Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belmont At The Big A
Friday - May 16, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BAQ-1   WIN (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/4)-(2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/4)-(7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/3/4)-(7/1)-(2/7/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
BAQ-2   WIN (7/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/1)-(7/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (7/1)-(2/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/1)-(2/7/5)-(3/5/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
BAQ-3   WIN (2/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/5)-(2/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7/5)-(2/7/5)-(2/7/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/7/5)-(3/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/7/5)-(3/5/6)-(8/2/3/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BAQ-4   WIN (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/6)-(3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/6)-(8/2/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
BAQ-5   WIN (8/2/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/3/6)-(8/2/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/3/6)-(8/2/3/6)-(8/2/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    PK3 NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
BAQ-6   WIN NO BET 0 $2.00 $0.00 
    EXA NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    PK3 NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
BAQ-7   WIN (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/4)-(1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/4)-(8/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/5/4)-(8/6)-(11/7/5/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
BAQ-8   WIN (8/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/6)-(8/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (8/6)-(11/7/5/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
BAQ-9   WIN (11/7/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (11/7/5/8)-(11/7/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (11/7/5/8)-(11/7/5/8)-(11/7/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BAQ-1   05/16/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($17.5K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MACAW (IRE) May08 Apr03 Aug17 Jun23 Jun12 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 126 3.50    
2  TRADE IMBALANCE Apr12 Aug05       (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 124 2.50 50% 1.00    
3  ACCIDENTAL BID Apr23 Mar15 Feb15 Jan17 Nov29 (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 126 4.50 20% 4.10    
4  TWIRLING VINE Apr10 Mar08 Feb14 Jul27 Apr26 (lugovi)MARAGH RAMSAY 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  D DAY SKY Mar15 Jan30 Jan11 Dec14 Nov21 (potts w)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 119 5.00    
6  BRODERICK Apr26 Apr17 Mar16 Feb21 Jan26 (reynolds pat)CASTELLANO J 120 4.50    
7  GOLDEN PURCHASE May01 Apr06 Feb28 Jan25 Jan11 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 124 6.00    
 
BAQ-2   05/16/2025 7260ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUNGIUS Apr03 Mar08 May05 Mar30 Mar01 (levine b)SANTANA JR 124 4.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MASQUEPARADE Mar28 Feb28 Dec26 Nov23 Sep28 (atras r)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 119 12.00    
SCR  ATLAST (FR)         (motion graham)DAVIS DYLAN 124 6.00    
SCR  CATCH A WAVE Jul04 May27 Apr26 Mar10   (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 124 1.20    
SCR  THE GINGER WIZARD (IRE) Mar29 Jan05 Dec07 Oct25   (motion gra)CASTELLANO J 126 3.50    
SCR  CYBER NINJA Apr18 Oct16 Sep11 Aug17 Aug03 (fisher r)LEZCANO JOSE 124 4.50    
7  LEADING CONTENDER Apr17 Jun07 Apr28 Mar01 Feb03 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 124 2.00 59% 0.70    
8  STRAPPED May04 Mar29 Feb28 Jan11 Dec28 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 126 2.50    
 
BAQ-3   05/16/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($20K) Purse ($45K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPRING MAGIC May01 Mar29 Feb07 Jan19 Dec12 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 118 12.00    
2  BRZINA Apr03 Mar02 Jan10 Dec15 Dec06 (ness jam)SANTANA JR 118 2.50 58% 0.70    
3  IRISH JACKSON May01 Mar28 Dec12 Nov09 Jun30 (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00    
4  MAGGIE T Apr10 Mar16 Feb15 Jan30 Jan01 (schaue)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 8.00    
5  IT TAKES HEART May09 Mar16 Mar07 Jan25 Jan05 (kantarmaci ilka)DAVIS DYLAN 123 8.00 8% 10.90    
SCR  EQUUS May02 Apr18 Jan05 Nov14 Sep19 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 4.50    
7  KILLY START Mar29 Jan25 Jan10 Nov29 Oct20 (abreu fernan)CASTELLANO J 118 2.00 9% 10.20    
 
BAQ-4   05/16/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FARM HOUSE Mar28 Feb28 Jan30     (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of STORM NOW by STORM CENTER)
2  OUR PREFERRED PAL Apr06 Mar16 Feb07 Jan19 Dec14 (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 118 8.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of GIANT STELLA by GIANT SURPRISE)
3  MATERIAL GIRL Feb28 Dec14 Nov03 Oct05   (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.40 41% 1.50    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of TANMAWWY by CANDY RIDE)
4  FULL POUR Apr18 Mar08       (hennig)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 4.50    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of EXTRA IMPACT by HONOUR AND GLORY)
5  EAGLE RISING Apr18 Mar09       (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 118 2.50 33% 2.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of AKILINA by LANGFUHR)
6  PATIENCE N GRACE Mar29         (bond jam)DAVIS KATIE 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of COUNTABLE by INTO MISCHIEF)
SCR  JACKPOT JULIE Jul31         (gidding)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 113 30.00    
  (by KING FOR A DAY out of SCARLET'S COMMAND by MINESHAFT)
 
BAQ-5   05/16/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($45K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SCARAMANGA (IRE) Mar29 Mar14 Mar02 Jan10 Dec08 (shivman)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 113 12.00    
2  TETSU Apr17 Apr10 Feb21 Apr19 Mar30 (dutrow richa)CASTELLANO J 118 3.00 15% 5.80    
3  BREW PUB Apr26 Apr17 Apr10 Mar09 Feb09 (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.50 15% 5.80    
4  SCREAMING UNCLE Apr23 Apr05 Mar16 Feb06 Dec06 (bhigr)HERNANDEZ OMAR 120 10.00    
5  PRINCE OF JOY May03 Apr25 Apr05 Mar02 Feb15 (legall ric)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 113 20.00    
6  THANK YOU JON Apr27 Apr12 Mar16 Feb09 Jan12 (jones ed)VILLA FAVINHO 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  LOST IN ROME Apr17 Apr04 Mar14 Feb23 Jan24 (atras ro)SANTANA JR 118 3.50    
8  KUNSHAN BRIDGE May03 Oct12 Aug28 Jul27 Jul13 (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.00 42% 1.40    
 
BAQ-6   05/16/2025 6270ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($88K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANILEATE May03 Dec06 Nov07 Oct17 Sep20 (ferraro)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 119 30.00 ★    
SCR  MIDNIGHT CONCERTO Mar22 Nov15 Oct20 Aug25 Jun23 (mcpeek kenne)CASTELLANO J 124 6.00    
SCR  MYSTIFYING Apr18 Sep02 Mar15 Jan14   (mcgaughey clau)LEZCANO JOSE 124 1.20    
4  CAN'T FOOL ME Nov07 Sep26 Aug22 Jul24 Jun23 (de h)SANTANA JR 124 5.00    
SCR  LUNA MOTH Mar28 Feb23 Jan25 Jan01 Nov10 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 124 20.00    
SCR  SEAT AT THE TABLE Mar30 Feb08 Jan11 Dec04 Mar09 (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 126 4.00    
SCR  THREE PRIESTS (JPN) Feb13 Dec26 Oct19 Sep07   (motion grah)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.50    
 
BAQ-7   05/16/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($82K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EMBRACEABLE GAL Apr26 Mar23 Mar01 Jan24 Jan04 (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 126 6.00 34% 1.90    
SCR  BROWN SUGA BABE Apr18 Mar15 Feb06 Jan11 Dec06 (giangiulio)RIVERA R 124 3.50    
3  MOMMASGOTTAGUN Apr18 Mar23 Jan24 Jun09 May16 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 126 4.00    
4  CLOVER STREET Apr05 Feb09 Jan17 Dec07 Oct20 (hennig mark)CASTELLANO J 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  VALTELLINA Apr10 Mar02 Jan17 Nov17 Oct27 (handal)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 4.00 20% 4.10    
SCR  FAST AND FRISKY Apr05 Feb27 Jan17 Dec15 May25 (abreu jo)SANTANA JR 124 3.00    
7  RACING COLORS Apr18 Mar15 Feb27 Jan17 Jan02 (follett )GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 8.00    
 
BAQ-8   05/16/2025 5610ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($88K) 3 ALL PT- 5:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GRIFFIN'S WHARF Apr06 Feb23 Dec28 Nov29 Oct26 (morley thomas)LEZCANO JOSE 122 6.00    
SCR  POOKIE Nov17 Oct06 Aug23     (morley thomas)LEZCANO JOSE 115 6.00    
2  TRACKING ERROR Apr06 Feb23 Jan25 Jan03 Sep21 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.50    
SCR  HANDS OF TIME Apr11 Oct26 Sep28 Aug24 Jul20 (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.00    
SCR  A. P. KID Mar22 Feb15       (pletcher tod)CASTELLANO J 122 1.60    
SCR  INTO DIAMONDS Feb09 Jan09 Jul19 Apr25   (casse mark)CANCEL ERIC 120 5.00    
6  ARDAGH RED (IRE)         (henry neville)OLVER MADISON 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  STEEL VENGEANCE Apr10 Mar09 Feb28 Jan24 Dec28 (reynold)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 20.00    
8  ON THE MOUNT Apr06 Feb08 Jan04     (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 122 2.50 42% 1.40    
9  JERRY'S OUT Apr10 Feb28 Jan17 Dec14 Oct17 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 120 3.50    
 
BAQ-9   05/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($52K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MIDNIGHTLOVEAFFAIR Dec29 Nov01       (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 118 4.00    
2  DANGHERECOMESSHANG (IRE) May22         (ward a)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00    
3  SILVER PEARLS Apr16 Mar23       (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.50    
SCR  MUN MUN CAN RUN Sep13 Aug13       (trombetta mich)LEZCANO JOSE 118 3.00    
5  IMPROBABLE FRIEND Feb23 Jan17       (maker mi)SANTANA JR 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  AERIALIST Apr17 Apr06 Dec13 Nov29   (reyno)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 30.00    
7  KATERINA RISTOVA Apr23 Apr06 Mar09 Feb23 Oct13 (chichakly ami)PANAIJO JORGE 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  BENGALESE         (barrera os)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 111 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TIGHT LINE         (duarte)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 8.00    
SCR  PUREST PERFORMANCE May03 Dec01 Nov17 Nov09 Oct24 (pregman john )SILVERA RUBEN 124 15.00    
11  STIRRED UP Apr11 Dec30 Dec06     (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 1.40 68% 0.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.