Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Friday - February 24, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (4/3/2/5/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/3/2/5/6)-(4/3/2/5/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/3/2/5/6)-(4/3/2/5/6)-(4/3/2/5/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/3/2/5/6)-(2/7/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/3/2/5/6)-(2/7/3/5)-(6/4/3/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
PEN-2   WIN (2/7/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/3/5)-(2/7/3/5/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/7/3/5)-(2/7/3/5/6)-(2/7/3/5/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/7/3/5)-(6/4/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/7/3/5)-(6/4/3/7)-(4/1/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PEN-3   WIN (6/4/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/3/7)-(6/4/3/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/4/3/7)-(6/4/3/7/2)-(6/4/3/7/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/4/3/7)-(4/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4/3/7)-(4/1/2)-(8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-4   WIN (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/2)-(4/1/3/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/2)-(4/1/3/2/8)-(4/1/3/2/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/1/2)-(8) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/1/2)-(8)-(3/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
PEN-5   WIN (8) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (8)-(8/3/10) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI (8)-(8/3/10)-(8/3/10) 2 $0.50 $1.00 
    DD (8)-(3/1/6) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (8)-(3/1/6)-(5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
PEN-6   WIN (3/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/6)-(3/1/6/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/6)-(3/1/6/2/5)-(3/1/6/2/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/1/6)-(5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
PEN-7   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3)-(5/3/1/4/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (5/3)-(5/3/1/4/6)-(5/3/1/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   02/24/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CUENCA Jan26 Dec07 Nov22 Oct11 Sep25 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 120 2.50    
2  DANCE A LITTLE JIG Jan12 Dec30 Dec14 Dec02 Nov09 (ferreira fern)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 6.00 13% 6.70    
3  ADMONISH Feb09 Dec08 Nov12 Nov03 Sep18 (chircop steven)TORRES JOMAR 120 3.00 18% 4.60    
4  PSYCHE Feb10 Dec28 Dec10 Dec02 Nov09 (cooper stacey)CONNER TYLER 124 4.00 20% 3.90    
5  RUN LAURA RUN Feb01 Jan11 Dec16 Nov30 Nov02 (king lawren)INIRIO J 120 4.00 13% 6.70    
6  HELLO GRACIE Feb15 Jan25 Nov29 Nov08 Oct29 (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 120 5.00 10% 8.60    
 
PEN-2   02/24/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAVARIA Feb15 Jan12 Dec30 Dec09 Nov30 (rozell ron)LLOYD W 122 8.00    
2  DAKOTA OUTLAW Jan13 Dec21 Nov15 Oct26 Oct12 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 2.00 40% 1.50    
3  ALPHA SIXTY SIX Jan13 Dec06 Nov09 Oct07 Sep09 (crook-dem)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 13% 6.70    
4  FIFTY SHEAS OFGREY Feb15 Jan13 Dec20 Dec13 Nov22 (salinas jose)FLORES E 120 6.00    
5  THE GREAT CASBY Feb02 Jan18 Dec30 Nov30 Nov04 (moreno tito)INIRIO J 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  PEPE TONO Dec21 Nov30 Oct18 Sep22 Aug31 (moreno tito)TUNON JORDANO 120 6.00 ★    
7  POCO CHARLIE Jan08 Oct22 Oct01 Sep10 Aug20 (gonzale)ORTIZ ORLANDO 120 5.00 21% 3.80    
 
PEN-3   02/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3 ALL PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEJUCO Feb10 Jan12 Nov29 Nov09   (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 122 6.00    
2  BOOK RUNNER Feb01 Jan12 Dec21 Dec13 Nov30 (salinas jose)FLORES E 122 6.00 ★    
3  ON AN ISLAND Feb01 Jan12 Dec21 Dec02 Nov09 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 3.50 7% 12.70    
4  GIUSEPPE         (rubley kelly)CEDENO CAROL 122 4.00 16% 5.30    
5  QUINCY ADAMS Feb02         (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 122 12.00    
6  ITCHY PALMS Feb02 Jan14       (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 5.00 50% 1.00    
7  MACHO HONCHO Feb01 Dec21 Dec02     (salvaggio mich)CONNER TYLER 122 3.00 5% 18.90    
8  J W RUNTOTHEBANK Feb02         (cifarelli f)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 12.00    
 
PEN-4   02/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DWELLER Jan26 Jan12 Dec20 Nov29 Nov02 (kulp l)CONNER TYLER 120 3.50 8% 11.10    
2  NO EASY ANSWER Jan12 Dec20 Nov29 Nov08 Oct12 (mcclellan)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00 6% 15.60    
3  SUNSHINE LINDA Feb01 Jan13 Dec27 Nov23 Nov01 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 124 4.50 ★    
4  ALWAYS MIA Jan12 Dec20 Nov29 Nov12 May05 (gonzale)ORTIZ ORLANDO 120 3.00 53% 0.90    
5  EARLY FROST Dec14 Nov22 Nov01 Oct12 Aug31 (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 15.00    
6  TOOTSYSROCKNROLLER Feb16 Jan26 Jan12 Dec21 Dec07 (zalalas mic)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 10.00    
7  ONE TOUGH ROSE Jan25 Dec20 Nov08 Oct19 Sep08 (maymo j)BEATO INOEL 120 8.00    
8  COACH HAS SIX ACES Jan10 Dec21 Oct25 Sep21 Sep07 (flores-coba f)TREJOS JOSEPH 120 4.00 ★    
 
PEN-5   02/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SUNSHINE MAX Dec27 Nov30 Nov04 Oct05 Sep09 (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50 63% 0.60    
2  SPIKES SHIRL Feb08 Jan11 Dec30 Nov29 Nov04 (ferreira fern)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 10.00    
3  DEB'S GUNFIGHTER Feb10 Jan11 Dec16 Nov16 Oct25 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00 ★    
SCR  FIRE DOWN BELOW Jan27 Dec27 Dec13 Nov23 Oct25 (albright amy)FLORES E 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  HASHTAG WINNING Jan11 Dec27 Dec06 Nov18 Oct25 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 12.00    
6  MARTINKELLY Jan17 Dec06 Nov08 Oct25 Sep14 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 3.50    
7  FIELDER Jan31 Jan11 Dec10 Nov25 Nov04 (aristone ph)DE KEMICH 113 10.00    
8  VENOMOUS STATE Feb01 Nov25 Nov04 Sep23 Sep14 (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 120 6.00 9% 9.70    
9  ROCKET BLAST Feb01 Jan11 Dec16 Nov23 Oct25 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 120 12.00    
10  SIR ROCKPORT Feb01 Jan05 Dec16 Nov29 Nov04 (synnefias pana)TORRES JOMAR 120 8.00 ★    
 
PEN-6   02/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LONDON LADY Feb01 Apr14 Mar25 Mar10 Feb18 (lucas bon)VARGAS L 124 1.40 23% 3.30    
2  JUMP A FOX         (meister w)HERNANDEZ A 124 6.00 ★    
3  TUDOR PEAK Jan31 Dec09 Nov19 Oct29 Oct06 (wyner harold)BOWMAN ADAM 124 1.50 38% 1.70    
4  JOURNEY OF FIVE Feb01         (sells rachel)BEATO INOEL 124 15.00    
5  NEVA'S GIRL         (stites flin)INIRIO J 124 6.00 ★    
6  DON DIVA Jan01 Dec16 Dec07 Nov25 Oct14 (shannon jenni)TUNON JORDANO 122 12.00 18% 4.70    
 
PEN-7   02/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISCHIEF MELODY Jan26 Jan11 Dec20 Dec06 Nov16 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 124 6.00 ★    
2  AMAZINGMAE Jan26 Dec27 Nov23 Oct11   (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.50    
3  SPUNKY ZOEY Feb08 Jan26 Dec30 Dec09 Nov22 (stites flin)INIRIO J 122 2.50 27% 2.70    
4  THEFABULOUS MOOLAH Jan27 Dec13 Dec06 Nov15 Nov01 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 122 8.00 ★    
5  MISS CONVEYOR Feb08 Jan11 Dec20     (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.50 39% 1.60    
6  UNCAPTURED GRACE Feb16 Jan27 Nov12 Aug28 Jul24 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 124 8.00 ★    
7  BO RUNKLE Jan27 Jan12 Dec16 Nov30 Oct12 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 8.00    
8  LOIS'S CAUSE Feb09 Jan27 Dec27 Nov23 Oct26 (wolfe jr)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.