Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belterra Park
Thursday - August 01, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BTP-1   WIN (7/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/4)-(7/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2/4)-(7/2/4)-(7/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/2/4)-(2/4/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
BTP-2   WIN (2/4/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/3/1)-(2/4/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/3/1)-(2/4/3/1)-(2/4/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3/1)-(3/5)-(2/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
BTP-3   WIN (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/5)-(3/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (3/5)-(2/7/3)-(8/1/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-4   WIN (2/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/3)-(2/7/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/7/3)-(2/7/6/3)-(2/7/6/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/7/3)-(8/1/6)-(5/1/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-5   WIN (8/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/1/6)-(8/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/1/6)-(8/1/6)-(8/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
BTP-6   WIN (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/3)-(5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (5/1/3)-(5/4)-(2/1/3/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
BTP-7   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/4)-(2/1/3/9) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
BTP-8   WIN (2/1/3/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/3/9)-(2/1/3/4/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/1/3/9)-(2/1/3/4/9)-(2/1/3/4/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BTP-1   08/01/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.7K) 2 F PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GOOD LOOKING Jul17 Jun24 May13 Apr24   (leitch daniel)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 2.50    
  (by UNKNOWN out of TOWN FLIRT by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
MOON DANCE LAURA         (hernandez rey)LUCILLE GEENA 119 12.00 16% 5.20    
  (by CUPID out of BOLD INTENT by SCAT DADDY)
SCR  LIBERTY QUEEN         (camejo m)LEZCANO ABEL 119 8.00    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
MRS CHOFIS Jun24 May22       (chavez manuel)AYALA ISAIAS 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of ALGOWILD by ALGORITHMS)
LA MEDUSA Jul18 Jun15 May25 May03 Apr07 (fernandez k)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 6.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of STORMY ENCOUNTER by FED BIZ)
SCR  MATCH FIVE Jul06 May22 Apr26     (ennis john)DOYLE SOPHIE 119 3.50    
  (by MUNNINGS out of YAHTZEE QUEEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
RIO DE PAZ Jun29 May25 May13 Apr26 Apr11 (ramos rafa)BATISTA X 119 5.00 50% 1.00    
  (by BAL A BALI out of AMERICAN ROSE by DIGRESSION)
SPEED COLLECTOR Jul17 Jun15       (salas felipe)MCKEE J 119 4.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of SASSY ALI JOY by INDIAN CHARLIE)
 
BTP-2   08/01/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONSTITUTION COAL Jul20 Jul05 Jun19 Jan25 Dec28 (chain pearl)SOSA LAUREANO 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
FAVORABLE RETURN Sep25 Sep11 Jul18 May25 May15 (ocasio osv)BATISTA X 123 3.00 53% 0.90    
MO BETTA Jul04 Aug27 Jul29 Jun23 Apr22 (warpool shane)MILLER CHASE 123 5.00 9% 9.70    
KOLTEN'S PRIDE Jul19 Jun29 Jun19 May23 May11 (short thoma)OLIVEROS CHARLE 119 2.50 13% 6.70    
MANSION PARTY Jul05 Jun12 May10 Apr25 Mar09 (short thoma)LAGUNES GABRIEL 119 3.50    
EASILY INFLUENCED Aug02 Jul14 Oct04 Aug31 Aug18 (wilson jr)OUZTS W 123 10.00    
MONJE SOLAIA Jul19 Jul11 Jun29 May23   (aguirre juan )JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 6.00    
 
BTP-3   08/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($16.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OL' NED Jul17 Dec14 Nov27 Oct04 Sep06 (cline robert )ZONETT KEYNER 123 5.00    
JOSH'N Jul25 Jul04 Jun19 May28 May13 (murillo-rodri)CANUTO THIAGO 123 2.00    
WILLIE JONES Jul04 Jun12 Sep08 Jul08 May11 (greenhill jef)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 3.00 31% 2.20    
SCR  RIDING IN THE WIND Jul19 Jul04 Jun19 Jun06 May23 (dalton mic)BATISTA X 123 3.50    
HONOR THE D Jul04 Jun12 May30 Apr08 Feb19 (bates l)MURGIA A 123 4.00 6% 17.10    
 
BTP-4   08/01/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANA GRIS May31 May13 Apr24 Mar16 Feb23 (rodak geral)JIMENEZ J 118 10.00    
DESTINY'S DARLING Jun29 May23 May04 Mar15 Jan13 (newton troy)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 2.00 51% 1.00    
TWO HEARTED Jul12 Jul04 May31 May17 Apr25 (salas felipe)MCKEE J 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
MAMITA LINDA Jul03 Jun20 May02 Mar21 Mar02 (rodriquez r)MIRANDA ROGELIO 122 6.00    
WILL VIRGINIA DARE Jul11 Jun15 Jun01 May17 Apr23 (decker anna)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 122 4.50    
BANNED FROM MIDWAY Jul03 Jun26 Jun15 May23 May16 (caramori edua)JIMENEZ ALBIN 124 3.50    
STYLE Jul06 Jun15 May25 May04 Apr13 (schlenk jada )CANUTO THIAGO 122 4.00 24% 3.20    
YOGURT Jul12 Jun28 Jun05 Jan03 Dec08 (short billy)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 10.00    
 
BTP-5   08/01/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOTOR CITY MENACE         (heath dest)VILLARREAL OSCAR 114 6.00 19% 4.20    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of SKIPAROO by MUSKETIER (GER))
SCR  ACCONA Jul15 Jun10 May19 Apr10 Feb23 (camejo m)LEZCANO ABEL 119 10.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of DESERT LEGACY by TAPIT)
SCR  KING DEIVYS Jul20 Jul07 Jun05 May23   (perez car)AYALA ISAIAS 119 20.00    
  (by ENTICED out of ROCK ME MAMA by BROKEN VOW)
SCR  DADDY'S DINERO Mar08 Jan05 Oct24 Sep25   (vaughan edward)MCKEE J 119 8.00    
  (by DADDY LONG LEGS out of WHITE GOLD by EXCHANGE RATE)
SCR  GET AHEAD NOW Jun05 Apr30 Jan11 Dec10 Oct13 (wilkes r)NAVAS YOEL 125 3.50    
  (by GET STORMY out of KAZAMIRA by DYNAFORMER)
SUCCESSION GOLD Jun27 May29 Aug18     (lobo h)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 4.50 7% 14.30    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of PURA CLASSE by GRAND SLAM)
MUCHO GRANDE Jul04 Jun06       (waltz brian)SERPA ANGEL 119 8.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of AES SEDAI by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
COACH PETRO Jun06 Feb24 Jan27 Dec16 Nov14 (estvanko rich)LEBRON VICTOR 125 2.50 50% 1.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of HEY NIKI by INCLUDE)
RETURNED Jun12         (semkin sam)MOJICA JR 119 5.00    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of FLOWERFUL by OVERANALYZE)
SCR  ARROTAP         (wilkes r)ELLIOTT JANE 119 8.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of SWEET TAPPER by TAPIT)
 
BTP-6   08/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GORMLEYS GOT GAME Jul15 Jul03 Oct23 Aug23 Aug10 (swingley duwayne)MCKEE J 123 3.50 11% 7.90    
D'MONEY HONEY Jul12 Jun21 May23 Dec11 Oct23 (cahill f)BUSH V 123 4.50    
DESERT HIGHWAY Jul12 Jun26 Jun12 May18 May02 (aguirre jua)LAGUNES GABRIEL 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
SAND MOUNTAIN Jul14 Jun16 Apr30 Jan05 Nov14 (schlenk k)HUGHES CARLY 123 4.00    
JARETH Jul19 Jun14 May25 Apr26 Mar27 (smith larry)OUZTS W 125 1.80 59% 0.70    
EL BOHEMIO Jul12 Jun20 Jun07 Sep01 Aug12 (esqu)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 123 6.00    
 
BTP-7   08/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($18.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ONE RED CENT Jul17 Jun29 Jun13 May30 May09 (jazdzewski jon)AYALA ISAIAS 121 4.50    
SCR  MY GRASS IS BLUE Jul20 Jun20 May16 May03 Feb28 (toye lin)DOYLE SOPHIE 122 12.00    
SCR  TIMELESS BOUNTY Jul15 Jun27 Jun02 May10 Feb17 (ocasio osvaldo)MACHADO LUAN 122 3.50    
INTO THE SUNRISE Jun25 Apr27 Mar20 Jan28 Jan01 (cross kenny)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 4.00 13% 6.70    
LOFTY ADJUDICATOR Jun08 May16 Apr21 Sep07 Aug05 (navarrete anna)MCKEE J 122 1.80 44% 1.30    
HELLO HOT ROD Jul17 Nov24 Oct14 Sep09 Jul02 (caramori caio)LEBRON VICTOR 122 8.00    
HALLOWEEN Jul17 Jun26 May25 Apr24 Apr07 (grubbs jamie )JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 5.00    
 
BTP-8   08/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IRISH ZAPPER Jul04 Jul15 Jun22 Jun03 May04 (waltz brian)JIMENEZ ALBIN 124 3.00 28% 2.50    
G'DAY LADY         (west w)LEBRON VICTOR 119 5.00 40% 1.50    
SCR  ROYAL ITCH Jul18 Jun28 Jun14 May23 May16 (wilson david )SOSA LAUREANO 119 4.50 8% 12.00    
I'AM TOO Jul04 Jun06 Dec20 Oct10 Aug02 (walsh d)BECKMAN ALICE 119 4.00    
FLAT OUT FAY Jul24 Jul12 Jun28 Jun14 Jun06 (aguirre r)PENA L 124 10.00    
COURT COSTS Jul18 Jun19 May30 May07 Apr21 (smith mike )JIMENEZ J 124 10.00    
KENTE KLARKE Jul11 Jun28 Jun14 Aug19 Aug04 (jones phil)VILLARREAL OSCAR 119 20.00    
RUNNETH OVER Jul04 Jun14 May30 May09 Nov29 (bates l)BUSH V 124 6.00    
NEUTRAL CAUSE Feb23         (axmaker cody )CANUTO THIAGO 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.