Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Presque Isle Downs
Wednesday - October 23, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PID-1   WIN (7/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/6)-(7/2/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/6)-(7/2/6)-(7/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/2/6)-(5/1/3/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (7/2/6)-(5/1/3/2)-(6/2/4/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PID-2   WIN (5/1/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/3/2)-(5/1/3/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (5/1/3/2)-(5/1/3/2)-(5/1/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/3/2)-(6/2/4/3) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (5/1/3/2)-(6/2/4/3)-(6/4/2/3) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
PID-3   WIN (6/2/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/4/3)-(6/2/4/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (6/2/4/3)-(6/2/4/3)-(6/2/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/4/3)-(6/4/2/3) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (6/2/4/3)-(6/4/2/3)-(7/6/4/3) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
PID-4   WIN (6/4/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/2/3)-(6/4/2/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (6/4/2/3)-(6/4/2/3)-(6/4/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/2/3)-(7/6/4/3) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (6/4/2/3)-(7/6/4/3)-(8/4/3/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
PID-5   WIN (7/6/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/4/3)-(7/6/4/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (7/6/4/3)-(7/6/4/3)-(7/6/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/4/3)-(8/4/3/5) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (7/6/4/3)-(8/4/3/5)-(3/9/5/4/8) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
PID-6   WIN (8/4/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/3/5)-(8/4/3/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (8/4/3/5)-(8/4/3/5)-(8/4/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/4/3/5)-(3/9/5/4/8) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    PK3 (8/4/3/5)-(3/9/5/4/8)-(8/7/5/9/10) 100 $1.00 $100 
PID-7   WIN (3/9/5/4/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/9/5/4/8)-(3/9/5/4/8) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (3/9/5/4/8)-(3/9/5/4/8)-(3/9/5/4/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/9/5/4/8)-(8/7/5/9/10) 25 $2.00 $50.00 
    PK3 (3/9/5/4/8)-(8/7/5/9/10)-(1/4/7/9/12) 125 $1.00 $125 
PID-8   WIN (8/7/5/9/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/7/5/9/10)-(8/7/5/9/10) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (8/7/5/9/10)-(8/7/5/9/10)-(8/7/5/9/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/7/5/9/10)-(1/4/7/9/12) 25 $2.00 $50.00 
PID-9   WIN (1/4/7/9/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/4/7/9/12)-(1/4/7/9/12) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (1/4/7/9/12)-(1/4/7/9/12)-(1/4/7/9/12) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PID-1   10/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NEXT DOT Oct15 Sep16 Aug21 Aug05 Jul24 (schneider kim)BAYS BROOKE 112 8.00    
THREATLEVELMIDNITE (GB) Aug21 Jul28 May25 Apr24 Oct13 (west eth)MARTINEZ A 122 6.00 18% 4.70    
STRAIGHT MADNESS Oct09 Sep24 Sep10 Aug28 Aug12 (wilson arian)ALENCAR WALBER 122 12.00    
TUDOR PEAK Oct09 Sep26 Aug27 Aug14 Aug06 (rogers mi)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 4.50    
SCR  RICHIES NOBLE GIRL Oct09 Oct02 Sep16 Aug28 Jul30 (rojas ed)GALLARDO A 122 3.50    
AUNT JO Sep09 Aug30 Aug21 Aug14 Jul11 (smith lawrenc)DELGADO DAVID 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
VACCINA Oct02 Sep16 Jul17 Jun25 Jun03 (judd cassandr)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 2.50 43% 1.30    
MARZ EXPRESS Oct07 Aug28 Jun19 Mar22 Aug25 (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 3.00    
 
PID-2   10/23/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($17.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MIDNIGHT FAME Oct08 Sep24 Sep09 Aug27 Oct20 (carr-rozantz )CARPIO JAIMEN 124 5.00 9% 10.10    
AIN'T NO LADY Aug27 Jul26 Jun19 May29 May13 (englehart chr)MORALES PABLO 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
HIGH TRACK Oct08 Dec16 Nov19     (miller d)ALLEN D 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
JANES HOPE Oct13 Sep03 Aug05 Jul16 Oct25 (mckinley mary )LOPEZ DERECK 117 20.00    
LITTLE MISS MUNNY Oct01 Sep17 Sep04 Aug13 Jul24 (miller h)RODRIGUEZ O 121 2.50 63% 0.60    
SCR  SWEET GOLDEN GAL         (doran carl)ROWLAND MADELINE 121 4.50    
LAST BEST LAUGH Oct15         (grossman br)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 15.00    
SCR  MAHJONG GIRL Sep17 Aug13 Jul24 Jul10 Mar13 (wismer s)BAYS BROOKE 114 3.50    
SPOKEN VOW Oct10 Sep18 Sep03 Jul02 Sep20 (russell )MARTINEZ A 121 6.00    
 
PID-3   10/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($32K) 2 ALL PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAYTOWN BARACUS Oct06 Sep17 Aug29 Aug10 Jun17 (mcentee paul)MURGIA A 120 3.00    
THE COUNT IS ON Aug21 Aug01 Jul06     (corrigan jim)MORALES PABLO 120 8.00 26% 2.80    
RANSOM MONEY Oct07 Sep20 Aug28 Aug12 Jul24 (connelly)GALLARDO A 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
ON RESERVE Oct08 Aug31 Aug07     (cheeks k)RODRIGUEZ O 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
SECRET TROUBLE Sep30 Sep20 Aug22     (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 122 6.00    
SPEIGHT THE SNOW Oct07 Sep20 Aug12 Jul24   (potts g)WALKER M 120 3.50 48% 1.10    
STREETS OF WAR Oct07 Sep20 Aug15 Jul23 Jun26 (rivera nest)NUNEZ Y 120 4.50    
GOODMENARESCARCE Sep23 Aug15 Aug01 Jul17   (corrigan jim)ALLEN D 120 4.00    
 
PID-4   10/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARLOTUK Oct10 Sep18 Aug28 May27 Oct24 (girten t)GALLARDO A 121 2.50    
JOSH'S HONOR Sep10 Aug19 Jul30 Jul02 May22 (rogers michael)MARTINEZ W 122 8.00 14% 6.10    
SOUND THE CHARGE Oct22 Aug04 Jul12 Jun20   (pino michael )MORALES PABLO 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
CALL THE BALL Oct03 Sep09 Aug20 Jul28 Jul17 (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 121 3.00 24% 3.10    
WARRIOR'S CAUSE Oct02 Sep24 Aug19 Jul31 Jun20 (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 4.50    
MEROKEE Oct09 Sep25 Sep02 Aug19 Jul27 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 124 3.50 32% 2.20    
DR RAGS Oct10 Sep24 Sep04 Aug12 Jul30 (judd cas)RODRIGUEZ O 122 5.00    
 
PID-5   10/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($17.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALL ME LATER Oct10 Sep24 Sep09 Aug07 Apr28 (russell )MARTINEZ A 124 3.00    
WOODCHUCK Oct10 Aug21 Aug07 Jul15 Jun26 (rogers mic)AYALA J 122 6.00    
SPAN OF CONTROL Oct07 Sep18 Sep03 Jul30 Jul01 (fennessy joh)ALENCAR WALBER 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
UNRAPTURED Oct10 Sep24 Aug29 Jul29 Jul04 (rogers mich)MORALES PABLO 122 5.00 9% 10.00    
I'M THE CABANA BOY Sep18 Aug28 Aug12 Jul15 Jul02 (fennessy john)WALKER M 122 20.00    
AQUITANIA ARRIVAL Oct08 Sep20 Sep10 Aug10 Jul30 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 122 3.50 12% 7.40    
CERTAIN Sep24 Sep09 Aug21 Jul31 Jul15 (connelly)GALLARDO A 124 2.50 52% 0.90    
SCR  GET EVEN Oct10 Sep24 Sep03 Jun24 May29 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 122 12.00    
 
PID-6   10/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 2 F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRAWBERRY SKY Oct10         (valdez moises)LOPEZ DERECK 113 20.00    
  (by KHOZAN out of GOLDEN BUCKET by MASS MEDIA)
SCR  CARROLL'S HONOR         (rice kevin)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 4.00    
  (by CURLIN'S HONOR out of WITCHESOFWESTFIELD by CAPE CANAVERAL)
CARMEL ROSE         (corrigan jim)MORALES PABLO 120 10.00 11% 8.20    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of BEAUTIFUL WIFE by TO HONOR AND SERVE)
BEEHAVIN         (harty eoin)POSTON K 110 8.00 11% 8.00    
  (by HIGHTAIL out of MONTMARTRE MORNING by TIZNOW)
ZIPADEEDOODA         (delong ben)JURADO EDDIE 120 10.00 11% 8.20    
  (by UNBRIDLED ENERGY out of CONCERT PIANIST by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
BAYTOWN STORM Oct02 Sep14 Aug29 Aug17 May19 (mcentee paul)BAYS BROOKE 113 6.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of CHARMING SHE IS by JOHAR)
JASMINES WORLD Oct07 Sep17 Aug27     (kleine bernard)ALLEN D 120 8.00    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of PRINCESS JASMINE by ARTAX)
CHRIS'S KITTY         (kintz matthew)MARTINEZ W 120 5.00 41% 1.50    
  (by DIALED IN out of ANNIVERSARY KITTY by TRIBAL RULE)
SCR  MAKE A MILLION Oct13 Sep01 Aug10     (rice ada)RODRIGUEZ O 120 1.40    
  (by HIGHER POWER out of RAINBOW DREAMS by EMPIRE MAKER)
 
PID-7   10/23/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DUNE ROAD Oct15 Oct03 Sep16 Aug21 May09 (rice kevin)AYALA J 121 8.00    
IOYA AGAIN Aug17 Jul18 Mar16 Nov17 Sep03 (van berg)GALLARDO A 122 12.00    
AKAMAI Sep26 Sep10 Aug17 Mar30 Feb16 (west eth)MARTINEZ A 122 2.50 28% 2.50    
VELOCE Sep30 Sep11 Aug26 Aug13 Aug05 (bernard)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 12.00 10% 9.10    
ALL THE RAGE Oct10 Sep25 Sep04 Aug06 Jun22 (rice linda)ALENCAR WALBER 121 3.50 11% 8.10    
CAPTURETHELAUGHTER Oct16 Sep25 Aug23 Jul28 Jul17 (gotera ca)JURADO EDDIE 122 15.00    
SON OF LIBERTY Oct16 Sep25 Sep10 Aug23 Jul24 (gilmarti)RODRIGUEZ O 124 8.00    
HARI Oct02 Sep18 Aug27 Jul17 Jun22 (amaya joan)BAYS BROOKE 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
MISCHIEF WARRIOR Oct16 Oct02 Sep18 Aug20 Jul24 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 122 4.00 25% 2.90    
SCR  NOBLE CONQUEST Sep11 Aug26 Aug16 Aug01 Jul11 (smith lawrenc)DELGADO DAVID 122 30.00    
11  SUMMERFEST Oct08 Sep20 Aug31 Jan03 Dec06 (urieta johann)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 6.00    
 
PID-8   10/23/2024 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FLOAT AWAY Oct14 Sep30 Sep04 Aug20 Jul17 (bourke joh)AYALA J 122 12.00    
MILA JUNES Sep25 Jun21 May30 May09 Mar15 (van berg)MARTINEZ A 119 4.00    
BALI KUTA Sep28 Sep02 Jul19 Mar13 Feb14 (brion keri)SPIETH S 122 10.00    
ROZAY SUMMER Sep16 Aug26 Aug07 Jul24 Jun28 (rice kevin)ALENCAR WALBER 119 30.00    
LADY HAMILTON Oct02 Aug27 Aug05 Jul11 Jun15 (rojas ed)RODRIGUEZ O 122 4.50 9% 10.20    
CAT ONE Oct15 Oct02 Sep16 Aug28 Aug13 (barron rory)ALLEN D 119 20.00    
KISS BLUE Sep17 Aug26 Jul21 Jun15   (mott ril)GALLARDO A 119 2.50 11% 8.10    
RED PIXIE Oct02 Aug13 Aug05 Jul04 Jun25 (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 124 3.00 57% 0.80    
MALICED Sep26 Aug15 Jul23 Jul08 Jun11 (urieta joha)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  BEADS Oct01 Sep09 Jul24 Jun23 Nov23 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
PID-9   10/23/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIABLO DADDY Oct10 Aug26 Aug13 Jul25 Jun22 (zook w)WHITACRE B 122 3.00 46% 1.20    
BALLINDINE Oct10 Sep25 Sep10 Aug26 Jul26 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 122 8.00    
RAPA NUI Oct10 Sep25 Sep10 Aug26 Aug12 (buhrow jamie )DELGADO DAVID 122 50.00    
MY SANCTUARY Sep25 Aug30 Aug13 Jul11 Jun20 (stidham )GALLARDO A 122 3.50 14% 6.20    
THREE O ONE Oct10 Sep25 Sep10 Aug12 Jul16 (rice kevin)ALENCAR WALBER 122 15.00    
SNIP THE ROSES Sep25 Sep02 Aug26 Aug12 Jul24 (judd cassandra)SPIETH S 122 20.00    
SIGMUND Sep25 Sep10 Aug26 Jul27 Jul07 (girten tim)MARTINEZ W 122 4.50 11% 7.90    
WORK FROM HOME Oct03 Aug28 Aug21 Jul25 Jul10 (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 119 6.00    
ROENICK Sep26 Jul20 Jul03 Jun20 May23 (corrigan jim)AYALA J 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  THIRD CITY Oct09 Sep24 Sep03 Jul31 Jul25 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 121 12.00    
11  BLUE SOLDIER Sep25 Sep03 Aug14 Jul16 Jun18 (monserrate mar)JURADO EDDIE 124 12.00    
12  WARRIOR ON TAP Oct09 Sep25 Sep02 Jul31 Jul11 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.