Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Oaklawn Park
Sunday - March 05, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
OP-1   WIN (5/3/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/2/1)-(5/3/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/2/1)-(5/3/2/1)-(5/3/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/2/1)-(9/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
OP-2   WIN (9/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/1/4)-(9/1/4/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (9/1/4)-(9/1/4/8)-(9/1/4/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (9/1/4)-(2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (9/1/4)-(2/7)-(1/5/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
OP-3   WIN (2/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/7)-(2/7/8/3/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (2/7)-(2/7/8/3/6)-(2/7/8/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7)-(1/5/4/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/7)-(1/5/4/2)-(6/1/7/2/9) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
OP-4   WIN (1/5/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/4/2)-(1/5/4/2/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/5/4/2)-(1/5/4/2/3)-(1/5/4/2/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/5/4/2)-(6/1/7/2/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/5/4/2)-(6/1/7/2/9)-(7/1/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
OP-5   WIN (6/1/7/2/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/1/7/2/9)-(6/1/7/2/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/1/7/2/9)-(6/1/7/2/9)-(6/1/7/2/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/1/7/2/9)-(7/1/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/1/7/2/9)-(7/1/9)-(10/1/4) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
OP-6   WIN (7/1/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/9)-(7/1/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/1/9)-(7/1/9)-(7/1/9) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/1/9)-(10/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/1/9)-(10/1/4)-(6/3/2/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
OP-7   WIN (10/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (10/1/4)-(10/1/4/3/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/1/4)-(10/1/4/3/11)-(10/1/4/3/11) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (10/1/4)-(6/3/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (10/1/4)-(6/3/2/7)-(4/10/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
OP-8   WIN (6/3/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/2/7)-(6/3/2/7/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/3/2/7)-(6/3/2/7/5)-(6/3/2/7/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/3/2/7)-(4/10/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
OP-9   WIN (4/10/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/10/9)-(4/10/9/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/10/9)-(4/10/9/2/3)-(4/10/9/2/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
OP-1   03/05/2023 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($40K) Purse ($50K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOBBIN TAIL Feb12 Jan13 Sep29 Jun10 May06 (smith p)FUENTES ERICK 108 20.00 8% 12.30    
2  MISTY VEIL Feb12 Jan07 Nov24 Nov12 Sep29 (maker michae)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 3.00 8% 12.20    
3  BIG BAD DIVA Jan13 Dec22 Nov16 Oct28 Sep21 (schultz lindsay)JUAREZ NIK 118 5.00 27% 2.80    
SCR  GIANNA'S GIFT Feb12 Jan13 Dec16 Nov16 Oct23 (contreras)DE CRUZ 118 8.00 ★    
5  PRETTI XTREME Jan28 Dec18 Nov04 Sep21 Aug30 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.50 33% 2.10    
SCR  FAMILY TIME Feb12 Jan07 Dec17 Nov15 Nov05 (villafranco m)CABRERA DAVID 124 15.00    
7  GOOD PENNY Jan13 Dec16 Nov16 Jul07 Jun04 (contreras)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 1.80    
 
OP-2   03/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I GOT A NAME Feb17 Jan20       (morse l)BEJARANO R 119 1.80 14% 6.40    
2  ALTAR GIRL Feb24 Jan28 Dec31     (fires h)COURT K 114 30.00    
3  I GUESS NOT Feb10 Dec01 Oct02 Sep18 Aug20 (smith p)FUENTES ERICK 115 10.00    
4  FORTIBUG Jan29 Jan07 Dec09     (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 114 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  FANCY HILL Feb24 Jan21 Jan07     (martin timothy )TORRES HUGO 114 30.00    
6  SWEET BABY KATE Feb25 Jan29 Dec30 Dec09 Sep05 (soto fermin)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 30.00    
SCR  OLD SCHOOL FLASH Feb24 Jan27 Dec16 Nov11 Oct12 (villafranco )CASTILLO ISAAC 119 3.50 15% 5.60    
8  BLUE COWGIRL Feb24 Feb05 Dec16 Nov25 Nov02 (milligan all)MEDELLIN ERICK 114 5.00 ★    
9  PEACEFUL MOMENT Jan13 Dec30 Dec03 Nov06 Oct13 (mcpeek ke)TORRES A 119 2.50 45% 1.20    
 
OP-3   03/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($17.5K) Purse ($36K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EMERALD PRINCESS Feb24 Jan29 Oct08 Aug27 Jul17 (green ike)GONZALEZ ELVIN 117 15.00    
2  CARPE HORSESHOE Feb24 Jan06 Nov19 Oct07 Sep18 (broberg k)TORRES A 124 1.60 44% 1.30    
3  SHESABIDFORMIDABLE Feb12 Sep18 Sep09 Aug19 Jul31 (jordan todd )JORDAN R 121 12.00 ★    
4  SIMONA'S CHOICE Jan27 Jan15 Dec18 Nov01 Sep15 (jacquot gene)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 12.00    
5  BECKY'S TATTOO Jan27 Jan07 Nov12 Nov07 Oct20 (hewitt michae)BAILEY CHEL-C 122 15.00    
6  DISTORTED SECRETS Feb11 Jan27 Dec09 Nov03 Oct02 (green ike)JUAREZ NIK 120 12.00 ★    
7  EMPIRE PASS Jan29 Dec09 Oct08 Sep17 Sep02 (moysey chelsey )ZIMMERMAN R 121 1.40 29% 2.40    
8  LA MORENA Feb26 Jan29 Jan01 Dec18 Dec09 (villafranco )CASTILLO ISAAC 119 6.00 ★    
 
OP-4   03/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($103K) 3 ALL PT- 3:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CORONA BOLT Jan28 Dec26 Nov19     (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 1.40 30% 2.30    
2  FAVORITE OUTLAW Sep14 Aug20 Jul23 Jun25 Jan29 (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 8.00 7% 14.00    
3  COUNT DE MONET Dec31 Dec09 Sep29 Aug30   (swearingen tom)SANJUR SANTO 120 4.50 ★    
4  JOKING WAY Jan20 Nov26 Oct30 Sep22   (asmussen)SANTANA JR 120 4.00 13% 6.90    
5  ROYAL KING Feb10 Jan13 Jan29     (robertson)TORRES A 125 3.50 24% 3.10    
6  BEN'S LEGACY Feb18 Jan21 Dec31     (divito james )CABRERA DAVID 120 12.00    
7  IGNITIS Feb10 Jan20 Jan06 Dec10 Nov16 (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 20.00    
SCR  SINNER'S SIN Jan20 Dec17 May28 Apr23 Mar17 (moquett e)BEJARANO R 125 20.00    
 
OP-5   03/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($26K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAJOR KONG Feb19 Feb04 Sep11 Jul30 Jul16 (martin timothy )TORRES HUGO 113 4.00 17% 4.90    
2  BRAVO BRAVO Feb20 Jan29 Jan15 Nov06 Oct28 (vance thomas )CABRERA DAVID 124 10.00 8% 11.60    
3  SPARK (PER) Feb10 Jan21 Jan01 Dec01 Nov05 (quinonez natha)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 15.00    
4  LIVINGONTULSATIME Jan29 Jan22 Dec21 Dec08 Nov16 (litfin nevada)PUSAC ALBERTO 115 15.00    
5  RYE HUMOR Feb11 Jan07 Dec17 Nov12 Sep21 (morse randy )GONZALEZ ELVIN 118 12.00    
6  WHOOPING JAY Feb26 Feb04 Jan07 Sep01 Jul30 (broberg karl)BAZE C 118 4.50 34% 1.90    
7  COOL RUNNINGS Feb11 Jan29 Jan06 Dec16 Nov09 (diodoro roberti)ZIMMERMAN R 118 2.50 11% 7.80    
8  OPTIMUS KAT Feb26 Feb04 Dec17 Sep28 Aug20 (barkley jason)HIRALDO JOHN 118 6.00    
9  PADDY O'DINI Feb03         (martin timot)JORDAN R 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  MAKE NOISE Feb19 Feb10 Jan07 Nov16 Oct07 (cline n)HARR KELSI 118 12.00    
 
OP-6   03/05/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUMMER IN MALIBU Feb24 Feb05 Jan08 Dec18 May14 (vance d)COURT K 121 4.50 13% 6.90    
SCR  VICTORY MARCH Feb11 Jan13 Dec18 Nov27 Nov03 (mcknight norman)JUAREZ NIK 125 10.00 ★    
3  LUCKY DUDE Feb04 Jan14 Oct26 Oct14 Sep12 (anderson dou)JORDAN R 125 30.00    
4  EE YAH Jan20 Jan06 Dec10 Sep18 Aug25 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 30.00    
5  COMMANDER CARL Feb04 Dec11 Nov05 Sep04   (ortiz al)CABRERA DAVID 123 10.00    
SCR  BOAT SONG Feb04 Dec31 Jul13 May13 Apr03 (robertson )GALLARDO EDUARDO 125 6.00 5% 17.60    
7  BET HE'S READY Feb20 Nov23 Oct22 Mar16 Feb17 (shirer m)SANTANA JR 125 1.60 43% 1.30    
8  SWITZER Oct16 Sep14 Aug12 Jun22 Apr28 (moquett e)BEJARANO R 121 15.00    
9  TOWN BRANCH Feb11 Jan13 Dec17 Nov19 Nov03 (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 125 3.00 12% 7.70    
 
OP-7   03/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($65K) 3 F PT- 4:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SACRED WISH Feb11         (chleborad ly)JORDAN R 121 2.50 25% 3.10    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of INDIAN WISH by INDIAN CHARLIE)
SCR  SHE'SMYSMOKESHOW Oct29         (gomez c)TORRES HUGO 116 30.00    
  (by TAPWRIT out of KOHILI by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
3  BOOGIE WOOGIE GAL         (sharp joe)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 8.00 ★    
  (by MO TOWN out of MISS SUBTLE by MISREMEMBERED)
4  VALIANT PRAISE Feb08 Jan13 Dec11 Nov16 Oct22 (mcpeek ke)TORRES A 121 15.00 7% 13.70    
  (by CONGRATS out of AUNTIE SOPH by VALIANT NATURE)
5  CHARLIZE Feb11         (divito p)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 15.00    
  (by CURLIN out of AMERICA'S STARLET by CONCORD POINT)
6  RATIFIED Jan29         (moquett e)BEJARANO R 121 12.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of TOUCH THE SKY by AVENUE OF FLAGS)
SCR  CLOAK OF MERCY         (ortiz al)CABRERA DAVID 121 15.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of CLOAK OF SECRECY by SCAT DADDY)
8  PIVOSKY Feb24 Jan29 Jul17 Jun09 May19 (vance d)COURT K 121 30.00    
  (by CONNECT out of PRINCESSE RAFAELA by SKY MESA)
9  I'M SO FUNNY Feb11         (jones larry)HARR KELSI 121 12.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of NATIVE PRINCESS by NATIVE RULER)
10  WREAKING HAVOC Feb05 Jan07       (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 121 2.00 47% 1.10    
  (by MASTERY out of KEENING by CURLIN)
11  DIVINELY BOLT Feb03 Jan21 Nov25 Oct23 Oct02 (hartman chris)JUAREZ NIK 121 4.50 ★    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of SUPER DIVINE by DIVINE PARK)
 
OP-8   03/05/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($104K) 3 F PT- 5:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NEED SOME MONEY Feb04 Dec31 Nov18 Oct09 Sep17 (shorter aaron)BEJARANO R 118 15.00    
2  TOUGH LEGACY Feb03 Dec31 Nov26 Oct30   (casse w)CABRERA DAVID 122 6.00 21% 3.80    
3  SHE'S LOOKIN LUCKY Feb09 Dec31 Nov18     (shirer ma)TORRES A 122 1.40 24% 3.10    
4  SANTANGELO Feb12 Jan15 Nov02 Sep28 Sep01 (compton greg)JUAREZ NIK 118 20.00    
5  BLUELIGHTSPECIAL Feb11 Dec31 Nov27 Oct30 Oct05 (contreras cipr)SAEZ GABRIEL 115 15.00 ★    
6  PUNCHBOWL Feb11         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 1.60 25% 3.10    
7  CORNINGSTONE Oct05 Sep07 Aug21 Jul24 Jul08 (mcpeek kenne)MEDELLIN ERICK 113 12.00 7% 12.60    
8  BEAUTIFUL AND BOLD Feb04 Dec31 Nov02 Oct14 Sep10 (compton g)DE CRUZ 115 20.00    
9  STELLAR LADY Feb04 Dec14 Nov11 Oct30 Oct07 (mcpeek ke)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 10.00    
 
OP-9   03/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MADMARTIGAN Feb17         (witt erni)TORRES A 119 15.00    
  (by LAURIE'S ROCKET out of PLAER'S TRUMP by SHAWKLIT PLAYER)
2  SIR PEEL Dec16 Sep09 Aug03 Jul08 Jun10 (moquett e)BEJARANO R 124 12.00 ★    
  (by RACE DAY out of SILVER ANNIVERSARY by GRAEME HALL)
3  DEBATER         (gonzalez )TRIANA JR 119 12.00 ★    
  (by ORDAINED out of HEATED DEBATE by CLOSING ARGUMENT)
4  IKE WAZOWSKI Feb17         (green ike)JORDAN R 119 3.00 68% 0.50    
  (by PAYNTER out of MEGALICIOUS by SONGANDAPRAYER)
5  WILLIE WIN         (fires h)COURT K 124 20.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of THREE NATTY PATTY by TAPIZAR)
6  RUDIANO Feb17 Jan13 Dec11 Nov22 Aug08 (loy dewaine)PUSAC ALBERTO 119 8.00    
  (by MO FOR THE MONEY out of PICK ME UP by YANKEE GENTLEMAN)
7  READY SHOES Feb17 Jan13 Dec31     (wilson m)SANTANA JR 119 15.00    
  (by PROM SHOES out of MORE THAN CRAFTY by MORE THAN READY)
8  FOUR DICE Feb25 Jan15       (soto fermin)MEDELLIN ERICK 114 30.00    
  (by TEXAS CHROME out of HALO'S MAJESTY by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
9  WICKED PRINCE Feb25 Jan15 Dec10     (chleborad ly)GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 5.00 6% 17.20    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of BUTTERFLY PRINCESS by WAVERING MONARCH)
10  CLASSY SOCKS Feb25 Feb04 Jan13 Dec16 Oct13 (vance thomas )CABRERA DAVID 124 1.80 6% 15.40    
  (by NORTHERN AFLEET out of CLASSY CORINTHIAN by CORINTHIAN)
11  KISSOFTHENILE Feb20 Feb04 Dec16 Nov25 Nov12 (villafranco mart)HARR KELSI 124 20.00    
  (by SHUPANGA out of SHE'LLKISSTHEBOYS by PLENTYOFIT)
12  SCRIMSHIRE Dec09         (donaldson jerry)BOREL H 124 30.00    
  (by ORDAINED out of BULLS BLUE LADY by HOLY BULL)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.