Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Penn National
Wednesday - July 03, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PEN-1   WIN (9/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/6/1)-(9/6/1/10/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/6/1)-(9/6/1/10/4)-(9/6/1/10/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (9/6/1)-(8/10/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (9/6/1)-(8/10/1)-(4/7/8/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-2   WIN (8/10/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/10/1)-(8/10/1/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/10/1)-(8/10/1/4/5)-(8/10/1/4/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (8/10/1)-(4/7/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/10/1)-(4/7/8/6)-(3/7/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-3   WIN (4/7/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/8/6)-(4/7/8/9/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/7/8/6)-(4/7/8/9/6)-(4/7/8/9/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/7/8/6)-(3/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/7/8/6)-(3/7/4)-(2/4/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-4   WIN (3/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/4)-(3/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7/4)-(3/7/4)-(3/7/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/7/4)-(2/4/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/7/4)-(2/4/7)-(7/6/5/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-5   WIN (2/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/7)-(2/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/7)-(2/4/7)-(2/4/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/7)-(7/6/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/7)-(7/6/5/2)-(8/9/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-6   WIN (7/6/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/5/2)-(7/6/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/5/2)-(7/6/5/2)-(7/6/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/5/2)-(8/9/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-7   WIN (8/9/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/9/4)-(8/9/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/9/4)-(8/9/6/4)-(8/9/6/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PEN-1   07/03/2024 3300ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY MASTERPIECE Jun11 Jun04 May12 Nov08 Sep14 (flores-coba feli)CASTILLO A 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
ASUE Mar29 Mar13 Feb21 Jan31 Dec14 (stites flin)INIRIO J 121 15.00    
DISCO DAISY May29 May04 Apr04 Mar22 Mar08 (kravets m)CHIAPPE R 121 20.00    
ATTACHED Jun16 May27 Jun03 Apr28 Sep25 (duarte jorge )MARTIN MATTIE 118 8.00    
RAINAS ROLLIN Jun04 May21 Sep20 Aug29 Aug10 (rogers ronald )TORRES JOMAR 121 4.00    
ARROGANTE Jun04 May15 Apr22 Apr01 Mar14 (moreno tito)CORA D 121 12.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  SECRET WISPER Jun26 Jun12 Nov16 Oct25 Oct06 (albright )VARGAS L 125 3.50    
WAR MOON Jun11 May22 Mar19 Mar04 Feb20 (abrams j)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 114 20.00    
GIFT OF GAB Jun09 May25 Nov10 Oct21 Sep16 (stettinius s)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 3.00 48% 1.10    
10  PYROTECHNICS Jun04 May17 May03 Mar25 Mar07 (mcclellan e)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 4.50    
SCR  SASSY BABE Jul02 Jun19 May29 Apr25 Nov17 (pickett crys)VILLEGAS JERRY 121 3.50    
 
PEN-2   07/03/2024 5490ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCKY RUNNING CAT Jun16 Sep21 Aug31 Aug09 Jul19 (crook-dem)HERNANDEZ A 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
LA PAZ Jun11 Nov30 Sep21 Aug09 Jul19 (smith tho)VARGAS L 121 12.00    
ROAN FOR THE ROSE Jun13 Mar22 Mar01 Jan31 Nov30 (moreno tito)CORA D 121 12.00    
FLEETS BAY Jun11 May27 Nov04 Oct07 Sep07 (boniface k)ALBERT S 125 4.00    
LE GRIFFON May27 Apr07 Oct12 Sep17 Jul14 (avila carl)BEATO INOEL 121 3.50    
GOING AT IT Jun13 May22 May03 Sep03 Aug12 (wolfe jr)DIAZ VLADIMIR 121 15.00    
WE DONT NEED ROADS Jun06 May25 May09 Apr07 Jul26 (salvaggio v)AGUILAR M 121 15.00    
DEAR SANTA Oct28 Aug17 Jul20 Jun16 Aug01 (delacour )CARRASCO R 121 3.00 48% 1.10    
SCR  KBCYA LATER Jun01 May24 May05 Dec16 Nov23 (mcmahon d)RODRIGUEZ R 121 10.00    
10  PRETORIAN GOLD Jun13 May23 May03 Mar22 Mar07 (mcclellan e)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 6.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  GALILEE Mar26 Jan31 Oct13 Sep21 Aug30 (moreno tito)RAMOS C 121 12.00    
 
PEN-3   07/03/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TWIXTER Jun27 Jun12 May31 May04 Mar15 (bobadilla j )VILLEGAS JERRY 121 20.00    
WICKED IRISHMAN Jun12 May22 May10 Mar21 Jan24 (wolfe j)INIRIO J 123 6.00    
OMERTA CODE Jun18 May20 May07 Apr22 Mar20 (arce josue)RIVERA D 121 20.00    
REBEL RULER May30 May08 Mar13 Mar01 Dec27 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 123 6.00 37% 1.70    
NOSTALGIC RUN Jun17 May06 Mar26 Nov06 Sep21 (mancilla )CARRASCO R 121 3.50    
KAZ MUNNINGS May24 May08 Mar22 Mar07 Feb08 (synnefias)VARGAS L 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
SPINNING MUSICIAN Jun20 May22 May04 Apr08 Mar01 (graci a)AGUILAR M 125 5.00 23% 3.30    
MIGHTY MINION Jun25 Jun06 May22 May04 Mar29 (kreiser tim)SALGADO ANTHONY 125 4.00 6% 14.80    
GURT'S WARRIOR Jun19 Jun06 May29 Mar14 Feb29 (albright r)CORA D 125 6.00    
10  CRITICAL THINKING Jun19 May31 May04 Mar01 Jan19 (shea lydee)CHIAPPE R 121 15.00    
SCR  MODERN MIDAS Jun18 Jun04 May07 Apr08 Mar20 (perez ruperto )TORRES JOMAR 121 15.00    
SCR  SASSY KING Jun22 Jul14 Jun18 Jun04 May12 (davis s)BRICENO GREGOR 121 20.00    
 
PEN-4   07/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IT'S SAUL GOODMAN Jun11 Jan27       (galligan )CRISPIN ALEXANDER 120 15.00    
SCR  PENTATONIC Jun11 May22 May02 Mar22 Mar09 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 1.40    
BELLS RUN Jun18 May10 Dec27 Nov24 Nov10 (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 2.00 43% 1.30    
KING MUFASA Jun12 May28 Apr23 Feb20 Oct10 (crook-demasi k)TORRES JOMAR 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
HOPPY TIME Jun11         (kravets b)VARGAS L 122 12.00    
SYLVIA I AM Jun26 May22 May09 May02 Mar01 (shea lydee)DIAZ VLADIMIR 123 6.00    
NINJA KITTY         (stites w)CHIAPPE R 125 8.00 20% 4.10    
 
PEN-5   07/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS ALEX Jun08 May27 May14 May06 Apr23 (chacon gustavo)CHIAPPE R 125 15.00    
CLASSY SADIE Jun13 May31 Apr02 Mar04 Feb19 (graci a)AGUILAR M 125 3.50 45% 1.20    
DESI'S REWARD May31 May15 May04 Oct26 Oct11 (beattie cod)SALGADO ANTHONY 125 4.50    
KASHAN Jun13 May31 May15 Mar08 Jan26 (martinez jose)TUNON JORDANO 125 5.00 15% 5.50    
RANDOM LUCK Jun01 May11 Jan29 Jan03 Nov29 (rathman elisha)TORRES JOMAR 125 3.50    
SCR  THUNDER BOSS Jun11 May29 Mar27 Mar13 Feb23 (harigeorgiou konstan)CORA D 125 3.00    
SCOREBOARD LILY Jun13 May31 May15 Mar21 Mar13 (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-6   07/03/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRUMPY BROOKSIE Jun18 May29 May04 Apr10 Mar25 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 120 4.00    
NOTORIOUS REY May29 May16 May02 Mar06 Jan24 (ippolito mark)TUNON JORDANO 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
NECCO Jun18 May29 May16 Mar21 Mar06 (murtough st)INIRIO J 123 8.00    
JACK CLOUD Jun01 May15 Apr18 Mar30 Feb03 (allen ferris)MENA E 120 5.00    
LET'S GET CRAZY May02 Mar21 Jan19     (kravets b)VARGAS L 123 6.00 13% 6.80    
WINNING CANDY Sep13 Aug16 Jun22 May26   (crook-demasi k)TORRES JOMAR 123 3.00 17% 4.90    
V MART Jun19 May24 Oct03 Sep10 Sep02 (crook-demas)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 2.00 45% 1.20    
 
PEN-7   07/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE GREAT CASBY Jun20 May22 May08 Mar13 Feb08 (moreno tito)RAMOS C 125 10.00    
SCR  SANTO Jun11 May29 May22 May10 Apr10 (mcclellan c)FLORES E 125 8.00    
A T M AWESOME Mar13 Feb22 Feb01 Sep22 Sep01 (zalalas michael)CHIAPPE R 125 15.00    
ACT OF VALOR Jun11 May29 May10 Mar07 Dec28 (murtough step)TUNON JORDANO 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
I ONCE STOOD ALONE May29 May08 Mar07 Jan25 Nov24 (rathman e)VARGAS L 125 3.00    
AGAINST THE ODDS Jun11 May29 May10 Mar08 Feb01 (zalalas michael)CORA D 125 4.50    
SCREEN STAR Jun11 May29 May10 Feb01 Dec29 (cifarelli frank)BAKER J 125 3.50    
MR. PETE Jun11 May29 Sep20 Aug25 Jul20 (graci kimbe)INIRIO J 125 8.00 50% 1.00    
SPOOKY ONE Jun11 May24 May03 Mar21 Mar08 (mcclellan e)SALGADO ANTHONY 125 4.50 21% 3.80    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.