Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belmont At The Big A
Friday - September 12, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BAQ-1   WIN (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/1)-(5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/1)-(6/7/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/1)-(6/7/5/4)-(1/3/4/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
BAQ-2   WIN (6/7/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/5/4)-(6/7/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/5/4)-(6/7/5/4)-(6/7/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/5/4)-(1/3/4/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/7/5/4)-(1/3/4/6)-(7/1/3/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
BAQ-3   WIN (1/3/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/4/6)-(1/3/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/4/6)-(1/3/4/6)-(1/3/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/4/6)-(7/1/3/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/3/4/6)-(7/1/3/5)-(7/5/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
BAQ-4   WIN (7/1/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/3/5)-(7/1/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/3/5)-(7/1/3/5)-(7/1/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/3/5)-(7/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/1/3/5)-(7/5/1)-(5/8/2/9/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
BAQ-5   WIN (7/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/1)-(7/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/5/1)-(7/5/1)-(7/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/5/1)-(5/8/2/9/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/5/1)-(5/8/2/9/4)-(2/6/5) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
BAQ-6   WIN (5/8/2/9/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/8/2/9/4)-(5/8/2/9/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/8/2/9/4)-(5/8/2/9/4)-(5/8/2/9/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/8/2/9/4)-(2/6/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/8/2/9/4)-(2/6/5)-(3/1/10/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
BAQ-7   WIN (2/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/5)-(2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/5)-(3/1/10/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/5)-(3/1/10/8)-(11/8/1/7/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
BAQ-8   WIN (3/1/10/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/10/8)-(3/1/10/4/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/1/10/8)-(3/1/10/4/8)-(3/1/10/4/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/1/10/8)-(11/8/1/7/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
BAQ-9   WIN (11/8/1/7/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/8/1/7/6)-(11/8/1/7/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/8/1/7/6)-(11/8/1/7/6)-(11/8/1/7/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BAQ-1   09/12/2025 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 2 F PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TY TY ROSE Jul31 Jul17       (de h)SANTANA JR 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of BEECHWOOD ELLA by NO NAY NEVER)
2  STARSHIP LIZZY         (nevin michel)CASTELLANO J 119 4.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of LIZZY'S FUN by D' FUNNYBONE)
3  BANK STREET Aug20         (ryan s)CAMACHO SAMY 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SLEW O' GOLD out of FOREVER FONDRE by SHAHRASTANI)
SCR  PROBABLE ANGLE Aug16         (synnefias dimit)DAVIS DYLAN 119 3.00    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of LAURA'S ANGLE by UNION RAGS)
5  BELLORO Aug16 Jul19       (englehart jer)FRANCO MANUEL 119 1.40 70% 0.40    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of JETBIRD by WILDCAT HEIR)
6  QUINNS SILENT ROAR Aug20 Jul26       (begg bent)DAVIS KATIE 119 10.00    
  (by JOEVIA out of ON THE HOP by ARTIE SCHILLER)
 
BAQ-2   09/12/2025 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RED MILLER Jun20 Apr19 Mar30     (terranova john )DAVIS DYLAN 121 8.00    
2  DEW Aug07 Jul11 Aug24 Aug03 Jul19 (antonucc)SANTANA JR 121 6.00    
3  AERATE Jul24 Jul17 Jun27 May18 May08 (kantarm)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 121 6.00    
4  PARTY WITH SMARTY Aug27 Aug10 Apr10 Mar23 Jan01 (gutierrez )MARAGH CHRISTIAN 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  METATRON Jun06 Apr13       (david carlos)CASTELLANO J 124 3.50 19% 4.40    
6  SERGEANT CAPPS Aug17 Aug01 Jul04 Apr26 Apr08 (potts wayne)CARMOUCHE K 121 1.60 30% 2.30    
7  DR. INSEL Oct12         (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 121 4.00 24% 3.20    
 
BAQ-3   09/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($17.5K) Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY MAN MATTY Jun08 Dec01 Feb25 Feb05 Jan12 (levine b)SANTANA JR 123 1.00 65% 0.50    
1A  RIDE UP Aug09 Jul17 May24 Feb07 Dec28 (abreu fernando)ROSARIO JOEL 123 1.00 ★    
2  HEAVYWEIGHT CHAMPS Aug14 Jun08 May10 Mar14 Feb08 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 2.50    
3  TORPEDO RUN Aug18 Jul17 Jun13 Jun03 Apr10 (catalano l)DAVIS DYLAN 123 6.00 11% 7.90    
4  ALEAH ALEAH Feb21 Jan25 Dec27 Oct12 Aug16 (nevin michell)FRANCO MANUEL 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  MASTERWORK Aug27 Aug03 Jul17 Jun21 May24 (follett norman)BROWN DALTON 123 30.00    
6  TIMAEUS Aug10 May23 Apr12 Apr04 Mar09 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  ACE IT Nov07 Oct20 Oct05 Sep11 Aug30 (figueroa carlo)LUZZI J 120 12.00    
SCR  KING MOONRACER Aug09 Jun21 May11 Apr26 Feb21 (parker joseph)DAVIS KATIE 123 20.00    
 
BAQ-4   09/12/2025 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RANGER BATTALION Aug14 Jul12 May08 Mar26 Feb08 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50 22% 3.60    
2  COMMUTED Aug15 Jul19 Jan18 Dec07 Nov10 (falcone )SANTANA JR 124 3.50    
3  DREAMLIKE Aug15 Jun06 Apr20 Jun29 Jun01 (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.00 17% 4.80    
4  REGISTER Aug20 Jul12 Jun15 May17 Dec28 (donk david)DAVIS KATIE 124 10.00    
5  HOT SPUN Jun19 Jun07 May11 Apr19 Mar29 (bhigroo)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  HOUSE UNITED Aug16 Jul18 Jun12 May30 Apr29 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 124 4.00    
7  SWAGGISH Aug31 Aug06 Jul03 Feb28 Feb01 (potts wayne)CARMOUCHE K 122 4.50 38% 1.60    
SCR  RAGAZZO DIABOLICO Jun20 May23 Apr12 Mar22 Feb02 (lugovi)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 15.00    
 
BAQ-5   09/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN MIRACLE         (jimenez)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HONOR ROLL         (servis tyler)ADORNO ABNER 119 6.00    
3  FULL OF TACT         (rodriguez gusta)CANCEL ERIC 119 8.00    
4  BROCKLEY DRIVE         (sells rachel)DAVIS KATIE 119 15.00    
5  TURKISH PISTACHIO         (david carlo)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 3.50 30% 2.40    
6  CREDIT RISK         (bartkows)SANTANA JR 119 4.50    
7  L'ECLAIR Jul27         (schultz lindsa)MARIN SAMUEL 119 4.00 47% 1.10    
SCR  NEVER HEATHER Aug07         (sacco gregory)VELAZQUEZ R 119 2.50    
 
BAQ-6   09/12/2025 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($81K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I'M DUE Aug14 Jul17 Jun21 May03 Mar29 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 118 15.00    
2  EL DE LARRY Aug09 Jun29 May25 Apr05 Mar23 (bailes robert)DAVIS DYLAN 124 8.00 16% 5.20    
3  NEW MATTHEW Aug21 Aug04 Jul15 Jun30 Nov30 (donk david)LUZZI J 118 20.00    
4  SEBASTIANTHE FIRST Jul13 Jun15 Apr13 Mar22 Jan25 (delgad)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  SOUNDS LIKE A PLAN Aug17 Jul17 Jun04 Apr26 Nov16 (de h)SANTANA JR 118 1.60 40% 1.50    
6  COGNOSCENTI Jul30 Jul06 May11 Mar09 Jan24 (clement miguel)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 5.00    
7  AELFGAR Aug21 Aug07 Jul11 Jul01 Jun17 (sells rachel)ROSARIO JOEL 124 6.00    
8  AMPLITUDE Aug09 Jun29 Nov16 Sep26 Aug15 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.50 17% 5.10    
9  ZAPRUDER Aug17 Dec08 Oct18 Jun29 Jun01 (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  REFUAH Aug07 Jul13 Jun25 May16 May01 (sharp joe)CARMOUCHE K 122 2.00    
SCR  KINGS AND QUEENS Aug11 Jul05 Jun21 May23 Apr27 (sacco greg)RIVERA R 120 12.00    
 
BAQ-7   09/12/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($82K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LEFTEMBEHIND Aug10 Jul17 Jun20 May11 Mar27 (kantarmaci ilk)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 8.00    
2  AGGREGATION Aug16 May19 Mar30 Jan28 Dec29 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.00 46% 1.20    
3  CICCIOBELLO Aug16 Jul31 Nov23 Sep02 Aug18 (barrera)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 122 12.00    
4  PALACE BOSS Aug16 Jun20 May24 May02 Apr05 (de hor)RIVERA R 124 4.00    
5  MIGHTY ATLAS Aug16 Jul11 Jun20 May17 Mar21 (potts wayne)DAVIS KATIE 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  GET A JOB Aug16 Jul11 May24 Jan04 Dec06 (morey wi)SANTANA JR 124 2.50 26% 2.80    
7  BUTTAH Aug14 Jul14 May17 Apr11 Mar23 (sciacca gary)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.50    
 
BAQ-8   09/12/2025 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($81K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MO KREESA Aug21 Jun28 Jun04 May18 Apr11 (hennig m)SANTANA JR 118 8.00 28% 2.60    
2  A LISTER Aug09 Jun29 May18 Apr19 Apr04 (pringle ed)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 115 50.00    
3  IRON MAX Aug03 Jun27 May25 May04 Nov17 (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.00 34% 1.90    
4  CHARLES J Aug09 Jul20 Jun29 May18 Oct27 (lee joseph)DAVIS DYLAN 122 4.50 ★    
5  REAL SAVVY Aug17 Nov03 Aug30 Aug01   (clement miguel)ROSARIO JOEL 118 5.00    
6  OUTTAWATERBURY Aug21 Jul30 Jul20 May25 May17 (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 122 6.00    
SCR  TERMINAL VELOCITY Aug09 Jun28 May04     (bartkows)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 6.00    
8  ROYAL BROWNE Aug17 Jun28 May25 Apr27 Nov16 (abreu ferna)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  THE CRAFTSMAN Aug21 Aug10 Jul17 Jun27   (ferraro ja)RIVERA R 118 30.00    
10  ANNEXPERIENCE Aug17 Jul17 Jun19 May26 Aug25 (englehart jerem)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00 9% 10.40    
SCR  SENEGAL Aug07 Jun26 May19 Apr19 Mar08 (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 122 1.60    
 
BAQ-9   09/12/2025 5610ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($40K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WAR OFFICER Jul30 Jun21 May24 Apr24 Mar26 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 124 6.00 8% 10.80    
SCR  FRIZZANTE Aug17 Jun29 Jun06 Apr13 Mar22 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 124 6.00    
2  FUNNY UNCLE Aug27 Jan24 Dec13 Nov09 Jul24 (figueroa carlo)LUZZI J 124 20.00    
3  LIFE AND LIGHT Jul17 Jun21 May02 Mar29 Jan30 (pringle ed)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 117 30.00    
4  STEADFAST RESOLVE Jul19 Apr24 Feb01 Nov02 Oct05 (weaver georg)CASTELLANO J 124 6.00    
5  SASSY PRINCESS Jul16 May29 Apr19 Sep20 Jul07 (green a)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 121 10.00    
6  HEATHGUARD Feb08 Jan18 Nov29 Nov02 Sep19 (lerman roy)RIVERA R 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  JUST FOR LUCK (AUS) Aug17 Jul17 Jun21 Oct31 Sep29 (dutrow rich)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  RIGHT TO WIN (IRE) Jul24 May26 Mar22 Feb23 Jul01 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 124 4.50 12% 7.50    
9  FLAT ON Aug20 Jul17 Jul03 Apr12 Oct10 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 124 20.00    
SCR  FINAL DENILE Aug14 Jul17 Jun19 Apr05 Mar15 (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 124 8.00    
11  ENLIGHTEN Jul17 Mar29 Mar01 Jan04 Nov30 (morley t)SANTANA JR 124 2.50 57% 0.70    
SCR  HERO'S MEDAL Aug20 Aug03 Jul05 Jun26 May10 (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 124 8.00    
SCR  LEADING CONTENDER Jul05 May16 Apr17 Jun07 Apr28 (barrera oscar)SILVERA RUBEN 124 3.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.