Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Tampa Bay Downs
Sunday - January 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TAM-1   WIN (7/2/5/6/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/2/5/6/1)-(7/2/5/6/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/2/5/6/1)-(7/2/5/6/1)-(7/2/5/6/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/2/5/6/1)-(5/3/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/2/5/6/1)-(5/3/6)-(2/1/5) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
TAM-2   WIN (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/6)-(5/3/6/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/6)-(5/3/6/1/2)-(5/3/6/1/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/3/6)-(2/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/3/6)-(2/1/5)-(7/1/2/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-3   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5/3/4)-(2/1/5/3/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/1/5)-(7/1/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5)-(7/1/2/4)-(3/4/6/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-4   WIN (7/1/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/2/4)-(7/1/2/4/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/1/2/4)-(7/1/2/4/6)-(7/1/2/4/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/1/2/4)-(3/4/6/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/1/2/4)-(3/4/6/5)-(3/4) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
TAM-5   WIN (3/4/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/6/5)-(3/4/6/2/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/4/6/5)-(3/4/6/2/5)-(3/4/6/2/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/4/6/5)-(3/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/4/6/5)-(3/4)-(3/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TAM-6   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/4)-(3/5/2/4/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (3/4)-(3/5/2/4/1)-(3/5/2/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4)-(3/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (3/4)-(3/1)-(8/9/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TAM-7   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/1/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/1)-(3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (3/1)-(8/9/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/1)-(8/9/6)-(7/9/1/5/10) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
TAM-8   WIN (8/9/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/9/6)-(8/9/6/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/9/6)-(8/9/6/2/1)-(8/9/6/2/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (8/9/6)-(7/9/1/5/10) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
TAM-9   WIN (7/9/1/5/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/9/1/5/10)-(7/9/1/5/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/9/1/5/10)-(7/9/1/5/10)-(7/9/1/5/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TAM-1   01/22/2023 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 4UP M/F PT-12:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MA MEATLOAF Jan01 Dec10 Nov26 Oct19 Oct05 (ferraro ant)IORIO MELISSA 111 15.00 5% 19.00    
MIZZEN AIR Dec22 Dec02 Sep29 Jun11 Apr20 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 121 2.50 18% 4.50    
BEAUTIFUL TIZ Jan01 Dec22 Nov26 Oct21 Oct12 (sacco gregory )CAMACHO SAMY 121 10.00    
GRANDMARY Jan08 Jul03 May30 Apr16 Apr01 (tsirigotis ja)SANTOS ADEMAR 121 20.00    
READY TO FILM Dec22 Oct13 Sep23 Aug07 Jul23 (bennett gerald)MARIN SAMUEL 121 1.60 18% 4.70    
MONIQUES DAREDEVIL Jan08 Jan01 Dec24 Dec09 Oct05 (machado anton)MORALES PABLO 123 4.50 11% 7.80    
FLATOUTANDFOXY Jan01 Dec22 Oct16 Sep30 Sep03 (arnet)DIAZ RAFAEL 123 4.00 28% 2.60    
 
TAM-2   01/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXECUTIVE SIGHT Nov26 Nov10 Oct21 Sep02 Jul31 (robillard jul)SOSA LAUREANO 114 8.00    
BAHAMIAN DUDE Oct24 Oct10 Aug16 Jul25 Jun21 (davis richard)HERNANDEZ K 119 6.00    
ROYAL SQUEEZE Dec26 Dec09 Oct30 Oct08 Aug19 (jackson g)CAMACHO SAMY 119 3.00 29% 2.40    
SIR AGGRAVATOR Jan04 Dec21 Nov20 Sep24 Aug19 (nobles rey)MITCHELL RICHARD 119 3.00    
VINNIE VAN GO Jan07 Dec09 Nov20 Oct29 Oct08 (davis scooter)FERRER C 119 2.00 39% 1.60    
FLIPPING FISH Jan04 Dec09 Oct22 Sep23 Sep05 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  VALID EXCHANGE Dec26 Nov18 Oct30 Sep24 Aug13 (mcgoey)ROJAS EDUARDO 119 15.00    
 
TAM-3   01/22/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($17K) 3 ALL PT- 1:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MORE DRAMA Jan08 Sep11 Jul23 Jun25   (david carl)ROWLAND MADELINE 115 6.00 28% 2.50    
RICHIESONAROLL Dec24 Dec03 Oct13 Aug29 Aug01 (bennett gerald)MARIN SAMUEL 120 0.80 33% 2.00    
INTO THE SAUCE         (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 113 6.00    
WRECKING BALL         (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 120 8.00    
HONOR LEO JEAN         (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 120 4.50 16% 5.40    
DISCREET MAGIC Jan04 Dec23       (dini mike)IORIO MELISSA 110 12.00    
RUSTY PISTOL Dec30 Sep23       (jones dou)CAMACHO JR 120 20.00    
 
TAM-4   01/22/2023 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOLLYWOOD HONEY Dec16 Nov04 Sep23 Sep05 Aug24 (barboza victor)CAMACHO SAMY 121 2.00 28% 2.60    
BRYCENS GOLD Jan06 Jun10 May25 Apr13 Mar20 (tsirigotis jam)ALLEN D 121 3.00 9% 10.00    
A FOOLISH FANCY         (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 121 20.00    
MAY BEAU Jan06 Dec23 Dec09 Oct27 Oct19 (wasiluk peter)SANTOS ADEMAR 121 10.00 9% 10.20    
C'EST PARTI Jan07 Oct21 Sep28 Sep09 Aug31 (werneth rober)SOSA LAUREANO 114 20.00    
BLUSHING KEYLEN Jan07 Sep16 Aug20 Aug04 Jul16 (hayford jennifer)FERRER C 121 15.00    
WHAT A KNOCKOUT Jan06 Dec02 Oct28 Sep23 Aug21 (puckett dwigh)MORALES PABLO 121 1.40 32% 2.10    
 
TAM-5   01/22/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BYZANTINE EMPIRE Dec22 Dec07 Nov26 Oct02 Sep11 (burns patrici)MARTIN MATTIE 115 10.00    
LIFENHOWULIVIT Jun19 May15 Apr16 Feb19 Jan08 (harty eoin)SOSA LAUREANO 115 3.00    
GUIDANCE Jan08 Nov25 Oct08     (ferraro m )ROWLAND MADELINE 117 4.00 39% 1.60    
SUWANNEE CHICK Jan01 Dec21 Aug30 Aug09 Jul26 (parra)DIAZ RAFAEL 122 4.00 26% 2.90    
LUNA AMARILLA Dec23 Nov26 May04 Apr22 Apr02 (marrero nestor)SUAREZ JESUS 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
SKYWARD PRINCESS Jan01 Sep24 Aug05 Jul17 Jun04 (lopez rob)CENTENO E 122 3.50 10% 8.80    
FROSTY SECRET Jan01 Dec10 May07 Apr14   (manning dennis)MARIN SAMUEL 122 6.00    
ANIMATED MISS Dec21 Nov30 Oct08     (paramo martin)FUENTES MARIO 122 15.00    
UNKOALAFIED Jan08 Nov21 Nov12 Oct13 Aug26 (king clare)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 12.00    
 
TAM-6   01/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($32K) 3 F PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOTOWN MISCHIEF Oct10 Sep15 Aug21 Jul24 May31 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 118 6.00    
PRETTY'N AWESOME Dec22         (bennett geral)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 5.00    
BLACK FOREST Nov27 Nov04 Sep30 Aug13 Jun19 (gutierrez faus)CAMACHO SAMY 118 0.80 59% 0.70    
DAMASO Oct03 Sep01 Aug07 Jul16 Jun08 (hamm timothy)ARROYO S 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
GIRL AFRAID Jan04 Dec17 Nov19 Nov02 Oct24 (kintz s )GALLARDO A 118 4.50    
DANCE STEP Dec17 Aug21 Jul16     (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 118 8.00    
 
TAM-7   01/22/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MATT DOYLE Dec15 Nov11 Oct09 Aug28   (beckman whitw)CENTENO E 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of SOPHRONIA by STREET SENSE)
TYPHOON LAGOON Jun11         (casse ma)GALLARDO A 122 8.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
BASSANIO (GB) Dec02         (delac)DIAZ RAFAEL 122 2.50 27% 2.70    
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNNATURAL by PROUD CITIZEN)
BENKEI Dec02 Oct30       (motion graha)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 4.50    
  (by HARD SPUN out of SONGS AND SONNETS by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
ARUBA (IRE) Nov10 Oct15 Sep17 Jan09   (abreu r)CAMACHO SAMY null      
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of CRANE BEACH by PLEASANT COLONY)
SCR  CORTON CHARLEMAGNE Apr09         (clement christ)CAMACHO SAMY 122 3.50    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of SWINGIT by VICTORY GALLOP)
SCR  UNEXPECTED (JPN) Jan05         (antonucci m)FERRER C 122 20.00    
  (by SMART FALCON out of SHIRAYUKI by KUROFUNE)
SCR  MO VANISHING         (thomas jonath)MORALES PABLO 122 6.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of VANISHING by TAMMANY)
SCR  CITIZEN MACK Aug13 Jul21       (mcgaughey cla)MORALES PABLO 122 2.00 21% 3.80    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of RUTILE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
10  FUN WITH MUN Oct15 Sep15       (motion graha)ALLEN D 122 12.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of MY MO by UNCLE MO)
 
TAM-8   01/22/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISTER FERNANDO Dec31 Dec23 Nov23 Sep30 Jul17 (nunn dougla)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 8.00    
EL MIC TIESUN Jan06 Dec31 Dec23 Nov23 Sep29 (mardif james )SOSA LAUREANO 115 8.00    
IT'S ME AGAIN Jan18 Dec31       (machado an)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 122 12.00    
COLORS Jan06 Jul10 Jun11 May08 Apr09 (lusk brian)ROWLAND MADELINE 117 3.00    
MORE THAN GRAY Dec29 Dec01       (lopez jacinto)CARDOSO DAVID 122 15.00    
MY BIG DRAMA Jan11 Dec31 Dec10 Nov23 Oct23 (dobber arnou)MENESES MARCOS 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
MR RAY         (baker r)WALES GARY 122 30.00    
DEFEND YOURSELF Dec23         (machado anto)ARROYO S 122 2.50 62% 0.60    
BLACK LIMO Sep24 Sep07 Aug26 Jul28 Jul14 (hayford jennifer)FERRER C 122 3.50 8% 11.50    
 
TAM-9   01/22/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MORENA DANCER Jan04 Dec07 Aug30 Aug09 Jul19 (marre)DOMINGUEZ G 122 6.00 7% 13.60    
CITY SPEAKER Jan01 Dec16 Nov30 Sep17 Aug28 (mazza w)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 12.00    
LIGEIA Jan01 Apr23 Mar10 Feb18   (granitz anthon)MARIN SAMUEL 122 3.50    
SENA THE DUCHESS Jan11 Dec31 Dec16 Nov30 Nov05 (santillana fra)MENDEZ KEVIN 122 30.00    
SYLLABUS Jan04 Dec21 Dec07 Oct23 Oct02 (dominguez lu)ALENCAR WALBER 122 8.00 5% 17.20    
BLACK KARMA Jan15 Jan01 Dec22 Nov30   (dobber arn)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 30.00    
SHE'S JUST QUALITY Mar06 Feb12 Jan14     (alvarado dia)BATISTA A 122 4.00 51% 1.00    
NURSE JUDY WHITNEY Jan01 Nov12 Oct21     (hunt donald)ALICEA JEREMY 115 8.00    
LEGEND'S SONG Jan08 Dec23 Nov30 Oct15 Sep03 (wilson tony)JIMENEZ MANNY 122 4.50 12% 7.60    
10  LIZQUEENFLUERDELIS Jan08 Dec07 Oct15 Aug30 Jul26 (yanez moises)MENESES MARCOS 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.