Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Wednesday - March 06, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-3   WIN (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/5)-(1/6/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/6/5)-(1/6/4/5)-(1/6/4/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/6/5)-(4/3/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/5)-(4/3/1/5)-(4/9/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TUP-4   WIN (4/3/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/1/5)-(4/3/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/1/5)-(4/3/1/5)-(4/3/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/1/5)-(4/9/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3/1/5)-(4/9/1)-(4/7/8/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TUP-5   WIN (4/9/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/9/1)-(4/9/1/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/9/1)-(4/9/1/2/7)-(4/9/1/2/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/9/1)-(4/7/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/9/1)-(4/7/8/2)-(1/9/8/2/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TUP-6   WIN (4/7/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/8/2)-(4/7/8/6/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/7/8/2)-(4/7/8/6/2)-(4/7/8/6/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/7/8/2)-(1/9/8/2/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/7/8/2)-(1/9/8/2/11)-(6/7/4/5/10) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
TUP-7   WIN (1/9/8/2/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/9/8/2/11)-(1/9/8/2/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/9/8/2/11)-(1/9/8/2/11)-(1/9/8/2/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/9/8/2/11)-(6/7/4/5/10) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
TUP-8   WIN (6/7/4/5/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/7/4/5/10)-(6/7/4/5/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/7/4/5/10)-(6/7/4/5/10)-(6/7/4/5/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-3   03/06/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  O SHUGAH MINT Mar20 Mar28 Mar09 Jan25 Jan06 (gleason)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 6.00 40% 1.50    
2  LADY OF THE RIVER Feb24 Feb04 Jan19 Jan07 Dec29 (perez s)RADKE K 124 5.00    
SCR  CANDIED JOULE Feb21 Aug12 Jul17 May21 May07 (homer jason)PENA BRYAN 124 6.00    
4  PARTYATTHEMOONTOWR Feb04 Jan15       (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 118 3.00 ★    
5  STORM CENT Feb21 Feb06 Dec20 Nov13 Oct08 (valerio)BRAVO MISAEL 113 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  ROCKSIE HARTBRAKER Feb21 Apr22 Apr12 Mar28 Feb24 (mccartney jack)LULL E 124 4.00 27% 2.70    
7  HARBOR'S BEAUTY Feb21 Feb03 Jan14 Dec29 Dec01 (tamayo isi)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 5.00    
8  SNOOZY SUZY Feb21 Jan31 Jan05 Nov14 Oct20 (torres-casa)MORALES ROBERTO 124 8.00    
 
TUP-4   03/06/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ORTH Feb12 Feb01 Dec04 Nov06 Oct01 (barraza ra)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 6.00 10% 9.50    
2  FOUND MY BALL Feb22 Feb01 Jan25 Jan11 Dec06 (si)DA FAUSTO 122 3.50    
3  KEEN HEIR Feb20 Feb06 Jan06 Dec02 Nov10 (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00 27% 2.80    
4  TEXTHELEGEND Feb12 Jan30 Dec19 Nov28 Nov07 (mcfarlane l)PENA BRYAN 122 3.00 28% 2.50    
5  KYSTONE Oct15 Oct01 Sep16 Aug25 Aug05 (hedge rick)MAWING A 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  COOL PAPA G Feb06 Dec15 Nov24 Nov11 Sep17 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 4.00    
7  ABSOLUTE UNIT Jan25 Mar06 Feb13 Jan28 Jan02 (hone bart)VALENZUELA A 122 6.00    
SCR  JIN TONG Sep17 Sep03 Aug20 Aug13 Jul16 (toye joe)RADKE K 122 8.00    
 
TUP-5   03/06/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG WAY Feb20 Jan26 Dec20 Dec04 Nov07 (silva jose )MORALES ROBERTO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  NYQUILER Feb19 Feb05 Dec29 Dec09 Nov10 (rosales jorge)PENA BRYAN 124 5.00 ★    
3  READY TO STORM Feb27 Jan29 Jan12 Nov23 Nov03 (caraman michael)NEGRON LUIS 118 4.00    
4  PANZER PRIDE Feb15 Jan30 Dec04 Nov14 Sep16 (eikleberry k)CONTRERAS LUIS 124 5.00 56% 0.80    
5  STAR PROSPECT Feb15 Jan30 Dec09 Oct28 Sep24 (ferguson )VALENZUELA A 124 6.00    
6  COLOR ME LEGENDARY Feb27 Feb06 Jan05 Nov24 Oct27 (silva jose )ESPINOZA ASSAEL 124 5.00    
7  WESTERBERG Feb21 Feb05 Nov14 Oct13 Aug12 (perez sergio )AYUSO ARMANDO 124 10.00 ★    
8  BLUES RAPPER Feb27 May05 Apr24 Apr11 Mar26 (trejo amali)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00    
9  TOLEDO ROCKET Feb10 Jan06 Dec15     (evans justin)REYES R 124 3.00 14% 6.40    
 
TUP-6   03/06/2024 3300ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COLLECT DIS MONEY Feb14 Jan30 Jan06 Dec08 Nov11 (rosales jorg)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 8.00    
2  ROLL DEM BONES Feb20 Dec12 Dec05 Oct04 Sep13 (soto an)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  SOUTH SEA Feb21 Feb06 Oct16 Sep26 Sep04 (brown jared)RADKE K 122 12.00    
4  MINDSHARE Feb26 Feb12 Jul22 Jun11 May27 (silva jr)GARCIA F 124 4.00 39% 1.50    
5  NEW EVERY MORNING Feb20 Jan30 Jan05 Dec17 Oct13 (gutierrez juan )CRUZ M 122 5.00    
6  CANNONBALL COMIN Feb20 Nov14 Oct21 Oct04 Aug05 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 6.00 ★    
7  D K'S CROWN Oct09 Oct01 Sep18 Sep02 Aug06 (silva-martinez a)PENA BRYAN 122 8.00 30% 2.30    
8  DURANGO JESS May27 May13 Mar20 Feb25 Feb06 (guerrero )KELLENBERGER KODY 122 10.00 8% 11.30    
9  XTREME MAYHEM Feb20 Oct04 May29 May06 Apr11 (martinez esteba)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.50    
 
TUP-7   03/06/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  B R KIDD ROCK Feb20 Feb05 Jan19 Dec20 Nov07 (dennison d)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 5.00 42% 1.40    
2  EMPEROROFTHENORTH Feb13 Jan07 Sep16 Aug28 Jul28 (brown jared)MAWING A 124 6.00 7% 14.10    
3  GORM Feb04 Jan07 Dec09 Nov18 Jul22 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 2.50    
4  PIRATE MISCHIEF Feb13 Jan31 Dec12 Dec05 Oct28 (leon alex)IRONEYES R 119 20.00    
5  YOU'RE MY BOY KAT Feb13 Jan31 Jan11 Dec05 Nov21 (nelson am)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 12.00    
6  IMISSBAYMEADOWS Nov05 Oct15 Sep13 Sep06 Aug09 (fearon john)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 20.00    
7  HARBOR THUNDER Feb13 Aug12 Jun10 May05 Apr04 (belvoir vann)VALDES ALEXIS 124 15.00    
8  QUEENS EFFORT Feb20 Feb05 Dec18 Oct14 Sep09 (gleason m)LOPEZ KARLO 124 8.00 7% 13.80    
9  WEALTH N HEALTH Jan30 Dec20 Nov21 Oct22 Oct06 (valerio raymo)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 3.00 16% 5.30    
10  PAINTED SMOKE Feb21 Feb13 Dec12 Nov07 Oct22 (diaz lui)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 20.00    
11  ROMEO'S GLORY May07 Feb25 Feb04 Dec19 Nov29 (ybarra rudy)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-8   03/06/2024 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($31.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GYPSY WIFE Feb07 Nov14 Sep03 Aug11 Jul27 (eikleberry)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 5.00    
2  RIVETING SPIRIT Feb02 Jan05 Dec03 Nov12 Oct02 (baze robert)CRUZ M 122 6.00    
3  DIRT FLIRT Feb26 Feb07 Dec11 Oct18 Sep27 (silva jose )ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 8.00    
4  LOOPY Feb19 Aug30 Aug22 Aug06 Jul21 (si)DA FAUSTO 122 4.50 10% 8.60    
5  OLIVIA'S CHOICE (IRE) Feb26 Jan30 Dec05 Oct08 Sep02 (villamar candela)PENA BRYAN 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  HOLY ZAGS Feb19 Jan05 Nov24 Oct23 Jul02 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 3.00 32% 2.10    
7  MAGAZINE Feb27 Jan27 Nov10 Oct14 Aug17 (powell leonar)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 4.00 27% 2.70    
8  GUARDING ELK CAMP Feb19 Jan30 Dec12 Nov14 Oct22 (leon alex)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 20.00    
9  LEMON DROP LADY Feb15 Dec20 Oct08 Aug05 Jul09 (hone bart)CORBETT W 124 8.00    
10  CHIC SAMARAI Feb19 Feb05 Jan07 Nov12 Oct28 (brown jared)RADKE K 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.