Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Evangeline Downs
Thursday - May 02, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
EVD-1   WIN (1/9/3/5/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/9/3/5/6)-(1/9/3/5/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/9/3/5/6)-(1/9/3/5/6)-(1/9/3/5/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/9/3/5/6)-(5/7/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/9/3/5/6)-(5/7/3)-(3/7/5) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
EVD-2   WIN (5/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/3)-(5/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/7/3)-(5/7/3)-(5/7/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/7/3)-(3/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/7/3)-(3/7/5)-(7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
EVD-3   WIN (3/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/5)-(3/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7/5)-(3/7/5)-(3/7/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/7/5)-(7) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/7/5)-(7)-(1/6/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
EVD-4   WIN (7) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (7)-(7/10) 1 $1.00 $1.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (7)-(1/6/4/8) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (7)-(1/6/4/8)-(9/8/6/3/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
EVD-5   WIN (1/6/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/4/8)-(1/6/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/4/8)-(1/6/4/8)-(1/6/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/4/8)-(9/8/6/3/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/6/4/8)-(9/8/6/3/1)-(4/11/2/9) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
EVD-6   WIN (9/8/6/3/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/8/6/3/1)-(9/8/6/3/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/8/6/3/1)-(9/8/6/3/1)-(9/8/6/3/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/8/6/3/1)-(4/11/2/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/8/6/3/1)-(4/11/2/9)-(1/2/4/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
EVD-7   WIN (4/11/2/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/11/2/9)-(4/11/2/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/11/2/9)-(4/11/2/9)-(4/11/2/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/11/2/9)-(1/2/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
EVD-8   WIN (1/2/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/4/5)-(1/2/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/4/5)-(1/2/4/5)-(1/2/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
EVD-1   05/02/2024 4950ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONE MORE SLEEP Apr17 Mar21 Feb24 Feb08 Jan18 (romero d)POMPELL L 123 3.00 33% 2.10    
2  REGATTA BAY Apr05 Mar16 Mar02 Feb13 Jan19 (broussard jervo)MCMAHON J 118 3.50    
3  B D ENVISIONIST         (silva walter)MUNOZ SERGIO 113 20.00 11% 7.70    
4  STYLING HOOK Feb10 Jan20 Dec14 Nov15 Feb25 (chatter)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 12.00    
5  WHITE ICE Mar22 Feb22 Feb01     (pomier chase)BARRERA J 118 15.00 10% 8.70    
6  MISTERHOLYROLLER Apr17 Mar16 Feb24 Feb13 Jan25 (wilson shane)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  RED ROCK SOLUTION Apr19 Mar15 Feb13 Dec21 Nov30 (jeansonne jus)LOZADA CARLOS 114 15.00    
8  CATCH ME T Apr17 Mar16 Feb24 Feb10 Jan12 (noel dane)VARGAS P 123 6.00    
9  CONTRABAND EARLY Mar16 Feb24 Jan27 Jan06 Dec16 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 2.00 17% 4.80    
SCR  TEMPLE OF PEACE Apr19 Mar15 Feb24 Feb13 Jan27 (ducoing sturge)THORNTON G 118 15.00    
SCR  BREAKING STAR Apr19 Mar21 Feb23 Feb01 Jan12 (bourgeo)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 15.00    
SCR  INCHHIGHATAHUNDRED Apr19 Mar08       (breaux samue)BARRERA J 118 20.00    
SCR  CANAL ST. CUPID Apr19 Mar15 Feb23 Feb01 Dec21 (delany sarah)FUSILIER C 118 20.00    
 
EVD-2   05/02/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CHARLIE'S PARADE Jan19 Jan04 Dec02 Oct12 Sep09 (thomas lee)FUSILIER C 123 3.50    
2  HARPES HILL Apr20 Apr06 Jan11 Dec15 Nov09 (patt roland)MELANCON JANSEN 123 15.00    
3  FREE FROM GUILT Jul23 Jun16 Nov22 Oct15 Aug27 (pomier chas)SANTIAGO EDWARD 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  JOSEPH H Apr11 Feb25 Feb08 Dec16 Nov29 (breaux samue)BARRERA J 118 8.00    
5  FLAT OUT RUNNER Apr20 Apr06 Dec01 Oct21   (broberg karl)THORNTON G 118 2.00 37% 1.70    
SCR  CHAOTIC JACK Apr20 Apr06 Mar16 Feb15 Dec21 (klanfer alan)DEL-CID MARLON 113 2.50    
7  MATZOH BALL Apr11 Mar13 Jan20 Dec31 Nov29 (klanfer al)MARQUEZ L 118 5.00 31% 2.20    
 
EVD-3   05/02/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SABERFIGHT Apr18 Apr06 Mar09 Feb23 Jan25 (zeno benjami)DEL-CID MARLON 112 12.00    
2  HUFFS TAZ A BOO Mar24 Feb23 Jun16 Apr15 Feb11 (sam w)STOKES A 117 8.00    
3  MAHOMEBRED Apr17 Feb23 Feb02 Jan07 Nov17 (gomez jorge)CARMONA SERAFIN 110 1.80 25% 3.00    
4  SKIPPA Apr06 Feb22 Jan27 Jan05 Dec20 (fuselier jo)MELANCON JANSEN 117 3.50    
5  ARKANSAS ZONG Apr13 Mar09 Feb21 Feb01 Jan13 (dison ma)FUSILIER C 123 5.00 5% 19.00    
6  HEZA SEXY ZONG Mar10 Feb23 Dec30 Dec08 Nov17 (dison m)POMPELL L 117 10.00    
7  ORDER UP Apr06 Jan05 Dec21 Oct14 May26 (castille carro)THORNTON G 117 3.00 21% 3.70    
 
EVD-4   05/02/2024 4950ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR. TIN MAN Mar14 Sep04 Aug19 Jul09 Jun17 (romero geral)NIEVES EMANUEL 115 20.00    
SCR  KNOCKALITTLELOUDER Feb29 Feb12 Jan26 Dec08 Jul22 (ney john)BARRERA J 115 12.00    
SCR  UNCLE FRANK Apr11 Feb15 Dec20 Nov02 Jul15 (sturrock tom)MAGNON H 118 6.00    
SCR  MAGAWILDTIME Apr19 Jan21 Dec08 Nov23 Apr21 (cormier wins)DEL-CID MARLON 113 15.00    
5  TOUCHDOWN JOE Jan13 Dec17 Nov21 Oct06 Aug04 (noel dane)VARGAS P 115 4.00    
SCR  KENTUCKY GHOST Apr13 Mar16 Jan20 Dec22 Nov30 (claire alexis)STOKES J 118 8.00    
7  DONEGAL FACTOR Apr11 Mar16 Dec18 Dec06 Nov18 (noel dane)MCMAHON J 118 3.00 41% 1.40    
SCR  DEER CROSSING Mar14 Feb08 Jan13 Nov24 Sep11 (delhomme jeff)THORNTON G 115 2.00    
SCR  SEVEN CHANNELS Apr13 Mar14 Feb08 Sep07 Aug11 (richards coral)GREEN AUBRIE 118 15.00    
10  DON'T BOX ME IN Aug26 Aug03 Jul15 Jul02 Jun07 (reeves jeff)MELANCON JANSEN 118 20.00 ★    
SCR  SMARTY ALEX Apr11 Feb29 Feb08 Dec16 Sep11 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 115 12.00    
SCR  BUBBA CAN DANCE Mar07 Feb03 Dec29 Nov30 Oct09 (landry r)THORNTON G 116 5.00    
 
EVD-5   05/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MCLEAN Apr12 Feb21 Jan27 Dec20 Dec06 (alberto anto)BARRERA J 120 2.00 32% 2.10    
2  BARAHIN Apr05 Feb17 Jan20 Dec08 Nov15 (escobar alison)STOKES J 120 3.50    
3  CALLINGINTHENIGHT Apr17 Mar22 Mar06 Feb18 Jan13 (ramirez eduard)SUAREZ ANGEL 117 10.00    
4  CHARLI MICHAEL Mar06 Feb12 Jan04 Dec09 Nov18 (charles keith)VARGAS P 117 4.00 14% 6.00    
5  BIRTHDAY PARTY Apr11 Feb15 Jan27 Dec29 Dec14 (west henry)STOKES A 120 12.00    
6  LOUD MOUTH Apr07 Mar20 May14 Apr16 Feb24 (wong jonatha)DEL-CID MARLON 115 5.00 18% 4.40    
7  TAPPIN FORA DANCE Apr05 Mar09 Feb15 Jan27 Jan11 (romero j)POMPELL L 120 6.00    
8  BONUS APPRECIATION Apr17 Mar10 Feb17 Jan28 Jan05 (bourgeo)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
EVD-6   05/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DADDY'S FINEST Apr12         (averett ronnie)ROSIER R 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WHENCE out of MADELYN'S FINEST by IN A WALK)
SCR  ALVARADO CAT Mar23 Feb17 Dec31     (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 118 2.50    
  (by TALE OF THE CAT out of INDIANELLA by INDIAN CHARLIE)
3  PENNYS DEAL         (delany sarah)VARGAS P 118 12.00 9% 10.40    
  (by EL DEAL out of DEPUTYSPRETTYPENNY by KEY DEPUTY)
4  TAUREAN Apr17 Mar10 Feb24     (richard russ)DEL-CID MARLON 118 12.00    
  (by ASTROLOGY out of SENTIMENTAL GAL by MORE THAN READY)
5  HABANERO TOM Jan27 Oct29 Oct07 Aug13 Jul23 (ward ronnie)STOKES J 123 20.00    
  (by TOM'S READY out of CANDY ASSAY by LEMON DROP KID)
6  NAVARRIAN Mar23         (felks joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 6.00 10% 8.80    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of TO COMMERCIAL by CAT THIEF)
7  GUS'S DREAM WORLD Apr12 Mar10 Feb18 Aug05 Jul08 (gelner scott)BARRERA J 118 5.00    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of MEGA DREAM by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
8  TITANIUM DEAL Apr12 Mar08 Feb01 Jan05 Dec19 (richard russe)LOZADA CARLOS 118 4.50 12% 7.50    
  (by EL DEAL out of TITANIUM JANE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
9  RUNNER RUNNER (IRE)         (david s)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 3.00 48% 1.10    
  (by CUSTOM FOR CARLOS out of HALF FAST ROSE by HALF OURS)
10  FRAN'S STAR Mar23 Feb02 Dec19 Nov29   (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 15.00    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of SARAHS BAYOU BELLE by AFLEET ALEX)
 
EVD-7   05/02/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOLLY'S GUITAR Apr12 Mar03 Feb03 Jan13 Nov11 (wong jonatha)MAGNON H 118 8.00    
2  TOMMIE G Mar23 Feb24 Feb09 Dec31 Dec09 (west patrici)NIEVES EMANUEL 113 4.00 9% 9.80    
3  PIP SQUEEK Mar23 Feb29 Feb03 Jan11 Nov30 (landry r)THORNTON G 113 15.00    
4  ENTITLEMENT Apr06 Mar01 Jan07 Dec15 Jul06 (david b)VARGAS P 118 3.00 35% 1.80    
SCR  GRABIQ Mar21 Feb10 Jan18     (felks jose)MARQUEZ L 115 15.00    
6  SUMMERTIME BANDIT Apr10 Feb22 Feb07 Dec09 Nov11 (zenon shelto)QUILES ANTONIO 118 20.00    
SCR  SWEET SASSICAIA Mar24 Feb22 Jan21 Jan13 Sep09 (thomas lee)MCMAHON J 118 6.00    
SCR  CZAR'S BALLERINA Mar01 Feb08 Jan15 Dec10 Nov22 (ramirez eduard)SUAREZ ANGEL 118 2.50    
9  WORLD OF HURT Apr06 Jan06 Dec09 Oct28 Aug03 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WAR TOURIST Apr18 Mar09 Feb02 Jan18 Dec10 (jeansonne j)CARMONA SERAFIN 113 20.00    
11  SIKARA SIKARA Apr20 Mar01 Feb08 Jan15 Aug12 (delhomme jeff)THORNTON G 118 5.00 22% 3.50    
 
EVD-8   05/02/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LINDA FAYE Mar07 Feb08       (charles keit)BARRERA J 118 2.00 31% 2.20    
2  IMPERATOR FURIOSA Apr20 Feb23 Jan28 Jan06 Nov24 (ducoing sturge)GREEN AUBRIE 123 4.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  DYLAN'S DREAM Feb23 Feb08 Jan05 Nov30 Nov10 (arndt theod)SANTIAGO EDWARD 113 3.00    
4  COSTA LADY Apr12 Feb24 Feb10 Jan26 Jan12 (boxie s)STOKES A 115 8.00 19% 4.20    
5  SPICY BROADWAY         (mojica edith)QUILES ANTONIO 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  ABBEY CAKES Apr12 Feb09 Jan12 Dec16 Dec02 (west henry)DEONAUTH P 123 5.00    
7  GRACE'S VISION Apr20 Apr05 Feb23 Feb08 Jan06 (daigle walt)MELANCON JANSEN 120 12.00    
8  LAST PENALTY Apr12 Mar15 Nov13 Oct27 Oct14 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.