Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Fair Grounds
Thursday - March 09, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FG-1   WIN (6/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/2)-(6/5/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2)-(6/5/3/2)-(6/5/3/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (6/2)-(8/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/2)-(8/7/5)-(6/5/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
FG-2   WIN (8/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/7/5)-(8/7/5/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/5)-(8/7/5/3/6)-(8/7/5/3/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (8/7/5)-(6/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/7/5)-(6/5/4)-(2/1/8) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
FG-3   WIN (6/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/4)-(6/5/4/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/4)-(6/5/4/3/1)-(6/5/4/3/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (6/5/4)-(2/1/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/5/4)-(2/1/8)-(2/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
FG-4   WIN (2/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/8)-(2/1/8/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/1/8)-(2/1/8/5)-(2/1/8/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/1/8)-(2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/1/8)-(2/4)-(7/5/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
FG-5   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4)-(2/4/7/6)-(2/4/7/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (2/4)-(7/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/4)-(7/5/4)-(4/9/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
FG-6   WIN (7/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/4)-(7/5/4/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/4)-(7/5/4/3/6)-(7/5/4/3/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (7/5/4)-(4/9/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/5/4)-(4/9/7)-(5) 9 $0.50 $4.50 
FG-7   WIN (4/9/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/9/7)-(4/9/7/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/9/7)-(4/9/7/2/6)-(4/9/7/2/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/9/7)-(5) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/9/7)-(5)-(1/3/11/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
FG-8   WIN (5) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5)-(1/3/11/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
FG-9   WIN (1/3/11/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/11/5)-(1/3/11/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/11/5)-(1/3/11/5)-(1/3/11/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FG-1   03/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RELIC HUNTER Feb18 Dec11 Nov24 Apr21 Mar27 (faucheux )PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 1.60 53% 0.90    
INFINITESIMAL Mar01 Feb09 Jan01 Dec11   (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
RISKTAKER Feb18 Jan27 Jan16 Jan01 Dec11 (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 3.50    
FLOWER CAT Jan28 Dec27 Nov25     (ingram steve)GRAHAM J 122 6.00    
CUSTOM BLUE GRASS Jan27 Jan05 Dec15 Oct19 Aug24 (castille rickey )MELANCON G 122 8.00    
HALF MAGIC Jan27 Dec11 Apr29 Apr08 Mar10 (faucheu)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 2.00 12% 7.60    
 
FG-2   03/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CREOLE REB         (leonard )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 125 12.00    
  (by OLE REBEL out of GAYLE'S CHANNEL by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
SCR  BOSS MAN ZONG Feb22 Jan28 Jan13 Dec27 Dec07 (dison philli)BESCHIZZA ADAM 125 20.00    
  (by ZONG out of OFFICE GOSSIP by STORMIN FEVER)
FATHER MARK         (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 117 5.00    
  (by SASSICAIA out of HALF A NOTION by HALF OURS)
CATCHIN DRAMA Feb11 May13 Apr22 Mar27 Mar17 (morrell cynthia)MCMAHON J 125 12.00    
  (by DRAMEDY out of CATCH THE BUSS by MALABAR GOLD)
CHECK ME OUT Feb17 Jan26 Jan01 Dec11 Jun27 (cuccia j)MURRILL MITCHELL 125 5.00 19% 4.40    
  (by UNIFIED out of ALL AMERICAN STAR by QUIET AMERICAN)
PARTY LITTLE BOY Feb17 Jan26 Jan16     (pennino frank)CULP BRIANNE 125 5.00    
  (by PIMPERNEL out of PARTY WITH BRANDO by BERTRANDO)
HEZA SEXY ZONG Feb17 Jan26 Jan05 Dec27 Nov25 (dison phill)GUTIERREZ REYLU 125 2.00 26% 2.90    
  (by ZONG out of SHEZA SEXY A. P. by A. P. DELTA)
COMANCHE WARRIOR Nov19         (faucheu)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 117 2.50 29% 2.40    
  (by YOCKEY'S WARRIOR out of JETTIN JANA by MAUK FOUR)
 
FG-3   03/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($30K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEW YEAR SURPRISE Feb12 Jan15 Dec17 Nov24 Oct25 (dorochenko gen)CHAVEZ ORIEL 121 10.00    
HEZA WAY MAKER Jan27 Jun30 May05     (ladner marvi)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 8.00    
HE'S A BOMB Feb26 Nov12 Oct28 Sep29 Sep23 (govea cesar)SINGH R 121 3.50    
INVISIBLE WAR Feb11 Jan20 Dec24 Nov25 Aug27 (casse mark)HERNANDEZ J 121 3.00 12% 7.70    
MAGNOLIA MIDNIGHT Feb12 Jun03 Apr08 Jan15   (stewart dal)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 2.50 27% 2.70    
COURTHOUSE COVE Feb26 Feb12 Jan15 Dec23 Nov13 (leonard geo)BARANDELA SOFIA 116 3.00 36% 1.80    
 
FG-4   03/09/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($20K) 3 ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GEM COLLECTION Feb10 Jan20 Jan05 Dec26 Dec03 (tracy tann)ALBERT S 115 3.50 27% 2.70    
SIMPLY WOW Feb10 Jan06 Dec11     (richards coral)GREEN AUBRIE 122 6.00 32% 2.10    
SCR  WINNING DANCE Feb11 Jan20 Jan07 Dec03 Nov19 (desormeaux )BARANDELA SOFIA 117 15.00    
SCR  LA BOUCANE Feb10 Jan20 Jan07 Dec11 Nov18 (wilson shan)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 2.50 9% 10.80    
HONEY'S HOPE Feb12         (wiggins lon)RIQUELME J 122 6.00    
COOL SPIRIT Jan20 Oct28 Aug03 May24 May05 (briley lonnie)VARGAS P 122 8.00    
SCR  STAR READY Feb09 Jan07 Dec17 Aug21   (balderas )PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 15.00    
HUMOR ME PLEASE Jan20 Dec23 Dec09     (claire alexis)PARKER L 122 3.00 11% 8.30    
 
FG-5   03/09/2023 5940ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JU JU VIP Feb09 Jan25 Jan13 Dec03 Nov16 (courville ricky)COHEN DAVID 117 8.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of ELLE SUENO by STREET CRY (IRE))
CLEVER JOKE Dec03 Aug28       (catalano wayne )LANERIE J 117 2.00 50% 1.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of LA PIBA by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
SUPER COOL STORM Jan12 Oct28       (stewart dal)GUTIERREZ REYLU 125 8.00    
  (by SUPER SAVER out of COOL STORM by STORM CAT)
TIANA'S STAR (GB)         (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 125 3.00 26% 2.90    
  (by DUBAWI (IRE) out of TIANA by CURLIN)
LAYLA'S SONG Feb09 Jan12 Oct24 Oct11 Sep22 (leonard george)CULP BRIANNE 125 8.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of CUPOLA by MIZZEN MAST)
JAYLA Feb16 Jan20 Sep05 Aug15 Jun28 (lovell michell)ASHTON GAVIN 117 4.50    
  (by TOURIST out of SUMIZOME by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
ACTING Sep10 Jul22       (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 117 5.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of MOANIN (FR) by MEDICEAN (GB))
SCR  PERFECTION SAVER Jan19 Nov16       (stewart dallas)PARKER L 125 6.00    
  (by SUPER SAVER out of STORMY PERFECTION by TALE OF THE CAT)
 
FG-6   03/09/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($28K) 3 ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WOLF HUNTER Feb23 Feb12 Feb03 Jan19 Jan07 (dorochenko gen)CHAVEZ ORIEL 120 6.00    
GHOST BIKE Dec23 Oct02 Sep17     (roussel j)GRAHAM J 118 6.00    
REMASTERED         (lovell mi)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00    
BUTLER CABIN Feb17         (wilson shane)MORALES EDGAR 120 5.00 16% 5.20    
BOOSTER SHOT Jan20 Nov23 Nov03     (stall m)RIQUELME J 120 3.00 30% 2.30    
COAL BOSS Feb12 Jan21 Dec23 Nov26 Oct30 (foley greg)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 3.50    
BRITE OUTLOOK Feb11 Jan20 Dec20 Nov16 Oct28 (chatters benard)PARKER L 120 3.50 31% 2.20    
 
FG-7   03/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3 F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VISIONISTA Feb05 Jan21 Jan05 Dec23   (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 120 5.00    
  (by COURT VISION out of MISS PITTY PAT by DATA LINK)
BEAUTIFULGUATEMALA Feb02 Jan12       (avant kelly)BARRERA J 115 8.00    
  (by YOCKEY'S WARRIOR out of INDIAN TRIBE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
MIA ANTONIA Feb03 Jan13 Dec29 Dec02   (hodges james)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 12.00    
  (by GEMOLOGIST out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
MUCHMORETHANREADY Feb12 Jan21 Dec29 Jun01   (stidham m)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00 30% 2.40    
  (by TOM'S READY out of ASTARTE by STREET SENSE)
BLESSED ASSURANCE Feb24         (dison ma)STOKES A 120 12.00    
  (by ZONG out of SOCIETY DOLL by THEATRICAL (IRE))
GRACE HAZEL         (faucheux ron)GRAHAM J 120 6.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of MANDY D by CAPE BLANCO (IRE))
LUMINOUS FLIGHT Feb22         (cox l)MCMAHON J 120 8.00 21% 3.70    
  (by REQUITE out of MY QUEEN OLIVIA by HALF OURS)
EVERYLITTLESINGH         (singh s)SINGH R 120 15.00    
  (by COUNTRY DAY out of PEAKABOO BRIDE by LANGFUHR)
LOUISIANA COWGIRL Dec10 Nov22 Nov05     (gomez david)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 3.50 25% 3.00    
  (by BIND out of GOLDEN COWGIRL by MY GOLDEN SONG)
SCR  CALCITE         (catalano wayne )LANERIE J 120 8.00    
  (by MINESHAFT out of HAPPY CHOICE by BROKEN VOW)
 
FG-8   03/09/2023 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($52K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY ROMEO LIMA Feb11 Dec17 Nov27 Oct26 Aug28 (camejo m)PARKER L 120 8.00    
NEPOTISM Jan14 Nov27 Nov02 Oct13 Sep17 (scherer eric)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 12.00    
HARD LOVE Jan07 Sep24 Jul31     (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 120 4.50    
FIREWATER JAKE Feb04 Oct12 Sep29 Aug25 Jul06 (flint ber)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 5.00    
SAILING SOLO Nov26         (roussel j)GRAHAM J 120 3.50 48% 1.10    
NATIVE THUNDER Dec26 Nov06 Jun12 Apr09 Mar13 (stewart dal)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 8.00    
HIDDEN ENEMY (IRE) Feb04 Sep25 Aug28 Jul30 Jul02 (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.50    
BEAVER HAT Feb11 Jan14 Dec26 Jun05 Apr15 (williamson brian)RIQUELME J 120 8.00    
SCR  FREEDOM'S WAY Feb12 Jan08 Jun20 May15 Apr16 (kenneally ed)CARROLL DECLAN 120 5.00    
SCR  FORTUITY Feb12 Oct08 Aug26 Jul23 Jun22 (faucheux r)ALBERT S 115 6.00 6% 16.90    
SCR  SNIVELING Oct21 Aug29 Aug19 Jul09 May30 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 120 8.00    
SCR  SILENT TAP Dec04 Jul31 Jul09 May30 May08 (wilson shane)CULP BRIANNE 120 12.00    
SCR  DUKE OF CARTHANIA Jan19 Dec04 Nov13 Jul03 Feb26 (hargrave ken)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 12.00    
SCR  ARTIE'S RUMOR Feb12 Jan15 Nov11 Oct19 Sep01 (flint bern)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CAPTIVATING MOON Jan14 Dec26 Nov13 Jun25 May28 (block chri)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.50 13% 7.00    
SCR  PORTOS Jan28 Dec17 Nov05 Sep05 Jul28 (faucheux ro)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 4.00 5% 18.50    
 
FG-9   03/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIANNIS Feb03 Jan07 Dec03 Aug28   (kenneally e)GUTIERREZ REYLU 114 4.50 22% 3.60    
SCR  GROOM LAKE Oct11 Sep28 Aug27 Jun22 Feb20 (barnett c)RIQUELME J 122 12.00    
BUCKY BIK COIN Jan07 Dec04 Oct28 Sep28 Sep03 (delgado h)GREEN AUBRIE 122 4.00 20% 4.00    
SCR  IN DETAIL Feb16 Jan20 Jan07 Dec19 Oct20 (camejo jos)ALBERT S 112 8.00 11% 7.70    
WHISKEY GENT Nov04 Oct12 Aug11 Jun15 May26 (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 12.00 8% 11.30    
SCR  RAMMER JAMMER Feb24 Feb03 Jan13 Dec23 Dec04 (faucheu)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 125 3.50    
MASQUERADE BALL Feb24 Feb16 Jan27 Jan06 Dec17 (dorochenko gen)CHAVEZ ORIEL 122 30.00    
MIDNIGHT DREAMING Feb17 Dec03 Nov11 Sep22 Jul30 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 114 6.00    
IRONMAN RICHIE Feb16 Jan27 Jan07 Dec17 Nov26 (rodriguez e)BARANDELA SOFIA 117 12.00    
10  GOROSTIETA'S LOVE Jan28 Dec02 Aug18 Jul29 Jun30 (mouton cha)URDANETA J 122 20.00    
11  DIALED A DAME Feb16 Jan27 Dec16 Nov26 Nov16 (santamaria carlos)GRAHAM J 122 6.00 10% 8.60    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.