Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Tuesday - November 22, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   11/22/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 2 F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUICK LORI B Nov08 Sep21       (houghton )VARGAS L 121 4.00 6% 16.90    
2  FANCY WARRIOR Oct29         (ashby lynn)CONNER TYLER 119 6.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  TOUCH OF MADNESS Oct26         (crook-dem)RODRIGUEZ R 121 4.50 ★    
4  MIDNIGHT REVENGE Nov12 Oct21 Jun19 May30   (sanchez-salom)DIAZ VLADIMIR 121 3.50 ★    
5  LUCKY STROKE         (zalalas michael)CHIAPPE R 121 8.00    
6  IOANNA Oct14 Sep21 Sep01 Aug11   (sinnefia )HERNANDEZ A 121 2.50 43% 1.30    
7  SIRENETTA Nov09 Oct22 Sep23 Sep11 Aug27 (gallimore tre)RIVERA D 121 8.00    
 
PEN-2   11/22/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEAVE 'EM LOADED Sep22 Sep01 Aug10 Jul22 Jul07 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 118 12.00 ★    
2  NORTHERN THUNDER Nov02 Sep22 Aug17 Jun30 May21 (mcmahon deme)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 3.00 14% 6.30    
3  PRATT Nov01 Sep22 Jun22 May24 May07 (stites will)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 15.00    
SCR  CRUSH IT Nov02 Oct06 Jul15 Jun24 May07 (mcmahon )RODRIGUEZ A 115 2.50 42% 1.40    
5  WENTZ Sep19 Aug24 Jul27 Jun25 May29 (ness jami)RODRIGUEZ R 120 1.80 20% 4.00    
6  JOJOMAR Oct19 Oct04 Sep16 Aug27 Jul29 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 3.50 ★    
 
PEN-3   11/22/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLUEBERRY MASH Oct25 Oct04 Sep14 Aug18 Jul29 (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00 ★    
2  ZILLION Nov01 Oct07 Sep14 Sep02 Aug03 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 58% 0.70    
3  LONG TOM Nov15 Jun01 May20 May13 Apr29 (salinas jose)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 15.00    
4  LINGFIELD PARK Oct19 Aug24 Jul13 Jun24 Apr29 (schoenthal phi)CONNER TYLER 119 4.00    
5  TUCKERTON BAY Nov01 Sep14 Aug24 Jun24 Jun11 (ippolito mark)CHIAPPE R 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  FIFTY SHEAS OFGREY Nov08 Oct28 Oct21 Oct07 Sep16 (salinas jos)RAMOS C 113 10.00    
7  UNCLE YUDI Oct28 Oct11 Sep22 Sep02 Jul22 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 119 3.50 ★    
8  EPIC LUCK Nov08 Oct20 Oct01 Sep14 Sep02 (ashby lynn)WHITNEY G 119 2.50 14% 6.20    
 
PEN-4   11/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LA LENA Sep23 Sep08 Jun30 May11 Apr22 (kulp l)WHITNEY G 120 2.50 26% 2.90    
2  DENALI RAE Oct26 Oct12 Sep23 Sep08 Jul29 (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 119 3.50    
3  OUR JESSICA JOAN Oct18 Sep16 Aug12 Jul14 Jul01 (houghton thomas)CHIAPPE R 119 6.00 11% 8.00    
4  IMNOTONETOCOMPLAIN Oct27 Sep25 Sep09 Aug13 Aug03 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 123 4.00 ★    
5  TAK E LADY Oct29 Oct12 Sep24 Aug15 Jul27 (stites will)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 6.00 22% 3.60    
6  AMEN SYLVIA Oct26 Jul01 Jun11 May20 Apr27 (shea lydee)CORA D 120 3.00 ★    
 
PEN-5   11/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPUNKY ZOEY Nov04 Oct05 Aug18 Aug05 Jul20 (stites flin)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 6.00 ★    
2  SUGAR SMILE Oct12 Sep01 Jul13     (crook-demasi k)CONNER TYLER 121 5.00    
3  DOWSER Nov02 Oct12 Sep16 Aug26 Aug02 (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 121 3.50 ★    
4  FREEDOM CHEER Nov01 Sep28 Sep07 Aug17 Aug01 (shaw j)ADORNO ABNER 121 4.50 7% 14.00    
5  JACK'S LILLY Oct26 Oct07 Aug17 Aug03   (farrior ant)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  BE LIKE BETH Oct14 Sep20 Aug27 Jul31 Jul10 (ness jami)RODRIGUEZ R 121 1.60 61% 0.70    
 
PEN-6   11/22/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BONITA LASSIE Nov01 Oct12 Sep15 Aug31 Aug03 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00 52% 0.90    
2  EARLY FROST Nov01 Oct12 Aug31 Aug19 Aug03 (ippolito mark)WHITNEY G 124 5.00    
3  HOLMDEL PARK Nov01 Oct14 Sep19 Aug20 Aug06 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 120 8.00 ★    
4  FAVORITE DOLL Nov01 Oct19 Sep15 Aug03 Jul14 (ferreira )VARGAS L 120 12.00    
5  CUENCA Oct11 Sep25 Sep09 Aug22 Jul01 (o'callahan )CORUJO LEONARDO 119 8.00    
6  KATY THE CAT Nov01 Oct12 Sep28 Sep15 Aug31 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 4.00 ★    
7  LOVE IS STRONG Oct23 Oct12 Sep15 Aug10 Jul26 (vera migu)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.50 23% 3.40    
8  CAR LADY Oct05 Sep16 Aug20 Aug06 Jul01 (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 120 8.00 ★    
9  SWITCHRATTLENROLL Oct28 Sep08 Aug31 Jul28 Mar02 (zalalas michael)CHIAPPE R 120 15.00    
 
PEN-7   11/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FILLMORE EAST Sep21 Aug31 Aug19 Jul01 Jun10 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 4.00 ★    
2  TERPEYE Nov04 Oct24 Oct03 Aug30 Jul20 (moreno tito)AGUILAR M 124 3.50 17% 4.90    
3  GLOSSY MADRINA Nov02 Oct18 Sep02 Aug10 Jul08 (ferreira )VARGAS L 122 8.00 ★    
4  CHEWY CHEWY GOOD Oct21 Sep23 Aug19 Jul27 Jul13 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 2.50 34% 2.00    
5  KIRBY Oct27 Oct14 Oct01 Sep16 Sep03 (neilson wa)MENDOZA JHONATAN 120 10.00    
SCR  MIZ CHAPLIN Jul08 Jun17 May05     (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 122 2.00 19% 4.40    
 
PEN-8   11/22/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPER DUPER FLY Oct12 Aug30 Jul19 Jun20 May16 (flores-coba f)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 4.00 16% 5.10    
2  LET'S GO MO Sep14 Aug18       (miller marli)VILLEGAS JERRY 123 10.00    
3  DETERMINED EMPIRE Oct18 Oct07 Sep07 Aug08 Feb24 (schoentha)RODRIGUEZ R 123 3.50 ★    
4  SEEKINGARRANGEMENT Nov02 Oct07 Aug26     (allard edward )CONNER TYLER 123 3.00 54% 0.90    
5  DUST BUNNY Nov01 Oct21 Sep14 Sep01   (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 123 2.50 6% 15.70    
6  HIGH CLASS DIVA Oct21         (o'callahan )CORUJO LEONARDO 123 8.00 ★    
7  DALLAS Nov04 Oct14 Oct07     (salinas jose)AGUILAR M 124 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.