Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Monday - March 03, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/3)-(5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/3)-(3/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/3)-(3/6/5)-(7/8/2/3/9) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
MVR-2   WIN (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/5)-(3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/5)-(7/8/2/3/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/6/5)-(7/8/2/3/9)-(3/4/2/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-3   WIN (7/8/2/3/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/8/2/3/9)-(7/8/2/3/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/8/2/3/9)-(7/8/2/3/9)-(7/8/2/3/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/8/2/3/9)-(3/4/2/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/8/2/3/9)-(3/4/2/8)-(5/6/8/12) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
MVR-4   WIN (3/4/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/2/8)-(3/4/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/2/8)-(3/4/2/8)-(3/4/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/2/8)-(5/6/8/12) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/4/2/8)-(5/6/8/12)-(1/3/8/6/5) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
MVR-5   WIN (5/6/8/12) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/8/12)-(5/6/3/8/12) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/6/8/12)-(5/6/3/8/12)-(5/6/3/8/12) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/6/8/12)-(1/3/8/6/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/6/8/12)-(1/3/8/6/5)-(4/6/3/1) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
MVR-6   WIN (1/3/8/6/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/3/8/6/5)-(1/3/8/6/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/3/8/6/5)-(1/3/8/6/5)-(1/3/8/6/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/3/8/6/5)-(4/6/3/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/3/8/6/5)-(4/6/3/1)-(5/3) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
MVR-7   WIN (4/6/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/3/1)-(4/6/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/3/1)-(4/6/3/1)-(4/6/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/3/1)-(5/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
MVR-8   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3)-(5/3/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3)-(5/3/6/2)-(5/3/6/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   03/03/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAME UP ROSES Dec18 Nov11 Oct22 Jan05   (musarro jo)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 126 2.50    
2  SILVER MATY Feb13 Feb05 Dec01 Jun10 May28 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 126 3.50 17% 4.90    
3  LIME TREE Feb05 Dec26 Nov19 Nov02 Oct02 (va)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  MISS LITTLE BIT Feb13 Jan29 Jan16 Dec05 Nov25 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 118 8.00    
5  POSITIVELY Feb05 Dec17 Dec04 Nov19 Oct02 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 1.60 61% 0.60    
6  PRINCESS OPAL Feb05 Jan16 Dec26 Nov02 Sep26 (casalinov)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 126 8.00    
 
MVR-2   03/03/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT-12:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAY DAY Feb13 Dec12 Nov13 Sep26 Sep14 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.00    
2  OBI KENOBI Feb13 Nov13 Oct23 Oct05 Aug24 (barker w)AVILES YAN 124 3.50    
3  BIGPICLITTLEPIC Jan15 Dec02 Nov14 Oct29   (poole m)BRACHO A 116 2.50 75% 0.30    
4  ENVELOPE PLEASE Feb13 Nov13 Oct05 Sep07   (maker micha)PETERSON FERRIN 124 3.00    
5  CINSAULT Sep26 Sep05 Jul31 Jun26 May29 (rone penny)RIVERA R 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  GRAY TORMENTOR Feb08 Nov13 Oct29 Sep23 Sep14 (vazquez ivan)DIAZ I 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-3   03/03/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VISKI JONES Feb04 Dec26 Dec10 Nov11 Jun05 (winters mi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 15.00    
2  MARKHAMIAN Feb08 Jan28 Jan13 Dec28 Dec10 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 126 4.50 7% 12.40    
3  BAD LITTLE BEAST Feb11 Jan28 Dec26 Dec12 Nov27 (winters mich)HALDAR J 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  KLAATU Feb06 Nov27 Oct29 Oct11 Sep12 (sondej amy)WEATHERLY BAILEY 124 20.00    
5  LAUTREC Feb04 Jan27 Nov27 Nov11 Oct14 (pappada julie)BRACHO A 124 20.00    
6  DANVILLE Jan27 Dec18 Oct24 Oct10 Sep26 (candelas )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 6.00    
7  FIRST CITIZEN Feb11 Jan27 Jan13 Dec28 Dec12 (castillo jabdi)DIAZ I 124 1.80 51% 0.90    
8  SUPPLY CHAIN Jan25 Jun10 May13 Apr09 Mar05 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50 18% 4.70    
9  DYRDEK Feb11 Jan28 Dec10 Nov20 Nov03 (poole c)HERMAN NOEL 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-4   03/03/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VENETIAN DREAM Feb11 Nov19 Nov11 Oct19 Oct01 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 126 6.00    
2  SMALL SAILOR Feb08 Jan23 Jan07 Dec09 Nov21 (s)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 126 12.00 13% 6.90    
3  JARETH Jan29 Oct03 Aug29 Aug01 Jul19 (smith larry)DIAZ I 126 2.00 40% 1.50    
4  ZIPPIN GIGI Feb07 Dec05 Nov11 Sep19 Aug29 (juarez-mendoza re)PEREZ A 126 4.00 24% 3.20    
5  STOMPING MOON Jan18 Dec12 Nov27 Oct22 Sep23 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 126 3.00    
6  MONTEREY PENINSULA Jan28 Dec17 Dec02 Nov14 Sep08 (poole m)AVILES YAN 126 10.00    
7  LAUDA SPEED Feb03 Jan13 Nov19 Nov04 Oct02 (schuster r)WEATHERLY BAILEY 126 15.00    
8  DEEP FAITH Dec26 Dec08 Nov18 Oct03 Sep18 (morales saul)TAVARES JAVIER 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-5   03/03/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HERE COMES DOLLY Jan07 Dec23 Nov19 Nov04 Sep03 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 124 20.00    
2  PARLAY CHARLIE Feb06 Jan07 Dec23 Dec09 Nov26 (radosevich jus)DIAZ I 124 3.00    
3  BUCKEYE ROSE Jan28 Jan08 Dec23 Dec04 Apr11 (rivera nest)NUNEZ Y 124 3.50 ★    
4  OLYMPIC WINGS Feb06 Jan08 Dec17 Nov26 Nov06 (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 4.00    
5  SHE'S A SOLDIER Jan23 Jan08 Oct08 Sep02 Aug10 (galloway khadeem)STOKES J 124 8.00 68% 0.50    
6  PENNY'S TREASURE Feb06 Jan23 Jan08 Dec09 Nov20 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 126 6.00 9% 10.10    
7  OFFICE CHATTER Jan28 Jan08 Dec18 Dec02 Nov19 (vlaun )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 20.00    
8  COWGIRL SARA Feb06 Dec23 Dec05 Nov05 Oct19 (juarez-mendoza re)PEREZ A 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SAVESOMEFORME Dec18 Nov06 Sep19 Aug29 Jul25 (bates l)BRACHO A 124 20.00    
10  C MORE PRIDE Jan28 Jan08 May07 Apr03 Mar04 (faulkner r)WEATHERLY BAILEY 124 20.00    
11  RUBY LAYNE Jan28 Jan08 Dec18 Nov24 Oct29 (overholt)FERNANDEZ R 124 15.00    
12  DANCE DRAMA Jan28 Jan13 Dec02 Nov06 Oct08 (flores c)MARTINEZ A 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-6   03/03/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($24.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIBERATE Feb10 Jan13 Dec11 Oct06 Jun13 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 126 2.50 38% 1.60    
2  RED HEAD KID Feb10 Jan09 Dec23 Dec11 Nov18 (ga)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 6.00    
3  IT'S OFFICIAL Jan13 Apr25 Mar26 Mar06 Feb20 (juarez lorenzo)AVILES YAN 126 4.00 21% 3.90    
4  MIDNIGHT WARSHIP Feb10 Dec11 Oct22 Sep26 Apr25 (ibarra marco)GONZALEZ A 126 5.00    
5  GONE IN A FLASH Feb10 Jan23 Dec05 Sep26 Sep10 (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 126 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  UPTOWN Feb10 Jan23 Dec05 Nov04 Jul09 (rone penny)RIVERA R 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  ZAKARIA Feb10 Sep12 Aug20 Jul30 Jul10 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 126 20.00    
8  DARK VADER Feb10 Dec11 Oct26 Oct10 Sep10 (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 126 3.50 13% 6.60    
9  HARTSTEIN Feb10 Jan27 Jan13 Aug22 Aug01 (urieta jo)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 20.00    
 
MVR-7   03/03/2025 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST OTBO Sales Graduate Race Purse ($50K) 3 ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOLIDAYS ARMY BRAT Oct26 Oct09 Aug30 Aug10   (meyers shane)STOKES J 113 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ARMY MULE out of HOLIDAY STORM by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
2  OH LOVER BOY Feb08         (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 118 12.00    
  (by WILLIAM'S KITTEN out of LOVE FIRST SIGHT by ALKE)
3  JOHN FITZGERALD Feb11 Dec12 Nov27 Nov13 Oct28 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 2.50 5% 19.00    
  (by KENNEDY out of SMILE AND A WINK by ARCHARCHARCH)
4  DRILL CITY Feb11 Jan09 Nov27 Nov13 Oct28 (meyers shane)BRACHO A 121 2.00 62% 0.60    
  (by DRILL out of CITY BEAUTIFUL by STORM CAT)
5  RIGHT ON THE MUNNY Nov27 Oct10 Sep16     (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 121 6.00    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of THELOVEOFMUNNINGS by MUNNINGS)
6  DUO Feb08 Jan15 Dec28 Nov27 Nov13 (winters mi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 4.00 5% 17.40    
  (by DRILL out of DOTTHEI by HAYNESFIELD)
7  THISTLE QUEEN Feb05 Nov25 Nov07 Sep06   (poole m)AVILES YAN 116 8.00    
  (by MOBIL out of SINFUL DELIGHT by BLAME)
 
MVR-8   03/03/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JAC'S EMPIRE Feb11 Jan27 Jan09 Dec19 Nov12 (va)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 10.00    
2  IRONCLAD ALIBI Jan30 Dec27 Nov21 Nov06 Oct11 (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 124 4.50 ★    
3  FOURDATESFORHOCO Jan15 Dec16 Dec02 Oct29 Oct10 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 6.00 17% 5.00    
SCR  PRESSLEY RIDGE Dec27 May30 Apr24 Mar18 Feb29 (pappada a)STOKES J 124 20.00    
5  VDAYTOTHETENACIOUS Feb13 Jan16 Nov23 Oct05   (romans dale)BRACHO A 126 1.20 63% 0.60    
6  REIGNING DREAM Jan30 Dec27 Nov25 Nov11 Oct26 (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 3.00 ★    
7  MAN'S CHOICE Dec09 Nov06 Oct23 Sep14 Aug30 (galloway khade)HOUGHTON D 124 20.00    
8  COLOR BEARER Jan30 Dec09 Nov06 Oct08 Sep16 (skerrett jeffrey)RIVERA R 124 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.