Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Thursday - January 26, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-3   WIN (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/6)-(4/1/6/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/6)-(4/1/6/3/5)-(4/1/6/3/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/1/6)-(4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/1/6)-(4/6)-(1/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
TUP-4   WIN (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/6)-(4/6/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6)-(4/6/7/2)-(4/6/7/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (4/6)-(1/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (4/6)-(1/2)-(6/8/3/5) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
TUP-5   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2/7) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/2)-(1/2/7)-(1/2/7) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/2)-(6/8/3/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/2)-(6/8/3/5)-(6/8/4/3/2) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
TUP-6   WIN (6/8/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/3/5)-(6/8/3/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/8/3/5)-(6/8/3/5/2)-(6/8/3/5/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/8/3/5)-(6/8/4/3/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/8/3/5)-(6/8/4/3/2)-(7/5/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TUP-7   WIN (6/8/4/3/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/8/4/3/2)-(6/8/4/3/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/8/4/3/2)-(6/8/4/3/2)-(6/8/4/3/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/8/4/3/2)-(7/5/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
TUP-8   WIN (7/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/1)-(7/5/8/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/1)-(7/5/8/1/3)-(7/5/8/1/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-3   01/26/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($21.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STEAL HOME Jan09 Dec13 Oct15 Sep25 Aug13 (krasner cind)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 3.50 16% 5.10    
2  HPNOTIQ RHYTHM Jan04 Dec22 Nov28 Nov04 Sep08 (silva juan )WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 5.00    
3  LEPRINO Dec09 Nov24 Oct21 Aug18 Jun17 (pe)DA FAUSTO 122 12.00 ★    
4  J T'S A. T. M. Jan07 Dec13 Nov21 Nov04 Sep17 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 122 1.40 45% 1.20    
5  SPEEDING STYLE Jan11 Dec22 Nov30 Aug15 Aug01 (metz jeffrey)CORBETT W 124 4.00 ★    
6  GATES OF HEAVEN Dec13 Nov19 Nov04 Sep19 Jul30 (eidschun gr)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.50 15% 5.80    
 
TUP-4   01/26/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($21.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GOLD COAST GIRL Jan07 Sep10 Aug27 Aug14 Jul31 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 122 10.00 ★    
2  TAKING CHARGE DESI Jan09 Dec14 Nov28 Nov15 Sep01 (lund valorie)ZUNINO L 122 5.00 ★    
3  BE TOUGH Jan07 Dec20 Nov16 Sep04 May10 (toye joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 8.00    
4  ELDORADO DREAM Jan11 Dec20 Nov23 Nov05 Oct11 (valerio ray)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 2.50 49% 1.00    
5  GIROLAMO LUCY Oct08 Sep09 Aug27 Jul22 Jul03 (dennis )BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 122 15.00    
6  DREAMER GIRL Jan10 Sep16 Aug21 Jul09 Jun25 (barraza rafael )VERGARA P 124 2.00 21% 3.70    
7  BOISTEROUSLY IRISH Jan07 Dec20 Nov08 Sep17 Aug07 (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 4.00 ★    
 
TUP-5   01/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($26.9K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUTSIDE THE LAW Jan08 Dec21 Nov05 Sep30 Sep02 (campo stacy)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 2.50 46% 1.20    
2  U DID IT Sep10 Aug20 Aug01 Jul03 Jun11 (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.50 14% 6.10    
3  A LOT OF SPUNK Jan02 Nov05 Oct21 Oct07 Sep25 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 8.00    
4  SINGLE LADY Jan17 Jan03       (vi)DA FAUSTO 122 6.00    
SCR  LARIMAR Jan14 Jan04 Dec10 Nov21 Oct22 (gutierrez juan )LEON A 124 10.00 12% 7.50    
SCR  MISS GLORIOUS Nov21 Nov05 Sep30 Sep16 Sep04 (hernandez m)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00 ★    
7  LETS DECLARE PEACE Jan12 Dec21 Jul24 Jun24   (lucarelli frank)ZUNINO L 122 5.00 ★    
 
TUP-6   01/26/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY COMMISH Jan02 Dec15 Nov12 Oct15 Oct02 (kenney rya)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 5.00    
2  WORKIN NINETOFIVE Jan04 Dec19 Dec01 Nov19 Nov07 (gutierrez)VALENZUELA A 122 12.00 ★    
3  SHAMAN'S PRODIGY Jan12 Dec09 Nov24 Sep15 Aug14 (rycroft rile)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 4.00 10% 8.70    
4  QUEENS RANSOM Jan11 Dec26 Dec10 Nov26 Nov12 (johnston ki)WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 10.00    
5  SHE'S MY RIDE Jan04 Nov14 Sep17 Sep10 Aug27 (si)DA FAUSTO 122 6.00 6% 17.10    
6  RED PANTY NIGHT Dec17 Nov05 Aug18 Jul02 Jun03 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 3.00 41% 1.40    
7  JAZZY EINSTEIN Jan04 Dec19 Nov25 Sep17 Aug15 (finch sherry)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 8.00    
8  BACK TO BUSINESS Jan04 Nov26 Oct19 Oct04 Sep07 (vitali marc)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.50 22% 3.50    
 
TUP-7   01/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($13.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLD CRUSHER Dec13 Nov14 Sep17 Mar19 Feb18 (lu)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 5.00    
2  TRY TO CAPTURE Jan10 Dec19 Nov25 Oct10 Mar23 (dennison dan)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  STAR ENTRY Dec27 Nov23 Nov09 Oct10 Sep16 (woolley ben)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00 6% 16.70    
4  MAJOR MUNNINGS Jan10 Jul24 Jul01 May21 Apr25 (toye joe)ANAYA V 124 6.00 23% 3.40    
5  MOJAVE (GB) Sep17 Sep04 Aug21 Jul30 Jul26 (garcia vale)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 12.00    
6  OLDER BROTHER Dec26 Oct23 Sep17 Aug28 Aug10 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.00 24% 3.20    
7  NEW EVERY MORNING Jan18 Jan04 Dec19 Nov29 Nov09 (villamar cande)ENRIQUEZ D 124 12.00    
8  KHAIKY'S COMMAND Dec15 Nov28 Oct22 Oct08 Sep25 (pearman jaymie)CRUZ M 124 6.00 23% 3.30    
9  ALLEVA Jan10 Dec19 Nov21 Nov07 Sep16 (ferguson curt)LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00    
 
TUP-8   01/26/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($21.4K) 3 ALL PT- 6:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG CREED Jan09 Dec21 Nov30     (metz jeffrey)MAWING A 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  COUNTESS OF CAIRO Dec15 Nov25 Nov04 Aug20 Jul30 (vanwinkle dav)LARA EZEQUIEL 116 6.00    
3  ECHO CANYON Dec01 Nov15 Oct04 Aug27 Aug14 (schnell don)CORBETT W 121 5.00 ★    
SCR  NOBLE CRUSADER Dec21 Dec01 Nov15 Sep05 Jul18 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 121 4.00    
5  PUBLIC OPINION Nov25 Sep17 Aug28     (rarick wade)LOPEZ KARLO 121 3.00 7% 13.60    
6  MOHAMAD Jan09 Oct29 Oct08 Sep23 Sep10 (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 121 10.00    
7  I AM FREAKY FAST Jan05 Apr28 Apr08     (ferguson cur)GARCIA ENRIQUE 121 4.50 72% 0.40    
8  MY MAN BIGGIE Dec20 Nov25 Nov08 Sep18 Sep04 (simpson shannon)CRUZ M 121 3.50 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.