Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Friday - February 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (6/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/7)-(6/4/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/4/7)-(6/4/7/5)-(6/4/7/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/4/7)-(7/2/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4/7)-(7/2/8/6)-(8/5/7/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-2   WIN (7/2/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/8/6)-(7/2/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/8/6)-(7/2/8/6)-(7/2/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/8/6)-(8/5/7/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/2/8/6)-(8/5/7/6)-(4/2/3/6) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-3   WIN (8/5/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/7/6)-(8/5/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/7/6)-(8/5/7/6)-(8/5/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/5/7/6)-(4/2/3/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/5/7/6)-(4/2/3/6)-(9/6/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-4   WIN (4/2/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/3/6)-(4/2/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/3/6)-(4/2/3/6)-(4/2/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2/3/6)-(9/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/3/6)-(9/6/2)-(5/6/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-5   WIN (9/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/6/2)-(9/6/8/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (9/6/2)-(9/6/8/2)-(9/6/8/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (9/6/2)-(5/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (9/6/2)-(5/6/1)-(9/5/10/8/1) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
CT-6   WIN (5/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/1)-(5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/1)-(9/5/10/8/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/6/1)-(9/5/10/8/1)-(4/8/3/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-7   WIN (9/5/10/8/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/5/10/8/1)-(9/5/10/8/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/5/10/8/1)-(9/5/10/8/1)-(9/5/10/8/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/5/10/8/1)-(4/8/3/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CT-8   WIN (4/8/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/3/6)-(4/8/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/3/6)-(4/8/3/6)-(4/8/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   02/16/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG SMILE Feb08 Jan19 Dec20 Nov29 Nov03 (brown ron)BOCACHICA J 111 15.00    
2  BULLETONTHECHARTS Jan12 Dec23 Dec07 Nov12 Oct08 (walters da)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 12.00    
3  THEIRREGISTRDIMNOT Jan25 Jan10 Dec13 Nov30 Nov03 (carlisle )SANTIAGO WILFREDO 124 12.00    
4  DOWSING ROD Jan27 Jan11 Dec22 Dec01 Nov10 (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 124 1.60 18% 4.70    
5  WILLIAM'S CAUSE Dec29 Dec06 Nov13 Oct30 Sep18 (babcock rebec)ADAMS L 117 10.00 ★    
6  MACHISTO Jan27 Jan10 Mar19 Jan21   (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.40 59% 0.70    
7  NAUGHTY STREAK Feb03 Jan13 Nov11     (mcmahon i)CRUZ ANGEL 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-2   02/16/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SO RED THE ROSE Jan26 Jan05 Dec15 Nov30 Oct19 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 120 30.00    
2  CLEARLY VISIBLE Jan27 Jan05 Jun17 May27 May06 (clatterbuck f)BATISTA C 122 5.00 18% 4.60    
3  MISS WILD Jan05 Dec15 Nov10 Oct19 Oct07 (schott)ARAUJO VICENTE 124 30.00    
4  SALTY SAUL Feb03 Jan12 Sep15 Aug12 Jul13 (shanley timothy)ACOSTA D 122 30.00    
5  BONNIE BLUETOOTH Jan26 Jan05 Dec01 Nov10 Oct27 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 1.20    
6  CHURCH KEY Jan27 Dec13 Nov20 Nov07 Oct16 (harriso)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  REVEIRS MINUTE Jan26 Jan05 Nov11 Oct24 Oct14 (hess jacob )MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 1.60 45% 1.20    
8  PANGEA Aug27 Jul30 Jun25 Jun11 May16 (cornwell )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 10.00 12% 7.50    
 
CT-3   02/16/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  A THOUSAND IDOLS Jan27 Jan11 Dec09 Nov18 Oct26 (harting chri)BATISTA A 124 4.50    
2  PRINCE FRED Feb02 Dec15 Nov11 Oct19 Aug24 (nazario p)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 118 15.00    
3  SHAKIN IT BIG TIME Jan31 Dec11 Nov22 Sep28 Sep07 (shanley timoth)CHILO MAXIMO 122 30.00    
4  ROLL ME OVER Jan26 Jan05 Dec12 Nov01 Oct20 (cuttino m)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 30.00    
5  MON GATEAU Feb01 Jan13 Dec15 Nov16 Sep27 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 3.50 33% 2.00    
6  BET ON BITZ Jul07 Jun15 May25 May04 Apr13 (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  NET WORTH Jan25 Jan11 Dec01 Nov10 Jun22 (shanley timothy)RODRIGUEZ V 122 4.00 8% 10.80    
8  BON BUENO Feb01 Jan25 Jan12 Dec09 Sep16 (gillespie)BOCACHICA J 115 1.20 38% 1.70    
 
CT-4   02/16/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3 F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DREAM STREET ROSE Jan27 Jan12       (jones e)ACOSTA D 122 20.00    
  (by CAPO BASTONE out of PARTY CAKE by REPARATIONS)
2  ANOTHER FINE JUBA Jan27 Jan05 Nov24 Nov08 Oct27 (boggs joa)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 1.60 21% 3.80    
  (by JUBA out of JACKY'S NOTION by GREAT NOTION)
3  SYMPTOMATIC Jan27 Jan05 Dec15 Nov24   (viands st)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 5.00 12% 7.30    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of IDEAL THOUGHTS by NOT FOR LOVE)
4  CANDY TRICKS Feb02 Jan12       (sigler g)LARROSA G 122 3.00 44% 1.20    
  (by CANDYGRAM out of TRICKY WINDSOR by WINDSOR CASTLE)
5  QUINN ELIA Jan27 Jan05 Oct27 Sep21 Aug31 (schian)ARAUJO VICENTE 122 3.50    
  (by KLIMT out of UNMISTAKABLE by MALIBU MOON)
6  THELASTSAY Jan27         (shuler joh)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of SOME SAY by CHELSEY CAT)
7  SHOTGUN MARGARET Jan27 Dec15 Oct27 Oct12 Aug31 (shuler r)PELTROCHE F 122 20.00    
  (by JUBA out of JENNYS CREEK by GREELEY'S GALAXY)
 
CT-5   02/16/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAWYER UP RILEY Dec21         (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 116 6.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of CALL PAT by LAWYER RON)
2  PILOTE COMETE Jul02 May27 Apr28     (perkins ben)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of ABUNDANCE OF CLASS by MINESHAFT)
SCR  HONOUR'S CHOICE         (cuttino m)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 119 15.00    
  (by MAWTHOOQ out of CHOOSE HONOUR by HONOUR AND GLORY)
SCR  DR JACK FLYER Jan27         (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 2.50    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of TERM PAPER by PRIVATE TERMS)
5  ARROW OF TIME Jun03         (valvo )ARAUJO VICENTE 124 15.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of MOOD SWING by J. O. TOBIN)
6  PROSPECTIVE LOVE         (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 124 4.50 18% 4.70    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of SIX TONSAFUN by NOT FOR LOVE)
7  REBEL WARRIOR Jan27 Sep20 Aug25 Aug02   (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 116 20.00    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of HARBOUR NEWS by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
8  SHARP STYLE Dec14 Nov22 Nov03 Sep22 Jan25 (stites w)ACOSTA D 124 5.00 ★    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of DECORATEDWITHSTYLE by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
9  LEGENDAIRE Nov26 Oct08 Sep09 Jun14 May04 (perkins be)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 4.00 53% 0.90    
  (by DIALED IN out of SERENE QUEEN by EXPLICIT)
 
CT-6   02/16/2024 2970ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($18.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FORTUNATA ITALIA Nov12 Oct19 Apr14 Feb03 Jan15 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  TARGE Jan26 Jan04 Mar04 Feb17 Jan21 (perri gin)BOCACHICA J 113 4.50    
SCR  TIZ THE REASON Feb02 Jan04 Dec16 Nov10 Oct25 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 12.00    
SCR  VOLNAY Jan12 Nov02 Oct06 Sep04 Jul08 (perri gina)ALVELO C 120 8.00    
5  LITTLE BIT OF THAT Jan04 Dec16 Nov10 Sep08 Jul07 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 0.80 66% 0.50    
6  FORTES Jan26 Jan04 Nov10 Oct25 Sep08 (reynol)ARAUJO VICENTE 120 5.00 8% 11.10    
7  SULTRY SALLY H Feb02 Dec22 Nov17 Oct25 Oct05 (vick timothy )CHAVEZ ANDRES 113 20.00    
8  VALID REASON Jan25 Dec02 Nov10 Oct25 Jan21 (johnson dewayne)BOCACHICA O 120 15.00    
 
CT-7   02/16/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMMAND THE CAT Jan26 Nov04 Sep09 Jun16 May19 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 12.00 6% 15.80    
2  HOME SCHOOL (IRE) Feb07 Dec16 Dec08 Nov17 Nov02 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 120 10.00    
3  JAMMIN STILL Oct12 Sep22 Sep04 Aug19 Aug04 (caison l)MAWING A 120 30.00    
4  SHACKLED LOVE Jan28 Nov04 Oct19 Apr07 Jan16 (capuano gary )CHAVEZ ANDRES 113 10.00    
5  TATE Jul21 Jun29 May20 Apr20 Mar31 (farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 120 5.00 19% 4.40    
6  KENNY HAD A NOTION Jan26 Dec13 Dec05 Oct12 Sep21 (jones michae)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 2.50    
7  SUE LOVES BARBADOS Jan26 Dec13 Dec01 Nov01 Oct19 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 4.50    
8  CATFISH Dec12 Aug29 Jul02 Jun06 May22 (shuler jo)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 20.00 8% 12.10    
9  ZEN MASTER Jan26 Dec13 Nov18 Oct28 Oct07 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 3.00 30% 2.30    
10  LIKE SEGAL Jan26 Sep17 Aug11 Jul16 Jun02 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 20.00 10% 8.90    
 
CT-8   02/16/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AIR KENNEY Jan26 Jan05 Dec13 Nov15 Oct27 (shanley timothy)ACOSTA D 120 10.00    
2  WATCH THE TRAMCAR Jan26 Dec28 Dec06 Sep22   (boniface kev)TROTMAN KEIMAR 118 12.00    
3  GOLDEN ADAGE Jan26 Nov15 Oct13 Sep23 Jul29 (caison l)MAWING A 122 12.00 11% 8.40    
4  DOCTOR JERRY Jan26 Dec30 Nov22 Oct16 Oct02 (figgins ollie)CHAVEZ ANDRES 113 1.80 33% 2.00    
SCR  AKITO Jan11 Dec27 Dec18 Nov15   (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 4.00    
6  PERSONAL FINANCE Jan26 Jan05 Dec14 Nov30 Nov15 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  RUFFNER Feb03 Jan12 Dec22 Nov26 Feb19 (perri gin)BOCACHICA J 117 4.50    
8  MO EH HENNESSY Feb10 Jan26 Jan05 Dec06 Nov15 (brown a)CHILO MAXIMO 120 5.00 27% 2.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.