Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Wednesday - February 21, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/5)-(3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/5)-(2/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/6/5)-(2/4/3)-(8/5/10) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-2   WIN (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/3)-(2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/3)-(8/5/10) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3)-(8/5/10)-(2/3/5/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-3   WIN (8/5/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/5/10)-(8/5/10) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/5/10)-(8/5/10)-(8/5/10) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/5/10)-(2/3/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/5/10)-(2/3/5/6)-(9/3/1/11) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-4   WIN (2/3/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/5/6)-(2/3/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/5/6)-(2/3/5/6)-(2/3/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/5/6)-(9/3/1/11) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/3/5/6)-(9/3/1/11)-(7/5/3/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-5   WIN (9/3/1/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/3/1/11)-(9/3/1/11/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/3/1/11)-(9/3/1/11/10)-(9/3/1/11/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/3/1/11)-(7/5/3/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (9/3/1/11)-(7/5/3/1)-(6/3/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-6   WIN (7/5/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/3/1)-(7/5/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/3/1)-(7/5/3/1)-(7/5/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/3/1)-(6/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/5/3/1)-(6/3/5)-(8/9/10/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-7   WIN (6/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/5)-(6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/5)-(8/9/10/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-8   WIN (8/9/10/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/9/10/2)-(8/9/10/2/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/9/10/2)-(8/9/10/2/6)-(8/9/10/2/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   02/21/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GLASTONBURY Jan13 Dec06 Nov15 Oct26 Sep01 (roadcap j)HERNANDEZ F 122 5.00    
2  WHITE PIGEON Jan26 Dec28 Nov02 May30 May08 (dollinger-sth)CHAVEZ ANDRES 117 6.00    
3  CAJUN FUN Jan27 Jan05 Dec02 Nov09 Oct19 (collins tim)PELTROCHE F 122 1.80 29% 2.40    
SCR  VIOLENT ROCK Jan27 Jan11 Nov15 Jul15 Jun23 (shanley mark)BATISTA A 122 2.50    
5  ASSERT DOMINANCE Jan27 Sep28 Sep01 Aug19 Aug03 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 122 6.00 12% 7.30    
6  RUNAWAY ROAD Jan27 Jan11 Dec02 Oct27 Oct06 (figgins o)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 8.00 21% 3.70    
7  POLITICAL DECISION Jan27 Jan11 Dec09 Nov11 Oct21 (murtaugh andr)BATISTA C 122 20.00    
 
CT-2   02/21/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCARLET TANAGER Jan25 Jan12 Dec02 Nov11 Oct07 (spriggs toschia)RODRIGUEZ V 122 2.50    
2  TRUE HEIRESS Jul14 Jun02 Apr14 Mar23 Mar02 (gazzier k)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 2.00 40% 1.50    
3  MAKE IT A DOUBLE Jan25 Jan12 Dec01 Nov11 Oct07 (knoblauch-per)ADAMS L 115 5.00 9% 10.80    
4  CRUZ IN THE CASTLE Feb08 Jan05 Dec02 Nov18 Nov08 (dollinger)BOCACHICA J 117 3.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  HIPNOTIZADA Jan04 Oct20 Jul22 Jul09 Jun28 (smith l)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 15.00    
6  GRANDIOSELY Jan27 Jan12 Dec02 Nov11 Oct20 (jones michael)CHAVEZ ANDRES 115 6.00    
7  REINE SECRET Jan25 Dec13 Dec06 Sep01 Aug12 (babcock rebec)BATISTA C 120 30.00    
 
CT-3   02/21/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SUPER SNEAKY Feb02 Jan17 Dec29 Dec02 Sep29 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 118 12.00    
SCR  HOLD THE NOTE Jan03         (viands )NUNEZ MAURICIO 118 12.00    
3  HEY MACARENA Feb02 Jan12 Dec08 Dec02 Nov02 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 15.00    
SCR  WALLAHOLLY Jan20 Mar18 Mar02     (brooks bri)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 2.50    
5  BEST WORST IDEA Dec31 Nov29 Nov18 Nov03 Oct25 (ramirez j)HERNANDEZ F 124 4.00 19% 4.20    
6  DREAM OF GOLD Jan31 Jan11 Nov29 Nov17 Apr28 (haynes m)PELTROCHE F 124 4.50    
7  SHEZA GRITTY BITTY Jan04         (joy ke)ARAUJO VICENTE 118 15.00    
8  SELES Jan31 Jan24 Jan03 Dec16 Nov07 (jones michael)CHAVEZ ANDRES 111 5.00 40% 1.50    
SCR  DAYLIGHT QUEEN Jan27 Mar10       (corrales jos)BATISTA A 124 20.00    
10  CAUSETOWIN Jan24 Jan03 Nov09     (jackson l)CULLUM W 118 8.00 10% 9.00    
 
CT-4   02/21/2024 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EMBERLY Jan27 Jan12 Jan03 Dec08 Nov25 (ramos ago)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 120 5.00    
2  MAKINLIMMARGARITAS Jan18 Nov18 Oct28 Oct07 Sep16 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.40 41% 1.50    
3  SNEAKY LYNK Feb09 Jan31 Jan03 Dec04 Nov09 (boggs joa)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 1.60 21% 3.80    
4  PURE NONSENSE Feb08 Jan18 Jan03 Dec14 Nov22 (gillespie ryan )PELTROCHE F 120 15.00    
5  ARROWWOOD Jan10 Nov03 Aug19 Aug12 Jul22 (runco c)CHAVEZ ANDRES 113 8.00 9% 10.40    
6  MISS WAVE Jan24 Nov08 Oct14 Aug19 Jul01 (hillegass alexan)ACOSTA D 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
7  SHUTUPN'KISSME Feb07 Jan18 Dec13 Nov02 Oct05 (mangual manolo)CRUZ ANGEL 120 12.00    
 
CT-5   02/21/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIR SMOAK Jan31 Dec13 Nov25 Nov15 Oct21 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 120 8.00 6% 15.10    
2  SCHMEAR Jan10 Dec07 Nov08 Oct19 Sep28 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 122 10.00    
3  MINEOLA MIKE Jan31 Dec31 Nov04 Oct21 Sep13 (deiter kelly)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 2.00 20% 4.00    
4  SPEIGHTS YOUR MIND Jan31 Jan10 Dec07 Nov11 Oct21 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 122 20.00    
5  T VILLE Dec02 Oct07 Sep08 Aug12 Jul16 (walters david)CHAVEZ ANDRES 113 12.00    
6  STAVANGER Jan31 Jan10 Dec02 Nov15 Oct28 (racanelli mark)CHILO MAXIMO 120 30.00    
SCR  SPEAKERIT Jan11 Dec07 Oct28 Sep30 Sep07 (kee j)BATISTA A 122 15.00    
8  TAPIO (IRE) Jan27 Jan11 Dec02 Nov10 Sep25 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 122 10.00    
9  ALPHA WHISKEY Jan31 Jan05 Dec04 Nov18 Sep16 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 1.80 49% 1.10    
10  CHROME HEIR Jan31 Dec02 Nov11 Oct21 Jul07 (pickett c)BOCACHICA J 115 10.00 ★    
11  SUPERSTITIEUX Feb03 Jan06 Dec13 Nov23 Nov15 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LET FREEDOM SPRING Sep09 Aug17 Jul16 Jun04 Apr29 (jones michael)RIVERA JAVIER 122 10.00    
 
CT-6   02/21/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ASUE Jan31 Dec14 Dec01 Nov03 Oct06 (stites w)ACOSTA D 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  BLUESKYSLOOKINATME Jan31 Nov29 Sep07 Aug24   (locklear james)RODRIGUEZ V 122 20.00    
3  WINDSOR'S PLAY Feb08 Jan18 Jan03 Dec13 Nov25 (rideout an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 5.00 13% 6.60    
4  SPEEDY BUBBLES Jan11 Dec16 Dec02 Nov03 Sep21 (chircop s)BOCACHICA J 115 1.80    
5  WITNESS THE ENERGY Jan31 Jan18 Dec06 Oct26 Jun02 (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 124 6.00 19% 4.20    
6  ICY STARE Feb08 Jan18 Aug24 Aug18 Jul15 (jones royland)ADAMS L 113 30.00    
7  CHEROKEE CASTLE Feb08 Jan26 Jan10 Dec04 Nov10 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.40 34% 2.00    
 
CT-7   02/21/2024 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SERENADE SOLDIER Feb09 Oct08 Sep15 Aug11 Dec31 (brown kelton)CHILO MAXIMO 120 8.00    
2  ALL ABOUT KATHERN Jan22 Aug10 Jul21 Jul03 Jun18 (tomczak m)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 20.00    
3  PROUD MULE Feb02 Oct11 Aug11 Jul14 Jun25 (runco c)CULLUM W 120 5.00 10% 8.60    
4  MEETMEATTHEBEACH Feb07 Dec29 Dec14 Dec02 Nov17 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 120 1.40    
5  AMERICAN BOUND Feb05 Dec06 Oct25 Sep12 Aug30 (cuttino marion )PELTROCHE F 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  MACKENZIE'S MUSIC Jan03 Nov08 Oct14 Aug24 Jul27 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.20 64% 0.60    
 
CT-8   02/21/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I SEE NOTHING Feb02 Jan04 Dec09 Nov24 Nov11 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 124 12.00    
2  OCEAN STORM Jan31 Jan04 Dec09 Nov30 Nov11 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  JOOBY DOOBY DOO Jan31 Jan18 Jan04 Nov24 Oct27 (reyes )ARAUJO VICENTE 120 15.00    
4  MEETMARYSMAN Feb02 Nov30 Nov11 Oct25 Sep15 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 10.00    
5  CURB THAT TIGER Feb02 Jan04 Nov24 Oct25 Oct07 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 4.50    
6  SIENTE EL AMOR Jan31 Nov11 Oct25 Oct07 Aug19 (wilhelm)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 8.00 ★    
7  KING OF LUCK Jan31 Jan18 Dec01 Nov16 Oct27 (ramos m)RIOS-CONDE A 122 12.00    
8  PINNACLE REEF Feb08 Jan18 Dec01 Nov09 Oct16 (runco c)CHAVEZ ANDRES 113 4.00 55% 0.80    
9  DOCTOR PARDO Jan25 Jan12 Dec05 Nov07 Oct06 (brown ron)BOCACHICA J 115 3.50 15% 5.60    
10  CHARITABLE WINDSOR Jan31 Dec01 Nov11 Nov02 Oct19 (hess g)RODRIGUEZ V 122 6.00 7% 13.20    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.