Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Thursday - November 24, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   11/24/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COUNTERFEIT Oct22 Jun20 May29 May08 Feb23 (thomas lee)CULP BRIANNE 116 4.50 ★    
2  ARGYBARGY BUCK Aug27 Jul30 Jul14 Jun25 May28 (alonzo ho)HERNANDEZ J 121 2.00 11% 7.90    
3  THE THREE KS Jul16 Jun01 May05 Apr20 Apr07 (williams k)ALBERT S 116 5.00    
4  MISS JENNY'S HALO Jan10         (prejean raymond)LEBLANC C 121 8.00 10% 9.20    
5  BAND BOSS Oct22 Aug27       (williams kev)THERIOT J 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  CIROC O CLOCK Sep17 Aug20 Jul10 Jun20 May31 (delany sarah)SINGH R 121 8.00    
7  ARCTIC ROSE Oct19 Aug18 May26 Apr27 Mar03 (modica osca)MORALES ROBERTO 121 2.50 43% 1.30    
 
FG-2   11/24/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOT STOVE LEAGUE Aug25 Jul29 Jul06 Jun09 May18 (broberg kar)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 3.50 ★    
2  SERMONONTHEMOUNT Sep12 Aug02 May13 Apr02 Feb25 (richard c)HERNANDEZ J 121 2.00 ★    
3  CAP ROCK MINER Sep18 Aug30 Jul19 Jun04 May07 (wilson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 3.50 15% 5.70    
4  EAST LEX Jun28 May15 Mar18 Feb25 Jan08 (cuccia j)MURRAY M 121 6.00    
5  MISHKO Nov07 Aug31 Jul31 Jun09 May19 (silva miguel)PARKER L 121 6.00    
6  WOMAN WITH A BOOK Oct19 Jul05 Jun06 May09 Mar17 (wilson sh)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 12.00 13% 6.70    
7  THE GREEN MO'STER Sep27 Aug14 Jul17 Jun27 May16 (singh s)SINGH R 121 6.00 40% 1.50    
 
FG-3   11/24/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BASTI BLUE Oct26 Feb04 Jan20     (camejo )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 8.00 ★    
2  RELIC HUNTER Apr21 Mar27 Mar10     (faucheux r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 2.50 12% 7.20    
3  BIG BOO Mar19 Mar03 Feb12 Jan20   (singh s)SINGH R 122 6.00 ★    
4  OUR HEATSEEKER         (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 6.00    
5  HARD FOUR         (david b)PARKER L 122 4.50 13% 7.00    
6  LIL WOADIE Sep03         (schmidt denise)MURRAY M 122 8.00    
7  GO BROTHER GO Sep03         (mouton patr)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 4.50 52% 0.90    
8  RENATI Sep26 Aug28 Jul26 Jun27 Jun04 (duke steven)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 8.00    
 
FG-4   11/24/2022 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($47K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEDUCTIVE U S A Oct27 Oct20 Sep25 Sep04 Jul02 (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 3.50 35% 1.90    
1A  FREEDOM FACTOR Oct06 Sep25 Sep04 Jul23 Jul02 (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 3.50 ★    
2  BURNING BRIGHT Oct20 Oct01 Aug14     (casse w)GRAHAM J 120 5.00 ★    
3  NEW YEAR SURPRISE Oct25 Sep13 Sep01 Aug15 Jul31 (dorochenko genn)VEGA L 120 20.00    
4  UNINVITED GUEST Oct19 Sep30 Aug05 Jul09 Jun09 (margolis st)GUTIERREZ REYLU 117 5.00    
5  RUNAWAY HARRY Oct28 Sep03 Aug13 Jul07 Jun15 (stidham mich)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 6.00    
6  TREASURY Oct20 Aug27 May07 Apr17 Mar24 (forster t)PARKER L 120 6.00    
7  JACK A ROSE Sep03 Aug11 Jul14 Jun17 May26 (stidham m)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00 16% 5.20    
SCR  BEACHCOMBING Jul23 May15 Jan14     (wilson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 3.00 ★    
9  DUST EM Nov05 Oct13 Aug04 Jul17 Jun19 (delany s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 4.50 24% 3.10    
10  RISING EMPIRE Oct16 Jul23 Jun05 May07 Mar24 (walsh brend)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 3.50    
11  JOB SECURITY         (pessin nei)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 8.00    
 
FG-5   11/24/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($51K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SCORING DRIVE Jul16 Jun18 Jun03 May11 Apr13 (richards cor)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 10.00    
2  COMMANDER SCOTT Oct06 Aug26 Jul20 Jun22 May20 (ducoing st)ALBERT S 116 5.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  TAMBOURINE STAR Mar26 Mar05 Feb10     (camejo )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 4.50 40% 1.50    
4  AND FIFTY Oct06 Aug26 Jul26 Jun03 Apr22 (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 5.00 ★    
5  AUTUMNS STRONG MAN Oct26 Oct06 Sep17 Aug29   (husak j)MURRAY M 118 10.00    
6  RUNNINGINTHEMONEY Oct28 Oct15 Sep11 Aug29 Aug09 (balderas alfonso)GRAHAM J 118 8.00    
7  ITS WILD AGAIN Oct28 Sep17 Aug15 Mar26 Mar03 (faucheux ron)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 8.00 ★    
8  MO CREDO Nov04 Sep17 Aug28 Jul26 Jul13 (modica osca)MORALES ROBERTO 118 6.00    
9  SUNDAY BREEZE Sep17 Aug11 Jun25     (devaux ch)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50 ★    
 
FG-6   11/24/2022 5610ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 2 ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GEM COLLECTION Oct29         (do)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 12.00    
2  BERNUCCI Sep17 Sep03       (hatcher )LOPEZ CARLOS 120 12.00 13% 6.40    
3  MEANT TO BE LUCKY Oct18 Sep11 Aug19     (barkley jaso)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 4.00 ★    
4  TIZZY TANTRUM         (pessin nei)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 8.00    
5  NOTION Oct09 Sep07       (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 120 3.50 ★    
6  RUNNING LATE Sep14         (richard c)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.50 44% 1.30    
7  MOTOWN MISSILE Oct28         (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 3.00 17% 4.80    
 
FG-7   11/24/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($51K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EDDIE'S HUMOR Mar05 Feb04 Jan20     (ducoing sturges )RIQUELME J 119 12.00    
2  CUSTOM BOBBY'S Sep03 Jul31 Jul01 Jun04 May28 (camejo )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 3.00 21% 3.80    
3  COFFEE COUNTY Aug09 Jul16 Jun18 Mar23 Feb25 (cuccia j)GRAHAM J 121 10.00    
SCR  CUSTOM BLUE GRASS Oct19 Aug24 Aug10 Jul09 Jun17 (castille rick)GILLIGAN JACK 121 20.00    
5  DUVEE Mar16 Feb12 Jan29 Jan06   (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 6.00    
6  GOLDEN PALACE Nov10 Sep05 Aug20 Aug05 Jun08 (govea ce)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 4.50 9% 10.70    
SCR  APACHE TEARS Oct16 Sep03 May14 Apr21 Mar20 (gabriel terr)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 8.00    
SCR  HELAIRE Sep18 Aug30 Jul23 Jun21 May29 (mouton patri)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  GEORGE ALLEN Oct26 Jun04       (brinkman b)ALBERT S 114 8.00 13% 6.90    
10  GOLD PUNCH Mar24 Mar13 Feb20 Jan29   (bourgeois k)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 4.00 30% 2.30    
 
FG-8   11/24/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($175K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEART RHYTHM Oct19 Sep15 Jul02 Jun05 May08 (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 3.00 ★    
2  READY TO POUNCE Sep15 Jul03 May30 Mar10 Jan27 (pessin nei)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 6.00 8% 12.30    
3  SURVEILLANCE Nov13 Oct01 Sep15 Jul24 May28 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 118 4.50 ★    
4  CHATTALOT Oct19 Mar09 Feb10     (asmussen ste)BESCHIZZA ADAM 116 6.00    
5  LONG WEEKEND Nov02 Aug06 Jul02 May08 Mar18 (richard c)PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 3.50 18% 4.50    
6  CARRIBEAN CAPER Aug16         (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 115 4.00 47% 1.10    
7  SIMPLY WICKED Oct07 May21 Apr16 Feb26 Feb10 (diodoro roberti)MCMAHON J 122 10.00    
 
FG-9   11/24/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZION Feb28 Feb06 Jan16     (hatcher )LOPEZ CARLOS 120 20.00    
SCR  FIERY PLAYBOY Oct19 Aug09 Jul16 Jun04   (wilson s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 10.00    
SCR  WIN YA WIN Jun04 Mar16 Feb04 Jan27 Jan02 (camejo )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 3.00 46% 1.20    
4  PICKENS Nov05 Oct20 Jun05 Mar04 Feb19 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 122 6.00 ★    
SCR  GRUNT Oct19 Aug03 Jun30 Jun09 May05 (brinkman brett)PARKER L 118 15.00    
6  SCHNELL Oct08 Sep05 Aug20 Jul09 Mar27 (faucheux r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 3.50 6% 15.50    
7  WISE ANCHOR Nov11 Oct06 Aug30 Aug05 Jul23 (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 15.00    
8  IZZY'S BABY BOY Mar05 Feb05 Jan01     (gelner sc)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 12.00    
9  G'WILDCAT Sep18 Aug12 Jul14 Jun09   (modica os)HERNANDEZ J 120 12.00    
10  HOORAY AUSTIN Sep20 Jul28 Jul02 Jun02 May11 (bourgeois k)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 5.00 25% 3.00    
11  BOOTSIE'S GALAXY Sep05 Aug04 Jul01 May01 Mar16 (modica osca)MORALES ROBERTO 120 12.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.