Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Evangeline Downs
Friday - April 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

EVD-1   WIN (4/9/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/9/2/6)-(4/9/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/9/2/6)-(4/9/2/6)-(4/9/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/9/2/6)-(4/7/5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/9/2/6)-(4/7/5/3)-(3/6/7/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
EVD-2   WIN (4/7/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/5/3)-(4/7/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/5/3)-(4/7/5/3)-(4/7/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/5/3)-(3/6/7/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/7/5/3)-(3/6/7/5)-(6/8/3/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
EVD-3   WIN (3/6/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/7/5)-(3/6/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/7/5)-(3/6/7/5)-(3/6/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/7/5)-(6/8/3/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/6/7/5)-(6/8/3/1)-(6/3/1/9/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
EVD-4   WIN (6/8/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/3/1)-(6/8/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/3/1)-(6/8/3/1)-(6/8/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/8/3/1)-(6/3/1/9/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/8/3/1)-(6/3/1/9/2)-(5/2/4/10/7) 100 $1.00 $100 
EVD-5   WIN (6/3/1/9/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/3/1/9/2)-(6/3/1/9/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/3/1/9/2)-(6/3/1/9/2)-(6/3/1/9/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/3/1/9/2)-(5/2/4/10/7) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (6/3/1/9/2)-(5/2/4/10/7)-(4/9/8/2) 100 $1.00 $100 
EVD-6   WIN (5/2/4/10/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/2/4/10/7)-(5/2/4/10/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/2/4/10/7)-(5/2/4/10/7)-(5/2/4/10/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/2/4/10/7)-(4/9/8/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/2/4/10/7)-(4/9/8/2)-(4/1/3/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
EVD-7   WIN (4/9/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/9/8/2)-(4/9/8/2/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/9/8/2)-(4/9/8/2/1)-(4/9/8/2/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/9/8/2)-(4/1/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/9/8/2)-(4/1/3/7)-(4/3/8/1/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
EVD-8   WIN (4/1/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/3/7)-(4/1/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/3/7)-(4/1/3/7)-(4/1/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/3/7)-(4/3/8/1/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
EVD-9   WIN (4/3/8/1/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/3/8/1/5)-(4/3/8/1/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/3/8/1/5)-(4/3/8/1/5)-(4/3/8/1/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
EVD-1   04/12/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUN AWAY SON Dec08 Nov24 Jul22 Apr30 Apr09 (nichols bessie)DEONAUTH P 117 20.00    
MCLEAN Feb21 Jan27 Dec20 Dec06 May14 (alberto anto)BARRERA J 117 5.00 15% 5.70    
SCR  HOLY BAYOU Dec21 Oct18 Jul28 Jun15 May11 (klanfer ala)SANTIAGO EDWARD 112 2.50    
GOLDUSTER Feb10 Jan12 Dec15 Nov17 Oct20 (alberto)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 3.00 29% 2.40    
PERFECT PERIGEE Aug04 Jul14 Jun19 May29 May07 (fuselier jonah)STOKES A 117 12.00    
TRIPPER JOHN Mar15 Feb07 Jan19 Jan04 Jul14 (lorefice mat)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 4.00 9% 10.30    
PRAY IDE SING Feb21 Dec07 Nov11 Aug11 Jul20 (larrosa juan)QUILES ANTONIO 117 15.00    
WHACUDPOSBLYGOWRNG Feb22 Jan19 Dec19 Jun15 Jul06 (henry eric)STOKES J 117 10.00    
BAYOU BEAUX Feb07 Jan19 Jan04 Dec06 Nov18 (ward ronnie)POMPELL L 120 8.00 26% 2.80    
 
EVD-2   04/12/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEAVILLE         (ladner chad)CARMONA SERAFIN 113 10.00    
  (by JESS'S DREAM out of HUMORISTICA by DISTORTED HUMOR)
GREAT RUNNER Mar07 Feb15 Jan25 Jan15 Dec15 (ladner herma)QUILES ANTONIO 123 8.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of SWEET SHIRLEY MAE by BROKEN VOW)
SCR  PAPA JOJO Mar15 Feb22 Feb02 Nov16 Feb10 (wilson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by JAFMIL out of PULPINIT by PULPIT)
STARSTUDDED AFFAIR Feb10 Jan18 Dec14     (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 2.00 40% 1.50    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of KING'S GHOST by GHOSTZAPPER)
TITANIUM DEAL Mar08 Feb01 Jan05 Dec19   (richard russ)NIEVES EMANUEL 115 3.00 14% 6.30    
  (by EL DEAL out of TITANIUM JANE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
CAJUN BLAST Mar22 Mar02 Feb17 Jan13 Jul10 (courville rick)THORNTON G 123 6.00    
  (by TAPWRIT out of CABANERO by SMART STRIKE)
MIDNIGHT AVENGER Mar21 Feb25 Jan21 Dec30   (turner patti)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 4.00 22% 3.50    
  (by FLATTER out of MIDNIGHT SWEETIE by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
DONEGAL DREAMER Feb08 Jan21 Dec08 Aug20   (noel dane)POMPELL L 118 12.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of SUNSET STARLET by MALIBU MOON)
 
EVD-3   04/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SERENA'S SERENADE Feb23 Feb08 Jan06 Nov09   (knudsen kent)ROSIER R 123 2.00    
ROSIE SPRIT Feb23 Dec14 Jul28 Jun10 May20 (chevis vinc)LEDET THEODRICK 120 10.00    
GOTTEMINABIND Feb23 Jan25 Jan05 Dec15 Dec01 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 120 3.50 33% 2.00    
JUST ANOTHER WIN Mar09 Jan07 Dec14 Oct25 Aug11 (woodley j)MCMAHON J 120 5.00    
SERENADINGTHEMOON Jan07 Dec10 Oct14 Sep20 Sep04 (lee louis)CARMONA SERAFIN 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
HOPESHECANRUN Mar15 Feb23 Feb02 Jan11 Dec19 (west henry)SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 3.00 28% 2.60    
ANGEL AND ME Nov21 Nov08 Oct25 Aug10 Jun10 (west henry)STOKES A 123 6.00 14% 6.30    
 
EVD-4   04/12/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3 ALL PT- 7:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALLONANITA'SLUCK Sep09 Jun05       (washington )SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BREAKING LUCKY out of ANITA'S SLEW by SLEW CITY SLEW)
MACKAY BOY         (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 120 6.00    
  (by SECRET CIRCLE out of LADY YANKEE by YANKEE GENTLEMAN)
DADDY'S FINEST         (averett ronnie)ROSIER R 120 8.00 12% 7.60    
  (by WHENCE out of MADELYN'S FINEST by IN A WALK)
SCR  ACHROMEDOUTCAT Mar23 Feb17 Jan20 Dec23   (gabriel ter)CARMONA SERAFIN 115 10.00    
  (by PEPPERED CAT out of LILLY REICH by BODEMEISTER)
GUS'S DREAM WORLD Mar10 Feb18 Aug05 Jul08   (gelner scott)BARRERA J 120 4.50    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of MEGA DREAM by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SECTION SIXTY         (sanchez)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 2.50 36% 1.80    
  (by TAKEOVER TARGET out of ROMANTIC CUVEE by CUVEE)
COUNTRY CHOICE Mar10 Feb15       (pennino frank)STOKES J 120 15.00    
  (by COUNTRY DAY out of CAMILLE'S CHOICE by WINTER HALO)
ORLEANS TOURIST Mar23         (marechal merli)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 2.00 22% 3.60    
  (by TOURIST out of AWESOME HOLD by HOLD ME BACK)
 
EVD-5   04/12/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAZZ Feb23 Feb08 Jan12 Dec08 Nov22 (prejean raymond)STOKES J 123 4.00 10% 8.90    
HAWAIIAN ARGUMENT Feb25 Feb15 Feb02 Dec14 Jun24 (zenon shelto)QUILES ANTONIO 123 12.00 8% 11.30    
VIKING LEGACY Feb16 Jan26 Jan04 Dec14 Jul22 (woodley j)THORNTON G 123 2.50 19% 4.20    
HALF CRAZY Feb22 Feb02 Dec20 Dec07 Nov10 (boxie joseph)DEL-CID MARLON 118 10.00    
CHIEF KIMOSABI Mar20 Feb23 Jan25 Dec19 Dec07 (castille ric)MAGNON H 123 15.00    
CABOCHON TREASURE Mar16 Feb24 Jan11 Dec01 Feb10 (rubin donald)VARGAS P 123 4.50 29% 2.40    
COCAL Feb24 Feb10 Jan26 Jan01 Dec14 (blanchet chris)POMPELL L 123 20.00    
MECKES PRIORITY Mar15 Feb25 Jan26 Jan04 Dec14 (dussette alvin)ROSIER R 123 15.00    
SHAWN'S SOLVING Mar08 Feb15 Feb02 Jan18 Dec01 (ney john)NIEVES EMANUEL 123 12.00 8% 11.10    
10  SAUCY ARGUMENT Feb24 Feb08 Jan11 Jun29 Jun01 (breaux samue)BARRERA J 123 12.00    
11  IRON N STEEL Mar10 Jan18 Dec20 Nov25 Nov04 (turner patti)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 20.00    
SCR  NATIVE STAR Feb24 Jan06 Dec13 Nov24 Nov11 (gelner scott)MCMAHON J 123 8.00    
 
EVD-6   04/12/2024 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHAOSMOS Feb13 Jan21 Dec29 Dec02 Nov17 (richard russell )ROSIER R 118 5.00    
DUVEE Mar22 Mar06 Feb10 Jan19 Dec29 (david b)BARRERA J 115 2.50 22% 3.50    
FLYING HOUDINI Mar30 Mar14 Feb16 Feb04 Dec06 (west henry)STOKES A 118 20.00    
EASTER SNAP Mar23 Feb17 Dec29 Nov17 Nov11 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 15.00 12% 7.50    
JEFFROW Feb02 Jan13 Dec14 Nov15 Oct07 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 115 3.50 31% 2.20    
SONYA KNOWS BETTER Mar06 Feb16 Feb03 Jan04 Dec09 (fuselier jonah)THORNTON G 115 20.00    
BRITE OUTLOOK Dec21 Jul01 May25 Apr27 Apr07 (chatter)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  COFFEE COUNTY Mar06 Feb08 Jan13 Dec17 Nov24 (cuccia j)VARGAS P 115 10.00    
TODDCHERO Mar23 Feb25 Feb04 Aug25 Jul20 (gelner j)MCMAHON J 118 4.50    
10  CLARESTOWN Mar08 Feb16 Dec07 Oct26 Jul17 (schwandt emile)STOKES J 118 12.00 8% 11.50    
 
EVD-7   04/12/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IT'S A BIRD Mar07 Feb16 Jan20 Dec21 Nov25 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 120 6.00    
HAPPY BOY ROCKET Feb21 Oct13 Sep30 Sep15 Aug12 (delany sara)SANTIAGO EDWARD 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
GUITARZAN Feb09 May25 Apr14 Feb25 Jan28 (segura kea)ALBERT S 120 20.00    
HAMMERIN AAMER Mar10 Feb18 Jan28 Dec15 Nov25 (bourgeois keit)GREEN AUBRIE 123 3.50 57% 0.80    
TAKEN BACK Feb09 Dec14 Nov29 Jun22 May25 (segura kearney)STOKES J 120 20.00    
QUARTER RAT Feb13 Dec27 Nov25 Oct27 Jul28 (delahoussaye gl)MCMAHON J 120 12.00    
MIDNIGHT CROWN Mar07 Feb17 Jan20 Dec21 Dec07 (breaux samue)BARRERA J 120 10.00    
PAYOFF CYCLE Feb29 Jan27 Dec31 Dec07 Nov09 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
GUITARTUITION PLZZ Feb29 Feb03 Jan26 Jan06 Dec08 (wilson shane)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 2.00 17% 5.00    
10  APPLEWOOD Feb21 Jan11 Dec21 Dec14 Nov29 (matthieu ron)MAGNON H 123 15.00    
 
EVD-8   04/12/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE HAS IT ALL Mar07 Feb16       (bourgeo)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 2.50 36% 1.80    
BRIELLE EVANGELINE Mar15 Feb22 Jan15 Dec29 Sep02 (marechal merlin)ROSIER R 120 6.00    
CCED FOR STEPH Mar13 Feb01 Jan07 Dec10 Jun01 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 15.00 5% 18.30    
TWO JET Feb07 Nov29 Nov16 Oct12 Aug11 (delhomme jerry)THORNTON G 120 1.80 37% 1.70    
DOLLY'S GUITAR Mar03 Feb03 Jan13 Nov11 Oct26 (wong jonatha)MAGNON H 120 12.00    
AFLEET CHARLENE Jan06 Nov25 Nov08 Oct12 Jul10 (beene linda)STOKES A 120 20.00    
KAN SHE Feb15 Jan06 Nov01     (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CAJUN CATALINA Mar10 Feb22 Jan28 Jan11 Nov25 (thomas lee)GREEN AUBRIE 120 4.00    
 
EVD-9   04/12/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT-10:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COSTA LADY Feb24 Feb10 Jan26 Jan12 Dec22 (boxie s)STOKES A 115 20.00 9% 10.00    
LAST PENALTY Mar15 Nov13 Oct27 Oct14 Sep21 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 12.00    
HIGHER NOTE Mar15 Feb23 Jul20 Jul08 May26 (marechal me)MELANCON JANSEN 123 8.00 14% 6.20    
SPARKLE CITY Mar20 Mar01 Feb08 Jan19 Jan06 (zeno benjamin)STOKES J 120 1.60 44% 1.30    
DARK SKYER Mar15 Feb23 Dec01 Aug04 Jul14 (breaux samuel)MCMAHON J 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SHEHASANATTITUDE Mar07 Feb21       (husak gary)MARQUEZ L 123 10.00    
REINE LE FER Feb15 Oct12 Aug11     (castille carro)THORNTON G 120 15.00    
ABBEY CAKES Feb09 Jan12 Dec16 Dec02 Nov09 (west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 123 4.50 9% 9.70    
SHE'S THE SHERIFF Feb08 Jan06 Dec16 Nov11 Jun29 (garcia migue)DEL-CID MARLON 118 5.00    
10  LUCCA'S LILYBY Aug12 Jul01 Aug27 Aug18 Jul29 (cormier do)ALBERT S 120 20.00    
SCR  LA LOMBRIZ         (del eric)QUILES ANTONIO 123 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.