Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Thursday - January 11, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (8/2/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/1/3)-(8/2/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/1/3)-(8/2/1/3)-(8/2/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/2/1/3)-(7/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/2/1/3)-(7/8/6)-(6/1/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-2   WIN (7/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/8/6)-(7/8/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/8/6)-(7/8/6/3)-(7/8/6/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/8/6)-(6/1/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/8/6)-(6/1/7)-(3/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CT-3   WIN (6/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/7)-(6/1/7/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/1/7)-(6/1/7/3)-(6/1/7/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/1/7)-(3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/1/7)-(3/1)-(1/6/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CT-4   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/1/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/1)-(3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (3/1)-(1/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/1)-(1/6/4)-(1/4/7/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CT-5   WIN (1/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/4)-(1/6/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/6/4)-(1/6/2/4)-(1/6/2/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/6/4)-(1/4/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/4)-(1/4/7/8)-(1/8/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-6   WIN (1/4/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/7/8)-(1/4/7/8/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/4/7/8)-(1/4/7/8/9)-(1/4/7/8/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/4/7/8)-(1/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/7/8)-(1/8/6)-(1/6/5/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-7   WIN (1/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/8/6)-(1/8/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/8/6)-(1/8/6/4)-(1/8/6/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/8/6)-(1/6/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-8   WIN (1/6/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/5/3)-(1/6/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/5/3)-(1/6/5/3)-(1/6/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   01/11/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOWSING ROD Dec22 Dec01 Nov10 Oct26 Sep22 (robb j)HO WESLEY 124 3.50 8% 12.30    
NET WORTH Dec01 Nov10 Jun22 Jun10 May25 (shanley timothy)RODRIGUEZ V 124 4.00 22% 3.50    
REMASTERED Dec01 Nov10 Oct25 Aug18 Jul21 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 4.00 8% 12.30    
LONG COOL Dec13 Nov15 Oct11 Sep21 Sep01 (comi r)ARAUJO VICENTE 124 8.00    
DREAM OF GOLD Nov29 Nov17 Apr28 Dec08 Nov17 (haynes m)PELTROCHE F 119 15.00    
A THOUSAND IDOLS Dec09 Nov18 Oct26 Oct05 Sep02 (harting chris)SIMPSON JASON 124 12.00    
RUSH TO CANDY Nov10 Oct25 Oct05 Sep09 Aug11 (pickett c)BOCACHICA J 117 6.00    
LEAVENWORTH Nov02 Feb26 Dec21 Nov20   (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 3.00 42% 1.40    
 
CT-2   01/11/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RESTLESS BUSTER Jan03 Dec02       (craig e)LOPEZ ANTONIO 124 20.00    
  (by WINDSOR CASTLE out of RESTLESS TOUCH by MEDFORD)
MALEKES MAGIC Jul22         (straughn willia)RODRIGUEZ V 124 20.00    
  (by KOBE'S BACK out of JENNY REDI MADE by HERO'S TRIBUTE)
OUTLAW BILLY Dec15 Nov25       (carlisle john)RIVERA JAVIER 116 2.50    
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of TOP TIARA by ARCHARCHARCH)
FUNKLE Dec02 Mar09 Feb15 Jan25   (contre)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 10.00    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of JULIE B by EASTOVER COURT)
DON'T GET CAUGHTUP Nov10 Oct20 Oct13 Sep29 Sep08 (boykins kevin)ADAMS L 117 30.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of PUTTYBADSHARK by ONEBADSHARK)
JUST CALL ME AL Nov03 Oct13 Sep22 Sep01 Aug10 (cromer leslie)CHILO MAXIMO 124 4.00 20% 4.00    
  (by GATTOPARDO out of CALLER WHAT U WANT by CALLER I. D.)
GIACOMO CASANOVA Dec12         (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 116 3.50 33% 2.10    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of MY DARLING LILY by STREET SENSE)
JONAS HILL ROAD Nov30         (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 2.00 25% 2.90    
  (by TAPITURE out of EVERYWHERUWANTTOBE by STORMY ATLANTIC)
 
CT-3   01/11/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUNA WEST Dec16 Nov10 Sep07 Aug24 Aug05 (perez ernesto)CHILO MAXIMO 122 3.50 8% 12.30    
HANNAHS RED RUBY Nov15 Oct28 Oct05 Sep02 Jul13 (malgarini maw)ADAMS L 115 20.00    
MIDNIGHT PASS Nov16 Oct05 Sep14 Aug03 Jul14 (racanelli)BOCACHICA J 113 8.00    
DAPPLESANDDIAMONDS Aug26 Aug18 Aug03 Jul15 Apr20 (straughn willia)RODRIGUEZ V 122 15.00    
BERNIE'S DREAMING Nov09 Aug31       (butts e)LARROSA G 118 15.00    
TRUST THE NUMBERS Dec13 Dec06 Oct08 Aug25 Mar25 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 1.00 66% 0.50    
GREAT DEVOTION Nov16 Oct26 Oct05 Sep14 Aug24 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 122 10.00 6% 15.30    
SCR  ANIMAL PRINCESS Dec21 Dec01 Oct06 Sep15 Aug26 (graci )ARAUJO VICENTE 120 5.00    
 
CT-4   01/11/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIME STAR Dec09 Nov24 Nov01 Aug04 Jul14 (conn p)REAP E 124 5.00 6% 16.80    
FANTASY FROST Nov30         (tobin l)RODRIGUEZ V 122 15.00    
PRINCESS MARGARET Dec09 Nov29 Nov02 Oct13   (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 0.20 71% 0.40    
COLD CASH Dec07 Nov29       (pickett c)BOCACHICA J 117 10.00    
PALACIO Dec07 Nov04 Oct13 Aug12   (rofe jean)RIOS-CONDE A 124 6.00    
VIESTE Jan05 Dec02 Nov24 Nov01 Oct20 (tobin l)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 20.00    
SCR  FLATTERING WAY Oct06 Sep15 Jun23 Jun01 Apr20 (barahona isaac)CHILO MAXIMO 122 20.00    
 
CT-5   01/11/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VIOLENT ROCK Nov15 Jul15 Jun23 Dec09 Dec02 (ginter raymo)BATISTA A 122 2.00 58% 0.70    
TAPIO (IRE) Dec02 Nov10 Sep25 Aug26 Aug03 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 122 6.00    
RUNAWAY ROAD Dec02 Oct27 Oct06 Sep28 Aug27 (figgins o)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 1.80    
HUEY DUEY Dec02 Nov11 Oct19 Sep28 Sep03 (comi ralph)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
ADIOS SEE YA Dec02 Nov11 Mar25 Feb22 Jan25 (straughn william )LARROSA G 120 30.00    
SWEET SYNTAX Dec02 Nov16 Oct06 Sep29 Sep01 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 5.00 10% 9.20    
SPEAKERIT Dec07 Oct28 Sep30 Sep07 Aug20 (kee j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 12.00    
POLITICAL DECISION Dec09 Nov11 Oct21 Oct13 Aug24 (murtaug)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 15.00    
 
CT-6   01/11/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3 ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOVE IS WICKED Dec15 Nov24 Nov02 Oct14 Sep29 (johnson dewayne)PELTROCHE F 122 1.80 42% 1.40    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of LOVES TO GLANCE by NOT FOR LOVE)
DESTIN'S RAINBOW Sep16 Aug19 Jul21 Jun04   (meyers)ARAUJO VICENTE 122 4.00    
  (by DESTIN out of BECKY'S RAINBOW by INDYGO SHINER)
BREAK THE CHAINS Dec15 Nov24 Oct27 Sep01 Aug12 (mcmahon i)CRUZ ANGEL 122 5.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of SAID IN SILENCE by BERNSTEIN)
YACHTSMEN Nov02 Oct12 Sep16     (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 12.00 17% 4.90    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of HELLUVA HUNCH by TAPIT)
DANTE'S INFERNO Dec15 Nov24 Nov03     (johnson r)CULLUM W 122 12.00    
  (by ALDRIN out of HOT SAUCE by PRIZED)
BRADLEY DO RIGHT Jan03 Dec16 Nov25 Nov03 Oct20 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 122 10.00    
  (by STORMY'S MAJESTY out of STAR OF TAURUS by ALDEBARAN)
STRIVE FOR STRIDE         (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 8.00 8% 11.40    
  (by OUTWORK out of TRUE ENDEAVOR by AFTER MARKET)
GRANDPA JOE         (johnson j)BOCACHICA J 115 10.00 6% 15.20    
  (by KOBE'S BACK out of SECRET GARDEN by WEIGELIA)
SEABROOK ISLAND Dec15 Nov24 Nov03 Oct13   (mckee cyn)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 10.00    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of MIRACLE PRINCESS by MASTER RICK)
 
CT-7   01/11/2024 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIME THE AVENGER Jan02 Dec13 Nov19     (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.50 31% 2.20    
SCR  PAYMENGOLD Dec08 Dec01 Oct14 Sep28 Aug25 (johnson dewayne)PELTROCHE F 120 4.50    
NO LOVE FOR JUBA Nov18 Oct27 Sep07 Aug17 Jun16 (sigler ro)BOCACHICA J 113 3.50    
NEVERPOPTHECORK Dec08 Dec01 Nov01 Oct12 Sep07 (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 6.00    
URGENT FURY Jul28 Aug28 Jul30     (stahlin john)LARROSA G 120 10.00    
I'M THE MONEY MAN Dec08 Dec01 Oct12 Sep22 Sep01 (sigler)ARAUJO VICENTE 120 8.00 16% 5.10    
STRONG LIL KOKORO Dec05 Nov07 Sep12 Feb09 Jan20 (collins tim)RODRIGUEZ V 120 20.00    
C R'S MANDATE Dec08 Nov18 Oct14 Aug25 Aug04 (schiano-dic)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 4.00 22% 3.60    
 
CT-8   01/11/2024 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP M/F PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THETA Dec06 Nov08       (carlisle john)RIVERA JAVIER 118 0.60 44% 1.30    
RUMORGOINGAROUND Dec14 Nov24 Nov15 Oct25 Oct05 (pickett c)BOCACHICA J 115 15.00    
OUR BREW Dec16 Dec09 Nov02 Oct13 Sep15 (rawlings a)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
SWIPE THAT CANDY Dec06 Nov02       (sigler g)LARROSA G 118 8.00    
S S CASINO GIRL Dec07 Nov15 Sep03 Aug20 Jun17 (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 124 4.00 8% 11.20    
MSSNAP Dec07 Nov24       (jackson angelo )PELTROCHE F 122 6.00 25% 3.00    
EVEN SMARTER Dec14         (mcclure)NUNEZ ANAHI 124 30.00    
PRETTY CASTLE Dec14 Aug04 Jul08 Jun01 May25 (boykins kevin)ADAMS L 115 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.