Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Saturday - July 27, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BTP-1   WIN (5/3/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/2/7)-(5/3/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/2/7)-(5/3/2/7)-(5/3/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/2/7)-(4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
BTP-2   WIN (4) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (4)-(4/6) 1 $1.00 $1.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (4)-(4/2/5)-(2/3/1/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
BTP-3   WIN (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/5)-(4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/2/5)-(2/3/1/5)-(2/7/6/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
BTP-4   WIN (2/3/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/1/5)-(2/3/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/1/5)-(2/3/1/5)-(2/3/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/1/5)-(2/7/6/4)-(5/6/2/1) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
BTP-5   WIN (2/7/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/6/4)-(2/7/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/6/4)-(2/7/6/4)-(2/7/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
BTP-6   WIN (5/6/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/2/1)-(5/6/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/2/1)-(5/6/2/1)-(5/6/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/2/1)-(7/2/3)-(3/4/5/11/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
BTP-7   WIN (7/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/3)-(7/2/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/2/3)-(7/2/6/3)-(7/2/6/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/2/3)-(3/4/5/11/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
BTP-8   WIN (3/4/5/11/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/4/5/11/6)-(3/4/5/11/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/4/5/11/6)-(3/4/5/11/6)-(3/4/5/11/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   07/27/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZERO CLICK Jul14 Jun14 Apr30 Mar29 Mar01 (norris mike)CANUTO THIAGO 122 10.00    
2  SYLLABUS Jul18 Jul04 Jun21 Jun06 May24 (dominguez )SANCHEZ LEXANDER 122 4.00 19% 4.30    
3  LAST CHANCE DANCE Jul05 Jun19 May29 May16 Apr26 (morelos mat)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 5.00 27% 2.70    
4  MORNING REFLECTION Jul12 Jun20 Jun06 Feb24 Feb07 (adams l)HESS SARA 112 8.00    
5  SANDRINHA LOVE Jul17 Jun20 May09 Mar15 Feb29 (decker anna)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 117 2.00 32% 2.10    
6  ANN KOR Jul13 Jun22 Jun06 May29 Sep23 (manning j)MURGIA A 122 3.50    
7  QUEEN LEXI Jul13 Jun19 Jun01 May22 Mar28 (short thomas)SOSA LAUREANO 117 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
BTP-2   07/27/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.2K) 2 ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WIN HERBIE WIN         (cline robert )CANUTO THIAGO 119 4.00    
  (by WIN WIN WIN out of HERBERT RIVER by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
2  TRUTH N SOUL Jul19 Jun14 May29     (douglass devarus)MCKEE J 119 2.50    
  (by INDY WIND out of SAYITRIGHT KAT by SURF CAT)
SCR  MAGIC MOTOWN         (waltz brian)MOJICA JR 119 3.50    
  (by COLLECTED out of OHIO GOLD by WILBURN)
4  GONE WILD Jul08         (cline robert )ZONETT KEYNER 119 3.00 31% 2.20    
  (by KLIMT out of THE PINK WILDCAT by WILDCAT HEIR)
5  MERGER         (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 119 5.00    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of LILLARD HALL by TIZNOW)
6  TROUBLE IN MOTOWN         (waltz brian)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 4.50 ★    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of BOXFORD BELLE by AFLEET ALEX)
 
BTP-3   07/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHERE IS LISA Jul10 Jun28 Jun13 May23 Mar15 (antonuik jerry)SERPA ANGEL 119 2.00    
2  REVENGE TOUR Jul10 Jun19 Jun01 May22 May03 (grubbs jami)JIMENEZ J 119 5.00 22% 3.50    
3  BENITO Jul13 Jul05 Jun22 Jun12 Sep28 (dailey ronald)BUSH V 125 6.00    
4  CUPIX Jun22         (waltz brian)MOJICA JR 125 3.50 28% 2.60    
5  MO ANGELL Jul10 Jun15 Jun01 May09 Apr16 (haehn terry)LAGUNES GABRIEL 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  KOHAKU Jul10 Jun15 May30 May23 Apr27 (alessi james)CANUTO THIAGO 125 4.00    
 
BTP-4   07/27/2024 3300ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($18.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RED HOT ROD Apr24 Apr05 Jul15 Apr21 Mar25 (hernandez rey)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 10.00 19% 4.30    
2  NABOKOV Jul04 Jun08 May03 Mar17 Feb15 (moger jr)MCKEE J 123 3.50 31% 2.20    
3  HEY EUGENE Jun26 Jun07 May17 Jan25 Jan01 (maker micha)PETERSON FERRIN 123 4.00 24% 3.20    
4  FOLLOW YOUR DREAM Jul13 Dec13 Nov03 Oct03 Sep15 (johnston rebecc)MOJICA JR 123 12.00    
5  YOU MAKE ME HAPPY Jul10 Jun16 May29 Jan17 Jan02 (veinot trudy)LEZCANO ABEL 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BUSHIDO Jul20 Jun22 May25 Apr27 Feb10 (hernandez rey)SOSA LAUREANO 123 2.50    
7  STARTDFROMDABOTTOM Jun21 Jun07 Feb28 Feb03 Dec30 (ennis john)MONCADA IRVING 118 5.00    
8  KING ME Jun22 Jun14 May16 Apr16 Dec01 (littlefield de)DOYLE SOPHIE 123 8.00    
 
BTP-5   07/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAMBLIN CHROME Jul08 Jun24 May18 Apr30 Apr04 (mau)GIRON ALEJANDRO 123 8.00    
2  LIBERTY BLUE Feb23 Jan31 Jan11 Dec29 Dec07 (gorostieta ci)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 123 3.50 51% 1.00    
3  SNERDLEY Jun21 Jun01 May04 Nov01 Sep19 (sturgeon robert)MOJICA JR 123 10.00    
4  TINO Jul13 Jun19 May10 Apr27 Apr16 (smith larry)OUZTS W 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  SUNSIGN May20 Apr23 Mar08 Feb17 Jan25 (lauer michael)SERPA ANGEL 123 6.00    
6  PERJURY Jul13 Jun22 May23 Oct16 Sep28 (cross r)MCKEE J 123 5.00 8% 11.00    
7  SCAT DANZ Jul13 Jul04 Jun12 May26 May11 (adams l)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 2.50 15% 5.60    
8  OVER MY LIMIT Jul10 Jun19 Jun05 May22 May02 (short thomas)SOSA LAUREANO 121 4.50    
 
BTP-6   07/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHICA CHULA Jul17 Jun22 Jun07 May22 May02 (calvo kelsie)CANUTO THIAGO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  BRIEF ENCOUNTER Jun28 Jun07 May22 Apr22 Aug12 (hamm timothy)JIMENEZ ALBIN 117 4.00 13% 6.50    
3  CARLY'S FLIGHT Jul12 Jul03 Jun22 Jun15 Nov08 (rodak geral)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 10.00    
4  MISS ELIANA Jul12 Jun07 May22 Oct06 Sep28 (beck rowena)MOJICA JR 122 5.00    
5  BUCKEYE CRUISER Jul08 Jun18 May30 May09 Apr24 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 117 3.00 36% 1.80    
6  FREE AS A BREEZE Jun26 Jun05 Apr25 Jun15   (cowans d)NAVAS YOEL 117 2.50 28% 2.50    
7  BETTER HALF Jul12 Jun07 May22 Jan08 Dec21 (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 122 6.00    
 
BTP-7   07/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($18.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REGAL REY Jul07 Jun20 May08 Apr08 Mar11 (antonuik jerr)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 2.50    
2  EL CUERVO FELIS Jul17 Jun26 Jun13 Jun01 May17 (oviedo jose)CANUTO THIAGO 123 4.00 32% 2.10    
SCR  MIDWAY MIRACLE May26 Apr24 Mar29 Dec13 Nov15 (short thomas)SOSA LAUREANO 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  LEND IT TEWMEY Jul05 Jun14 May19 Sep14 Aug18 (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 123 3.50    
5  WOODY'S CHOICE Jul11 Mar10 Jan20 Dec13 Nov04 (ennis john)DOYLE SOPHIE 125 8.00    
6  SERGEANT GUMP Jul13 Jun29 Jun07 May23 May02 (decker anna)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 119 4.50 ★    
7  FIVE HUNDRED May29         (cowans d)NAVAS YOEL 119 5.00 36% 1.80    
 
BTP-8   07/27/2024 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($9.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VALENTINE CRASHER Jun01 May18 Aug26 Aug04   (moger jr)MCKEE J 125 3.50    
SCR  LIGHTNING MELODY Jun30 Jun09 May26 Feb16 Feb03 (jones s)SOSA LAUREANO 125 20.00    
3  WEST COAST SONG Jun24 May26 Mar06 Jan10 Dec02 (cowans d)NAVAS YOEL 119 2.50 34% 2.00    
4  LITERATI Jul05 Jun20 May23 Apr26 Mar30 (morey william)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 5.00 25% 3.00    
5  BLUEGRASS GODDESS         (kelley a)MURGIA A 119 10.00 15% 5.60    
6  SECORD Jun20 May29 Apr26 Mar27 Feb23 (esqu)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  MY SHADOWS LIGHT Jul03 Jun06 May21 Apr30 Mar27 (beck rowena)STANLEY O 125 20.00    
8  PALACSINTA Jul18 Jul02 Jun08 Mar30 Mar03 (caramori c)VILLARREAL OSCAR 120 10.00    
SCR  ROYAL HONEY Jun28         (kriple zvi)HESS SARA 120 6.00    
10  MISS PLA Jul05 Jun13 May11 Nov12   (ramos rafae)BLANCHE RISHAWN 114 20.00    
11  SATIS Jul11 Jun13 May23 May03 Mar27 (beck rowena)LEBRON VICTOR 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SOLVENT Apr21 Mar07       (chavez manuel)AYALA ISAIAS 119 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.