Handicappers' Racing Form
"A Premier Resource for Free horse Racing Picks, Strong Longshots and Vulnerable Favorites."
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
 
The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Sunday - April 13, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/3)-(5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/3)-(2/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/6/3)-(2/1/3)-(1/5/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-2   WIN (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/3)-(2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/3)-(1/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/3)-(1/5/6)-(5/7/4/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-3   WIN (1/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/6)-(1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/6)-(5/7/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/6)-(5/7/4/3)-(7/2/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-4   WIN (5/7/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/4/3)-(5/7/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/4/3)-(5/7/4/3)-(5/7/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/4/3)-(7/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/7/4/3)-(7/2/5)-(1/5/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-5   WIN (7/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/5)-(7/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2/5)-(7/2/5)-(7/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/2/5)-(1/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/2/5)-(1/5/3)-(7/8/3/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-6   WIN (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/3)-(1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/3)-(7/8/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/3)-(7/8/3/5)-(9/1/6/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-7   WIN (7/8/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/3/5)-(7/8/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/3/5)-(7/8/3/5)-(7/8/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/8/3/5)-(9/1/6/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
AQU-8   WIN (9/1/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/1/6/5)-(9/1/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/1/6/5)-(9/1/6/5)-(9/1/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   04/13/2025 4620ft DIRT RC9 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  J D FACTOR Mar22 Feb23 Feb13 Jan16 Dec28 (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.60    
2  I SEE YOU LOOKIN Feb21 Feb09 Jan16 Nov30 Nov09 (sacco d)CANCEL ERIC 123 12.00    
3  HATCH (GB) Mar29 Mar07 Feb23 Feb02 Jan04 (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  LIGHT THE WAY Mar22 Feb28 Jan18 Dec07 Nov11 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 2.50    
5  DERBYNESS Mar22 Feb22 Jan24 Dec01 Oct31 (russell brittan)DAVIS KATIE 121 3.00 47% 1.10    
6  DYLAN'S RUBY Nov11 Oct21 Sep16 Jul08 Jun11 (servis c)CARMOUCHE K 121 3.50 21% 3.80    
 
AQU-2   04/13/2025 4290ft DIRT RC11 MUDDY New York Stallion Purse ($200K) 3 ALL PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NATIONAL IDENTITY Mar08 Feb08 Dec14 Nov02 Oct06 (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 118 1.20 35% 1.90    
  (by SOLOMINI out of CHEYENNE AUTUMN by FOUR SEASONS (GB))
2  PRINCE VALIANT Feb23 Jan11 Dec08     (pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 120 1.60 41% 1.40    
  (by KING FOR A DAY out of LIZZY'S FUN by D' FUNNYBONE)
3  HUGGY Mar11 Feb03       (reid e)ADORNO ABNER 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of HUG DOC by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
4  SOONTOBEKING Mar08 Feb08 Jan12 Dec14 Nov16 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 123 2.50    
  (by KING FOR A DAY out of SWAYED by FREUD)
5  IN THE CHASE Mar20 Feb21 Jan12 Dec15 Nov16 (jones e)ACOSTA D 120 12.00    
  (by WEEKEND HIDEAWAY out of SHE'S ALWAYS READY by MORE THAN READY)
 
AQU-3   04/13/2025 5940ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($82K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHILENO Dec12 Nov15 Sep21 Mar29 Sep02 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 121 1.40 29% 2.50    
1A  GLINT Mar15 Jan16 Nov29 Nov08 Oct03 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.40    
2  MIKEALICIOUS Mar22 Feb22 Jan25 Dec28 Dec01 (maker m)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 6.00    
3  PIRATE Jan25 Nov21 Oct18 Sep20 Aug07 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 121 6.00    
4  FRIZZANTE Mar22 Feb22 Jan11 Dec13 Sep29 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.50    
5  MALARCHUK Jan16 Apr11 Dec08 Sep28   (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 121 2.50 24% 3.20    
6  HOKU Jan13 Dec17 Nov25 Nov11 Oct28 (abrams jack)CASTILLO A 121 15.00 17% 4.90    
 
AQU-4   04/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  READY TO ROMANCE Mar23 Dec13       (goberdhan chan)CHANDRA PREM 115 20.00    
2  SUNSET PARK Mar23 Jan24 Oct15     (levine bruce)DAVIS KATIE 125 3.00    
3  LADY OF MERCIA Apr06 Mar08 Feb22 Feb13 Jan30 (keithan racha)OLVER MADISON 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SIGMUND'S DREAM         (dixon )MARAGH RAMSAY 118 12.00 17% 5.00    
5  NIKKI BRAINBURST Mar09 Jan16 Nov25 Oct20 Sep26 (handal )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 120 1.60 31% 2.20    
6  OBSERVER Feb13 Jan05 Dec07     (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 3.50    
7  SPUN SIZE Mar29 Jan01 Dec26 Dec01   (baker charlton)CANCEL ERIC 118 3.50 20% 4.10    
 
AQU-5   04/13/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($50K) Purse ($49K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CERTIFIED LOVERBOY Feb27 Feb13 Jan23 Dec28 Nov15 (abreu fernando)DAVIS DYLAN 124 2.50    
2  DR. KRAFT Mar21 Feb27 Jan23 Dec14 Nov23 (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 124 5.00 29% 2.40    
3  MR. PAPAGIORGIO Sep21 Aug07 Jun15 Jun07 May10 (dutrow richard)LUZZI J 124 12.00    
SCR  PAXSATIONAL Apr06 Mar09 Feb15 Dec28 Nov01 (barker edw)RIVERA R 124 12.00    
5  AUGUSTINE RED Jan31 Jan11 Nov24 Jun21 Apr26 (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 124 6.00 6% 15.10    
SCR  WINIT Mar08 Jan04 Nov24 Oct26 Sep26 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 124 1.80    
7  STOLEN BASE Mar09 May17 Apr04 Mar07 Feb23 (levine)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 5.00 35% 1.90    
 
AQU-6   04/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PROFESSOR GRACE Dec13         (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.50 33% 2.00    
2  BLUE SUEDE SUE Nov22 Oct20 Aug02     (giangiulio)RIVERA R 125 3.50    
3  SHOCK Mar29 Mar08 Oct14     (brown)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 15.00 9% 10.60    
SCR  GOOD MISSION Mar23 Feb27 Feb07 Jan10 Dec13 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 125 4.50    
5  POSSE ROCKS         (levine bruce)LUZZI J 125 6.00 28% 2.50    
6  EDDIE MARIE Mar23 Feb15       (duggan p)CEDENO CAROL 118 6.00    
SCR  GLOBAL CHARMER Feb15 Jan30       (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 3.00    
SCR  MALIBU'S DYNAMITE Apr06 Sep02 Aug18 Aug01 Jul04 (keithan )VILLA FAVINHO 125 10.00    
 
AQU-7   04/13/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($32K) Purse ($54K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BOLD ENDEAVOR Mar29 Feb23 Jan23 Jan03 Nov08 (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.00    
SCR  UNLIMITEDPOTENTIAL Mar29 Mar14 Jan30 Dec29 Nov30 (kantarma)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 123 3.00    
2  SMILE MON Feb22 Jan24 Jan05 Nov14 Oct19 (atras rob)ADORNO ABNER 123 6.00    
3  CHELONIAN Feb23 Jan29 Jan13 Dec16 Nov20 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 10.00 19% 4.10    
4  JACKSON HEIGHTS Mar09 Feb23 Jan23 Dec07 Nov10 (atras r)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 116 15.00    
5  FROMANOTHAMUTHA Mar22 Feb06 Oct18 Sep20 Aug28 (rodriguez gu)CASTELLANO J 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  CENTAVO Apr04 Mar15 Feb23 Feb15 Feb07 (chatt)HERNANDEZ OMAR 121 30.00    
7  RUNNIN' RAY Mar07 Jan12 Dec13 Nov24 Oct17 (rodriguez gusta)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.00 39% 1.60    
8  SKYLANDER Feb08 Dec28 Nov14 Oct17 Sep19 (dutrow richard )DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.50 20% 4.00    
 
AQU-8   04/13/2025 4290ft DIRT RC11 MUDDY New York Stallion Purse ($200K) 3 F PT- 4:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAM'S BLISS KISS Mar21 Mar02 Dec14 Nov17 Oct05 (duggan dav)RIVERA R 120 3.50 27% 2.70    
  (by SOLOMINI out of KISKA by INTO MISCHIEF)
2  HOWLING WIND Mar08 Feb01 Jan17 Dec14 Nov22 (ferraro james)SILVERA RUBEN 118 12.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of TYPHOON TERI by STORMY ATLANTIC)
SCR  FEDUPWITHTHEFED Mar29 Mar08       (donk david)LUZZI J 118 8.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of MOSTESS HOSTESS by TALK IS MONEY)
4  PRINCESS MISCHIEF Jan17 Dec14 Nov22 Oct25 Sep23 (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 118 4.50    
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of PRINCESS CONSORT by DIXIELAND BAND)
5  STORM CHANGER Mar08 Feb08 Dec14 Nov16   (martin c)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NAME CHANGER out of STORMIN SISTAS by STORMY ATLANTIC)
6  DECREE AND DECLARE Mar15 Sep15       (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00 15% 5.50    
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of WINSANITY by TAPIZAR)
SCR  LAZY Y LEGACY Mar28         (west aaro)BERMUDEZ E 118 15.00    
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of PERFECT LEGACY by TAMAYAZ)
8  DISCO STAR Jan04 Oct26 Sep28 Aug14   (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00    
  (by DISCO PARTNER out of SKY GAZER by SKY MESA)
9  FOREVER TO GO Mar29 Feb08 Dec28 Nov22 Oct26 (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 118 6.00 33% 2.10    
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of FORGET IT by DISTORTED HUMOR)
10  ROYAL EVENT Mar28 Mar08 Feb01 Jan23 Nov30 (martin f)DAVIS KATIE 118 20.00    
  (by KING FOR A DAY out of QUEENDOM by FREEDOM CHILD)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.