Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Fair Grounds
Thursday - January 26, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FG-1   WIN (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/3)-(4/3/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3)-(4/3/2/5)-(4/3/2/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (4/3)-(7/2/3/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/3)-(7/2/3/5)-(2/8) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
FG-2   WIN (7/2/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/3/5)-(7/2/3/5/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/2/3/5)-(7/2/3/5/4)-(7/2/3/5/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/2/3/5)-(2/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (7/2/3/5)-(2/8)-(1/2/6/5) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
FG-3   WIN (2/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/8)-(2/8/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/8)-(2/8/1/7)-(2/8/1/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (2/8)-(1/2/6/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/8)-(1/2/6/5)-(2/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FG-4   WIN (1/2/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/6/5)-(1/2/6/5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/2/6/5)-(1/2/6/5/3)-(1/2/6/5/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/2/6/5)-(2/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/6/5)-(2/4/5)-(4/3/6/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FG-5   WIN (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/5)-(2/4/5/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/5)-(2/4/5/1/3)-(2/4/5/1/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/4/5)-(4/3/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/5)-(4/3/6/7)-(3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FG-6   WIN (4/3/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/6/7)-(4/3/6/7/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/3/6/7)-(4/3/6/7/1)-(4/3/6/7/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/3/6/7)-(3/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/3/6/7)-(3/2)-(1/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FG-7   WIN (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/2)-(3/2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2)-(3/2/1/4)-(3/2/1/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (3/2)-(1/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
FG-8   WIN (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/6)-(4/6/2/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/4/6)-(4/6/2/7)-(4/6/2/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FG-1   01/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($26K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CLASSIC KING Dec17 Dec04 Nov02 Oct12 Sep13 (faucheux r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 3.00 29% 2.50    
GORMLEYS GOT GAME Jan12 Dec18 Nov17 Oct26 Sep23 (forster g)HERNANDEZ J 121 3.50    
MILLARD'S SMILE Nov12 Oct22 Sep24 Sep06 Aug16 (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 121 5.00 11% 8.50    
MALIBU S S Dec17 Oct17 Sep30 Aug20 May31 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 121 1.20 37% 1.70    
TEE BURNS Dec10 Oct30 May14 Apr23 Apr03 (claire alexis)PARKER L 121 6.00    
 
FG-2   01/26/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUSCADINE Jan07 Jul20 Jun29 May27 Mar25 (wiggins lon)COHEN DAVID 121 12.00    
SERMONONTHEMOUNT Jan05 Dec15 Nov24 Sep12 Aug02 (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 1.60 23% 3.40    
MISHKO Jan05 Nov24 Nov07 Aug31 Jul31 (delany sarah)PARKER L 121 5.00 9% 10.50    
COLOR FAST Sep20 Sep03 Aug01 Jul17 Jun20 (balderas alfonso)RIQUELME J 121 6.00    
EAST LEX Jan05 Dec15 Nov24 Jun28 May15 (cuccia j)MELANCON G 121 10.00 6% 16.10    
THE GRAY BLUR Jan05 Dec15 Dec02 Sep03 Aug15 (hirdes john)CULP BRIANNE 116 8.00    
CAP ROCK MINER Dec15 Nov24 Sep18 Aug30 Jul19 (wilson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 2.00 35% 1.90    
 
FG-3   01/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHECK ME OUT Jan01 Dec11 Jun27 Jun04 Mar27 (cuccia j)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 2.50    
  (by UNIFIED out of ALL AMERICAN STAR by QUIET AMERICAN)
TRADER PRICE Dec11 Oct26 Apr29 Mar27 Mar06 (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 3.00 37% 1.70    
  (by MOTOVATO out of GIVE HER SPACE by DIVINE PARK)
PARTY LITTLE BOY Jan16         (pennino frank)RIQUELME J 122 20.00    
  (by PIMPERNEL out of PARTY WITH BRANDO by BERTRANDO)
HEZA SEXY ZONG Jan05 Dec27 Nov25 Nov12 Sep03 (dison phill)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 4.50    
  (by ZONG out of SHEZA SEXY A. P. by A. P. DELTA)
SCR  CUSTOM PRAYER Jun25 May26 Apr08 Mar17   (ladner jo)HERNANDEZ J 122 5.00 31% 2.30    
  (by CUSTOM FOR CARLOS out of LADY OF PRAYER by SONGANDAPRAYER)
SCR  TYLER'S SENSATION Dec27 Feb11       (delahoussaye tom)FUSILIER C 122 30.00    
  (by UNBRIDLEDSENSATION out of DOLLY BONZ by WIRE ME COLLECT)
SILVER CHALICE Jan13 Dec22 Dec10 Nov22 Nov11 (west hen)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 15.00    
  (by FLASHPOINT out of CROOKED HALO by HALO)
LIL WOADIE Jan01 Dec11 Nov24 Sep03   (schmidt denise)MURRAY M 122 3.00 6% 15.00    
  (by CUSTOM FOR CARLOS out of AMANDA MICHELLE by GRAND APPOINTMENT)
 
FG-4   01/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($52K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOORAY AUSTIN Jan05 Dec15 Nov24 Sep20 Jul28 (bourgeois k)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 1.40 36% 1.80    
WIN YA WIN Jan07 Dec10 Jun04 Mar16 Feb04 (camejo m)GRAHAM J 120 4.50 24% 3.20    
SCARLETTSBLACKJACK Jan05 Dec17 Nov19 Aug21   (delany )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 6.00    
BINDING AGREEMENT Jan05 Dec15 Nov17 Aug17 Jul20 (broberg k)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.50    
GOLDEN PALACE Jan15 Jan05 Dec10 Nov24 Nov10 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 120 10.00 5% 18.40    
G'WILDCAT Jan05 Nov24 Sep18 Aug12 Jul14 (bourgeois keith)MELANCON G 120 3.50 8% 11.50    
 
FG-5   01/26/2023 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAILMAN MONEY Nov27 Oct20 Aug06 Jun25   (calhoun william )PARKER L 120 4.00    
WARRANT Jul09 Jun11 Apr23 Mar05 Jan22 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 0.80 43% 1.30    
CASH LOGISTICS Mar12 Feb14       (catalano m)GRAHAM J 120 6.00    
DUST EM Jan06 Nov24 Nov05 Oct13 Aug04 (delany s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 4.50 24% 3.20    
RIGHTANDJUST Dec26 Nov05 Aug29 Aug06 Jul02 (wilson shan)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 6.00 7% 13.70    
 
FG-6   01/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($51K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GREYS THE BOY Dec19 Oct22 Sep13 Aug21 Apr22 (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 4.50    
ZIPPIN GIGI Nov25 Nov02 Sep30 Sep03 Jun30 (mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 120 5.00    
MINNESOTA READY Dec11 Nov09 Sep03 Jun19 May20 (pessin l)LANERIE J 120 3.50 13% 6.40    
UNDERHILL'S TAB Dec29 Apr13 Jan22     (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.00 40% 1.50    
SCR  BADGEBALL Nov02 Oct16 Sep22 Jun25   (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 120 12.00    
TWIRLING ROSES Dec29 Dec04 Nov04 Oct14 Sep23 (rodriguez )LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 4.00 13% 6.60    
BOYFRIEND MATERIAL Dec17 May25 Apr29 Apr07 Mar01 (schmidt denise)MURRAY M 120 20.00 10% 9.00    
 
FG-7   01/26/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($51K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PERRINS Mar23 Mar05 Jan30     (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 121 3.50    
COFFEE COUNTY Dec15 Nov24 Aug09 Jul16 Jun18 (cuccia j)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 4.50 5% 19.00    
ONEFORVIVI Sep24 Sep11 Jul26 May14 Jan30 (klanfer alan)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 6.00 61% 0.60    
MO CREDO Dec11 Nov24 Nov04 Sep17 Aug28 (modica osca)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 4.50    
COURTMAN Jan07 Dec15 May21 Apr13 Mar19 (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 8.00    
SCORING DRIVE Jan05 Dec19 Nov26 Jul16 Jun18 (richards coral)GREEN AUBRIE 121 6.00    
NORTHERNREFLECTION Aug03 May11 Mar19 Mar05 Jan30 (faucheux r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 4.50    
SINGLE SHOT Dec11 Jun11 May21 Apr08 Mar10 (faucheu)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 8.00    
SCR  WESTERN STAR Dec16 Oct05 Sep17 Aug30 Aug15 (govea cesar)BARANDELA SOFIA 116 12.00    
SCR  OLE STUD MUFFIN Jan08 Dec01 Jun08 May06 Mar24 (ladner herma)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 12.00    
SCR  EASY RUNNER Jan08 Dec01 Oct26 Aug24 Jul20 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 121 3.50 13% 6.70    
 
FG-8   01/26/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($53K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMARTY ALEX Jan07 Dec19 Dec11 Oct06 Sep28 (claire a)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 3.50 59% 0.70    
SCR  EVERLOVINGHAND Jan08 Dec09 Nov19 Jul14 Jun22 (claire alexis)PARKER L 121 3.50    
DRILLING REPORT Jan08 Dec04 Jun21 May17 Mar18 (cuccia j)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 4.50    
OAK HILL SOLUTION Jan08 Dec17 Dec09 Nov23 Nov09 (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 12.00    
BLUE CHEESE Jan12 Dec22 Dec01 Nov16 Oct08 (breaux samuel)LANERIE J 124 3.00 12% 7.40    
DREWHUSTLE Jan08 Nov03 Aug06 Jul14 May22 (briley lonnie)MORALES EDGAR 121 5.00    
BIND FAITH Jan08 Dec09 Nov17 Nov04 Oct07 (brinkman bre)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 5.00 5% 19.00    
PLAY MO Jan07 Nov26 Jun18 Mar26 Mar16 (delhomme )HERNANDEZ J 121 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.