Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Tuesday - December 24, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (2/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/4)-(2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/4)-(7/3/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/4)-(7/3/2/5)-(5/6/2/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-2   WIN (7/3/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/2/5)-(7/3/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/2/5)-(7/3/2/5)-(7/3/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/3/2/5)-(5/6/2/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/3/2/5)-(5/6/2/3)-(3/6/5/2) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-3   WIN (5/6/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/2/3)-(5/6/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/2/3)-(5/6/2/3)-(5/6/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/2/3)-(3/6/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/6/2/3)-(3/6/5/2)-(2/8/4/10) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-4   WIN (3/6/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/5/2)-(3/6/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/5/2)-(3/6/5/2)-(3/6/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/5/2)-(2/8/4/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/6/5/2)-(2/8/4/10)-(5/4/12/8/11) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-5   WIN (2/8/4/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/4/10)-(2/8/4/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/4/10)-(2/8/4/10)-(2/8/4/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/8/4/10)-(5/4/12/8/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/8/4/10)-(5/4/12/8/11)-(2/5/8/7/1) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-6   WIN (5/4/12/8/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/4/12/8/11)-(5/4/12/8/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/4/12/8/11)-(5/4/12/8/11)-(5/4/12/8/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/4/12/8/11)-(2/5/8/7/1) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (5/4/12/8/11)-(2/5/8/7/1)-(7/5/11/6/12) 125 $1.00 $125 
TAM-7   WIN (2/5/8/7/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/5/8/7/1)-(2/5/8/7/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/5/8/7/1)-(2/5/8/7/1)-(2/5/8/7/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/5/8/7/1)-(7/5/11/6/12) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (2/5/8/7/1)-(7/5/11/6/12)-(7/4/1/10/6) 125 $1.00 $125 
TAM-8   WIN (7/5/11/6/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/5/11/6/12)-(7/5/11/6/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/5/11/6/12)-(7/5/11/6/12)-(7/5/11/6/12) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/5/11/6/12)-(7/4/1/10/6) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
TAM-9   WIN (7/4/1/10/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/4/1/10/6)-(7/4/1/10/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/4/1/10/6)-(7/4/1/10/6)-(7/4/1/10/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   12/24/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT-12:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  JUST MERCY Nov27 Oct25 Sep08 Aug23 Aug02 (agostini a)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 113 5.00    
2  NEGRA GATA Oct17 Oct01 Sep04 Aug11 Oct20 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 120 4.00 40% 1.50    
3  BROOKMESA Dec04 Sep22 Sep08 Aug28 Aug11 (pompay terri)CAMACHO SAMY 118 2.50    
4  CAPTURED DARLING Dec04 Oct12 Sep15 Aug25 Jul05 (mcburney p)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  SADIE BABY Sep27 Aug25 Jul27 Jun30 Jun02 (mcburney patri)MARIN SAMUEL 120 2.00    
6  HEAVEN RULES Nov23 Oct21 Oct18 Sep20 Aug28 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 120 8.00 18% 4.60    
 
TAM-2   12/24/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($22K) 2 ALL PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JAZZ N BLUES Nov20 Aug30 Jul26     (fisher davi)OCASIO JONATHAN 116 5.00    
2  PANCHO SLIPS AWAY Oct08 Sep20       (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 119 6.00 14% 6.20    
3  RAYDAR CONTROL         (ward dennis)GONZALEZ ALEX 119 3.00 24% 3.10    
4  DANCER'S SHADOW Oct28 Sep25 Aug24     (alessi james)HESS SARA 112 10.00    
5  RYAN'S SHADOW         (kutt donna )QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  AMAURY M. V. P.         (tsirigotis jr)DIAZ S 119 12.00    
7  MY LUCKY ANGEL         (bennett gerald)MARIN SAMUEL 119 2.00 40% 1.50    
8  HOTLINE BLINK Oct15 Oct05 Sep08 Aug24   (parra hern)URDANETA J 119 8.00    
 
TAM-3   12/24/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($53K) 2 F PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANNA JEAN Dec07 Nov20       (gardea abraham)GIL CIPRIANO 119 10.00    
  (by NOBLE BIRD out of POLO UNION by UNION RAGS)
2  COTTAGE GARDEN Nov06 Oct15       (harty eoin)CASTANON L 119 2.50 17% 4.70    
  (by FROSTED out of COUNTRY CHARM by DEHERE)
3  EXPLOSIVE LADY         (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by VOLATILE out of MARVELOUS SPOT by ARCHARCHARCH)
4  JUNTA         (granitz anthony )MARTINEZ W 119 6.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of I THEE WED by HARD SPUN)
5  TICKIN TIME BLONDE Nov17 Oct24 Aug29     (oliver victori)CAMACHO SAMY 119 2.00 31% 2.20    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of BLONDE BOMBER by FORT LARNED)
6  MADAM MITOLE Dec07 Sep21 Aug30     (bennett gerald)MARIN SAMUEL 119 4.00 31% 2.20    
  (by MITOLE out of YABBA by LEMON DROP KID)
7  STELLAR ASSET Sep29 Jun14       (hamm timothy)FERRER C 119 10.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of WICKED OBSESSION by TAPIT)
 
TAM-4   12/24/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAYNTED WARRIOR Oct14 Sep30 Aug26 Jul22 Jul01 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 120 10.00    
2  BIG FIG Nov29 Nov04 Oct30 Oct13 Sep25 (rivera xavier )COTTO L 118 10.00 13% 6.70    
3  AMERICAN WARRIOR Nov20 Oct17 Oct05 Sep26 Aug04 (arnett g)MARIN SAMUEL 118 3.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  BALTASAR Oct12 Sep25 Sep04 Jul25 Jun15 (arriagada juan)CAMACHO SAMY 120 8.00    
5  GRIMES Nov27 Nov10 Sep29 Sep08 Aug17 (spanabel ke)SPANABEL SKYLER 120 15.00 14% 6.30    
6  DOC AMSTER Nov29 Oct18 Aug16 Jul14 Jun06 (yanez reynal)MENESES MARCOS 120 5.00 14% 5.90    
7  CALL ME ICE MAN Nov20 Sep19 Jul25 Jun09 May12 (campbell micha)CASTANON L 120 12.00    
8  TAKESCHARGESMILING Nov20 Oct17 Sep26 Sep05 Aug03 (rigattieri jo)MORALES PABLO 118 1.60    
 
TAM-5   12/24/2024 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($54K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FULMINATE Dec05 Oct27 Aug23 Jul26 Jun23 (cazares laura)FERRER C 120 10.00    
2  MUSICAL DESIGN Oct05 Aug31 Aug10 Jul20 Nov17 (smith g)CENTENO E 120 3.00 42% 1.40    
3  THEODORA GRACE Nov30 Oct31 Oct20 Oct10 Sep20 (hernandez enr)GONZALEZ ALEX 120 6.00    
4  TALKIN TIPSY Oct18 Sep27 Aug23 Jul26 Jun08 (gulic)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 5.00 7% 13.10    
SCR  THELASTBULLETSMINE Feb14 Jan14 Dec14 Nov18 Oct13 (vinson john )BATISTA A 120 15.00    
6  MOANAS POWER Nov24 Aug12 Jul13 Jun08 May12 (munoz ca)RODRIGUEZ O 120 8.00    
7  SPEIGHTFUL SIS Nov02 Sep28 Aug14 Jul14 Jun27 (richards renal)MARIN SAMUEL 120 6.00    
8  HOPESNDREAMS Oct03 Sep05 Aug16 Jul27 Jul13 (dini mike)CASTANON L 118 2.00 23% 3.30    
SCR  EPONA'S HOPE Oct19 Sep27 Apr13 Feb04 Jan14 (plesa j)CAMACHO SAMY 118 3.00    
10  GRAYTANA Nov23 Oct06 Sep01 Jul28 Jul06 (campbell joel)CASTANON L 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CAMILA T (IRE) Nov28 Jul07 Feb10 Nov04 Oct04 (avila c)MENESES MARCOS 118 8.00    
SCR  COVENANT LADY Oct17 Jul21 Jun18 May06 Apr13 (granitz ant)GONZALEZ MELVIS 113 10.00    
 
TAM-6   12/24/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BARBARESCO BABY Nov03 Oct26 Oct04 Sep08 Aug18 (spanabel k)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 115 15.00    
SCR  STARSHIP SOPHIA         (ferraro ant)IORIO MELISSA 124 4.00    
3  CAJUN BONFIRE Oct04 Sep05       (dominguez r)HESS SARA 115 20.00    
4  TRUE HONEY         (serrano rene)LEON SONNY 124 8.00 20% 4.10    
5  WOMANS PEROGATIVE         (cascallares )GONZALEZ CESAR 117 6.00 32% 2.10    
SCR  ADIOS TIPSY         (gulick)ALMEDINA MARIANGELYS 115 3.00    
7  ALWAYS DRAMA Nov27 Jul19 May30 Apr21 Jun10 (yates michae)MENESES MARCOS 124 10.00    
8  DON'T TELL AMY Dec05 Nov16 Oct06 Aug16 Jul07 (cordero anto)BATISTA A 124 12.00 10% 8.80    
9  LITTLE CARLEY Nov30 Nov15 Sep22 Sep08 May03 (kutt donna)GONZALEZ E 112 20.00    
10  PIZZICATO Dec13 Nov27 Aug30 Aug09 Jun02 (rivera fra)ALONSO LUIS 122 15.00    
11  MS EXCUSE Nov27 Apr28 Apr07 Mar23 Nov22 (rivera xavi)GONZALEZ MELVIS 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
12  ZELIHA         (sherman a)SHERMAN ALEXANDRA 115 20.00 18% 4.70    
13  CRYSTAL REIGN Sep22 Dec02       (marrer)ROJAS EDUARDO 122 15.00    
 
TAM-7   12/24/2024 5940ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($25.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISSION KEY Nov30 Sep19 Aug15 Jul13 Jun20 (rarick lynn)ALLEN D 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  SONIC SPEED Dec14 Nov29 Oct26 Sep21 Aug31 (delgado jose)BATISTA A 123 3.00 50% 1.00    
SCR  SKIPPERINI Nov29 Sep21 Aug29 Jul27 Jun22 (rodrigue)GALLARDO A 121 6.00    
4  CRAFTY KING Nov23 Sep21 Jul27 Jul03 Jun08 (vanwinkle d)QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 20.00    
5  ROYAL LUCK (CHI) Nov23 Aug26 Jul30 May24 Mar25 (arriagada juan)CAMACHO SAMY 121 10.00 14% 6.20    
6  NAPOLEON'S WAR Nov23 Nov02 Sep04 Aug01 Jul21 (moysey chelsey)COTTO L 121 15.00    
7  BRUMBA WAFFLE TOES Dec06 Sep11 Aug07 Jul22 Jul04 (rice kevin)VILLA-GOMEZ H 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  CATATUMBO Nov23 Oct21 Oct08 Sep24 Sep10 (barron rory)MARTINEZ W 121 15.00 12% 7.50    
9  DENYING Nov23 Sep23 Sep02 Aug04 Jul20 (ryan s)CASTANON L 121 6.00    
10  POLICY OPTION Nov30 Oct19 Oct10 Sep08 Aug22 (simone michael)MARIN SAMUEL 121 3.00    
SCR  EDDIE THE GREAT Nov30 Nov03 Oct04 Sep07 Aug11 (simone michae)MORALES PABLO 121 10.00    
12  NEXT EPISODE Dec18 Oct26 Oct12 Aug31 Aug17 (de karla)ROCCO S 118 15.00    
SCR  IT'S A FACT Oct27 Sep21 Aug24 Jul05 May31 (smith cr)GALLARDO A 121 15.00    
SCR  SCENIC JUSTICE Oct22 Sep16 Sep05 Aug15 Aug01 (granitz anthon)MARIN SAMUEL 121 10.00    
 
TAM-8   12/24/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CARSONSTRONG Nov23 Oct04 Mar23 Jan06 Dec26 (cahill steven)IORIO MELISSA 118 20.00    
2  TABOR TIME Oct18 Sep20 Jul13 Jun15 May27 (crook-de)GALLARDO A 120 4.00    
3  WICKED LEGACY Nov22 Oct20 Aug30 Jul27 Jun20 (delgado jorge)GIL CIPRIANO 118 8.00    
4  PRIX Jun19 Jun05 May11 Apr25 Mar15 (alessi james)HESS SARA 111 15.00    
5  SCORED Oct24 Sep12 Aug23 Jul27 Jan13 (wright michae)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 10.00 11% 7.90    
6  I LOVE VENEZUELA Dec18 Oct12 Sep14 Sep01 Aug15 (yanez reyna)GONZALEZ MELVIS 111 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  ST. JOE JET Nov27 Oct26 Oct04 Sep08 Aug24 (guciardo kathy)CAMACHO SAMY 122 3.00 52% 0.90    
8  UPSTREET Sep08 Jun29 Jun07 May17 Apr25 (marre)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 15.00    
9  MYA C Dec11 Oct04 Aug15 Jul25 Jul08 (hardesty l)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 118 20.00    
10  PANOLA Oct02 Sep12 Aug22 Aug01 Jul04 (canegata jam)GONZALEZ CESAR 111 12.00    
11  PESADILLA CHANEL Nov23 Oct15 Sep30 Sep13 Sep02 (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 118 6.00 9% 10.20    
12  DUNEEN BAY Jun15 Jan21 Nov25 Oct26 Sep02 (gardea)ROJAS EDUARDO 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-9   12/24/2024 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($53K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEGITIMIZE Oct18 Aug08 Feb14     (hamm )DIAZ RAFAEL 121 5.00 20% 4.00    
2  ARTIE'S ANGEL Aug25 Jul03 Jun08 Apr20 Mar30 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 20.00    
3  MAXIMATCH Nov29 Sep15 Aug17 Jul21 Jun21 (pompay terri)LEON SONNY 118 20.00    
4  WHY NOT ME Nov29 Sep30 Jul03 Apr26 Apr05 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 118 2.50 20% 4.00    
5  JAMESTOWN Nov08 Apr27 Jan31 Jan06 Oct28 (delacour arn)BATISTA A 121 6.00    
6  ROSE COLLECTOR Nov29 Oct12 Sep28 Aug10 Jul05 (clark a)CASTANON L 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  GOES THE CLOWN Nov02 Oct05 Aug10 Jul13 Jan13 (d'angelo jose )MARIN SAMUEL 118 3.00 25% 3.10    
8  EHSAAN Jun29 Jun02 May04 Apr17 Mar23 (joseph saffie )CAMACHO SAMY 118 10.00    
9  MAGIC HEART Aug22 Aug11 Jul20 Jun30 Apr26 (schuh tim)BRACHO A 118 15.00    
10  OK BOOMER Apr27 Feb03 Dec14 Nov05 Mar04 (delacour arnaud)CENTENO E 121 10.00 15% 5.60    
SCR  C SUITE BOY Dec11 Oct03 Aug22 Jul28   (bowersoc)GALLARDO A 118 6.00    
SCR  LONELY RIDE Nov30 Oct31 Oct05 Sep28 Sep07 (ryan s)CAMACHO SAMY 118 12.00    
SCR  BIG Z OG Dec02 Oct19 Sep16 Jul17 Jul04 (crook-de)GALLARDO A 118 6.00    
SCR  DADDY'S DINERO Nov17 Oct03 Sep08 Aug13 Mar08 (vaughan edward)COTTO L 118 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.