Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Laurel Park
Sunday - February 11, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LRL-1   WIN (4/1/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/7/6)-(4/1/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/7/6)-(4/1/7/6)-(4/1/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/7/6)-(8/6/4/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/1/7/6)-(8/6/4/7)-(2/7) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
LRL-2   WIN (8/6/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/4/7)-(8/6/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/4/7)-(8/6/4/7)-(8/6/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/6/4/7)-(2/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (8/6/4/7)-(2/7)-(2/8/1/5) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
LRL-3   WIN (2/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/7)-(2/6/7) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/7)-(2/6/7)-(2/6/7) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (2/7)-(2/8/1/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/7)-(2/8/1/5)-(5/2/1/8) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
LRL-4   WIN (2/8/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/1/5)-(2/8/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/1/5)-(2/8/1/5)-(2/8/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/8/1/5)-(5/2/1/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/8/1/5)-(5/2/1/8)-(7/5/9/4/8) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LRL-5   WIN (5/2/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/1/8)-(5/2/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/1/8)-(5/2/1/8)-(5/2/1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/1/8)-(7/5/9/4/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/2/1/8)-(7/5/9/4/8)-(3/4/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LRL-6   WIN (7/5/9/4/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/5/9/4/8)-(7/5/9/4/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/5/9/4/8)-(7/5/9/4/8)-(7/5/9/4/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/5/9/4/8)-(3/4/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/5/9/4/8)-(3/4/7)-(3/9/7) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
LRL-7   WIN (3/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/7)-(3/4/8/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/4/7)-(3/4/8/7)-(3/4/8/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/4/7)-(3/9/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/4/7)-(3/9/7)-(5/8/6/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-8   WIN (3/9/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/9/7)-(3/9/7/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/9/7)-(3/9/7/2)-(3/9/7/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/9/7)-(5/8/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/9/7)-(5/8/6/1)-(3/6/5/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LRL-9   WIN (5/8/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/6/1)-(5/8/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/6/1)-(5/8/6/1)-(5/8/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/8/6/1)-(3/6/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
LRL-10   WIN (3/6/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/5/2)-(3/6/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/5/2)-(3/6/5/2)-(3/6/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LRL-1   02/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($47K) 3 ALL PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLUFF THE PILLOW Dec29 Nov24       (de ho)CARRASCO R 124 2.50 30% 2.30    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of ADJUST by AFFIRMED)
WORK HARD Dec30 Sep07 Sep02 Aug19 Jul27 (capuano gary)BARBOSA JEIRON 124 4.50    
  (by AUDIBLE out of PEARLS by BLACK TIE AFFAIR (IRE))
VILALUZ Feb04 Jan13 Dec30     (corrales jose)TORREALBA JG 119 12.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of DATING GAME by GHOSTZAPPER)
BAD ADVICE         (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 1.60 35% 1.90    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of SNEAKY BETTY by MINESHAFT)
ROCKET NIGHT Dec16 Oct26 Sep28 Aug19   (russell brittany)CRUZ ANGEL 124 5.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of STAINLESS by FLATTER)
DESVIO Dec30 Nov18       (meyers )ORTIZ ORLANDO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by YOSHIDA out of FITZROVIA by UNCLE MO)
GLASS OF COURAGE Feb02 Jan07 Dec16 Oct29 Oct13 (capuano phi)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 8.00 7% 13.10    
  (by BOURBON COURAGE out of WHITE EYE JULIA I. by TAPIT)
 
LRL-2   02/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($25K) 4UP M/F PT-12:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NAMI Jan27 Dec15 Dec01 Nov05 Oct13 (sanchez-salo)BARBOSA JEIRON 126 2.00    
LOOKING FOR WATER Dec31 Dec09 Nov23 Oct05 Sep04 (smith hamilto)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 4.50    
FORGOTTEN GIFT Jan13 Dec17 Nov26 Oct15 Sep24 (frock c)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 112 12.00    
MO TOUGH Feb01 Jan11 Dec23 Dec07 Nov17 (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 126 6.00 11% 8.30    
OJITOS BELLOS Sep21 Aug18 Aug05 Jul12 Jun24 (serey jr)TORREALBA JG 117 30.00    
DRY HUMOR Jan07 Dec06 Sep21 Aug23 Jul06 (alvarado di)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 5.00 29% 2.50    
STOP THE CAP Dec31 Oct08 Sep25     (smith ham)CARRASCO R 126 15.00 5% 19.00    
LETITGOTOVOICEMAIL Dec31 Nov19 Oct15 Aug25 Jul14 (perkins jr)BOYCE FOREST 126 2.50 29% 2.40    
 
LRL-3   02/11/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($47K) 3 ALL PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KEIGS         (valvo )ARAUJO VICENTE 124 15.00    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of ECLIPTICALSROSETTE by STORM WOLF)
PETINGAS TWIN Jan28 Nov26       (farrior anth)BARBOSA JEIRON 124 2.00 60% 0.70    
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of SUMMER PUNCH by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
UNION BULLDOG Dec31 Dec08 Oct21     (de horaci)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 3.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of RUNNING DEBI C by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SCR  VIRGINIA CITY         (alvarado diane)ROSADO JOHAN 124 12.00    
  (by KHOZAN out of DEFOE STREET by STREET SENSE)
SCR  NO FOOLIN MO Oct26 Oct01 Sep04     (smith ham)CARRASCO R 124 10.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of SULTRY by MALIBU MOON)
LIVEHAPPY Jan13 Dec16 Nov17 Oct01   (gaudet lace)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 2.50    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of ARTISTIC LIFE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
WORKISLIFE Dec21 Dec01 Nov12 Oct25 Oct07 (geralis emanu)KARAMANOS A 124 4.50 5% 19.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of NODOUBTABOUTHER by BERNARDINI)
 
LRL-4   02/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($25K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GREAT CALL Jan12 Dec29 Dec09 Nov10 Oct07 (meyers )ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 8.00 12% 7.40    
MASTER OF NONE Jan05 Dec09 Nov18 Oct12 Aug26 (trombetta mic)KARAMANOS A 126 1.60 43% 1.30    
SCR  PRINS FIRE Jan27 Jan13 Dec22 Dec15 Dec01 (serey j)ROJAS MARTINA 117 15.00    
BROTHER BELEN Jan10 Dec15 Dec02 Nov23 Nov12 (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 126 3.50    
SUCCEED Feb02 Dec22 Dec10 Nov18 Nov07 (serey m)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 112 30.00 5% 19.00    
ENTRUST Dec29 Oct28 Oct19 Aug12 Jul12 (gorham mich)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 10.00    
VERBIER (IRE) Jul21 Jul02 Jun17 May29 May20 (martin f)ACOSTA D 122 8.00    
LAST SECOND LOUIE Nov10 Oct20 Oct06 Aug19 Aug02 (alvarado diane)PEREZ XAVIER 126 2.50 20% 4.00    
 
LRL-5   02/11/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($33K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAPPER ZAPPER Dec03 Nov19 Oct22 Oct01 Sep16 (ladauceur haro)AGUILAR JEAN 115 8.00 18% 4.60    
STORMING CHROME Jan07 Dec10 Nov18 Nov02 Sep10 (de hora)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 2.50 24% 3.10    
TRASH TALKIN LARRY Jan13 Oct22 Oct13 Jul08 Jun24 (corrales jose)TORREALBA JG 121 8.00    
BROOKLYN GUY Jan06 Dec08 Nov18 Oct25 Oct11 (alvarado diane)CRUZ ANGEL 126 3.50    
FRIGHTLAND Dec22 Dec03 Nov09 Sep02 Aug11 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 4.50 35% 1.90    
SCR  MY MAMBA Jan07 Dec16 Dec01 Nov05 Oct22 (lawrence jame)ROJAS MARTINA 117 20.00    
AGARRAMESIPUEDES Jan05 Dec10 Nov26 Oct31 Oct03 (gonzal)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 5.00    
CARVELLIAN QUEST Dec22 Aug05 Jul07 May18 Apr30 (trombetta mich)ROSADO JOHAN 126 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
LRL-6   02/11/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($34K) 3 ALL PT- 2:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ASPENDOS Jan28         (farrior antho)ROJAS MARTINA 119 8.00    
BETTER WATCH IT Nov16         (meyers madison)AGUILAR JEAN 117 30.00    
TUBTIMSIAM Dec30         (corrales jose)KARAMANOS A 120 8.00    
BROTHER LAD Dec31         (keefe timothy )BOYCE FOREST 124 3.50 8% 11.40    
MINXZLUCKYSTARFYRE Dec15 Oct28 Oct12     (magee kieron)TORREALBA JG 115 4.00 19% 4.20    
IMAGINIZED Jan28 Jan06 Nov24 Oct29 Oct13 (gonzalez claudi)MENA E 120 15.00    
UNDER THE OVERPASS Jan06 Nov18 Sep29 Aug03 Jul02 (gaudet lace)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 4.50 34% 1.90    
POPS HARPER Jan13 Nov14 Oct05     (lynch cathal)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
HOYA Jan13 Dec03 Oct11 Sep08 Aug16 (lynch )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 2.50 18% 4.50    
 
LRL-7   02/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($53K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BACKNTHEWOODS Jan13 Dec16 Nov23 Nov10 Sep09 (corrales jose)MENA E 123 10.00    
ICING Jan05 Nov15 Nov01 Oct24 Sep22 (ginter raymon)ROJAS MARTINA 118 3.50    
THE JUDGE AND JURY Jan12 Jan03 Dec01 Nov24 Nov05 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 2.50 41% 1.50    
GOLDEN CANDY Dec29 Dec11 Nov03 Oct18 Sep28 (neilson wall)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 8.00 31% 2.30    
SCR  PRIVET MOON Jan27 Aug24 Jul07 Nov13 Oct22 (alvarado diane)PEREZ XAVIER 123 15.00    
OUR PRIDE N JOY Dec16 Nov23 Jul30 May28 Sep04 (martin ra)HERNANDEZ F 123 15.00    
GOING TO THE LEAD Jan13 Dec22 Nov23 Oct14 Sep28 (gorham e)CRUZ ANGEL 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
TENEBRIS Jan13 Dec08 Nov10 Nov02 Sep15 (tessore)BRICENO GREGOR 126 2.00    
 
LRL-8   02/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($29K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANOODLE Jan07 Dec23 Dec01 Nov24 Nov04 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 10.00    
SCR  COMEDY ACT Jan08 Nov13 Oct21 Oct02 Sep23 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 10.00    
SPEAK YOUR MIND Jan28 Jan07 Dec10 Nov24 Oct25 (cooney )BRICENO GREGOR 126 8.00    
WATCH YOUR TONE Dec31 Dec10 Mar18 Feb10 Jan22 (gaudet lacey)ROSADO JOHAN 126 2.00 46% 1.20    
OLIVE KAT Jan20 Nov03 Sep24 Sep17 Aug11 (gorham michael )MENA E 123 20.00    
BOURBON WILDCAT Jan24 Jan14 Dec16 Nov24 Nov04 (magana jose )BARBOSA JEIRON 123 12.00    
SCR  MAMA G'S WISH Dec31 Nov24 Nov04 Oct13 Sep16 (robb john)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 123 2.50    
PROPER ATTIRE Jan28 Dec23 May28 May06 Apr02 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GOLDEN LAW Dec06 Nov25 Oct14 Sep21 Aug10 (bentley fe)MENDOZA JHONATAN 123 30.00    
SPICY MARGARITA Dec10 Nov24 Nov17 Oct12 Sep15 (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 3.00 31% 2.20    
 
LRL-9   02/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($53K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EGO MAN Jan10 Dec09 Nov07 Sep29 Sep04 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 8.00 13% 6.60    
JOHN THE BEAR Nov23 Oct19 Sep09 Aug24 Jun11 (allen ferris)TORREALBA JG 118 30.00    
MYSTIC O'SHAUNESIE Jan13 Dec23 Nov06 Oct04 Sep02 (salazar marco)CRUZ ANGEL 123 20.00    
TOP BOSS Jan05 Dec16 Dec09 Nov23 Nov16 (mohan r)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 10.00    
ROMINSKI Dec29 Dec01 Nov03 Mar24 Mar04 (magee kieron)KARAMANOS A 126 1.20 33% 2.10    
JEOPARDY JAMES Jan13 Dec17 Nov04 Sep21 Aug30 (alvarado diane)PEREZ XAVIER 126 4.00 14% 6.10    
SUMO (ARG) Jan06 Dec17 Nov23 Oct28 Oct05 (gaudet lacey)ROSADO JOHAN 119 10.00    
SUPREME LAW Dec22 Nov23 Oct28 Sep13 Aug24 (sillaman richa)BOYCE FOREST 123 3.00 20% 4.10    
 
LRL-10   02/11/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ILLUSION OF HOPE Jan13 Dec30 Dec09 Nov25 Oct19 (frock c)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 113 5.00    
REDWHITEANDTACOS Jan05 Dec10 Nov25 Nov05 Jul13 (horn elizabe)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
NO MORE MASK Jan08 Feb05 Jan20 Nov21 Nov12 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 123 1.60 26% 2.80    
GOLD TIME VIXEN Jan26 Dec30 Dec15 Oct20 Oct06 (kee j)DELGADO A 123 20.00    
LUCKY LORRAINE Dec30 Nov25 Oct06 Sep06 Aug09 (eppler e)ROJAS MARTINA 118 6.00 16% 5.40    
I HAVE COURAGE Feb02 Jan07 Dec10 Nov16 Oct01 (mancilla carlos)MENA E 123 1.40 26% 2.90    
CALYPSO GHOST Jan27 Dec09 Nov18 Oct20 Oct06 (harting chris)ALVELO C 123 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.