Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Mahoning Valley
Thursday - March 06, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MVR-1   WIN (5/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/6)-(5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/6)-(4/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/6)-(4/1/5)-(1/8/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-2   WIN (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/5)-(4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/5)-(1/8/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/5)-(1/8/4)-(6/3/7) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-3   WIN (1/8/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/8/4)-(1/8/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/8/4)-(1/8/4)-(1/8/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/8/4)-(6/3/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/8/4)-(6/3/7)-(8/1/4/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-4   WIN (6/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/7)-(6/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/7)-(6/3/7)-(6/3/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/7)-(8/1/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/7)-(8/1/4/7)-(1/3/5/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-5   WIN (8/1/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/4/7)-(8/1/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/4/7)-(8/1/4/7)-(8/1/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/1/4/7)-(1/3/5/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/1/4/7)-(1/3/5/6)-(8/6/10/3/4) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
MVR-6   WIN (1/3/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/5/6)-(1/3/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/5/6)-(1/3/5/6)-(1/3/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/5/6)-(8/6/10/3/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/3/5/6)-(8/6/10/3/4)-(5/4/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-7   WIN (8/6/10/3/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/6/10/3/4)-(8/6/10/3/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/6/10/3/4)-(8/6/10/3/4)-(8/6/10/3/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/6/10/3/4)-(5/4/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
MVR-8   WIN (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/1)-(5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MVR-1   03/06/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LINE TO GAIN Feb01 Jan17 Nov04 Mar02 Jan27 (mckeever andr)BRACHO A 124 6.00    
DR SCHUSTER Feb26 Feb13 Jan28 Dec08 Nov12 (schuster r)WEATHERLY BAILEY 124 4.50 31% 2.20    
EL BANDIDO Feb26 Feb13 Jan28 Dec28 Dec05 (tumblin andr)TAVARES JAVIER 124 20.00    
ARREBATO Feb09 Dec12 Nov23 Oct31 Oct03 (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 124 1.40    
MONTAUK POINT Dec20 Dec04 Oct18 Sep10 Aug17 (combs bentley)HOUGHTON D 124 1.80 42% 1.40    
EUPHORIA STAR Jan13 Sep14 Aug11 Aug02 Jul14 (schuster robin)HERMAN NOEL 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-2   03/06/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP ALL PT-12:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KADESH Aug27 Aug05 Jul15 Jun24 Jun03 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 2.00 29% 2.40    
CHARGER Jan29 Aug13 Jul15 Jul01 May07 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 126 8.00    
BOBBY'S GIFT Dec26 Dec10 Nov18 Nov05 Sep28 (smith larry)HOUGHTON D 126 2.50    
DIGITAL FOOTPRINT Feb03 Jan16 Dec23 Dec03 Nov14 (huffman )MARTINEZ A 126 3.00 41% 1.40    
HARD ASTRAY Feb06 Jan16 Oct29 Oct15 Sep22 (fletcher jeff)YARANGA Y 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
GOLD BUCKLE Feb03 Jan13 Dec26 Oct26 Sep09 (spiess m)GONZALEZ A 126 4.50    
 
MVR-3   03/06/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VICKI ROSE Jan18 Apr18 Mar29 Feb17 Jan04 (matejka pavel)YARANGA Y 126 4.00 38% 1.60    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of PLANAR by EMPIRE MAKER)
GRAN ROXY Feb05 Jan16       (s)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 126 20.00    
  (by GIRVIN out of GRAN LETIZIA by BROKEN VOW)
SCR  ANTONIA'S FLOWERS         (kenneally eddie)AVILES YAN 118 2.50    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of PARIS AMOUR by FROSTED)
DAME MAUDE CHARDIN Feb05 Jan02 Oct05 Sep19 Aug19 (ccamaque marco)DIAZ R 126 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STORMY ATLANTIC out of SAMANTHA MULDER by LAC OUIMET)
LITTLE MISS MUNNY Feb05 Jan19 Jan03 Oct23 Oct01 (trevino steph)BRACHO A 126 8.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of FLIPARDINI by BERNARDINI)
SCR  LAZY Y LEGACY         (west aaro)BERMUDEZ E 118 3.00    
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of PERFECT LEGACY by TAMAYAZ)
DAISY JONES Apr25 Apr04 Mar20 Mar05 Jan31 (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 126 6.00    
  (by BUCCHERO out of CHANNEL REGATTA by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
ANTONACCI GIRL Feb01 Jan25       (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 118 5.00 36% 1.80    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of TWO TIMING GIRL by TWO STEP SALSA)
 
MVR-4   03/06/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEVRA WARRIOR Feb04 Dec18 Nov27 Nov15 Oct11 (tumblin andrew)PEREZ A 124 10.00    
SCR  THINK BLUE Feb04 Jan13 Dec11 Nov19 Oct22 (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 124 4.00    
SNELL FLICKA Feb03 Jan15 Dec04 Nov14 Oct14 (buttigieg kevi)DIAZ I 124 6.00 9% 10.40    
REMEMBER ME Feb04 Jan09 Dec18 Dec03 Nov07 (rivera nest)NUNEZ Y 124 4.50    
DREAMING OF AUDREY Feb15 Feb06 Jan24 Jan03 Nov21 (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50    
DATTTSAFANCYFOX Feb04 Jan08 Dec27 Dec12 Dec04 (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 124 3.00 55% 0.80    
HOT CAROL Jan28 Dec19 Dec04 Sep04 Dec30 (haehn te)MARTINEZ A 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-5   03/06/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FEELTHEBEAT Dec06 Nov15 Oct21 Oct15 Oct08 (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 3.00 27% 2.70    
UNCLEJACKOMO Feb08 Jan15 Dec28 Dec12 Nov12 (faulkner r)WEATHERLY BAILEY 126 20.00    
ROSCO P. COLTRANE Mar11 Feb21 Jan02 Dec12 Nov20 (romero jose )TAVARES JAVIER 126 20.00    
CANDY CRUSHEM Feb08 Jul29 Jul09 Jun30 Jun08 (sweazey sco)NUNEZ Y 126 8.00 13% 6.50    
VERSATILE Oct14 Sep26 Sep10 Aug17 Aug04 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 126 10.00    
SCR  TROPIC STORM Feb08 Dec31 Dec04 Nov26 Nov06 (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 126 2.50    
THE DRAKE Feb08 Jan09 Sep16 Aug06 Nov20 (flores christian)AVILES YAN 126 12.00 5% 18.90    
BOBBY G Feb08 Dec26 Dec10 Oct23 Oct07 (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 126 4.00 34% 1.90    
SCR  SEEING RED Feb27 Jan29 Dec26 Dec02 Nov17 (musarro joseph)HOUGHTON D 126 6.00    
10  FISHING FOR FUN Feb08 Jan09 Dec12 Nov27 Nov12 (ibarra marco)GONZALEZ A 126 20.00    
 
MVR-6   03/06/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WATCHOUTFORWEAVER Feb03 Dec05 Jul27 May22 Apr02 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 2.50 44% 1.30    
TAMMY'S TOY Feb12 Jan25 Dec23 Dec03 Nov07 (brown )RODRIGUEZ A 119 20.00    
ROMANTIC COWBOY Jan23 Dec05 Oct03 Sep12 Aug20 (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.00 12% 7.50    
GOLDEN MONEY Feb26 Feb12 Feb04 Jan08 Dec05 (higham nicole)STOKES J 124 3.50    
MONSTER HUNTER Feb03 Jan25 Jan13 Dec26 Dec16 (gonzalez dona)TOLEDO S 124 6.00 11% 8.40    
DOUGS MORNING PICK Feb11 Jan23 Dec19 Dec05 Nov19 (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 8.00 6% 15.90    
SPIRIT OF AKRON Feb12 Feb04 Jan16 Jan08 Dec05 (bailey ricard)SIMPSON JASON 124 4.00    
 
MVR-7   03/06/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOGO NEV'S Feb05 Jan24 Oct05 Sep25 Sep11 (campos paulo)TAPARA BRANDON 124 12.00    
MISS SIX Feb27 Feb05 Jan24 Jan06 Dec18 (urieta johan)TAVARES JAVIER 124 20.00    
MAYBETHEONE Jul24 Jul04 May29 Nov30 Oct28 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
COWGIRLS HUMOR Feb27 Jan25 Jan08 Dec26 Dec09 (schuster r)WEATHERLY BAILEY 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
PRINCESS EM Feb27 Jan25 Jan06 Dec18 Dec05 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00    
KOZY NIGHT Jan06 Nov21 Nov07     (smith lar)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 116 6.00 29% 2.50    
COUSIN MINNIE Feb05 Nov25 Oct23 Sep06 Aug07 (smith larry)DIAZ I 116 8.00    
PRAISE N GLORY Dec26 Nov25 Nov11 Oct26 Oct10 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 116 2.50 40% 1.50    
LIL BIT Jan15 Dec26 Dec09 Nov21   (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 116 3.00    
10  ANGEL I'M NOT Feb10 Jan15 Dec26 Jun14   (cline c)PEREZ E 118 4.50 7% 14.20    
 
MVR-8   03/06/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAVEN'S HONOR Feb05 Jan24 Jan06 Dec18 Nov24 (holton a)DIAZ R 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TWINSPIRED out of REBECCA'S RAVEN by GRINDSTONE)
BIONIC SAINT Feb26 Feb05 Dec26 Dec09 Nov21 (faulkner r)WEATHERLY BAILEY 118 3.00    
  (by BIONDETTI out of DENIRO'S SAINT by SAINTS N' SINNERS)
RIVER HUSTLER Feb05 Jan24 Feb05 Jan11 Dec28 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 126 4.00    
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of I'M READY by MORE THAN READY)
SHEMITEBEAPORCHE Feb05 Jan24 Dec18     (bird danny)NUNEZ Y 126 2.50 10% 9.30    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of TIDALOVE by TIDAL VOLUME)
MYSTICAL MOBIL Jan24 Jan06 Dec18 Nov20   (atala jose)HOUGHTON D 126 2.00 55% 0.80    
  (by MOBIL out of QUEEN OF SPRING by SPRING AT LAST)
SCR  TAPIT VOLUME Feb26 Feb10       (faulkner rodney)HERMAN NOEL 113 20.00    
  (by TIDAL VOLUME out of SWEET LIL PUNKY by LIMIT OUT)
BOLD ZEE Feb06 Jan08 Dec18 Nov20 Nov06 (szczepan)MARTINEZ A 126 20.00    
  (by BOLD RED out of MAMA ZEE by J BE K)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.