Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Prairie Meadows
Friday - July 05, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PRM-4   WIN (2/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/6)-(2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/6)-(1/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
PRM-5   WIN (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/4)-(1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
PRM-6   WIN (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/3)-(2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/3)-(6/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/5/3)-(6/4/2)-(9/2/4/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRM-7   WIN (6/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/2)-(6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/2)-(9/2/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4/2)-(9/2/4/6)-(6/1/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRM-8   WIN (9/2/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/2/4/6)-(9/2/4/8/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/2/4/6)-(9/2/4/8/6)-(9/2/4/8/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/2/4/6)-(6/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/2/4/6)-(6/1/4)-(5/7/2/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PRM-9   WIN (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/4)-(6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/4)-(5/7/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/1/4)-(5/7/2/3)-(4/2/7/8/9) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PRM-10   WIN (5/7/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/2/3)-(5/7/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/2/3)-(5/7/2/3)-(5/7/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/2/3)-(4/2/7/8/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
PRM-11   WIN (4/2/7/8/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/2/7/8/9)-(4/2/7/8/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/2/7/8/9)-(4/2/7/8/9)-(4/2/7/8/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PRM-4   07/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($45.831K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HANKS GIRL Jun17 May27 May10 Sep17 Sep04 (jacquot gene)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 8.00 18% 4.60    
2  ELLLL E Jun09 May19 Sep02 May26   (anderson l)TOHILL S 122 3.00 38% 1.60    
3  DREAMINONTHENILE Jun16 May19 Sep29 Sep02 Aug06 (martin e)BIRZER E 122 3.50    
4  KASA Jun21 May31 Sep29 Aug28 Aug05 (eikleber)SANTANA JR 122 2.00    
SCR  SIMMERING (GB) Jun28 Jun09 Sep29 Sep08 Aug18 (anderson doug)BACON W 117 4.00    
6  HOP AWAY HOTTIE Jun14 May27 Apr28 Apr07 Sep30 (arnett g)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
PRM-5   07/05/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($27K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET LAURA Jun03 Dec30 Nov25 Nov09 Sep04 (arnett g)BIRZER E 125 3.00 52% 0.90    
2  ADRIA May18 Mar30 Mar17 Sep10 Aug18 (chlebora)SANTANA JR 121 12.00 12% 7.20    
3  DO YOU BILEVE Jun15 Jun03 May07 Apr02 Dec09 (swan patr)TRIANA JR 121 10.00    
4  GOLD STRATEGY Jun15 May26 May03 Apr20 Mar10 (hornsby t)DE CRUZ 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  LORRAINE'S LEGACY Jun03 Apr29 Mar19 Jan03 Dec22 (arnett g)TOHILL S 123 3.50    
SCR  MY GOOD FORTUNE Apr12 Mar07 Feb11 Dec02 Oct25 (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 2.00    
7  SET THE PACE Jun02 Apr28 Oct17 Sep09 Jul31 (arnett g)CENTENO ALEXIS 125 4.00    
 
PRM-6   07/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Iowa Sprint Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COUNT DE MONET Jun07 May03 Mar14 Jan27 Dec16 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 4.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of RAVENESQUE by DANCE WITH RAVENS)
2  NECKER ISLAND May02 Dec30 Dec09 Nov04 Oct06 (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 3.50 38% 1.60    
  (by HARD SPUN out of JENNY'S ROCKET by MR. GREELEY)
3  CONFIDENCE GAME Jun14 May11 Jan20 Dec23 Nov04 (desormeaux ke)COHEN DAVID 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of EBLOUISSANTE by BERNARDINI)
4  JAXON TRAVELER May18 Apr13 Mar16 Feb18 Feb03 (asmussen)SANTANA JR 126 2.50    
  (by MUNNINGS out of LISTEN BOY by AFTER MARKET)
5  BOURBON HEIST Jun01 Apr25 Feb03 Dec16 Nov23 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 126 3.00 16% 5.20    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of ELUSIVE ONE by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
6  PEACE DOG Jun16 May19 Apr19 Mar28 Mar02 (flores oscar)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 6.00    
  (by SHADY GROVE out of CINNAMONSTELLA by CINNAMON CREEK)
 
PRM-7   07/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Saylorville Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNSUNG MELODY May27 May17 Apr24 Sep17 Sep02 (ortiz jo)SANTANA JR 120 3.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of NARROW SEA by BODEMEISTER)
2  FAITH ALONE Jun07 May17 Mar30 Feb18 Dec15 (offolter )DE CRUZ 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of BITTY KITTY by KITTEN'S JOY)
3  HAPPY AM I May27 Apr27 Feb03 Nov19 Oct05 (stewart d)LEPAROUX R 126 3.50    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of CAT DANCE by TOM CAT)
4  PALACEIN May27 Apr15 Mar16 Feb17 Dec15 (young scott)WETHEY JR 120 6.00 13% 6.80    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of NAPLES GOLD by LANGFUHR)
5  DEALING JUSTICE Feb03 Dec30 Dec16 Nov16 Aug27 (martin e)BIRZER E 120 8.00    
  (by COMMISSIONER out of CLEVER RUN by SMART STRIKE)
6  OLGA ISABEL Jun07 Dec09 Oct26 Aug30 Jul22 (cox h)COHEN DAVID 126 1.60 54% 0.90    
  (by TIZNOW out of MISS PATRICIA by INDIAN CHARLIE)
 
PRM-8   07/05/2024 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST Prairie Gold Lassie Purse ($100K) 2 F PT-10:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHEZAFUNKYDRUMMER Jun02         (rivelli larry)MOJICA O 118 6.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of MZIMA SPRINGS by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
2  ELEGANT JUSTICE May22         (west aaro)BERMUDEZ E 118 8.00 27% 2.70    
  (by HIGHTAIL out of SHE FOX by INTO MISCHIEF)
SCR  RICH CITY GIRL         (rivelli larry)COHEN DAVID 116 10.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of HASSLER by WAR FRONT)
4  SWIFTWIND Jun22 May17       (asmussen )LEPAROUX R 120 4.50 8% 11.60    
  (by COMPLEXITY out of PINEY POINT by CURLIN)
5  MOVE IT MARY Jun17         (murphy travis)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 20.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of RED MOON GIRL by MALIBU MOON)
6  UNSPOKEN TRUTH May26         (fett brandi)CORBETT W 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ALTERNATION out of INSINCERELY YOURS by FLATTER)
SCR  TAPITURES ACTOR May25         (gelner j)ROMAN KEVIN 118 12.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of UPSTAGE by CURLIN)
8  BAYTOWN BUTTERFLY Jun06 May18       (mcentee p)BEALMEAR C 120 3.50 ★    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of ATALA by STORMY ATLANTIC)
9  SPANKERBOOM Jun16         (ortiz jo)SANTANA JR 122 3.00 40% 1.50    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of SPANKER by CAPE BLANCO (IRE))
10  MIND YOUR MO Jun10         (jordan todd )JORDAN R 116 30.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
11  SIPPING FIREWATER Jun10         (mcshane d)TRIANA JR 118 20.00    
  (by ECHO TOWN out of CUTE CASH by EXCHANGE RATE)
12  DANCING MAGIC (IRE) Jun23         (campbell mi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 118 8.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of I'LL TAKE THE CAKE by NOBIZ LIKE SHOBIZ)
 
PRM-9   07/05/2024 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Iowa Distaff Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT-10:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLAT OUT STORMIN Jun01 Sep30 Aug11 Jul21 Jul07 (wellington tom)ROMAN KEVIN 120 6.00 8% 11.20    
  (by FLAT OUT out of WHENTHETIMEISRIGHT by DEVIL HIS DUE)
2  WEST COAST FASHION May15 Mar27 Nov10 Oct19 Aug31 (offolter )DE CRUZ 120 8.00    
  (by WEST COAST out of FASHION SECRET by CURLIN)
3  MAGICAL LUTE Jun01 Apr13 Feb17 Jan13 Nov24 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 124 2.50    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of STREET SONG by FLATTER)
4  LACIE BE GOOD May17 Mar10 Feb16 Dec30 Nov22 (amoss thoma)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.50 7% 12.50    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of LACIE SLEW by MINESHAFT)
5  BAYTOWN LOVELY Jun13 May16 Apr17 Feb07 Jan03 (mcentee p)BEALMEAR C 120 10.00    
  (by FAST ANNA out of MEU AMOR by BERNARDINI)
6  TAKE ME SERIOUS Jun07 May07 Apr15 Mar25 Dec01 (offolter )TRIANA JR 120 4.00 61% 0.60    
  (by MUNNINGS out of SOUTHERN EQUITY by AFTER MARKET)
SCR  PIGALLE May26 Nov16 Nov05 Jul22 Jun24 (drury th)SANTANA JR 124 3.00    
  (by BLAME out of HEELS by FLATTER)
 
PRM-10   07/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36.5K) 3UP ALL PT-11:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BURN JAKEY BURN Jun10 May11 Feb21 Feb02 Dec30 (arnett g)CENTENO ALEXIS 125 3.50    
2  UXMAL May20 Mar06 Feb18 Dec21 Dec06 (guillory j)BIRZER E 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  SHOULDABOUGHTDABAR Jun17 May20 May10 Apr20 Sep23 (murphy travi)JORDAN R 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  WESTERN TOURIST Jun09 Sep08 Aug06 Jul24 Jul07 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 5.00    
5  DESPERATE MAN Jun08 May18 Apr17 Mar28   (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 120 2.00 53% 0.90    
6  GUIDED ARROW Mar14 Feb16 Dec30 Sep10 Aug11 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 123 3.00    
7  DIAMOND CITY Jun08 May25 Apr27 Mar23 Mar09 (condon sc)DE CRUZ 123 8.00 18% 4.50    
 
PRM-11   07/05/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.623K) 3UP ALL PT-11:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMERICAN POSSE Jun15 May27 Sep30 Aug07 Jul15 (arnett g)TOHILL S 122 20.00    
2  SNAP'N TAP May24 Sep18 Aug25 Aug07 Jul24 (wellingto)TRIANA JR 122 4.00 21% 3.70    
3  LUCKY LOUIE Jun15 May24 Dec30 Dec08 Oct13 (johnston lane)BACON W 117 12.00    
4  SAY IT NICELY Jun15 Apr30 Apr01 Nov13 Oct14 (chleborad ly)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 2.50 26% 2.80    
5  FRANKLY EPIC Jun15 Sep24 Sep11 Aug19 Jul30 (mcshane d)CORBETT W 122 15.00    
6  LAWLESS JOHN Jun14 May10 Oct27 Sep30 Aug12 (murphy)FLETCHER D 122 6.00    
7  BILLY BOB ROCKET Jun03 May18 Sep09 Aug19 Aug05 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 124 3.50 15% 5.70    
8  MILTON STREET Jun21 May11 Sep08 Aug26 Aug11 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 122 8.00 9% 10.20    
9  TAKE ME UP BRADY May26 May03 Sep24 Sep17 Aug13 (pearson p)DE CRUZ 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.