Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Laurel Park
Saturday - December 02, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LRL-1   WIN (4/5/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/2/6)-(4/5/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/2/6)-(4/5/2/6)-(4/5/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/2/6)-(1/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/2/6)-(1/7/6)-(5/3/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-2   WIN (1/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/6)-(1/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/6)-(1/7/6)-(1/7/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/7/6)-(5/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/7/6)-(5/3/1)-(6/4/7/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-3   WIN (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/1)-(5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/1)-(6/4/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/1)-(6/4/7/1)-(1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LRL-4   WIN (6/4/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/7/1)-(6/4/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/7/1)-(6/4/7/1)-(6/4/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/7/1)-(1/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/4/7/1)-(1/2)-(5/8/1/7) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
LRL-5   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/2)-(5/8/1/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/2)-(5/8/1/7)-(8/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LRL-6   WIN (5/8/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/1/7)-(5/8/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/1/7)-(5/8/1/7)-(5/8/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/8/1/7)-(8/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/8/1/7)-(8/7/2)-(3/6/4/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LRL-7   WIN (8/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/7/2)-(8/7/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/7/2)-(8/7/6/2)-(8/7/6/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/7/2)-(3/6/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/7/2)-(3/6/4/2)-(5/2/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-8   WIN (3/6/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/4/2)-(3/6/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/4/2)-(3/6/4/2)-(3/6/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/4/2)-(5/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
LRL-9   WIN (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/1)-(5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LRL-1   12/02/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($25K) 2 ALL PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHIPANDAPUTT Oct12 Aug25 Aug04     (woolley ti)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 122 20.00    
OPENING HOURS Oct26         (mcclellan erin)TORRES JOMAR 122 10.00 8% 10.80    
VOLPE Nov11 Oct27 Sep29 Sep04 Aug26 (gonzalez claudi)MENA E 122 5.00    
SUGAR HOOF Nov11 Oct28 Oct05 Sep01   (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 3.50 40% 1.50    
RETURN FIRE Nov11 Oct29 Oct15 Sep29 Aug26 (sanchez-salomon )CRUZ ANGEL 122 1.80 27% 2.80    
PHOTO HOP         (aguirre antho)ROJAS MARTINA 113 20.00 5% 19.00    
EL DE LARRY Nov11 Oct27       (machado anto)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 3.00    
SIMON'S CHOICE Nov16 Oct28 Oct12 Sep29   (feliciano ben)ALVELO C 122 12.00    
 
LRL-2   12/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27K) 3UP M/F PT-12:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEVIL PAYS IN GOLD Oct29 Oct05 Sep15 Sep04 Jul21 (howard da)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 125 2.00 31% 2.20    
KILBRITTAIN'S RED Nov03 Oct25 May27 May04 Apr20 (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 125 5.00    
POLICE WOMAN Nov17 Oct14 Oct05 Sep09 Aug19 (woodit j)RODRIGUEZ L 112 10.00    
MEETMEATTHEBEACH Nov17 Nov09 Oct15 Oct06 Sep15 (serey j)CHAVEZ ANDRES 114 10.00    
FIVECOMMATWO Nov17 Oct29 Oct15 Sep22 Sep01 (corrales jose)MENA E 125 3.50    
OUT OF LUCK Apr16 Mar24 Mar03     (smith h)BRICENO GREGOR 125 12.00 12% 7.10    
RATIFIED Nov17 Oct29 Oct12 Aug26 Jul29 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 125 2.50 16% 5.40    
 
LRL-3   12/02/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 2 F PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRINCESS BLAME Oct26 Oct01       (gonzalez clau)ROJAS MARTINA 117 3.00 12% 7.40    
  (by BLAME out of OUT OF MY DREAMS by TWO PUNCH)
CLASSY CHICK Oct13 Sep10 Aug20 Jul29 Jul14 (gonzalez c)ROWLAND MADELINE 122 8.00    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of SAAR TREATY by SAARLAND)
OLD BAY Oct14 Sep27 Sep07 Aug19 Aug02 (shuman mark)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 3.50 29% 2.40    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of MANHATTAN MADAM by NOT FOR LOVE)
STYLE AND PROFILE Nov16         (allen a)ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 20.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of AMBER ISLE by FIRST DEFENCE)
CORRIN PEAK         (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 1.20 37% 1.70    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of SLIEVE MISH by BERNARDINI)
NORMAL Oct22         (motion grah)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 5.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of DOWELL HOUSE by DANZIG)
 
LRL-4   12/02/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  CLOUD MUSIC Oct28 Sep27 Aug24 Jul14 Jun21 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 125 2.50 9% 10.20    
SCR  ROAN BURGUNDY Nov14 Oct24 Oct13 Sep15 Aug22 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 2.50    
SWIFTY DEVIL Oct28 Oct12 Sep13 Aug17 Jul14 (gorham michael )MENA E 122 5.00    
HELDISH Nov09 Oct20 Aug25 Aug05 Jun17 (trombetta michae)CRUZ ANGEL 122 20.00    
PERFECT DAY Nov15 Aug30 Aug04 Jun21 Jun14 (servis tyler)MOYA F 123 6.00 18% 4.70    
BOSS MAN J J Nov09 Oct01 Sep16 Sep08 Aug11 (salzman timot)ALVELO C 123 8.00    
VICTIM OF THE NITE Oct28 Oct07 Sep17 Aug25 Aug03 (geralis eman)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 3.00 28% 2.50    
SALOON Nov16 Oct22 Sep24 Sep08 Aug11 (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 125 3.50 13% 6.60    
RASCALLY REBEL Nov25 Nov04 Oct20 Oct06 Sep03 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 118 30.00    
 
LRL-5   12/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($55K) Purse ($62K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GREELEY AND BEN Nov10 Nov26 Nov10 Oct29 Oct08 (de horaci)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 3.00 44% 1.30    
JOHNYZ FROM ALBANY Nov10 Oct14 Sep24 Sep02 Jul02 (capuano phill)ROJAS MARTINA 117 2.50 29% 2.50    
SCR  GRATEFUL BRED Nov18 Oct14 Sep02 Aug05 Jul01 (meyers )BRICENO GREGOR 123 30.00    
KARAN'S NOTION Nov10 Apr29 Mar18 Feb26 Jan29 (heil na)ORTIZ ORLANDO 123 4.50    
SCR  SPUN AND WON Nov01 Sep24 Sep03 Jul14 Jun06 (jacobson dav)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 8.00    
IKIGAI Sep22 Aug05 Jul07 Jun11 May19 (giangiulio m)HARKIE K 123 15.00    
HE'SMYHONEYBADGER Oct12 Sep15 Aug13 Jun30 May14 (jacobson david)CRUZ ANGEL 123 1.80    
 
LRL-6   12/02/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY BOY COLTON Nov18 Oct12 Aug20 Jul30 Jul13 (serey j)CHAVEZ ANDRES 116 5.00 18% 4.50    
FORMAL ORDER Nov18 Oct12 Aug26 Aug18 Jul22 (campbell willi)PEREZ XAVIER 123 20.00    
FERMAT Oct27 Oct06 Sep08 Aug12 Jul21 (mcmulle)BRICENO GREGOR 123 20.00    
SCR  BAD GUY Nov12 Oct06 Sep22 Feb20 Jan29 (klesaris robe)KARAMANOS A 123 30.00    
SOUPER CATCH Nov02 Oct10 Aug30 Aug06 Jul19 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 2.50 28% 2.50    
CARIBBEAN (AUS) Oct06 Sep20 Jul08 Jun03 May18 (gaudet lac)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 123 12.00    
BATTALION Nov18 Sep08 Aug19 Aug12 Jan08 (klesari)NUNEZ MAURICIO 123 4.50 8% 11.40    
TRANSFER THE FUNDS Nov10 Oct19 Sep30 Sep09 Aug03 (mckenzie )HERNANDEZ F 126 3.00 23% 3.40    
MONYINTHEBANKSEY Jan08 Jan03 Dec18 Nov19 Oct28 (clagett )RODRIGUEZ L 113 10.00    
10  PATRIOTIC PARTY Nov10 Oct27 Oct14 Sep02 Jul07 (dilodovico d)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 10.00    
SCR  FUN LOVIN CRIMINAL Nov23 Nov03 Oct15 Sep22 Aug26 (brion keri)BARBOSA JEIRON 125 4.00    
SCR  ARTISTIC REASON Oct25 Sep29 Apr24 Apr17 Mar21 (troxell kristin)MENA E 123 20.00    
 
LRL-7   12/02/2023 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST Maryland Juvenile Filly Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 3:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LITTLE CRYBABY Nov12 Oct25 Oct07 Sep21 Aug31 (worsley john )CHAVEZ ANDRES 117 30.00    
  (by IRISH WAR CRY out of APPLE CIDER by MORE THAN READY)
LUCKY COUGAR Nov22 Oct14 Sep27 Sep05   (dacosta jason)KARAMANOS A 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MADEFROMLUCKY out of ANOTHER COUGAR by WITH DISTINCTION)
STILL GAME Nov17 Oct13 Sep27 Aug02   (sillaman rich)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 15.00    
  (by FROSTED out of IRINA BARANOVA by BULLSBAY)
DETERMINED SAIL Nov17 Sep30 Sep09 Aug19 Jul13 (schoenthal phi)BOYCE FOREST 122 8.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of INVOLUNTARY by CITY ZIP)
BIG EARN Nov02 Oct13       (magee kieron)NO RIDER 117 20.00    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of NOBLE NATION by CAL NATION)
BINNIE Nov02         (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 3.50    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of AUNT ELAINE by CHARISMATIC)
KISSEDBYANANGEL Nov17 Oct28 Oct14 Sep30 Sep10 (shankle joanne)CRUZ ANGEL 122 2.00 31% 2.20    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of ANGELINTHEMORNING by STREET SENSE)
SHEILAHS WARCLOUD Oct14 Sep16 Aug10     (nixon justin)PEREZ XAVIER 122 1.60 43% 1.30    
  (by MADEFROMLUCKY out of SKY LANI by SKY MESA)
 
LRL-8   12/02/2023 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST Maryland Juvenile Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 3:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KING'S RIVER Nov17 Oct29 Oct14 Sep29 Sep01 (albert l)BOYCE FOREST 122 8.00    
  (by IRISH WAR CRY out of QUIET RIVER by DATA LINK)
CAP COM Nov17 Oct28 Oct08 Jun04   (trombetta)CARRASCO R 122 6.00 8% 11.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of SCAURI by GHOSTZAPPER)
CATAHOULA MOON Nov11 Oct14 Sep24 Sep04 Aug06 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 122 3.50 30% 2.30    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of ACCESS TO THE MOON by MALIBU MOON)
CIRCLE P Oct29 Oct15 Sep15     (stites w)CHIAPPE R 122 8.00 11% 7.90    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of QUIET INFERNO by QUIET AMERICAN)
CALL ME ANDY Oct29 Sep15 Aug13 Jul02 Jun01 (walsh brendan)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 4.50    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of DI'S DELIGHT by FRENCH DEPUTY)
SPEEDYNESS Nov17 Oct29 Oct14 Sep27 Jul14 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 1.80 24% 3.20    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of HARTIGAN by INCLUDE)
SCR  JUMPINGJAGGERFLASH Jun11 May07       (salzman e)NO RIDER 122 15.00    
  (by STREET MAGICIAN out of WHO'S IN LOVE by SUPER WHO)
MISTER AGENT Nov16 Oct21 Oct12     (sanchez)ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 20.00    
  (by BLOFELD out of MISSY KIM by LOUIS QUATORZE)
HITTHEROADJAK Nov11 Oct27       (sanchez-salomon )CRUZ ANGEL 122 30.00    
  (by KOBE'S BACK out of OUR JAKS by NOT FOR LOVE)
SCR  ALL THE WAY Nov03 Sep29 Sep08     (capuano phil)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 30.00    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of BAZINGA B by LION HEARTED)
 
LRL-9   12/02/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 2 F PT- 4:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REE NEE'S SIX Oct18         (magee kieron)ROJAS MARTINA 117 6.00 9% 10.20    
AT FIRST SIGHT Nov12         (mcmahon hu)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 122 8.00 10% 8.70    
SCR  MADDIE TEN         (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 2.00    
SHEHERHERS Nov12 Oct13       (keefe timothy )ROSADO JOHAN 122 15.00    
LADY CHARLOTTE Nov02 Oct13       (gaudet lace)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 2.50 60% 0.70    
OUTFACTORED Nov12 Aug02       (bailes )BRICENO GREGOR 122 6.00    
AMORICA Oct25 Oct12 Sep29 Sep09 Jul26 (rodriguez jesus)MENA E 118 30.00    
LEAVE DRAMA BEHIND Nov15         (smith everton)OCASIO M 122 30.00    
SCR  NEXT GIRL Nov23 Nov02       (bailes robe)CHAVEZ ANDRES 115 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.