Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Laurel Park
Saturday - December 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LRL-1   WIN (8/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/5/6)-(8/5/6/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/5/6)-(8/5/6/7)-(8/5/6/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/5/6)-(9/1/10/7/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (8/5/6)-(9/1/10/7/8)-(7/6/4/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LRL-2   WIN (9/1/10/7/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/1/10/7/8)-(9/1/10/7/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/1/10/7/8)-(9/1/10/7/8)-(9/1/10/7/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/1/10/7/8)-(7/6/4/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/1/10/7/8)-(7/6/4/2)-(3/5/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LRL-3   WIN (7/6/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/4/2)-(7/6/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/4/2)-(7/6/4/2)-(7/6/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/4/2)-(3/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/6/4/2)-(3/5/7)-(4/2/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-4   WIN (3/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/7)-(3/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/7)-(3/5/7)-(3/5/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/7)-(4/2/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/7)-(4/2/8)-(6/7/9/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-5   WIN (4/2/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/8)-(4/2/6/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/8)-(4/2/6/8/3)-(4/2/6/8/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/2/8)-(6/7/9/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/8)-(6/7/9/5)-(4/2/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-6   WIN (6/7/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/9/5)-(6/7/9/5/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/7/9/5)-(6/7/9/5/8)-(6/7/9/5/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/7/9/5)-(4/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/7/9/5)-(4/2/6)-(4/8/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-7   WIN (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/6)-(4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/6)-(4/8/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/6)-(4/8/5)-(2/3/6/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-8   WIN (4/8/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/8/5)-(4/8/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/8/5)-(4/8/3/5)-(4/8/3/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/8/5)-(2/3/6/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
LRL-9   WIN (2/3/6/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/6/9)-(2/3/6/9/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/3/6/9)-(2/3/6/9/5)-(2/3/6/9/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LRL-1   12/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STEPHANIE MY LOVE Dec01 Nov16 Oct18 Oct09 Sep21 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 118 30.00    
SCR  GINGER GIRL Dec03 Nov09 Oct22 Oct05 Sep09 (shankle joa)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 118 15.00    
TOUISSET Dec09 Nov10 Oct11 Sep08 Aug16 (gorham michael )MENA E 122 20.00    
TRITONE GAL Dec10 Nov24 Oct29 Oct15 Sep16 (magana )BRICENO GREGOR 123 6.00    
GENIEINABRIDLE Dec03 Nov10 Oct11 Aug25 Aug05 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 125 2.50 28% 2.50    
TURN ON THE CHARM Dec09 Nov10 Sep22 Aug25 Jul29 (gonzal)LOPEZ EDUARDO 125 12.00 8% 12.20    
LEVISA Nov18 Oct15 Sep07 Jan16 Jan07 (sillaman richard)CRUZ ANGEL 122 3.00    
GOLDIENESS Dec15 Oct27 Sep22 Aug19 Jul05 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 125 1.60 38% 1.60    
 
LRL-2   12/30/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT-12:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ILLUSION OF HOPE Dec09 Nov25 Oct19 Sep04 Aug26 (frock charles)ROJAS MARTINA 118 4.50 19% 4.40    
CAGED PIXIE Nov12 Oct28 Oct12 Sep27 Aug27 (lawrenc)BRICENO GREGOR 123 12.00    
EVANGELINE ALLONS Dec09 Nov02 Aug19 Aug06 Jul22 (dove kevi)HERNANDEZ F 123 30.00    
CONGRESS HALL Dec07 Nov12 Oct26 Oct06 Sep17 (mcfarlane )MONTANEZ ROSARIO 123 15.00    
GOLD TIME VIXEN Dec15 Oct20 Oct06 Sep15 Aug25 (kee j)DELGADO A 123 20.00    
CHALK HILL Nov25 Nov04 Oct21 Oct06 Sep27 (ramire)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 20.00    
LUCKY LORRAINE Nov25 Oct06 Sep06 Aug09 Jun02 (eppler e)KARAMANOS A 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
SNEAKY CHEEKY Dec09 Nov12 Nov02 Oct13 Oct06 (mohan da)RODRIGUEZ L 113 20.00 5% 19.00    
HAPPY UNION Dec16 Nov24 Oct26 Oct11 Sep22 (machado a)CARRASCO R 125 1.60 35% 1.90    
10  HI HEELED WARRIOR Sep20 Sep07 Aug16 Jul20 Jul12 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 2.50 18% 4.50    
 
LRL-3   12/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 2 ALL PT- 1:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUDDY'S A CHARM         (martin r)RODRIGUEZ L 112 30.00    
  (by BIG BROWN out of MARRIEDTOMICHAEL by PATRIOT ACT)
EL DIVINO NINO Dec03 Nov24 Nov03 Oct22 Oct05 (sanchez-sal)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 122 3.50 9% 10.70    
  (by IMAGINING out of CAROLINA TAPPER by TAPIT)
DATS MY PHARAOH Nov11 Oct21       (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 122 10.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of CRAFTY'S DREAM by BODEMEISTER)
DESVIO Nov18         (meyers madiso)ROJAS MARTINA 117 4.00 11% 7.80    
  (by YOSHIDA out of FITZROVIA by UNCLE MO)
VILALUZ         (corrales )HERNANDEZ F 122 8.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of DATING GAME by GHOSTZAPPER)
ENZO Nov24 Oct27 Oct05     (merryman eliz)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 1.80 27% 2.80    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of ZEEZEE ZOOMZOOM by CONGRATS)
WORK HARD Sep07 Sep02 Aug19 Jul27   (capuano gary)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 3.00 33% 2.10    
  (by AUDIBLE out of PEARLS by BLACK TIE AFFAIR (IRE))
TUBTIMSIAM         (corrales jose)MENA E 122 30.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of THUS by TIZNOW)
 
LRL-4   12/30/2023 5610ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  IRISH BOOLUM Sep24 Sep04 Jul09 Jun11 Mar01 (lynch cath)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 123 12.00    
MOSE PERFECT Dec16 Nov24 Oct19 Feb04 Jan14 (trombetta mic)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 12.00    
FAST BREAKIN CASH Dec08 Nov27 Oct18 Sep08 Aug05 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 2.00 51% 0.90    
FORTUNE'S FOOL Dec08 Oct22 Jun30 Jun14 May24 (gaudet lacey)ROSADO JOHAN 123 3.00    
FLAT OUT FLYING Sep24 Sep09 Aug10 Jul12 Jun30 (lynch )LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 6.00 15% 5.90    
SCR  DOLICE VITA Dec03 Oct14 Sep30 May27 May12 (capuano philli)BOYCE FOREST 123 4.50    
UNDER THE RADAR Nov27 Sep27 Sep12 Aug27 Apr05 (ness jamie)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LOOSE GOOSE Dec16 Nov24 Nov04 Oct20 Sep26 (mcmahon hugh )ROJAS MARTINA 121 20.00    
TREASURE TROVE Dec01 Nov05 Oct13 Jul27 Jun18 (ginter raymo)BATISTA A 123 10.00    
 
LRL-5   12/30/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($40K) 2 ALL PT- 2:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CATALEYA STRIKE Nov17 Oct13 Sep02     (sanchez-sal)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 115 3.50    
PHOTO HOP Dec02         (aguirre antho)ROJAS MARTINA 110 8.00 37% 1.70    
IN THE DANCE Dec09 Oct28 Oct13 Sep29 Aug26 (robb john)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 119 4.00    
BIGDADDYSBOY Dec03 Oct14 Sep01     (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 119 3.00 37% 1.70    
WHISKEYINTHEJARO Dec15 Nov16 Sep29     (shankle joanne)ROSADO JOHAN 119 10.00    
ASCENDANCE Nov27 Nov03 Jul27     (farrior a)CARRASCO R 118 5.00    
BOLD FORCE Nov21 Oct30 Oct09 Sep27 Aug11 (grusmark kar)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 15.00    
SURFBOARD Nov11 Sep22 Aug05 Jul14 Jun22 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
EYES ELEVEN Oct28 Oct15 Sep29     (mancilla carlos )CRUZ ANGEL 119 20.00    
 
LRL-6   12/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 35 ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BOX OF ROCKETS Dec03         (plumme)LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 20.00    
FIRE AND KNIVES Dec03 Oct08 Aug02     (merryman edwin)BOYCE FOREST 125 30.00    
INFINITE SERIES Dec03 Nov19 Oct20 Sep30 Sep09 (mcmulle)BRICENO GREGOR 125 10.00    
FAST FORWARD Dec13 Nov22 Nov01 Jul26 Jul06 (jackson l)CULLUM W 125 20.00    
GUAPONESS Oct21 Oct06 Sep15 Aug31   (ness jamie)ROJAS MARTINA 120 8.00 13% 6.80    
SUPER BOURBON Nov26 Oct20       (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 125 3.00 30% 2.30    
MOTIVO Nov09 Oct05 Aug26 Jul21 May25 (dutrow richar)MARTIN MATTIE 114 3.50 17% 4.70    
BRUSHBACK         (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 125 6.00    
COMMON PROSPERITY Apr08         (de horaci)TOLEDO JEVIAN 121 2.50 14% 6.40    
10  TWIRLING EXPRESS Dec17 Nov19 Oct08 Aug13 Jul28 (martin ramon )CHAVEZ ANDRES 118 20.00    
 
LRL-7   12/30/2023 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST Gin Talking Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GO SHERRY GO Dec15 Nov23 Oct14 Sep22 Sep10 (frock charle)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 50.00    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of GO GET'M IRISH by KITALPHA)
CARMELINA Nov22 Sep30 Aug05 Jul13 Jun18 (reid robert)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 3.50 12% 7.20    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of COMPLETE ST. by ST AVERIL)
MUNNY GRAB Nov16 Oct22 Sep01     (de hora)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 3.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of ANOTHER WORLD by CARR DE NASKRA)
CAP CLASSIQUE Nov11 Oct07 Aug17     (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 1.20 44% 1.30    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of SCA DOODLE by SCAT DADDY)
SHINE ON MOON Nov17 Oct14 Sep16     (lynch cathal)KARAMANOS A 122 12.00    
  (by BOURBON COURAGE out of MOON VALLEY by MALIBU MOON)
KISSEDBYANANGEL Dec02 Nov17 Oct28 Oct14 Sep30 (shankle joanne)CRUZ ANGEL 122 8.00 12% 7.30    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of ANGELINTHEMORNING by STREET SENSE)
ROANAN GODDESS Nov11 Oct28 Oct07 Sep07 Aug11 (smith ham)CARRASCO R 122 6.00    
  (by LEOFRIC out of NIGHT MADAM by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
 
LRL-8   12/30/2023 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST Heft Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 3:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MISTER AGENT Dec02 Nov16 Oct21 Oct12   (sanchez-salomon )CRUZ ANGEL 122 30.00    
  (by BLOFELD out of MISSY KIM by LOUIS QUATORZE)
AMERICAN WAR HERO Nov16 Oct14 Sep30     (motion gr)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 5.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of LIBBY'S TAIL by TIZ WONDERFUL)
SWEET SODDY J Dec08 Nov11 Oct28 Oct07 Sep26 (ginter raymo)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 3.00    
  (by BEE JERSEY out of SWEET RHAPSODY by BRING THE HEAT)
GREAT OPPORTUNITY Dec03         (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 1.60 49% 1.00    
  (by CONNECT out of SUSTAINED by AFFIRMED)
COOL IN BLUE Dec01 Nov10       (rathman e)RODRIGUEZ R 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TAMARKUZ out of GLACKEN'S GIFT by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
DAVYJONZ Dec17         (graham ro)CARRASCO R 117 30.00    
  (by BOURBON COURAGE out of FOREST DIVA by FORESTRY)
DEPOSITION Nov21 Nov14 Nov04 Oct14 Sep23 (st uri)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 6.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of MANDRELL by DUBAWI (IRE))
CATAHOULA MOON Dec02 Nov11 Oct14 Sep24 Sep04 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 122 3.50 26% 2.80    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of ACCESS TO THE MOON by MALIBU MOON)
 
LRL-9   12/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($25K) 2 ALL PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
A B C YA Jun24         (alvarado diane)ROSADO JOHAN 122 12.00    
BURNINGUPTHEDOUGH Dec03 Nov03 Oct15 Sep02   (mcmahon hu)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 122 3.00 30% 2.30    
GABRIEL SEVEN Dec08 Nov16 Sep02     (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 122 2.00 22% 3.60    
VIBRANT FORCE Dec01 Nov10       (doran )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 30.00    
MINNY SPEIGHTSTER Dec08 Nov02 Oct07 Jul19   (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 3.50    
HUNDRED PROOF         (smith hamilt)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 10.00 11% 8.00    
UNCLE CHINITO Dec08 Nov03 Aug03 Jul16   (aguirre antho)ROJAS MARTINA 117 8.00    
MALIBU SLEW Oct27 Oct05 Sep02 Jun16 May26 (salzman )RODRIGUEZ L 108 20.00    
WYSOQUIET Sep01 Aug11 Jun30 Jun16 May26 (robb john)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 8.00 9% 9.90    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.