Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Saturday - January 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/3)-(4/5/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/5/3)-(4/5/3/6)-(4/5/3/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/5/3)-(4/6/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/3)-(4/6/2/7)-(4/1/6/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-2   WIN (4/6/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/2/7)-(4/6/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/2/7)-(4/6/2/7)-(4/6/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/2/7)-(4/1/6/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/6/2/7)-(4/1/6/3)-(5/3/6/9) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-3   WIN (4/1/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/6/3)-(4/1/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/6/3)-(4/1/6/3)-(4/1/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/6/3)-(5/3/6/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/1/6/3)-(5/3/6/9)-(2/7/5/9) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-4   WIN (5/3/6/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/6/9)-(5/3/4/6/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/3/6/9)-(5/3/4/6/9)-(5/3/4/6/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/3/6/9)-(2/7/5/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/3/6/9)-(2/7/5/9)-(6/7/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-5   WIN (2/7/5/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/5/9)-(2/7/5/3/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/7/5/9)-(2/7/5/3/9)-(2/7/5/3/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/7/5/9)-(6/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/7/5/9)-(6/7/3)-(1/8/3/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-6   WIN (6/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/3)-(6/7/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/7/3)-(6/7/3/4)-(6/7/3/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/7/3)-(1/8/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/7/3)-(1/8/3/4)-(1/9/10) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-7   WIN (1/8/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/3/4)-(1/8/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/3/4)-(1/8/3/4)-(1/8/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/8/3/4)-(1/9/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-8   WIN (1/9/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/9/10)-(1/9/3/8/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/9/10)-(1/9/3/8/10)-(1/9/3/8/10) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   01/13/2024 2970ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MONEY MAC Dec13 Sep22 Jun24 Jun16 Jun03 (campbell marshall)LARROSA G 122 15.00    
2  FLOOR IT Dec13 Nov10 Oct20 Aug19 Jul21 (joy kevin)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 3.50    
3  STOOPS SINE DIE Dec06 Oct04 Sep14 Jun24   (comi w)PELTROCHE F 124 6.00 9% 10.60    
4  HAY DIDDLE DIDDLE Nov10 Oct20 Oct05 May27 Mar24 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 124 2.50 52% 0.90    
5  GLASTONBURY Dec06 Nov15 Oct26 Sep01 Apr21 (roadcap j)HERNANDEZ F 124 3.00 14% 6.00    
6  ROBBEDINTHEBAHAMAS Dec13 Nov22 Oct25 Oct13 Sep22 (shanle)ARAUJO VICENTE 122 3.50 ★    
7  SMOKIN SMITTY Dec13 Dec01 Nov10 Oct20 Sep28 (campbell larr)ADAMS L 117 12.00    
 
CT-2   01/13/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOLMDEL PARK Jan05 Nov30 Oct23 Sep12 Aug15 (hillegass alexandr)CULLUM W 122 30.00    
2  TIZ MICHELLE'S WAY Dec09 Nov17 Oct27 Oct07 Sep02 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 122 15.00 14% 6.20    
3  CASTLE OF CAYLEE Dec07 Nov17 Oct19 Oct07 Sep09 (rideout anthony)RODRIGUEZ V 122 6.00    
4  RUXTON ROCKS Dec07 Sep19 Aug22 Jul25 Jun28 (valvo )ARAUJO VICENTE 124 2.00 39% 1.50    
5  VIKING QUEEN Dec31 Dec10 Nov25 Nov05 Oct27 (garibay)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 2.50    
6  RIDE THE RAPIDS Dec09 Nov18 Nov03 Oct21 Sep30 (brown ron)BOCACHICA J 113 4.00 21% 3.80    
7  ELEGANT TASTE Nov07 Oct29 Oct06 Sep20 Aug18 (smith l)ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  BEAUTIFUL STAR Nov05 Oct28 Oct06 Sep28 Sep19 (maldonado jo)BATISTA A 122 5.00    
 
CT-3   01/13/2024 2970ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FROSTY RIA         (grams tim)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 124 6.00 25% 2.90    
2  GANGSTER AMERICANO Nov15 Oct25 Oct13     (joy ke)ARAUJO VICENTE 124 8.00    
3  UNALTERED Dec07 Nov15 Oct25 Oct05 Aug18 (stehr j)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 3.00 7% 13.90    
4  BRAZEN BEAUTY         (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 4.50 36% 1.80    
5  CREME DE LA QUEEN Dec14 Dec07       (brown kelton)CHILO MAXIMO 122 3.50    
6  BIT OF BLESSINGS Nov24 Nov01 Oct03 Sep18 Sep03 (collins tim)RODRIGUEZ V 122 5.00 9% 10.60    
7  SPIRIT ON THE WIND Dec06 Oct12       (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 20.00    
8  SWISS HORIZON Nov24 Nov15 Oct25 Oct05 Aug18 (pyke joseph)PELTROCHE F 122 6.00    
 
CT-4   01/13/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPER WILDCAT Dec02 Oct25 Oct05 Sep07 Aug19 (pennella rhea )CHILO MAXIMO 122 30.00    
2  NEED A MARKER Dec22 Dec01 Oct21 Sep15 Aug12 (bailon nesv)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 15.00    
3  URKILLINGMEBETH Dec15 Dec01 Oct19 Oct07 Aug12 (walters da)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 6.00 14% 5.90    
4  EXTRA CRUNCHY Dec09 Nov17 Oct27 Oct08 Sep04 (dollinger)BOCACHICA J 115 3.50 ★    
5  GORMLEYESQUE Nov28 Nov01 Oct15 Sep26 Sep12 (delong)ARAUJO VICENTE 124 3.00 52% 0.90    
SCR  LIKELY CHOICE Jan05 Dec02 Nov17 Oct26 Oct06 (brown r)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  SEEMS TO WHISPER Jan05 Dec07 Sep16 Aug26 Aug04 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 8.00    
8  SECRET CASTLE Dec07 Nov16 Oct27 Oct05 Aug31 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 122 2.50    
9  ULTIMATE BREEZE Dec02 Nov17 Oct20 Sep15 Aug26 (sandoval michae)PELTROCHE F 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-5   01/13/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3 ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GHOSTLY LEO         (gazzier kristy)RODRIGUEZ V 122 15.00    
  (by GATTOPARDO out of RAYO LASER by GHOSTZAPPER)
2  TIME TO ROCK Dec16         (viands st)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.60 43% 1.30    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of ANIMATION by FLATTER)
3  RIDE THE BRAND Dec16 Nov03       (grams tim)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 122 5.00 ★    
  (by SUPER NINETY NINE out of SWEETEST MEMORY by OUTFLANKER)
SCR  SEATTLE PRINCE Dec15 Nov25       (craig e)RIVERA JAVIER 122 20.00    
  (by LORD OF GREATNESS out of MUGU by BELLAMY ROAD)
5  WHALE OF A RUN Dec16 Nov25       (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 6.00 7% 12.50    
  (by CAPO BASTONE out of FOLLOW THE WHALES by CIVILISATION)
6  CANDY OUTLINE         (jones michae)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 15.00    
  (by CANDYGRAM out of BROAD OUTLINE by SMART STRIKE)
7  UNDERBOSS         (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 3.50 26% 2.90    
  (by CAPO BASTONE out of EASTER FASHION by KELA)
8  DIRECT THE SHOW         (joy ke)ARAUJO VICENTE 122 12.00    
  (by REDIRECT out of JUST TO SHOW YOU by FORMAL GOLD)
9  TAPINTHEPARADE         (sigler g)LARROSA G 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by JUBA out of MUMMERS PARADE by STREET SENSE)
10  FAPPIANO HALO         (dollinger-)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 20.00    
  (by THREE CHOPT ROAD out of ABSOLUTELYGORGEOUS by BEST TURN)
SCR  SHOOK ME ALL NIGHT         (perry lawrence )PELTROCHE F 122 15.00    
  (by JUBA out of SUZY MOONLIGHT by BLAME)
12  HOPPITY HOOPER         (kopecki e)RIOS-CONDE A 122 20.00    
  (by GANDHI out of CADET CAT by MIDSHIPMAN)
 
CT-6   01/13/2024 2970ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNCLE REMI Oct22 Sep16 Aug18 Aug03 Jul14 (smith )SMITH DANIEL 110 30.00    
2  GUN FACTOR Jan04 Dec08 Nov09 Sep07 Aug09 (ceciliano mis)BATISTA C 120 30.00    
3  HAMMER Dec01 Nov09 Oct20 Sep14   (gazzier kri)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 3.00 10% 8.80    
4  MON GATEAU Dec15 Nov16 Sep27 Sep02   (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 4.50 ★    
5  IT'S MY RAINBOW Dec08 Oct29 Aug26 Aug04 Jul16 (runco c)CULLUM W 116 15.00    
6  WOODLINE Dec08 Oct05 Jul22 Jun03 May14 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 120 1.20 33% 2.00    
7  GOLDEN ARM Dec27 Dec08 Sep25 Aug26 Aug05 (smith l)ORTIZ ORLANDO 120 4.00 27% 2.80    
SCR  GOLDEN ADAGE Nov15 Oct13 Sep23 Jul29 Jul01 (viands)ARAUJO VICENTE 120 20.00    
 
CT-7   01/13/2024 2970ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP M/F PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAIL ON BREEZE Jun03 Oct29 Oct08 Sep17 Aug12 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.40 48% 1.10    
2  OUR GREAT NOTION Dec09 Nov30 Oct19 Sep16 Aug25 (grams )ARAUJO VICENTE 120 8.00    
3  O K SMARTY PANTS Nov29 Nov17 Nov01     (sterling michae)PELTROCHE F 120 6.00 12% 7.10    
4  GIRLS PERFUME Nov22 Oct27 Oct06 Sep15 Aug31 (tuomisto cliff)REYNOLDS C 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  NEW AGE BAD GIRL Nov29 Nov01 Apr29 Apr08 Mar18 (hamlin e)LARROSA G 120 15.00    
6  MACHEN MARGARITAS Dec09 Nov29 Nov04 Oct03 Jun06 (carlisle john)RIVERA JAVIER 122 10.00    
7  ESSENTIAL MAGIC Nov01 Oct19 Jun24 Jun10 May19 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 6.00    
8  POUR ME A DRINK Dec06 Nov17 Nov02     (brown ron)BOCACHICA J 109 5.00 16% 5.10    
SCR  TUESDAY TOO Dec09 Nov18 Nov03 Oct13 Jul21 (kopecki e)RIOS-CONDE A 120 20.00    
 
CT-8   01/13/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUN RAEGAN RUN Dec01 Nov09 Oct15 Sep09 May20 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 1.80 66% 0.50    
2  FREE SHOT Nov15 Oct24 Sep19 Aug23 Jul24 (reynolds jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 5.00    
3  MISS ANTIETAM Nov18 Oct28 Oct01 Aug25 Aug06 (robb j)HO WESLEY 122 6.00 ★    
4  HONEYCAMP Dec13 Nov11 Oct21 Oct06 Sep28 (adorno je)BOCACHICA J 115 10.00    
5  LONDON GOLD Nov17 Jul15 Jun04 Apr06 Mar12 (hillega)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 30.00    
6  WATERLOO ROSE Dec07 Oct28 Oct06 Aug05 Jul15 (o'neill tonya )CHILO MAXIMO 122 20.00    
7  BACKSTREET GAL Dec22 Nov10 Oct26 Sep18 Aug18 (milose)ARAUJO VICENTE 120 12.00    
8  SWEET FACTOR Nov17 Oct28 Sep30 Aug24 Jul29 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 122 8.00 ★    
9  BLUE TWIRLIN Nov29 Nov15 Sep29 Jul27 Jun10 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 4.50 12% 7.20    
10  SISTER SPIRIT Aug26 Aug05 Jul15 Jun17 May27 (aylor l)LARROSA G 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DALLAS Dec28 Nov18 Oct28 Oct07 Sep22 (salinas jose)LARROSA G 122 8.00    
SCR  ANATH Nov24 Jun16 May28 May06 Apr06 (shankle joanne)CRUZ ANGEL 122 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.