Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belmont At The Big A
Friday - October 28, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BAQ-1   10/28/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($47K) 2 ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SECOND AND REED Oct02         (ryerson jam)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 8.00    
1A  OBSCURED BY CLOUDS Sep18         (ryerson james )ORTIZ L 119 8.00    
2  WINNING CONNECTION Oct02         (reynolds patric)DAVIS DYLAN 119 4.50 ★    
3  OUTLAW COUNTRY Sep18         (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.00 24% 3.10    
4  BROTHER SHOWTYME Oct23 Aug22       (forde jason)BAILEY O 119 20.00    
5  GOING IN STYLE Sep18 Aug22       (camejo jo)VARGAS A 119 2.50 35% 1.90    
6  CHURRO Oct02         (cox h)VELAZQUEZ R 119 3.50 10% 8.70    
7  THIRD MOON         (lerman s)USKE S 119 15.00 5% 18.50    
8  UNCLE DAN Sep24 Aug18       (martin c)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 8.00    
 
BAQ-2   10/28/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  MR. BRIGGS Oct06 Jan08       (kantarma)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 3.50 16% 5.40    
SCR  WILL E SUTTON Oct23 Oct13 Sep24 Aug31 Jul15 (kantarmaci )ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 3.50 ★    
2  DONTBELATE Aug31 Jul15 Jun16 May01 Apr10 (giangiulio m)HARKIE K 120 12.00    
3  EL MAYOR Oct13 Aug20 May05 Apr10 Mar18 (toscano john )FRANCO MANUEL 124 4.50 ★    
4  FOREVER WICKED Oct13 Oct06 Sep04 Aug20 Aug05 (persaud randi)CANCEL ERIC 122 8.00 ★    
5  FORESTWOOD LANE Oct06 Sep04 Jul17 Jun30 Apr22 (englehart c)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 5.00    
6  LORD GATLING Oct14 Jul28 May08 Apr07 Feb12 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 120 1.60 56% 0.80    
7  MAJESTIC TIGER Oct06 Sep04 Aug07 Jul17 Jul04 (rodriguez gu)CASTELLANO J 122 6.00 5% 17.60    
 
BAQ-3   10/28/2022 5940ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($105K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUSPENDED CAMPAIGN Jul23 Jun02 May08 Apr23 Mar27 (noda orlando)FRANCO MANUEL 122 10.00 23% 3.30    
2  WASP Oct02 Aug26 Jul10 Jun12 Mar13 (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 124 1.60 ★    
3  VIENNA CODE Sep30 Sep05 Jul10 Jun12 May22 (williams andrew)CANCEL ERIC 124 8.00 ★    
4  KERIK Oct20 Sep22 Aug24 Jun02 May01 (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 122 15.00 9% 9.90    
5  TIZZY IN THE SKY Sep23 Aug25 Jul01     (camejo j)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 0.60 26% 2.90    
 
BAQ-4   10/28/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANGEL PALM (GB) Sep25 Aug03 Jun12 May14 Apr08 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.50    
2  OAKHURST Sep06 Aug07 Jun25 Apr14 Feb09 (nevin michel)CASTELLANO J 120 2.50 25% 3.00    
3  SILVESTRI (FR) Oct01         (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.00 35% 1.90    
4  LASHARA (GB) Sep14 Aug06 Jul10 May19 Apr24 (maker micha)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 5.00 10% 9.00    
5  MIRTH 'N MERRIMENT Aug19 Jul27 Jun16 May25 Apr13 (ryerson t)CANCEL ERIC 120 15.00    
SCR  MISS BONNIE T Sep30 Aug19 Jul22 Jun04 May01 (antonacci p)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 6.00 7% 14.40    
7  BRAMBLE BAY Sep18 Aug03 Jul09 Jun05 May14 (maker michael )ORTIZ L 124 10.00 ★    
8  TONED UP Sep05 Aug06 Jun24 May21 May08 (hills tim)VARGAS A 124 15.00    
 
BAQ-5   10/28/2022 3960ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($77K) 2 F PT- 2:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LA GOULU         (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00    
2  MIDTOWN LIGHTS Sep17         (cox h)CASTELLANO J 119 4.50 ★    
3  LOVE MY CANDY Sep15 Aug10       (maker mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 30.00    
4  RED BUTTERFLY Sep17         (de hora)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 3.50 44% 1.30    
5  BODE'S GIRL Oct06 Sep05       (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 119 6.00    
6  MAYA'S DREAM Sep22         (pletcher todd )ORTIZ L 119 12.00    
7  THREE UNIONS Sep22 Aug12       (schosberg richa)CANCEL ERIC 119 8.00 ★    
8  STARTS NOW         (kantarma)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 119 20.00    
9  GOOD MORNING KISS         (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00    
10  THREE GIRLS Sep05         (englehart jer)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00    
11  NEVER PERSONAL Aug12         (levine br)VARGAS A 119 15.00    
12  LAKESIDE GETAWAY         (trombetta m)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 15.00    
SCR  BAD SAMARITAN Sep30 Jul28       (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 119 4.00 15% 5.70    
SCR  GALATRONA Sep30         (bond harold)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 8.00    
SCR  BUSTIN HOT         (rice linda)ORTIZ L 119 4.00 19% 4.30    
SCR  FOREVER AMY         (englehart jeffrey)RIDER TBA 119 10.00    
 
BAQ-6   10/28/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET MAEVE Sep26 Aug29 Aug13 Jul25 Jul18 (johnson clev)HARKIE K 118 15.00    
2  HANDLE THE TRUTH Sep18 Aug17 Jul27 Jul04 Jun05 (metiv)HERNANDEZ OMAR 115 5.00 11% 8.00    
3  KEEN DANCER Oct13 Sep16 Aug17 Jul27 Jul04 (persaud randi)CASTILLO AMIN 118 20.00    
4  GAGLIANO Sep16 Aug20 Jul04 Jun17 May29 (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 122 4.00 ★    
5  HOLIDAY JAZZ Oct06 Aug20 Jul20 Jun18 May27 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 2.00 30% 2.40    
6  R GIRL FAITH Oct13 Sep17 Aug20 Jul08   (thompson m)MITCHELL RICHARD 124 12.00 ★    
7  WICKED LADY Sep16 Aug05 Jul16 Jun16   (barker edward)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.60 30% 2.30    
 
BAQ-7   10/28/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($62K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GIRL OF TOSCONOVA Jul03 Jun02 May05 Apr02 Mar11 (kantarmaci mert)CANCEL ERIC 123 4.50 35% 1.80    
SCR  CHLOE ROSE Sep22 Aug21 Jul16 Jun18 May27 (rodriguez gu)CASTELLANO J 123 8.00 10% 9.20    
3  LUCKY PERIDOT Sep01 Jul01 Jun17 May08 Apr16 (walder p)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 10.00 7% 12.40    
4  BLUE PAYNT Aug01 Jun27 May31 May03 Mar30 (kantarma)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 123 12.00    
5  ROYAL MEGHAN May27 Apr29 Mar31 Mar04 Jan06 (abreu fernando)ORTIZ L 121 3.00    
6  DAME CINCO Oct06 Sep23 Aug11 Apr28   (chichakly amira)DAVIS KATIE 121 20.00 6% 15.20    
7  VEGAS WEEKEND Oct01 Feb18       (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 121 2.50    
8  JERUSALEMA (IRE) Oct03 Aug07 Jul17 Jul03 May19 (breen j)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 10.00    
9  RESPECT MY CANDOR Aug14 Jul09 Jun19 May22 May14 (englehart chr)FRANCO MANUEL 121 6.00 11% 8.40    
 
BAQ-8   10/28/2022 5610ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAX IMPLICATIONS (GB) Sep11         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.00 33% 2.00    
2  IMPLICATED Sep23 Aug17       (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 2.50    
3  THE CLASSY ONE Oct01 Sep11       (breen j)ORTIZ L 120 10.00    
4  LIFELOVENLAUGHTER Sep09 Aug16       (trombetta m)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00    
5  GRAND OAK (IRE) Oct03 Sep06 Aug20 May20 Apr21 (motion grah)VELAZQUEZ R 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  SMOKIE EYES Oct08 Sep15 Aug03     (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00 10% 9.00    
SCR  ROSIE'S ALIBI Sep24 Aug21       (pletcher a)RIDER TBA 120 2.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  BINSKY Sep18 Jul21       (rice linda)RIDER TBA 120 2.50 ★    
SCR  LA VITA SOFIA Oct01 Aug28       (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 3.50    
 
BAQ-9   10/28/2022 3960ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($95K) 2 ALL PT- 4:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WICO (IRE) Sep08 Jul22 Apr28     (ward a)ORTIZ L 119 3.50 20% 4.10    
SCR  BAIE LONGUE Sep25 Aug13 Jul23     (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 3.50    
2  MONTEPULCIANO Sep18 Jul30       (pletcher tod)CASTELLANO J 119 12.00    
3  NOT A PRAYER         (ryerson j)VARGAS A 119 30.00    
4  RUTHERFORD Sep24         (clement chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 4.50 31% 2.20    
5  WON AN AWARD         (duarte jorge )FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00    
6  ORDINARY         (avila carl)CANCEL ERIC 119 15.00    
7  UNKNOWN AGENDA Sep16         (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 119 8.00    
8  DISTURBED         (ryerson jam)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 20.00    
9  SEISMIC SPIRIT (IRE) May19         (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  DECCAN PRINCE (IRE) Sep24 Aug14 Jul30 Jul01   (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00 ★    
11  PRACTICALLYMINE         (kantarma)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 119 30.00    
12  THREE ZERO Oct13 Aug31 Aug14 Jul21 Jun30 (abreu fe)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 8.00    
SCR  CODE NAME         (mcgaughey claude )RIDER TBA 119 3.00 23% 3.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.