Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Oaklawn Park
Friday - April 11, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
OP-1   WIN (4/7/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/1/8)-(4/7/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/1/8)-(4/7/1/8)-(4/7/1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/1/8)-(7/9/6/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/7/1/8)-(7/9/6/2)-(2/1/3/8) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
OP-2   WIN (7/9/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/9/6/2)-(7/9/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/9/6/2)-(7/9/6/2)-(7/9/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/9/6/2)-(2/1/3/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/9/6/2)-(2/1/3/8)-(7/6/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
OP-3   WIN (2/1/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/3/8)-(2/1/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/3/8)-(2/1/3/8)-(2/1/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/3/8)-(7/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/3/8)-(7/6/4)-(5/8/6/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
OP-4   WIN (7/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/4)-(7/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6/4)-(7/6/4)-(7/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/6/4)-(5/8/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/6/4)-(5/8/6/3)-(11/5/8/9/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
OP-5   WIN (5/8/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/6/3)-(5/8/2/6/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/8/6/3)-(5/8/2/6/3)-(5/8/2/6/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/8/6/3)-(11/5/8/9/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/8/6/3)-(11/5/8/9/6)-(4/1/9/2/11) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
OP-6   WIN (11/5/8/9/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/5/8/9/6)-(11/5/8/9/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/5/8/9/6)-(11/5/8/9/6)-(11/5/8/9/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (11/5/8/9/6)-(4/1/9/2/11) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (11/5/8/9/6)-(4/1/9/2/11)-(1/6/8/2) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
OP-7   WIN (4/1/9/2/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/1/9/2/11)-(4/1/9/2/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/1/9/2/11)-(4/1/9/2/11)-(4/1/9/2/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/1/9/2/11)-(1/6/8/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/1/9/2/11)-(1/6/8/2)-(1/6/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
OP-8   WIN (1/6/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/8/2)-(1/6/8/2/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/6/8/2)-(1/6/8/2/10)-(1/6/8/2/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/6/8/2)-(1/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/8/2)-(1/6/2)-(8/5/1/12/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
OP-9   WIN (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/2)-(1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/2)-(8/5/1/12/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
OP-10   WIN (8/5/1/12/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/5/1/12/4)-(8/5/1/12/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/5/1/12/4)-(8/5/1/12/4)-(8/5/1/12/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
OP-1   04/11/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($35K) Purse ($44K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PIKE PLACE Mar15 Feb17 Jan19 Nov28 Sep25 (ortiz joh)TORRES A 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  DEMOTIVATE Mar09 Feb07 Jan04 Nov03 Oct04 (miller peter)JUAREZ NIK 125 3.50    
3  VITTORIO Mar08 Feb17 Jan19 Jan05 Nov21 (hartman chris)BACON W 122 2.00    
4  KOUFAX Mar04 Mar09 Feb15 Jan12 Oct22 (amoss m)BEJARANO R 120 1.80 65% 0.50    
5  SILVER HEIST Mar15 Feb17 Jan25 Jan04 Nov11 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 120 12.00    
SCR  AMERICAN BLAZE Mar08 Jan16 Nov19 Oct12 Sep14 (garcia genaro)VAZQUEZ A 120 20.00    
7  BEYOND BEST Feb17 Jan24 Nov21 Sep18 Aug06 (garcia genaro)CEDILLO ABEL 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  CALIFORNIA TIGER Mar15 Jan04 Nov08 Oct18 Aug04 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
OP-2   04/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($35K) Purse ($44K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SHOUT IT OUT Mar24 Aug18 Aug10 Jun30 Jun16 (bainum ke)CAMACHO JR 119 30.00    
2  SWEET MOTHER MARY Mar09 Jan23 Jul28 Jul12 Jun07 (jordan ja)CHUAN MARTIN 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  DANCE MY WAY Mar28 Mar08 Feb01 Jan18 Dec07 (puhl kim)DE CRUZ 119 15.00    
4  WREAKING HAVOC Mar29 Mar15 Sep26 Aug26 Jul12 (martin willia)PUSAC ALBERTO 119 8.00    
5  MUSIC MISTRESS Feb23 Jan18 Dec15 Jul24 Jul01 (mckellar p)QUINONEZ S 114 10.00    
6  CHASING SHADOWS Mar09 Sep19 Aug04 Jun27 Jun01 (riecken br)GALLARDO EDUARDO 119 20.00 10% 8.70    
7  DON'T JU FORGET Mar08 Feb01 Jan18 Dec06 Nov17 (miller pe)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 1.40 43% 1.30    
8  WILDWOOD BYE Mar07 Dec14 Oct19 May25 Apr27 (becker scott)CEDILLO ABEL 119 4.00    
9  ENCHANTED NILE Feb13 Jan15 Nov25 Oct11 Sep12 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 3.00 16% 5.10    
 
OP-3   04/11/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OLIVIA'S POTION Jul28 Jun28       (asmussen)SANTANA JR 119 3.00 19% 4.30    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of ROTE by TIZNOW)
2  SONGMAKER Mar30 Feb17 Dec22 Apr12   (casse nor)TORRES A 125 2.50 39% 1.60    
  (by BIRD SONG out of BIRD MAKER by EMPIRE MAKER)
3  DON'T LOOK BACK Mar14 Feb05 Dec27 Jun06 May14 (contreras cipr)CEDILLO ABEL 125 4.00 12% 7.60    
  (by HARD SPUN out of ELOPE by GONE WEST)
4  KENTUCKY STARLET Feb17 Jan05 Nov28 Oct24   (riecken bruce)WALES T 125 15.00    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of DREAMING AS ALWAYS by BROKEN VOW)
5  SUN LIGHTNING         (ortiz alex)VAZQUEZ A 125 15.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of GREENFIELD D'ORO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
6  BRAVE SAMANTHA Mar22 Oct18 Sep20 Aug11   (medina ro)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 8.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of LITTLE HIDDEN GEM by BODEMEISTER)
7  LA FANTASTICA Mar09 Feb08 Jan05 Nov30 Oct20 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 3.50    
  (by VOLATILE out of SOPHIA MIA by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
8  MISS WORLD PEACE Feb14 Jan05 Dec03     (ward dan)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of DEVIL'S BEAUTY by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
 
OP-4   04/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($200K) Purse ($130K) 3 ALL PT- 2:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPIRALIZER Mar21 Aug16 Jun30 Jun13   (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 118 15.00    
2  THE WARDEN Feb24 Feb02 Jan04 Dec01 Oct12 (moquett )SANTANA JR 122 4.00    
3  WACO Mar21 Feb17 Jan26 Jan04 Dec15 (lukas wayne)JUAREZ NIK 122 10.00    
4  BABY BOAT Mar21 Feb01 Oct27 Oct06 Sep15 (divito james )BACON W 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  NORMANDY COAST Apr06 Mar01 Jan11 Jul27 Jun27 (kenneally)TORRES A 118 6.00    
6  BIG BOAT Feb24 Dec13 Nov02 Oct05 Sep12 (divito p)VAZQUEZ A 118 2.50 14% 6.40    
7  WILDNCRAZYNIGHT Mar21 Feb17 Jan18 Oct02 Aug25 (ward dan)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 2.00 58% 0.70    
 
OP-5   04/11/2025 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($36K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUNRISE DRIVE Mar28 Feb24 Jan24 Nov16 Oct27 (mcknight norm)BACON W 124 10.00    
2  SHOT OF COURAGE Mar30 Feb23 Dec18 Nov24 Nov08 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 5.00 ★    
3  NEPAL UP Feb14 Jan26 Dec06 Nov20 Nov02 (ward dan)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  SOUTHERN SUNSET Mar22 May31 May05 Apr12 Mar15 (moquett e)BEJARANO R 117 4.50    
5  VIVIR CON ALEGRIA (CHI) Mar30 Jan23 Nov03 Sep27 Aug24 (ramirez-r)TORRES A 120 2.50 66% 0.50    
6  LUCKY BOSS Mar28 Feb28 Feb08 Jan05 Dec13 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  MONTAUK POINT Mar06 Dec20 Dec04 Oct18 Sep10 (combs bentley)JUAREZ NIK 117 15.00    
8  ROCCO STRONG Jan26 Jan03 Nov20 Oct23 Sep19 (martin kevin)VAZQUEZ A 117 3.00 8% 11.50    
9  BOOGIE BODE Mar08 Jan26 Jan03 Nov02 Oct17 (rosin w)CHUAN MARTIN 120 15.00    
10  HOLDING PATTERN Mar30 Mar01 Jan26 Jan17 Dec21 (stuart sh)DE CRUZ 109 20.00    
 
OP-6   04/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THIS DAMSEL MAYFLY Mar21 Feb28 Feb02 Jan19 Apr20 (cline robe)GALLARDO EDUARDO 120 20.00    
2  GRIZMO Mar14 Feb16 Jan31 Sep03   (cates al)HARR KELSI 120 30.00    
3  FAB GIRL Mar09 Feb02       (morse l)BACON W 120 3.00    
4  NOW HEAR THIS Apr01 Mar21 Feb16 Feb02   (hewitt michael)PEREZ CESAR 105 30.00    
5  DEVIL'S DEN Mar09 Feb07       (moquett e)BEJARANO R 120 3.50 11% 7.90    
6  MY SWEET ANGEL Mar14 Feb17 Feb02     (prather john)CASTILLO ISAAC 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PATIENT EMILIE Mar21 Feb28 Feb14 Feb01 Dec22 (dixon tim)ELLIOTT JANE 115 30.00    
8  FOXY'S HONOR Mar22         (milligan all)MEDELLIN ERICK 120 8.00 8% 10.80    
9  SWEET BABY D Mar28         (witt erni)TORRES A 115 5.00 8% 10.90    
10  ALLTAIL Apr04 Mar07 Jan31 Nov23   (ortiz )GRISALES DANILO 120 15.00    
11  SO THRILLING Mar23         (ward dan)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 2.50 40% 1.50    
12  LINE RUNNER Mar22 Mar01 Jan26 Apr14 Feb23 (martin timoth)PUSAC ALBERTO 125 20.00    
 
OP-7   04/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NICE MOVE Mar14         (witt erni)TORRES A 120 8.00 27% 2.70    
2  ADAMANTLY Mar14 Feb02 Dec06 Sep03 Aug12 (gonzalez jaim)PUSAC ALBERTO 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  AURORA GEE Mar15 Jan31 Dec27 Mar23 Feb24 (von donn)QUINONEZ S 125 15.00    
4  FLY LIKE THE WIND Mar23 Mar15 Feb14 Feb03 Dec20 (ortiz )GRISALES DANILO 122 4.50 39% 1.60    
5  CHUCK WILLS WIDOW Mar23 Feb16 Feb02 Dec06 May03 (mcbride bur)POSTON K 115 15.00    
6  MY JULIA Feb02 Dec27 May03 Apr20 Mar16 (morse l)CHUAN MARTIN 125 12.00    
7  SASSY LASS Mar14 Feb03 Dec13 May05 Apr20 (mcbride d)JUAREZ NIK 122 3.50    
8  FINE BY DESIGN Apr01 Mar23 Feb03 Jan19 Dec27 (hewitt micha)MEDELLIN ERICK 125 20.00    
9  NGALA Mar23 Feb03 Dec13 Apr20 Apr05 (moquett e)BEJARANO R 122 6.00 8% 11.80    
10  WILDWOOD QUEEN Apr04 Mar07 Feb14 Jan24 Dec13 (haran john)ELLIOTT JANE 122 4.00    
11  TEXAS SEQUOIA Mar28 Mar07 Feb02 Jan19 Dec27 (creighton bre)BACON W 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
12  GOLDEN EDGE Mar23 Feb28 Feb16 Jan31 Jan18 (hornsby t)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 15.00    
SCR  SUNNYANDSEVENTY Mar02 Feb03 Dec15 Apr06 Mar23 (ortiz alex)VAZQUEZ A 122 20.00    
 
OP-8   04/11/2025 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($48K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KEEN CAT Feb14 Jan19 Dec22 Dec01 Nov16 (morse ran)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 2.00 40% 1.50    
2  RABBIT HOUND Mar15 Feb07 Jan17 Dec14 Sep21 (ward dan)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  BRIGHT LEAF Jan24 Jan05 Oct16 Aug31 Aug01 (williams sean)VAZQUEZ A 119 15.00    
SCR  FIFTY CENT DOLLARS Mar23 Feb08 Jan19 Jan05 Oct18 (martin timoth)BACON W 119 10.00    
5  POWERFUL Mar16 Dec22 Nov15 Sep11 Aug11 (rone mike)JUAREZ NIK 121 20.00    
6  GEWURZTRAMINER Mar16 Feb17 Jan25 Jan04 Oct24 (contreras cipr)CEDILLO ABEL 124 2.50 40% 1.50    
7  GASOLINE Feb24 Jan24 Jan05 Nov07 Sep01 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 12.00    
8  EASTSIDE COOL Mar08 Feb08 Jan24 Dec22 Oct06 (amoss m)BEJARANO R 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  MANTA REY Mar22 Mar09 Jan23 Jan04 Dec14 (casse no)SANTANA JR 118 12.00    
10  HAYES STRIKE Mar23 Feb17 Jan05 Nov24 Nov09 (ramirez-r)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 124 4.00 ★    
 
OP-9   04/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($131K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SKELLY Nov02 Sep14 Jul27 Jun01 May04 (asmussen)SANTANA JR 117 0.60 36% 1.80    
2  WILDATLANTICSTORM Sep28 Aug23 Jun22 May31 Apr06 (ashford ray)VAZQUEZ A 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HAPPY AMERICAN Feb13 Jan18 Dec21 Nov28 Nov02 (jacobson david)JUAREZ NIK 117 10.00    
4  HOW DID HE DO THAT Sep24 Sep02 Aug13 Jul08 May29 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 4.50    
5  EDGE TO EDGE Jan25 Dec20 Jun08 May04 Apr07 (hartman chris)BACON W 117 15.00    
6  RUN CLASSIC Mar21 Feb14 Dec20 Nov08 Sep29 (ashford h)TORRES A 117 4.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  NASTY HABIT Mar16 Feb23 Feb02 May18 Apr21 (miller pe)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 117 20.00    
 
OP-10   04/11/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  A VISION OF HOPE Mar14         (jackson richar)ELLIOTT JANE 119 6.00 7% 13.70    
2  INTRIGUING SUSPECT         (hornsby tammy)TORRES HUGO 119 20.00    
3  STEEL SPUN         (witt erni)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 12.00    
4  NIP IT IN THE BUD Mar14         (moquett e)BEJARANO R 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  MARITUDE Mar14         (swearingen tom)QUINONEZ S 119 6.00 33% 2.00    
6  RANCH REBEL Mar22 Feb16 Feb02     (morse ran)CAMACHO JR 119 20.00    
7  HAMAZING TREASURE         (gonzalez jaim)PUSAC ALBERTO 119 15.00    
8  SENDING Mar21 Feb28 Feb02 Jan23 Dec27 (cline n)HARR KELSI 124 2.50 35% 1.80    
9  ROCKITRETTA         (brennan terry)CEDILLO ABEL 124 20.00    
10  MO HOPEFUL Feb16 Feb02 Dec06 Feb10 Dec31 (wilson m)SANTANA JR 124 20.00    
11  CAMPOUT         (ortiz alex)VAZQUEZ A 119 15.00    
12  PRESLEYS TURN Mar14 Feb28 May03 Apr20 Apr06 (dixon tim)TORRES A 124 3.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  TOODLE LOO Mar21 Feb17 Jan18 Dec22 Jun25 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 2.50    
SCR  DEVLISH GAL Feb28 Mar16       (robertson)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 124 2.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.