Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Wednesday - April 23, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/5)-(4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/5)-(5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/1/5)-(5/3)-(4/5/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
AQU-2   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3)-(5/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/3)-(4/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/3)-(4/5/2)-(5/6/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
AQU-3   WIN (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/2)-(4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/2)-(5/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/5/2)-(5/6/2)-(1/3/2/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-4   WIN (5/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/2)-(5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/2)-(1/3/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/2)-(1/3/2/4)-(2/4/5/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-5   WIN (1/3/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/2/4)-(1/3/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/2/4)-(1/3/2/4)-(1/3/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/2/4)-(2/4/5/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/3/2/4)-(2/4/5/6)-(1/4/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-6   WIN (2/4/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/5/6)-(2/4/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/5/6)-(2/4/5/6)-(2/4/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/5/6)-(1/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/5/6)-(1/4/3)-(9/1/3/12/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
AQU-7   WIN (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/3)-(1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/3)-(9/1/3/12/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
AQU-8   WIN (9/1/3/12/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/1/3/12/7)-(9/1/3/12/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/1/3/12/7)-(9/1/3/12/7)-(9/1/3/12/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   04/23/2025 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VINSANITY Apr06 Mar22 Jan19 Jan11 Dec28 (arriaga antoni)LUZZI J 123 4.00 13% 6.80    
2  LIGHT THE WAY Apr13 Mar22 Feb28 Jan18 Dec07 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.00    
3  J D FACTOR Apr13 Mar22 Feb23 Feb13 Jan16 (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.00    
4  SILO RIDGE Apr04 Feb28 Jan18 Feb10 Jan13 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.60 54% 0.90    
5  MUAZARAH Mar22 Feb13 Jan11 Dec27 Dec01 (trites lan)CASTELLANO J 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-2   04/23/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($78K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY LAST MISSION Apr02 Mar21 Feb10 Dec06 Oct30 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 123 3.00    
SCR  HAGRID'S FLAME Apr07 Mar01 Feb02 Jan17 Nov23 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 123 3.00    
2B  DR. KRAFT Apr13 Mar21 Feb27 Jan23 Dec14 (kantarma)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 1.40    
SCR  JACKSON HEIGHTS Apr13 Mar09 Feb23 Jan23 Dec07 (atras r)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 116 1.40    
3  KOLOMIO Feb28 Jan16 Dec08 Nov23 Sep18 (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BARON OF SEALAND Feb15 Jan05 Dec01     (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.50    
5  LAND D'ORO Mar01 Jan23 Nov23 Sep14 Jun06 (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.00 40% 1.50    
 
AQU-3   04/23/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($29K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MACKVILLE Apr11 Mar09 Feb07 Jun16 Jun02 (potts wa)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 6.00    
2  ONE VISION Apr03 Feb08 Jan17 Dec28 Nov29 (barre)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  WAJDA Feb15 Jan05 Nov07 Oct03 Sep01 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 1.80    
4  ON THE LEDGE Aug07 Jun27 Apr27 Mar17 Feb09 (brown b)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 119 2.50 39% 1.60    
5  ACCIDENTAL BID Mar15 Feb15 Jan17 Nov29 Oct04 (kantarmaci)RIVERA R 124 3.00 28% 2.60    
6  WESTERN WOLF Mar23 Jan31 Dec15 Nov22 Oct24 (friedman mitch)LUZZI J 118 6.00    
 
AQU-4   04/23/2025 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3 F PT- 2:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BROOKLYN RHAPSODY Mar08 Jan30 Jan13 Dec01 Nov11 (kantarmaci ilk)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.50    
2  CDAKHAT (IRE) Mar12 Feb13 Jan16     (dutrow antho)CASTELLANO J 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TALIESIN Apr09 Mar15 Jan14 Nov25 Sep04 (solis ja)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 8.00    
4  BLUE EYED SCOUT Feb13 Dec28 Nov16 Sep20 Aug30 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00    
5  VEHEMENTE Mar14 Jan01 Dec01 Nov09 Aug22 (sharp joe)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.00 33% 2.10    
6  SHE'S COMPLICATED Apr12 Mar15 Feb08 Dec27   (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 120 2.00 29% 2.50    
 
AQU-5   04/23/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($40K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  KAHALA Mar02 Feb07 Jan24 Nov14 Oct17 (kantarmaci)RIVERA R 121 1.20 33% 2.00    
SCR  EMPTY TOMB Apr05 Jan03 Sep19 Jul11 May03 (kantarma)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 1.20    
2  PERSISTENT DANGER Apr12 Mar21 Mar14 Feb23 Feb09 (arriaga anton)OLVER MADISON 121 3.50 10% 8.90    
3  HE'S GOT THIS Mar02 Feb02 Jan10 Jan03 Nov08 (charler)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 116 2.00 32% 2.10    
4  SCREAMING UNCLE Apr05 Mar16 Feb06 Dec06 Nov09 (bhigr)HERNANDEZ OMAR 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
5  GUN MAESTRO Apr12 Mar21 Mar02 Feb14 Feb02 (jones edua)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 111 10.00    
6  DADS GOOD RUNNER Apr06 Mar29 Mar07 Feb14 Jan12 (bhigroog)VILLA FAVINHO 121 12.00    
7  MAJESTIC TIGER Apr06 Mar11 Feb28 Jan26 Jan14 (richards mar)HARKIE K 121 15.00    
 
AQU-6   04/23/2025 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAILAWAY Mar23 Jan19       (dutrow anthony )CARMOUCHE K 118 5.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of CRY HALLELUJAH by STREET CRY (IRE))
1A  BIG MAGIC (IRE)         (dutrow anthony)LEZCANO JOSE 118 5.00    
  (by EARTHLIGHT out of BLANCHE NEIGE by HALLING)
2  MIDWAY MEMORIES Mar19         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.00 49% 1.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of MEMORIES PREVAIL by CREATIVE CAUSE)
3  MAGNUM'S MICROBRST Feb08 Jan10       (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 15.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of MATTY'S MAGNUM by EVEN THE SCORE)
4  SIYOUNI FLASH (FR)         (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 126 3.00 19% 4.30    
  (by SIYOUNI out of AIGUE MARINE by GALILEO)
5  SCARLETT'S HALO Mar09         (brown c)CASTELLANO J 118 8.00 8% 11.20    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of FIERCE SCARLETT by SCAT DADDY)
6  PAY THE BILLS (FR) Dec01 Oct24 Aug02 Jun16   (metivier)VILLA FAVINHO 126 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WOOTTON BASSETT out of AVOCATE by LAWMAN)
7  CLASSIC CARA Jun23 May02 Apr20 Mar08 Nov18 (friedman mitc)SILVERA RUBEN 126 10.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of GEOGRAPHIC by EMPIRE MAKER)
8  KATERINA RISTOVA Apr06 Mar09 Feb23 Oct13 Sep27 (chich)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 20.00    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of KENDALIN by DISTORTED HUMOR)
 
AQU-7   04/23/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($82K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHAT'S UP BRO Mar16 Feb15 Jul05 Mar29 Mar10 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 121 3.50 45% 1.20    
SCR  ANTONIO OF VENICE Mar16 Feb15 Dec28 Nov23 Apr14 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 1.80    
3  LASER SHARP Mar08 Feb09 Nov24 May19 Apr06 (terranova )RIVERA R 123 6.00 7% 12.60    
4  CONTRARY THINKING Mar16 Jun07 Apr20     (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 121 3.00 26% 2.80    
5  DAUFUSKIE ISLAND Feb09 Jan16 Nov16 Oct24 Oct05 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 121 5.00    
6  WAR STRIDE Mar16 Jan30 Jan02 Nov30 Oct30 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 123 6.00    
 
AQU-8   04/23/2025 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($46K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAGAZZO D'ORO Apr06 Mar26       (brown bruce )CASTELLANO J 126 5.00 24% 3.10    
2  YO BRO Oct27         (nevin m)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 113 10.00    
3  MAKEYOURMOMENT Oct24 Sep27 Aug28     (handal)MARAGH RAMSAY 126 3.50 23% 3.40    
4  DANCINGINTHEPARK Feb15 Jun22       (morley thomas)OLVER MADISON 126 15.00    
5  SOLOMINI'S LEGACY Mar28 Feb28 Feb08     (ferraro jame)HARKIE K 118 20.00    
6  DANZIGER Mar28 Jan26 Dec28 Nov03 Oct05 (schettino domi)CEDENO CAROL 118 20.00    
7  CADA DIA MEJOR Mar22 Feb23 Jan26 Jan18 Dec28 (kantarma)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  PISTOL HIP SAM Mar02         (terranova )RIVERA R 118 10.00    
9  ROMEO VOID Mar23 Mar02 Jan26 Dec28 Nov15 (green j)CARMOUCHE K 118 6.00 26% 2.80    
10  DEAD AIM Jan17 Dec08       (friedman mitc)SILVERA RUBEN 118 10.00    
11  FRESH START Mar29         (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 12.00    
12  DOOMED Aug25         (abreu r)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.50 5% 17.60    
SCR  PUREST PERFORMANCE Dec01 Nov17 Nov09 Oct24 Sep14 (pregm)HERNANDEZ OMAR 121 10.00    
SCR  INTELLECTUAL Feb14         (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00    
SCR  FREE DANCE Mar13 Feb14 Jan11 Dec08 Nov02 (handal )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 113 6.00    
SCR  PERFECT SHEPHARD Mar22         (bond kevin)CASTELLANO J 118 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.