Handicappers' Racing Form

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Belmont At The Big A
Friday - October 28, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
BAQ-1   10/28/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($47K) 2 ALL PT-12:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SECOND AND REED Oct02         (ryerson james)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 8.00    
1A  OBSCURED BY CLOUDS Sep18         (ryerson t)ORTIZ L 119 8.00    
WINNING CONNECTION Oct02         (reynolds patrick )DAVIS DYLAN 119 4.50    
OUTLAW COUNTRY Sep18         (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.00 24% 3.10    
BROTHER SHOWTYME Oct23 Aug22       (forde jason)BAILEY O 119 20.00    
GOING IN STYLE Sep18 Aug22       (camejo jose)VARGAS A 119 2.50 35% 1.90    
CHURRO Oct02         (cox h)VELAZQUEZ R 119 3.50 10% 8.70    
THIRD MOON         (lerman s)USKE S 119 15.00 5% 18.50    
UNCLE DAN Sep24 Aug18       (martin car)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 8.00    
 
BAQ-2   10/28/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:06
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  MR. BRIGGS Oct06 Jan08       (kantarmaci)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 3.50 16% 5.40    
SCR  WILL E SUTTON Oct23 Oct13 Sep24 Aug31 Jul15 (kantarmaci me)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 3.50    
DONTBELATE Aug31 Jul15 Jun16 May01 Apr10 (giangiulio mic)HARKIE K 120 12.00    
EL MAYOR Oct13 Aug20 May05 Apr10 Mar18 (toscano t)FRANCO MANUEL 124 4.50    
FOREVER WICKED Oct13 Oct06 Sep04 Aug20 Aug05 (persaud randi)CANCEL ERIC 122 8.00    
FORESTWOOD LANE Oct06 Sep04 Jul17 Jun30 Apr22 (englehart chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 5.00    
LORD GATLING Oct14 Jul28 May08 Apr07 Feb12 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 120 1.60 56% 0.80    
MAJESTIC TIGER Oct06 Sep04 Aug07 Jul17 Jul04 (rodriguez gust)CASTELLANO J 122 6.00 5% 17.60    
 
BAQ-3   10/28/2022 5940ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($105K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUSPENDED CAMPAIGN Jul23 Jun02 May08 Apr23 Mar27 (noda orlando)FRANCO MANUEL 122 10.00 23% 3.30    
WASP Oct02 Aug26 Jul10 Jun12 Mar13 (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 1.60    
VIENNA CODE Sep30 Sep05 Jul10 Jun12 May22 (williams o)CANCEL ERIC 124 8.00    
KERIK Oct20 Sep22 Aug24 Jun02 May01 (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 122 15.00 9% 9.90    
TIZZY IN THE SKY Sep23 Aug25 Jul01     (camejo jos)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 0.60 26% 2.90    
 
BAQ-4   10/28/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:12
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANGEL PALM (GB) Sep25 Aug03 Jun12 May14 Apr08 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.50    
OAKHURST Sep06 Aug07 Jun25 Apr14 Feb09 (nevin michelle)CASTELLANO J 120 2.50 25% 3.00    
SILVESTRI (FR) Oct01         (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.00 35% 1.90    
LASHARA (GB) Sep14 Aug06 Jul10 May19 Apr24 (maker michael)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 5.00 10% 9.00    
MIRTH 'N MERRIMENT Aug19 Jul27 Jun16 May25 Apr13 (ryerson t)CANCEL ERIC 120 15.00    
SCR  MISS BONNIE T Sep30 Aug19 Jul22 Jun04 May01 (antonacci phi)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 6.00 7% 14.40    
BRAMBLE BAY Sep18 Aug03 Jul09 Jun05 May14 (maker j)ORTIZ L 124 10.00    
TONED UP Sep05 Aug06 Jun24 May21 May08 (hills timot)VARGAS A 124 15.00    
 
BAQ-5   10/28/2022 3960ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($77K) 2 F PT- 2:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LA GOULU         (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00    
MIDTOWN LIGHTS Sep17         (cox h)CASTELLANO J 119 4.50    
LOVE MY CANDY Sep15 Aug10       (maker mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 30.00    
RED BUTTERFLY Sep17         (de horaci)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 3.50 44% 1.30    
BODE'S GIRL Oct06 Sep05       (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 119 6.00    
MAYA'S DREAM Sep22         (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 119 12.00    
THREE UNIONS Sep22 Aug12       (schosberg richard)CANCEL ERIC 119 8.00    
STARTS NOW         (kantarmaci)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 119 20.00    
GOOD MORNING KISS         (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00    
10  THREE GIRLS Sep05         (englehart jerem)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00    
11  NEVER PERSONAL Aug12         (levine bruc)VARGAS A 119 15.00    
12  LAKESIDE GETAWAY         (trombetta mic)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 15.00    
SCR  BAD SAMARITAN Sep30 Jul28       (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 119 4.00 15% 5.70    
SCR  GALATRONA Sep30         (bond j)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 8.00    
SCR  BUSTIN HOT         (rice linda)ORTIZ L 119 4.00 19% 4.30    
SCR  FOREVER AMY         (englehart s)RIDER TBA 119 10.00    
 
BAQ-6   10/28/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET MAEVE Sep26 Aug29 Aug13 Jul25 Jul18 (johnson clevel)HARKIE K 118 15.00    
HANDLE THE TRUTH Sep18 Aug17 Jul27 Jul04 Jun05 (metivie)HERNANDEZ OMAR 115 5.00 11% 8.00    
KEEN DANCER Oct13 Sep16 Aug17 Jul27 Jul04 (persaud randi)CASTILLO AMIN 118 20.00    
GAGLIANO Sep16 Aug20 Jul04 Jun17 May29 (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 122 4.00    
HOLIDAY JAZZ Oct06 Aug20 Jul20 Jun18 May27 (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 2.00 30% 2.40    
R GIRL FAITH Oct13 Sep17 Aug20 Jul08   (thompson mar)MITCHELL RICHARD 124 12.00    
WICKED LADY Sep16 Aug05 Jul16 Jun16   (barker r)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.60 30% 2.30    
 
BAQ-7   10/28/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($62K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIRL OF TOSCONOVA Jul03 Jun02 May05 Apr02 Mar11 (kantarmaci mertka)CANCEL ERIC 123 4.50 35% 1.80    
SCR  CHLOE ROSE Sep22 Aug21 Jul16 Jun18 May27 (rodriguez gust)CASTELLANO J 123 8.00 10% 9.20    
LUCKY PERIDOT Sep01 Jul01 Jun17 May08 Apr16 (walder pet)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 10.00 7% 12.40    
BLUE PAYNT Aug01 Jun27 May31 May03 Mar30 (kantarmaci)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 123 12.00    
ROYAL MEGHAN May27 Apr29 Mar31 Mar04 Jan06 (abreu fernando)ORTIZ L 121 3.00    
DAME CINCO Oct06 Sep23 Aug11 Apr28   (chichakly amira)DAVIS KATIE 121 20.00 6% 15.20    
VEGAS WEEKEND Oct01 Feb18       (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 121 2.50    
JERUSALEMA (IRE) Oct03 Aug07 Jul17 Jul03 May19 (breen j)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 10.00    
RESPECT MY CANDOR Aug14 Jul09 Jun19 May22 May14 (englehart chris)FRANCO MANUEL 121 6.00 11% 8.40    
 
BAQ-8   10/28/2022 5610ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 4:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAX IMPLICATIONS (GB) Sep11         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.00 33% 2.00    
IMPLICATED Sep23 Aug17       (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 2.50    
THE CLASSY ONE Oct01 Sep11       (breen j)ORTIZ L 120 10.00    
LIFELOVENLAUGHTER Sep09 Aug16       (trombetta mic)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00    
GRAND OAK (IRE) Oct03 Sep06 Aug20 May20 Apr21 (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
SMOKIE EYES Oct08 Sep15 Aug03     (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00 10% 9.00    
SCR  ROSIE'S ALIBI Sep24 Aug21       (pletcher a)RIDER TBA 120 2.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  BINSKY Sep18 Jul21       (rice linda)RIDER TBA 120 2.50    
SCR  LA VITA SOFIA Oct01 Aug28       (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 3.50    
 
BAQ-9   10/28/2022 3960ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($95K) 2 ALL PT- 4:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WICO (IRE) Sep08 Jul22 Apr28     (ward a)ORTIZ L 119 3.50 20% 4.10    
SCR  BAIE LONGUE Sep25 Aug13 Jul23     (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 3.50    
MONTEPULCIANO Sep18 Jul30       (pletcher todd )CASTELLANO J 119 12.00    
NOT A PRAYER         (ryerson jam)VARGAS A 119 30.00    
RUTHERFORD Sep24         (clement chris)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 4.50 31% 2.20    
WON AN AWARD         (duarte jr)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00    
ORDINARY         (avila carlos)CANCEL ERIC 119 15.00    
UNKNOWN AGENDA Sep16         (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 8.00    
DISTURBED         (ryerson james)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 20.00    
SEISMIC SPIRIT (IRE) May19         (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  DECCAN PRINCE (IRE) Sep24 Aug14 Jul30 Jul01   (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00    
11  PRACTICALLYMINE         (kantarmaci)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 119 30.00    
12  THREE ZERO Oct13 Aug31 Aug14 Jul21 Jun30 (abreu fern)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 8.00    
SCR  CODE NAME         (mcgaughey ii)RIDER TBA 119 3.00 23% 3.40    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.