Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Gulfstream Park
Sunday - February 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
GP-1   WIN (6/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/3)-(6/7/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/7/3)-(6/7/3/4)-(6/7/3/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/7/3)-(5/7/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
GP-2   WIN (5/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/2)-(5/7/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/7/2)-(5/7/2/6)-(5/7/2/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/7/2)-(5/2/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GP-3   WIN (5/2/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/4/6)-(5/2/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/4/6)-(5/2/4/6)-(5/2/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/4/6)-(7/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GP-4   WIN (7/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/8/1)-(7/8/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/8/1)-(7/8/1/5)-(7/8/1/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/8/1)-(10/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
GP-5   WIN (10/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (10/7/6)-(10/7/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (10/7/6)-(10/7/6/4)-(10/7/6/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (10/7/6)-(4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
GP-6   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/5/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5)-(4/5/6/3)-(4/5/6/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (4/5)-(1/2/7/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
GP-7   WIN (1/2/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/7/8)-(1/2/7/8/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/2/7/8)-(1/2/7/8/9)-(1/2/7/8/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/2/7/8)-(5/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GP-8   WIN (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/4)-(5/3/1/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/4)-(5/3/1/4/6)-(5/3/1/4/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/1/4)-(4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
GP-9   WIN (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/6)-(4/6/7/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6)-(4/6/7/9)-(4/6/7/9) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (4/6)-(7) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
GP-10   WIN (7) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (7)-(7/8/9/6) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    TRI (7)-(7/8/9/6)-(7/8/9/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
GP-1   02/19/2023 4950ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT-12:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEN STREET Dec28 Nov20 Oct23 Aug28 Jul24 (crichton)FERNANDEZ R 122 20.00    
2  KAREN'S REVENGE Feb05 Dec23 Dec11 Nov12 Oct15 (kelly blake)HENRY WESLEY 117 20.00    
3  URBAN MYTH Feb16         (antonucci m)RUIZ JORGE 122 6.00 10% 9.30    
4  LUNA WARRIOR Dec02 Oct23       (d'angelo jose)ORTIZ JR 122 4.50 ★    
SCR  ORDER OF MAGNITUDE Jan22 Sep30 Aug28 Jan02   (david a)ORTIZ L 122 3.00 ★    
6  BLIND EYE Jan08 Sep25 Jul22 Jul09   (nicks ralp)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.40 47% 1.10    
7  GRANDE SOIREE Feb09 Jan08 Dec08     (gargan)VASQUEZ ANGEL 122 6.00 19% 4.10    
8  TOYI Jan15 Dec11 Jan30     (hernandez sandi)JARAMILLO E 122 30.00    
 
GP-2   02/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($24K) 3 ALL PT-12:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NO ILL WILL Jan19         (davis christ)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 4.00 ★    
2  FROSTEDBIRD Jan27         (depaulo mi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 9% 10.70    
SCR  SERGEANT SINATRA Jan06 Dec02 Oct22 Sep23   (yates michael)RIOS M 118 20.00    
4  EXPLOSIVE WAVE Jan06         (maragh a)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00    
5  RED GUN Jan27 Jan06 Dec17 Nov26   (gaffney emmy)ORTIZ L 118 2.50 51% 1.00    
6  BLUE LIEUTENANT Jan27 Nov16 Oct17 Sep21 Sep05 (gonzalez javie)REYES LEONEL 118 15.00 ★    
7  MIDNIGHT GETAWAY Jan27 Jan11 Dec22 Nov26 Oct02 (delgado gusta)ORTIZ JR 118 2.00 20% 4.10    
8  LUSCIOUS DANCER Jan27 Jan06 Dec17 Oct23 Oct15 (negrete j)WILSON JAYNE 118 12.00    
 
GP-3   02/19/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIDNEY SUE Dec28 Nov13 Oct28 Aug14 Jul28 (mercado alex)ZAYAS J 122 30.00    
2  HOLY BERRIES Jan22 Dec23 Nov25 Nov12 Oct06 (gonzalez cla)MORELOS E 122 3.50 16% 5.10    
3  KUKARO Jan19 Jan06 Nov25 Oct15 Sep24 (sano antonio)ORTIZ JR 122 5.00    
4  HARDSPUN WOMAN Jan18 Dec23 Nov25 Oct22 Oct01 (mckanas )FIGUEROA HERIBERTO 122 20.00 13% 6.60    
5  WHAT KNOT Dec30 Dec04 Nov12 Oct15 Aug28 (dobles eliza)CASTELLANO J 122 4.00 18% 4.60    
6  CHALLENGE PRINCESS Dec23 Oct27 Sep22 Aug21 Jun24 (barboza j)LEON SONNY 122 15.00 10% 9.30    
7  GAM GAM JOANN Dec28 Dec14 Nov19 Oct23 Oct08 (young jennifer)RIOS M 122 20.00    
8  CRICKET WEST Jan20 Dec23 Nov22 Nov07 Oct09 (englehart jeremia)SAEZ LUIS 122 2.50    
SCR  BELLA MIURA Feb04 Dec23 Dec02 Nov12 Oct29 (sano antonio)REYES LEONEL 122 4.00 18% 4.60    
 
GP-4   02/19/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($35K) Purse ($35K) 3 ALL PT- 1:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIO TONY Jan22 Jan06 Dec18     (preciado guada)REYES LEONEL 118 15.00 7% 12.80    
2  READY FOR DIAMONDS Jan14 Dec03 Oct30 Sep18 Aug20 (bayeh edgar)PEREZ EDGAR 118 12.00    
3  ROCK THE WEEKEND         (antonucci je)MORELOS E 118 8.00    
4  WAVE ACTION Jan21 Dec10       (serpe m)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00    
5  GLENHOLME Jan27 Nov25 Oct27 Oct02 Sep18 (mcdonald mic)BRIDGMOHAN X 118 3.50 ★    
SCR  ST IGNACIO Jan27 Dec23 Nov20     (hess b)LEON SONNY 118 5.00 33% 2.10    
7  O'CONNER SUNSET Jan22 Dec24 Nov27 Nov09 Oct23 (gutierrez fau)MORALES ANGEL 111 4.00 21% 3.80    
8  RANSEUR Dec23 Nov16 Oct18 Sep21   (dibona rober)CASTELLANO J 118 5.00 9% 10.70    
 
GP-5   02/19/2023 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($84K) 3 ALL PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN NUGGET Jan21 Dec16       (walsh brendan)ORTIZ JR 118 20.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of TIPPING POINT by REGAL REMARK)
2  MONET NEVER (IRE)         (antonacci ph)CASTELLANO J 118 20.00    
  (by NO NAY NEVER out of LAST JEWEL by INVINCIBLE SPIRIT (IRE))
3  COSMIC STARDUST         (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 118 15.00    
  (by CURLIN TO MISCHIEF out of DYNA STAR by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
4  PORTOFINO Jan12         (orseno joseph )ORTIZ L 118 6.00 ★    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of LOVE CO by NOT FOR LOVE)
5  PETCOFF         (caramori cai)MORELOS E 118 20.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of MYLITTA by SKY MESA)
6  COOLER KING Jan26 Jan07 Dec17 Oct29 Jul24 (plesa edward)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 10.00 11% 8.50    
  (by UNCAPTURED out of COPPERELLE by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
7  HARRY'S ONTHEFLY Jan11 Jun25       (wilensky herma)RIOS M 118 3.50 11% 8.20    
  (by KHOZAN out of FLY EXPRESS by CONCORDE'S TUNE)
8  ALL IN ALL         (duarte jorge)ZAYAS J 118 10.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of TOTALLY TUCKER by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
9  MORE THAN LOOKS         (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of LADIES' PRIVILEGE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
10  LAWFUL Jan12 Dec17       (devaux cherie)REYES LEONEL 118 4.50 43% 1.30    
  (by BUCCHERO out of LAW OF ATTRACTION by SOLDAT)
SCR  AL ATLASI Jan14 Dec03       (nicks ralp)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 11% 7.90    
  (by MSHAWISH out of AL KHAZAALIYA by BLAME)
 
GP-6   02/19/2023 5940ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($37K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMOKEY WHITE Jan01 Nov14 Oct19 Sep04 Jul18 (preciado guad)MORALES ANGEL 113 8.00    
2  ASSIDUOUSLY (GB) Feb03 Jan04 Dec16 Nov03 Oct06 (caramori eduardo)USKE S 120 20.00    
3  VALIANT AVENGER Dec16 Nov05 Aug27 Jun30 Jun02 (nicks ralph )ZAYAS J 120 4.00 ★    
4  DIGITAL SOFTWARE Jan04 Oct07 Aug07     (caramori caio)LEON SONNY 120 3.50 43% 1.30    
5  MY MAN FLINT Jan13 Dec31 Dec03 Nov04 Oct16 (davey kathryn)RIOS M 122 1.80 29% 2.40    
6  REGAL SPEAKER Jan13 Nov11 Oct23 Sep15 Jul15 (gargan danny)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 ★    
SCR  TOLKIEN Jan29 Dec29 Oct26 Oct19 Sep28 (vaccarezz)LEPAROUX R 120 20.00 ★    
 
GP-7   02/19/2023 5940ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($84K) 3 F PT- 3:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DORAL Jan22         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 2.50 37% 1.70    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
2  I'M A SURE THING Jan22 Dec03       (clement ch)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 28% 2.50    
  (by LE HAVRE out of SEA OF BLUE by MIDSHIPMAN)
3  SHIRL'S DELIGHT Jan15 Dec15       (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00    
  (by TONALIST out of DECRYPT by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
4  SKYVIEW DRIVE Jan04 Sep24       (brown c)CASTELLANO J 118 8.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of LA CLOCHE by GHOSTZAPPER)
5  WAY TOO EARLY Jan08 Nov20       (mcgaughey clau)ORTIZ L 118 20.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of VERDURA by SMART STRIKE)
SCR  PEDIGEEK Jan29 Dec11       (casse mark)MORELOS E 118 20.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of I STILL MISS YOU by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
7  MADEMOISELLEJACKIE Jan22 Dec26 Oct22 Sep23 Aug28 (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 118 5.00 7% 12.70    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of MADEMOISELLE COCO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
8  BOMBA NERA Jan22         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 6% 16.10    
  (by WAR FRONT out of CINNAMON SPICE by SEEKING THE GOLD)
9  POR UNA CABEZA Jan08 Nov29 Oct22 Sep24 Aug23 (matz r)RUIZ JORGE 118 20.00 ★    
  (by UNION RAGS out of SUBTLETY by CHIMES BAND)
 
GP-8   02/19/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($87K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIAMOND WOW Jan28 Jan22 Dec31 Sep11 May07 (biancone pa)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 4.00 8% 12.10    
2  MUSIC CITY STAR Dec31 Oct19 Sep21 Sep01 Aug13 (joseph saffie )ORTIZ L 122 5.00    
3  RESTOFTHESTORY Dec31 Dec10 Oct16 Sep10 Aug14 (plesa edward)ZAYAS J 120 4.50 ★    
4  STARSHIP NALA Jan29 Dec09 Nov13 Oct16 Sep10 (dwoski)VASQUEZ ANGEL 122 15.00 7% 13.20    
5  RADIO DAYS Jul03 May20 Apr10 Mar05 Feb05 (mcgaughey cla)ORTIZ JR 120 0.80 56% 0.80    
6  JAG WARRIOR Jan28 Nov24 Oct07 Sep17 Aug13 (romans dal)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 15.00 ★    
 
GP-9   02/19/2023 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($86K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DR. DUKE Jan22 Dec22 Sep24 Aug21 May28 (antonucci m)RUIZ JORGE 120 15.00    
SCR  CRACK SHOT Jan22 Dec11 Oct30 Aug07 Jul04 (russo )VASQUEZ ANGEL 120 30.00    
SCR  XY SPEED Oct07 Aug31 Jun22 May22 Mar30 (lerman michael)SUTHERLAND C 120 20.00 13% 6.50    
4  HOPE IN HIM Jan21 Dec15 Nov13 Oct22 Oct09 (croft barry)ORTIZ L 122 2.00 34% 2.00    
5  KANTHARI Dec16         (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.00    
6  DETROIT CITY Jan21 Dec22 Nov25 Oct08 Aug25 (sisterson ja)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 3.00 28% 2.50    
7  BIZ BIZ BUZZ Dec23 Nov05 Oct20 Sep12 Jul28 (trombetta mic)ORTIZ JR 122 8.00 ★    
8  RUTHLESS INTENT Oct09 Sep17 Jul01 May21   (orseno josep)CASTELLANO J 120 10.00    
9  AXTHELM Jan28 Dec26 Oct29 Oct12 Sep01 (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 120 6.00 ★    
 
GP-10   02/19/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($24K) 3 ALL PT- 4:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPY TOWN Jan29 Jan14 Dec23 Dec09 Nov20 (aboughaida nagib)LEON SONNY 118 15.00    
2  SCREEN DOOR Jan29 Jan13 Nov27 Oct27 Sep29 (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 15.00    
3  W. P. CADET Jan13         (nicks e)REYES LEONEL 118 8.00    
SCR  HEART BOY Jan12 Dec24 Dec07 Nov13 Oct08 (tharre)VASQUEZ ANGEL 118 3.00 11% 7.80    
5  POKER NITE AT TOMS Jan29 Dec23 Dec08     (spatz ronald )MORALES ANGEL 111 15.00    
6  ANTILLEAN Feb01 Dec30 Dec09 Nov05 Oct22 (minott leon)NELSON C 118 15.00 ★    
7  GLIDING AFLEET Jan21         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 2.00 65% 0.50    
8  BLUE SOLDIER Feb02 Nov23 Oct17 Sep23 Aug10 (gonzalez javie)SUTHERLAND C 118 6.00 ★    
9  DONTKISSDAMINISTER Feb02 Jan14 Dec26 Nov27   (garoffalo jose)RUIZ JORGE 118 4.50 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.