Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Friday - February 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (1/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/6)-(1/6/4/3/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (1/6)-(1/6/4/3/7)-(1/6/4/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6)-(2/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/6)-(2/3/4)-(3/4/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CT-2   WIN (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/4)-(2/3/4/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/4)-(2/3/4/7/6)-(2/3/4/7/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/3/4)-(3/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/3/4)-(3/4/1)-(2/8/1/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-3   WIN (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/1)-(3/4/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/4/1)-(3/4/1/2)-(3/4/1/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/4/1)-(2/8/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1)-(2/8/1/6)-(4/5/9) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-4   WIN (2/8/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/1/6)-(2/8/1/6/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/8/1/6)-(2/8/1/6/4)-(2/8/1/6/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/8/1/6)-(4/5/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/8/1/6)-(4/5/9)-(5/2/6/1/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-5   WIN (4/5/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/9)-(4/5/9/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/9)-(4/5/9/2/3)-(4/5/9/2/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/5/9)-(5/2/6/1/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/5/9)-(5/2/6/1/8)-(4/6/8/1/9) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
CT-6   WIN (5/2/6/1/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/2/6/1/8)-(5/2/6/1/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/2/6/1/8)-(5/2/6/1/8)-(5/2/6/1/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/2/6/1/8)-(4/6/8/1/9) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (5/2/6/1/8)-(4/6/8/1/9)-(4/9/2) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
CT-7   WIN (4/6/8/1/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/6/8/1/9)-(4/6/8/1/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/6/8/1/9)-(4/6/8/1/9)-(4/6/8/1/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/6/8/1/9)-(4/9/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
CT-8   WIN (4/9/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/9/2)-(4/9/2/11/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/9/2)-(4/9/2/11/6)-(4/9/2/11/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   02/10/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOMEBODY LOVES ME Jan29 Jan01 Nov09 Oct19 Sep28 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 0.60 63% 0.60    
2  REGGAETONI Jan14 Dec16 Dec01 Oct14 Oct05 (scott h)BAEZ M 117 15.00    
3  KOKOLORES Jan21 Dec16 Nov17 Oct07   (runco c)LEWIS M 115 12.00 ★    
4  WHY LEA Jan21 Dec17 Dec02 Nov05 Oct14 (gazzier kristy)MONTANO JOSE 122 5.00 ★    
5  SHE SO COOL Dec01 Jul14 Jul02 May26 Apr24 (rodriguez jesus)PELTROCHE F 124 10.00    
6  MANGORITA Jan21 Dec02 Nov05 Oct15 Aug13 (walters david )ARAUJO DENIS 122 6.00 9% 10.60    
7  RIGHT TO ASSEMBLE Jan14 Dec14 Nov25 Aug30 Aug24 (dillon ja)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 8.00 ★    
 
CT-2   02/10/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOREST FROST Jan21 Dec09 Oct28 Sep14 Aug05 (patterson kev)THORPE DARIUS 120 15.00    
2  ASTRAL RIDE Jan27 Jan05 Oct16 Aug21 Jun11 (pickett cry)RAMGEET R 124 6.00 29% 2.50    
3  LION OF THE SEA Jan21 Jan04 Dec16 Nov25 Sep10 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 5.00 23% 3.30    
4  BELMULLET Jan21 Dec09 Nov17 Oct21 Sep30 (runco c)LEWIS M 115 12.00 20% 4.00    
5  HINK'S PALADIN Dec28 Dec10 Nov17 Aug12 Aug04 (johnston r)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 3.00    
6  DANCIN IN DUBAI Jan26 Jan07 Dec13 Nov17 Jul20 (brown kelton)ACOSTA D 122 3.50 ★    
7  BALI'S SHADE Dec31 Dec02 Oct16 Jul15 Jun18 (murdock ste)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 2.00 ★    
 
CT-3   02/10/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DAKOTA BOY Nov23 Nov11 Oct15 Sep05 Aug19 (reggetts steph)RIOS-CONDE A 122 15.00 6% 16.30    
2  A FAREWELL YODEL Jan20 Jan13 Dec16 Nov25 Nov04 (hurley jac)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 8.00 ★    
3  MANHATTAN WEAVE Jan20 Jan07 Dec16 Nov23 Oct29 (pennella m)BAEZ M 117 2.50 39% 1.60    
4  JOHNNY SWISH Jan21 Dec15 Nov19 Oct20 Sep08 (knoblauch-perez)BOCACHICA O 120 15.00 8% 12.20    
SCR  INGERSOLL Jan12 Dec02 Nov17 Oct19 Sep21 (west aaro)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.50 24% 3.10    
6  OBANNON Jan04 Dec10 Nov24 Oct14 Sep29 (racanelli mar)SIMPSON JASON 122 20.00    
7  LET'S GET PHYSICAL Nov03 Sep29 Aug26 Jul15 Jun25 (sanderson w)RAMGEET R 124 4.50    
8  STRINGFELLA Jan20 Jan07 Nov23 Oct19 Oct05 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 124 3.00    
9  D TACHYON Jan21 Nov10 Oct26 Sep30 Jan04 (davis billy)THORPE DARIUS 122 20.00    
 
CT-4   02/10/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STAVANGER Jan19 Dec17 Oct26 Oct15 Aug28 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 4.00 17% 4.90    
2  PLUNK Feb05 Jan25 Jan04 Nov07 Oct26 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.40 29% 2.50    
3  CITIZEN'S FIRE Jan19 Dec14 Nov23 Oct07 Sep08 (sewell lenwo)LEWIS M 115 50.00    
4  CAIRO BOOGIE Jan16 Jan11 Dec14 Dec02 Nov11 (demario charles )ACOSTA D 122 4.50 ★    
5  LIL TOUGHMAN Jan19 Jan07 Dec15 Nov30 Nov19 (johnson jamey )ARAUJO DENIS 122 6.00    
6  FRONT PORCH Jan19 Dec09 Nov19 Nov03 Sep09 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 122 12.00 5% 18.00    
7  CHAMPAGNE JAM Dec14 Nov24 Nov03 Oct12 Sep01 (barber do)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 30.00    
8  MASTER THIS Jan25 Jan13 Dec16 Nov25 Nov04 (butts e)RODRIGUEZ V 122 5.00 24% 3.20    
9  CHESAPEAKE CHARLIE Jan20 Dec14 Nov23 Nov10 Sep21 (schottroffe)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 20.00    
 
CT-5   02/10/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELITE SPEED Jan25 Dec06 Oct12 Aug11 Jul14 (hillegass a)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 12.00    
2  JACK'S LILLY Jan28 Dec30 Dec09 Nov22 Oct26 (pickett cry)RAMGEET R 120 5.00 ★    
3  FRECCIA D'ARGENTO Jan11 Dec14 Nov23 Oct19 Oct04 (sanchez-salom)ALVELO C 120 3.50 ★    
4  LUCYLOU WHO Jan14 Dec08 Nov19 Oct20 May21 (geralis emanuel )ACOSTA D 124 3.00 29% 2.40    
5  MARVELLA NASTY Jan18 May14 Mar30 Feb11 Jan22 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 4.50 28% 2.50    
6  LIKELY CHOICE Nov12 Oct27 Sep24 Sep17 Jun25 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 120 6.00    
7  CLASSIC COLORS Jan19 Jan07 Nov05 Sep30 Sep02 (viands gregor)SIMPSON JASON 120 12.00    
8  FLAT DISCOUNT Jan25 Jan05 Dec12 Dec04   (ginter ra)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 10.00    
9  MAP THE MOMENT Aug21 Aug02 Jul12 Mar18 Feb09 (campbell la)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 15.00 18% 4.60    
 
CT-6   02/10/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.9K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEETONTHEGENTS Jan20 Dec16 Nov04 Oct22 Sep21 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 122 5.00 7% 13.70    
2  TRUE HEIRESS Jan18 Dec16 Nov04 Oct12 Sep23 (gazzier k)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 5.00 10% 9.00    
3  SALSA RITA Jan20 Dec14 Nov16 Nov08 Oct20 (grullon rique)SIMPSON JASON 122 6.00    
4  MS HEADLEY Jan18 Dec14 Nov23 Nov10 Oct12 (pickett crystal )BAEZ M 115 4.50    
5  JUSTKISSMYGRITS Nov25 Sep22 Sep02 Jun23 May25 (graci kim)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.50 45% 1.20    
6  SCARLET TANAGER Jan20 Nov23 Nov10 Oct12 Jun23 (lauro c)RODRIGUEZ V 122 8.00 7% 12.90    
7  LUSCIOUS LOLA Jan11 Nov29 Oct26 Oct05 Sep21 (albright amy)THORPE DARIUS 124 12.00    
8  CHEESE LOUISE Jan07 Dec01 Nov04 Oct12 Sep28 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 6.00 7% 14.20    
 
CT-7   02/10/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 4UP M/F PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LITTLE BIT OF THAT Dec29 Nov19 Oct09 Sep17 Jul30 (merryman michael)HO WESLEY 120 10.00 14% 6.40    
2  CANVAS ART Jan12 Nov26 Nov02 Oct02 Sep09 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 8.00    
3  SIZZLING HOT Jan13 Jan01 Nov14 Sep16   (eppler e)ARAUJO DENIS 122 8.00    
4  SPEAK YOUR MIND Jan07 Dec10 Oct29 Sep11 Aug17 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.00 25% 3.00    
5  PRAY FOR THE U S A Jan25 Jan07 Dec10 Nov24 Oct30 (frock a)CULLUM W 122 6.00    
6  LADY STORM Nov25 Nov02 Sep07 Aug26 Jun18 (figgins oll)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 2.50 18% 4.60    
7  REIGN ON AND ON Feb02 Jan12 Nov19 Oct19 Jun18 (huet k)LEWIS M 113 10.00    
8  COLLEGE KID Jan21 Jan05 Nov02 Oct08 Sep16 (spriggs tosc)BATISTA A 124 6.00 18% 4.60    
9  GOT YOUR NUMBER Jan28 Jan07 Dec08 Nov02 Oct20 (tobin l)LARROSA G 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-8   02/10/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 4UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOT FLOFFY Jan19 Dec03 Nov11 Oct21 Oct07 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 8.00    
2  SULEMAN Jan25 Jan05 Dec14 Dec06 Nov22 (laguna homero)BOCACHICA O 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  EARTHQUAKEDIRECTOR Jan21 Jan05 Dec02 Nov11 Oct21 (pyke joseph)LOPEZ DERECK 112 30.00    
4  TAPIT TO THE WIRE Jan21 Dec09 Nov11 Aug29 Aug22 (runco c)LEWIS M 115 3.00 62% 0.60    
5  PROUD UNION Jan20 Jan07 Dec03 Nov18 Oct28 (viands r)PELTROCHE F 124 5.00    
6  URBAN WARRIOR Jan21 Jan04 Dec02 Oct21 Oct12 (mangual manolo)ACOSTA D 122 12.00 ★    
7  BOOK OF DELANCEY Jan25 Jan19 Dec20 Dec09 Nov23 (hillegass ale)THORPE DARIUS 124 15.00    
SCR  DINNER BELL Jan25 Jan04 Dec02 Nov09 Oct20 (king yolond)RAMGEET R 122 20.00    
9  ITS OVER Jan20 Jan06 Dec02 Oct28 Oct15 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.60 11% 8.50    
10  LUNAR IMAGE Jan21 Jan05 Dec02 Nov11 Oct21 (pyke joseph)SIMPSON JASON 120 50.00    
11  CAPTAIN CARDO Dec20 Nov29 Nov05 Oct21 Oct02 (volpe john)LEWIS M 115 6.00 ★    
SCR  UNDER FIRE Jan27 Oct28 Oct15 Jun17 May28 (eppler mary )BARBOSA JEIRON 117 8.00    
SCR  LONG TOM Jan18 Dec28 Dec13 Nov22 Nov15 (salinas jose)LARROSA G 122 15.00    
14  RUNNING VIOLENCE Jan25 Jan04 Nov14 Nov02 Oct10 (grullon rique)SIMPSON JASON 122 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.