Handicappers' Racing Form
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Middleburg
Saturday - October 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
MID-1   10/12/2024 11220ft TURF RC5 Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT-12:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RISK TAKING Sep08 Aug11 Jun05 Apr22 Mar25 (gomens julie)GALLIGAN GERARD 154      
2  NATHAN DETROIT Jul14 Feb24 Jan01 Dec15 Nov06 (morris r)BARGARY JAMIE 154   18% 4.60    
3  BASELINE BEATER Jan13 Dec16 Nov17 Oct12 Sep10 (valentine ri)BESWICK HARRISON 150   5% 19.00    
4  SERVER         (cockburn sam)DALTON BERNARD 150   5% 19.00    
5  L'AVVOCATO (FR) Sep05 Aug12       (neilson kathy)DWAN EVAN 149      
6  GASTON Sep09 Aug12 Jul01 May28 Dec11 (wyatt j)O'HANLON PADDY 154   ★    
7  MISCHIEF AFOOT Oct26 Aug22 Aug03 Aug08 May20 (neilson kathy)HENDRIKS PARKER 154      
8  PRAGHAS CEART (IRE) Sep05         (mcdermott sean)MCDERMOTT SEAN 154   61% 0.60    
9  FOURONEOHSMOKESHOW Jul28 Jun21 May26 Nov11 Oct23 (brion keri)MULQUEEN STEPHEN 142      
10  DYNAMITE DAN         (garner thomas)WATTERS GRAHAM 150      
 
MID-2   10/12/2024 11220ft TURF RC2 Mdn Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YUP YA BOY YA (IRE) Sep05         (foley barry)BESWICK HARRISON 154   24% 3.10    
2  LITTLE G T Sep05 Aug01 Apr06 Jan05 Dec08 (gomens julie)GALLIGAN GERARD 154      
3  NORTHERN RYE Sep05 Aug01 Jun21 May26 May06 (fisher r)WATTERS GRAHAM 150      
4  ASK HIM OAKEY Sep05 Jul07 Jun25 Jun04 Apr29 (ruch nancy)DALTON BERNARD 150      
5  LAKER MAMBA Sep05 Aug01 Jun30 Apr22 Feb18 (morris neil )MULQUEEN STEPHEN 154      
6  NEUTRAL Oct06 Sep17 Aug26 Aug17 Aug05 (wyatt j)O'HANLON PADDY 150   5% 19.00    
7  GREYLOVER Sep05 Aug01 May13 Oct15 Jun11 (beecher mark)NEVIN DAN 149      
8  DEPARTMENT OF WAR         (neilson kathy)HENDRIKS PARKER 154   5% 19.00    
9  MARYLAND MOON Jun07 May12 Apr26 Mar30 Mar22 (dowling william)DWAN EVAN 145   ★    
10  LOWCOUNTRY Aug12 Aug01 Jun19 Oct22 Oct08 (boucher lilith)BOUCHER MELL 149      
11  LOVE FOREVERAFTER Aug01 Jul11 Oct13 Sep22 Aug11 (morris r)NO RIDER 143   49% 1.10    
 
MID-3   10/12/2024 11220ft TURF RC10 Allowance Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOVIET PIMPERNEL (IRE) Oct22 Oct15       (hendriks rich)GALLIGAN GERARD 157   ★    
2  BELLARMINE HALL Aug12 Sep08 Aug25 Jul21 Oct15 (bourke liam)DALTON BERNARD 147      
3  QUICK MASTER Mar31 Jan04 Dec06 Sep10 Aug09 (fisher r)WATTERS GRAHAM 154      
4  DECISIVE TRIUMPH Mar30 Mar25 Oct15 Sep01 Aug03 (beecher mark)NEVIN DAN 153   37% 1.70    
5  CARLOUN (IRE) Aug01 Jun14 Nov12 Oct28 Oct12 (brion keri)MULQUEEN STEPHEN 154   28% 2.50    
6  MISSION BRIEF Mar25 Nov05 Oct08 Jun08   (hodsdon danie)HENDRIKS PARKER 156   13% 7.00    
7  FACTOTUM Sep14 Sep01 Jun14 May17 Apr27 (smith lawren)BESWICK HARRISON 145      
 
MID-4   10/12/2024 17160ft TURF RC11 National Sporting Library Purse ($50K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DRUID'S ALTAR (IRE) May07 Apr22       (dowling william)DWAN EVAN 160   7% 13.40    
2  ROYAL RUSE Mar31 Nov05 Oct14 Apr29 Apr22 (neilson sanna)HENDRIKS PARKER 165      
3  SCHOODIC         (fisher r)WATTERS GRAHAM 165   59% 0.70    
4  MYSTIC STRIKE Apr15 Mar26 Nov06 Oct08   (mckenna todd)GALLIGAN GERARD 165      
5  AWESOME ADRIAN Mar31 Nov05 Oct14 May13 Apr15 (neilson kath)MULQUEEN STEPHEN 165   11% 7.80    
6  HARD STRIKE Mar31 Nov05 Aug24 Aug17 Jul27 (mckenna todd)BESWICK HARRISON 165   ★    
7  NOTJUDGINJUSTSAYIN Nov06 May14       (fisher r)BARGARY JAMIE 165      
 
MID-5   10/12/2024 11220ft TURF RC2 Mdn Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIR JOHN MONASH (GB)         (young f)BARGARY JAMIE 150   5% 19.00    
2  TI SENTO (IRE) Sep16 May26 Apr30 Apr09 Mar19 (hendriks park)HENDRIKS PARKER 150   5% 19.00    
3  KING TSUNAMI Sep14 Aug21 Jul19 Aug31 Jul19 (wyatt j)MULQUEEN STEPHEN 154   ★    
4  ISHIHARA Aug27 Jun30 May19 Apr15 Mar11 (morris r)NO RIDER 154      
5  MADE TO BE LUCKY Sep09 Jun18 Apr15 Apr05 Mar23 (smith lawrence )CUNDITH SARAH 144      
6  THATSMYBOXER Aug29 Aug03 Jul10 Nov10 Sep21 (morris r)WATTERS GRAHAM 150      
7  SOLOMON'S CHOICE Sep02 Aug11 Jul23 Jul07 Jun18 (cole jason)GALLIGAN GERARD 154      
8  KING OF THE KIDS Sep04 Jul29 Jul16 Jul02 Jun18 (murphy cyril)BESWICK HARRISON 154      
9  BEOWULF (IRE) Sep05 Nov12 Oct25 Aug25 Jun10 (garner thomas)DWAN EVAN 149   50% 1.00    
10  HE BE DA BOMB Apr06 Jun11       (korrell elizabet)BOUCHER MELL 149      
11  VANA BRIGHT Sep08 Aug01 Jul11 Jun16 Apr06 (boucher lilith)BOUCHER MELL 138   29% 2.40    
 
MID-6   10/12/2024 11220ft TURF RC11 Will O'Keefe Memorial Purse ($50K) 3 ALL PT- 3:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPER CHUNK Jun15         (mcdermott sean)MCDERMOTT SEAN 148   ★    
2  MOONSHINE RUNNER Jun20 May25 Mar31     (young f)BARGARY JAMIE 148   ★    
3  ST JAMES THE GREAT Aug22 Jul27 Jul08 May25 Apr19 (brion keri)MULQUEEN STEPHEN 148   ★    
4  HOLIDAY CHARM Apr06 Mar08       (gomens julie)GALLIGAN GERARD 148   ★    
5  NOT LISTENING May11 May01 Feb09 Jan07 Nov10 (dalton kate)DALTON BERNARD 148      
6  EXEMPTION Feb04 Jan18       (valentine richar)BOUCHER MELL 148      
7  BRIE'S MISSION Jul02 Mar21 Feb29 Feb04 Jan12 (fisher r)WATTERS GRAHAM 148      
 
MID-7   10/12/2024 15840ft TURF RC5 Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAKE PROFIT Aug10 Jul27 Jun26     (dowling will)MULQUEEN STEPHEN 165   5% 19.00    
2  BET THE POT Mar26 Jul18       (morris r)HENDRIKS PARKER 165      
3  RACAVAN         (valentine l)NEVIN DAN 160   5% 19.00    
4  ERYX Mar30 Jul18       (katz sara)DALTON BERNARD 165   78% 0.30    
5  HAIL TO THE CHIEF Oct29 Oct22 Oct08 Apr21 Feb17 (neilson kathy)GALLIGAN GERARD 165   ★    
6  WRESTLINGWITHRAE (IRE) Aug08         (young f)O'HANLON PADDY 165   ★    
7  ANTICIPATING May13 Mar25       (morris r)NO RIDER 165      
8  POTUS Sep08 Jul21 Oct22 Oct08 Jul26 (fisher r)WATTERS GRAHAM 165      
9  REASON TO PRAY         (piper r)BOUCHER MELL 160      
10  KELMSCOTT (IRE) Mar30         (young f)BARGARY JAMIE 165      
 
MID-8   10/12/2024 13860ft TURF RC10 Allowance Purse ($20K) 5UP ALL PT- 4:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MINELLA PLUS (IRE) Aug12 Jul18       (garner thoma)MULQUEEN STEPHEN 160      
2  COURT RULER (IRE) Mar31 Nov04 Mar26 Nov05 Oct08 (young f)BARGARY JAMIE 165   26% 2.80    
3  FASHION LINE May05 Apr06 Mar31 May07 Apr15 (neilson kathy)DALTON BERNARD 165      
4  ANIMAL KINGSTON Mar31 Nov04 Aug18 Jun20   (morris r)WATTERS GRAHAM 160   10% 8.50    
5  QUID Nov05 Aug29 Jul11     (gomens julie)GALLIGAN GERARD 160   41% 1.40    
6  HERMANN CLERMONT         (young f)O'HANLON PADDY 160      
7  WICKED WEST (IRE) Aug01 Jul18       (wyatt j)NEVIN DAN 155   ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.