5)-(5/4/11/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
OP-8   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/5/2/6/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (4/5)-(4/5/2/6/3)-(4/5/2/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5)-(5/4/11/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
OP-9   WIN (5/4/11/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/11/8)-(5/4/11/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/11/8)-(5/4/11/8)-(5/4/11/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
OP-1   03/09/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEVY Sep10 Aug19 Jul10 May11 Apr09 (moquett e)BEJARANO R 125 0.80 75% 0.30    
SCR  JUST BECAUSE Feb12 Jan15       (moquett ro)ASMUSSEN J 114 0.80    
2  FIVE O FOX Feb20 Feb03 Dec18     (peitz c)WALES T 125 2.50 ★    
3  BLAME IT Feb19 Jan06       (martin timothy )TORRES HUGO 114 30.00    
4  RIANTE SKY Feb24 Feb12 May07 Apr01 Mar19 (milligan all)MEDELLIN ERICK 115 10.00 ★    
5  DABOOGEYMAN Feb24 Feb03 Dec18 Nov11   (borel renay)BOREL H 120 15.00    
6  LOBO IRISH Feb24 Feb04 Dec11 Nov09   (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 114 4.00 ★    
7  OTHER TIMES Jan21 May08 Apr30 Apr15 Apr01 (roberts stanl)BAILEY CHEL-C 120 20.00 ★    
 
OP-2   03/09/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIARS CLUB Feb26 Jan29 Dec09 Nov11 Aug25 (mcknight norm)CABRERA DAVID 120 3.00 21% 3.80    
SCR  SHEER ELEMENT Jan21 Nov22 Oct21 Sep17   (gibson j)SANTANA JR 114 12.00 10% 8.70    
3  ROUNDER Feb17 Dec07 Nov15 Oct26 Sep15 (van thomas)BEJARANO R 123 5.00 ★    
4  CROW'S NEST Feb04 Dec09 Nov02 Oct08   (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 120 15.00    
5  IMMORAL Feb20 Jan27 Jan13 Apr29 Apr02 (villafranco )CASTILLO ISAAC 120 2.50 17% 4.90    
6  HAPPY BOY ROCKET Feb20 Feb12 Dec17 Oct27 Oct01 (asmussen )TORRES A 123 3.50    
7  FETCHS BRAHM Feb03 Jan21 Dec18 May07 Apr08 (fires h)COURT K 120 20.00    
8  MAJOR CONTENDER Feb17 Dec29 Jun08 May17 Apr07 (contreras)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 4.50 29% 2.40    
 
OP-3   03/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEXAS PHAROAH Feb20         (keithan r)TORRES A 125 30.00    
1A  R R EMPIRE Feb19 Jan22       (keithan r)TRIANA JR 125 30.00    
2  ANDREW'S VISION         (mcbride burl )BAILEY CHEL-C 115 30.00    
3  MATTFOLEYVANMAN Jan20 Dec07 Nov05     (moquett e)BEJARANO R 120 20.00    
4  INFILTRATOR Feb20         (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 125 4.00 ★    
5  KING DOODLE Feb17 Feb03 Nov13 Oct12 Aug04 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 125 2.00 55% 0.80    
6  JOE BILL Feb20 Feb04 Jan06 Dec11 Dec01 (smith p)FUENTES ERICK 115 10.00 6% 15.60    
7  DANCIN ROCKET Feb04 Jan01       (martin timot)JORDAN R 120 1.80 9% 9.70    
8  NATORADE Feb20         (quinonez natha)QUINONEZ S 115 4.50 7% 13.90    
 
OP-4   03/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($12.5K) Purse ($32K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COLTONS DREAM Feb03 Jan15 Nov26 Nov11 Oct27 (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 121 4.50 ★    
2  FREUDIAN FATE Feb20 Jan01 Dec18 Nov07 Oct07 (dixon tim)TRIANA JR 118 8.00    
3  VIOLENT GIGI Dec10 Nov27 Nov14 Sep21 Aug04 (contreras)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 6.00    
4  SIDETOWN Feb20 Jan20 Feb21 Jan14   (prather j)TORRES A 118 3.00 32% 2.10    
5  CHAPEL BARN Feb20 Feb05 Jan15 Dec18 Nov08 (altamirano e)MEDELLIN ERICK 116 3.50 ★    
6  DILETTANTE Feb10 Dec10 Nov25 Nov13 Oct24 (hollendorfer jer)JUAREZ NIK 121 4.00 34% 1.90    
7  MYSTERY MAN Feb20 Jan28 Oct02 Aug28 Jul18 (martin timot)JORDAN R 118 5.00 ★    
 
OP-5   03/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($104K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AZUL TEQUILA Dec29         (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 20.00    
2  KANT BELIEVE IT Jan21 Jan01 Dec09 Nov20 Oct19 (divito ja)DE CRUZ 121 8.00 ★    
3  HARTLEY Feb12 Jan15 Jul09 Jun11 May13 (chleborad ly)JORDAN R 125 12.00    
SCR  OFF RAMP Feb18 Jan29 Dec30 Nov15 Oct16 (rosin w)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 15.00    
5  FASHION RAGE May08 Feb26 Jan22     (calhoun willi)CABRERA DAVID 121 4.00 27% 2.60    
SCR  BERTIE'S CAUSE Feb12         (broberg )SANTANA JR 125 30.00    
7  GUNNING Sep24 Aug14 Jul02 Jun04   (mcpeek ke)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 3.00 16% 5.20    
8  HYPERSPORT Jan21 Dec09 Oct29 May01 Mar26 (mason ing)TORRES A 121 1.60 31% 2.20    
9  LADY DEMAREE Feb18 Dec30 Nov15 Oct10 Sep23 (diodoro roberti)ZIMMERMAN R 121 6.00 ★    
 
OP-6   03/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DEBBIES'S ROCKET Jan14         (roberts stanl)BAILEY CHEL-C 124 20.00    
2  BROOKE'S ALL IN Feb18 Jan08       (dixon tim)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 30.00    
3  COURAGEOUS CAPPEN Feb19 Jan28 Dec09 Aug24 Jan23 (cline n)HARR KELSI 124 4.00 5% 18.70    
4  MY MOONLIGHT LADY Jan28         (martin william )ZIMMERMAN R 124 20.00    
5  COROMANDEL Feb24 Jan08 Dec09     (schultz l)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 2.50 39% 1.50    
6  ELMO'S SECRET Jan14 Nov11       (pish danny)CABRERA DAVID 119 30.00    
7  HONEYCAMP Feb18 Dec09       (cates al)DE CRUZ 119 8.00 ★    
8  EBBI BLU Feb19         (borel renay)BOREL H 124 15.00    
9  DRIVING Feb18         (pish danny)BAZE C 119 15.00    
10  BOOTLEGGING GIRL Feb24 Jan29 Dec30 Dec09 Aug20 (jacquot gene)GONZALEZ ELVIN 124 4.50 ★    
11  RELENTLESS ROCKET Jan14         (chleborad ly)JORDAN R 119 3.50 29% 2.40    
 
OP-7   03/09/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($103K) 3 ALL PT- 4:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MENDELSSOHNS MARCH Feb02         (mcpeek ke)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 8.00 ★    
2  HEROIC MOVE Feb18         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 1.60 63% 0.60    
3  SILVER HEIST Feb18 Jan21 Dec26     (asmussen)SANTANA JR 117 3.00    
4  JUDO Jan14 Sep16 Aug05     (cox h)GARCIA MARTIN 118 15.00 7% 14.20    
5  FUNNY UNCLE Feb19 Feb04 Jan15 Nov13 Oct30 (vance d)COURT K 122 3.50 8% 12.30    
6  B MINOR Nov26 Oct09 Sep16 Sep03   (mcpeek kennet)CABRERA DAVID 118 8.00    
7  EL TOMATE Jan28 Dec14       (silva mig)TORRES A 117 20.00 ★    
SCR  GAME KEEPER Feb25         (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 115 20.00    
9  LINE TO GAIN Feb10 Jan22 Nov05 Oct22 Sep17 (litfin nevad)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 30.00    
 
OP-8   03/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($60K) Purse ($106K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FULL AUTHORITY Jan15 Jul02 May21 Apr16 Mar12 (compton greg)COURT K 118 3.50    
2  KAVOD Jan28 Jan06 Dec10 Nov13 Sep21 (hartman chris)CABRERA DAVID 121 4.00 ★    
3  PAYNE Jan28 Jan08 Nov23 Oct20 Sep03 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 124 2.00 ★    
4  ONE FOR RICHIE Jan28 Jan01 Dec10 Nov02 Sep15 (contreras)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 4.50 44% 1.30    
5  HEART RHYTHM Jan14 Dec26 Nov24 Oct19 Sep15 (ortiz alexa)BEJARANO R 121 3.00 24% 3.10    
6  SEVEN NATION ARMY Jan28 Jan06 Nov02 Sep01 Aug06 (moquett )SANTANA JR 118 10.00 ★    
 
OP-9   03/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($33K) 3 ALL PT- 5:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHARLIE WHISKEY May27         (asmussen)SANTANA JR 121 3.50    
2  WELLWRIT Feb18         (loy dewaine)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 15.00    
3  TAP THAT DIAL Feb24 Aug31       (vance d)HARR KELSI 121 30.00    
4  ETERNALLY GRATEFUL Feb12 Feb04 Jan20 Oct23 Sep24 (broberg k)TORRES A 121 2.50 23% 3.40    
5  DARK AFTERNOON         (hartman chris)JUAREZ NIK 121 4.00 30% 2.30    
6  SIX WHIPS Feb04 Jan06 Dec10 Oct29   (moysey e)COURT K 121 12.00    
7  WINDTAPPER WIN Jan21         (roberts stanl)BAILEY CHEL-C 121 30.00    
8  SHOTGUN BILLIE         (ortiz al)CABRERA DAVID 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DOUBLE STRIKE Jan22 Dec31 Nov03     (puhich mike)BOWEN ROCCO 121 30.00    
SCR  SERGEANT COUNTZLER Feb04 Nov03 May12 Apr20   (hiles rick)BEJARANO R 121 6.00 ★    
11  GONE AGAIN Feb10         (becker sc)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 5.00 18% 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.