Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Finger Lakes
Thursday - July 04, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FL-1   WIN (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/5)-(2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/5)-(6/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-2   WIN (6/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/3)-(6/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/3)-(6/4/3)-(6/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/3)-(3) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (6/4/3)-(3)-(1/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-3   WIN (3) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (3)-(3/2) 1 $1.00 $1.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3)-(1/4/5) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (3)-(1/4/5)-(3/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-4   WIN (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/5)-(3/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-5   WIN (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/6)-(3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/6)-(1/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-6   WIN (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/6)-(1/4/6/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/4/6)-(1/4/6/7)-(1/4/6/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/4/6)-(5/7/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/6)-(5/7/3)-(7/5/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
FL-7   WIN (5/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/3)-(5/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/7/3)-(5/7/3)-(5/7/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/7/3)-(7/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-8   WIN (7/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/2)-(7/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/5/2)-(7/5/2)-(7/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FL-1   07/04/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ACH DU LIEBER Jun19 May27 Jan28 Jan05 Dec17 (breed ronald )DAVILA A 124 2.00    
2  GINNSU WARRIOR Jun19 Jun04 Nov06 Oct24 Oct09 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 122 2.50 33% 2.00    
3  OLIVER WITHA TWIST Jun18 Jun03 May21 Nov15 Oct30 (clarke matthew)BAEZ JOSE 122 15.00    
4  FULL MOON FEVER Jun11 May27 Mar02 Jan04 Jul24 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 3.50 31% 2.20    
5  BERT BERT BERT Jun12 Jun04 May22 Nov15 Nov06 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  RED FORTRESS Jun18 Nov13 Oct11 Sep26 Sep05 (ferraro michae)COA J 122 5.00    
 
FL-2   07/04/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  CREWS IN TO WIN Jun25         (d'alessandro)HARKIE K 120 8.00    
  (by BIG BROWN out of SWEET FROST by FROST GIANT)
SCR  DEBBIE DARLING May20 Mar02 Feb11 Nov26 Nov10 (d'alessandro)BERRIOS C 124 8.00    
  (by FROST GIANT out of SUBTLE SWEETNESS by DURING)
2  SWEET ANNIVERSARY         (ferraro anth)COA J 120 4.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of SOUTH WING by DIXIE BRASS)
3  LADY ELOISE         (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of DO THE DANSE by KAFWAIN)
4  PLAYING WITH DOLLS Nov20         (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 6.00 26% 2.80    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of ANY VALID SATURDAY by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
5  WORLD BANK Jun11 May20 May06 Nov20 Nov06 (sells ra)DAVIS A 120 1.80    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of DONYA by ANABAA)
6  SHEZENTICING Oct18 Sep11 Aug15 Aug01   (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 120 3.00 27% 2.70    
  (by ENTICED out of SHEZASTONECOLDINGO by LONHRO (AUS))
 
FL-3   07/04/2024 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DUBYUHNELL May09 Feb17 Dec30 Oct28 Apr01 (gargan d)DAVIS A 124 1.50    
2  TIZ LUCKY Jun12 May20 Nov14 Oct31 Oct17 (miller-saul beth)CRUZ JOEL 124 8.00 ★    
3  DELTA RIDGE Jun18 May27 Apr05 Mar15 Feb21 (turetsky judy)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 4.50 29% 2.40    
4  THUNDERIAN May26 Apr26 Mar29 Mar01 Feb10 (sells rachel)COA J 124 2.50    
5  BARREL OF QUESTS Jun12 May01 Apr14 Mar22 Feb14 (bar)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 3.00    
 
FL-4   07/04/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JACKSON AVENUE Jun18 Jun04 May21 Feb16 Jan11 (bre)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 1.60    
1A  DALE AVENUE Jun17 May13 Apr29 Nov21   (breed ronald )DAVILA A 124 1.60 41% 1.40    
2  TUMBLES Jun18 Jun04 Nov15 Nov01 Oct04 (ashley juliu)MILLER DONOVAN 122 8.00    
3  BUSTIN TIME Jun18 May14 May06 Apr14 Mar17 (davis ed)DAVIS A 120 2.50    
4  LAUGHTER Jun19 May21 Dec31 Dec02 Nov17 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 6.00 34% 1.90    
5  RUBYS MISSION Jun18 Jun04 Nov21 Oct24 Oct09 (shaffer ri)DE EMANUEL 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  STARR'S DELIGHT Jun04 May21 Nov13 Oct04 Sep12 (torelli stacy)BAEZ JOSE 122 4.00    
 
FL-5   07/04/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUIET HORIZON Jun17 Jun04 May13 Nov15 Nov07 (cabrera joseph )ROHENA JR 118 8.00    
2  LINDSEY (GB) Jun18 Jun04 May22 May07 Apr29 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 119 4.50    
3  MS HAYLEY May30 Mar22 May20 May03 Apr08 (englehart je)HARKIE K 122 1.60 43% 1.30    
SCR  MOTLEY SUE Jun19 Jun03 May13 Nov15 Oct04 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 2.00    
5  BRIEF Jun04 Mar15 Feb16 Feb08 Dec27 (murphy timoth)DAVILA A 118 6.00 27% 2.70    
6  R GIRL FAITH Jun17 Aug01 Jul19 Jun20 May31 (thompson)DAVIS A 118 4.00 7% 13.10    
 
FL-6   07/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAMAY (PER) Jun13 Jun10 Apr20 Nov21 Oct30 (loaiza ilmar)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 2.00 ★    
1A  NUTSIE Jun19 Nov21 Nov06 Oct25 Oct11 (loaiza ilmar)PEREZ E 124 2.00 60% 0.70    
2  CANDYROCK Jun12 Nov13 Oct23 Sep11 Aug29 (donegan l)ROHENA JR 124 6.00    
3  KNIGHT OFTHE CROWN Jun10 May21 May06 Sep26 Aug22 (dixon k)ALVARADO R 124 12.00    
4  WAR OF THRONES Jun12 May28 Sep19 Sep05 Aug22 (acquilano jame)COA J 124 2.50 14% 6.40    
5  BUCK WILD Jun12 May28 Jan11 Nov29 Nov15 (wad)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 12.00    
6  DROSEL DIEM Jun12 May27 May06 Nov21 Nov06 (sabine m)DAVIS A 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  UNCLE MILTIE Jun19 Nov21 Nov13 Oct30 Oct17 (ferraro michael)CRUZ JOEL 124 4.00 ★    
 
FL-7   07/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DARN THAT SONG Jun18 Jun03 May14 Apr30 Mar10 (sells rachel)PEREZ E 121 3.00    
2  SHESAWILDJOKER Jun03 Sep01 Jul31 Jul12 Jun21 (bartlett)DAVIS A 121 4.00    
3  LOCKBOX Jun03 May14 Apr30 Mar16 Feb23 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 121 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FEDALIA Jun18 Jun04 May22 Feb17 Jan20 (murphy timothy)ALVARADO R 121 12.00    
5  KAZ MUSIC Jun18 May15 Mar22 Feb23 Feb07 (murphy timoth)DAVILA A 124 2.50 45% 1.20    
6  MRS BELL Jun05 May27 May14 Apr29 Apr17 (dean iii)ROHENA JR 121 10.00    
7  ISABEL LUVS GOLD Nov20 Oct23 Sep19 Sep04 Aug14 (ferraro michae)COA J 121 5.00 20% 4.00    
 
FL-8   07/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TASTY WAVE Jun04 Nov15 Oct31 Oct23 Oct04 (ashley juliu)MILLER DONOVAN 124 3.50    
1A  CLIFDEN PUNCH Jun18 Nov22 Oct31 Oct18 Sep11 (ashley jul)DE EMANUEL 124 3.50    
2  KEEN DANCER Jun25 Jun10 May18 May11 Apr27 (henry ortis )HARKIE K 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SUPER SLIDE Jun18 May28 Nov01 Oct16 Oct03 (bireta donna)ROHENA JR 124 5.00    
4  LA CAFETERA Jun18 Oct31 Oct18 Sep20 Sep12 (loaiza i)DAVIS A 124 10.00    
5  MAGGIE Jun04 May24 May12 Mar28 Mar10 (bre)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 2.00 18% 4.60    
6  MISS CIRCULAR GAL Jun10 May20 Nov08 Oct18 Sep20 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 124 15.00    
7  DOSAGE AND MIMOSAS Jun04 Nov22 Nov08 Oct18 Sep26 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 124 2.50 56% 0.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.