Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Horseshoe Indianapolis
Friday - November 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

IND-1   WIN (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/3)-(5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/3)-(7/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/3)-(7/4/6)-(12/1/4/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
IND-2   WIN (7/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/6)-(7/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/4/6)-(7/4/6)-(7/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/4/6)-(12/1/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/4/6)-(12/1/4/8)-(5/4/3/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
IND-3   WIN (12/1/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (12/1/4/8)-(12/1/4/9/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (12/1/4/8)-(12/1/4/9/8)-(12/1/4/9/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (12/1/4/8)-(5/4/3/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (12/1/4/8)-(5/4/3/9)-(6/1/8/9) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
IND-4   WIN (5/4/3/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/3/9)-(5/4/3/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/3/9)-(5/4/3/9)-(5/4/3/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/3/9)-(6/1/8/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/4/3/9)-(6/1/8/9)-(8/4/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
IND-5   WIN (6/1/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/8/9)-(6/1/8/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/8/9)-(6/1/8/9)-(6/1/8/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1/8/9)-(8/4/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/1/8/9)-(8/4/10)-(2/8/11) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
IND-6   WIN (8/4/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/4/10)-(8/4/6/10/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/10)-(8/4/6/10/3)-(8/4/6/10/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (8/4/10)-(2/8/11) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/4/10)-(2/8/11)-(2/8/3/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
IND-7   WIN (2/8/11) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/8/11)-(2/8/11/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/11)-(2/8/11/7/4)-(2/8/11/7/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/8/11)-(2/8/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
IND-8   WIN (2/8/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/3/4)-(2/8/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/3/4)-(2/8/3/4)-(2/8/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
IND-1   11/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($19.5K) 2 ALL PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHISKEY JUSTICE Sep25         (hammond k)BERMUDEZ E 119 3.50 15% 5.60    
PRINCE SHUKO Nov02         (haran john)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 12.00    
PUNK (ARG) Nov01         (short ricky )RAMOS D 119 8.00 7% 13.30    
SCR  OUT WORK'M Nov02 Oct12 Sep25     (patrick r)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 0.80    
REFLEX Nov01 Oct18 Sep19 Sep08 Aug17 (haran joh)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 6.00 46% 1.20    
SCR  HOLIDAY CITY Oct18 Sep19 Aug17 Aug02 Jul03 (garcia isra)BURNHAM MATILDA 112 20.00    
CINCO DE OROS Oct18 Sep27 Aug31 Aug10 Aug02 (duran antoni)TERRAZA GERMAN 112 10.00    
 
IND-2   11/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AIR MARSHAL Aug02 Jul20 Jul07 Jun22 Nov09 (sanchez emma)MORALES JOSHUA 119 10.00    
COWBOY IMAGE Sep20 Jul18 Jul08 Jun17 May29 (luce nichole)COURT K 116 15.00    
CHISEL Oct24 Aug30 Jun21 Jun07 May17 (klopp ran)BERMUDEZ E 119 3.00    
DOSSIER Oct17 Oct09 Aug23 Aug11 Jun29 (fosdick stev)RAMOS D 119 5.00 21% 3.80    
LEO'S ROAR Oct25 Oct03 Sep14 Aug16 Aug02 (glyshaw)DE CRUZ 122 6.00    
SHIPSHAPE Oct17 Oct09 Sep20 Sep11 Aug22 (medina tomas)MOJICA O 122 3.50 14% 6.30    
EASY OPERATOR Oct24 Sep07 Aug15 Nov17 Sep15 (londono genevi)MILLER CHASE 122 2.50 31% 2.30    
 
IND-3   11/10/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONRAD THE RED Jun21 May30 Mar22 Feb26 Feb02 (garcia israe)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 3.50 33% 2.10    
BIG ANCHOR Oct31 Oct05 Sep27 Sep08   (hammond k)PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 30.00    
RED FIVE Sep18 Mar10 Feb03     (west w)PARKER L 122 20.00    
COSMIC STARDUST Oct02 Sep06 Aug17 Jul21 Jun22 (hernandez r)PETERSON FERRIN 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
TOTALITARIAN Oct17 Oct02 Sep18 Aug31 Aug17 (gonza)ULLOA PATRICIO 122 10.00    
MISTER MOSCATO Sep25 Sep08 Aug11     (thompson erin)PRESCOTT R 122 30.00    
CENTAURO Oct18 Oct05 Sep18 Aug09 Jul07 (torres a)LEZCANO ABEL 125 20.00    
BIG STORMY Oct09 Sep20 Jul13 Jun24   (dunn d)MOJICA O 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
NORBERT Oct18 Sep06 Aug18 Jul30 Jun18 (calhoun w)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 4.00    
10  LEFT POCKET MONEY Oct17 Oct02 Sep06 Aug18 Jul31 (pittman bon)BURNHAM MATILDA 118 8.00    
11  SPEEDBAYOU Oct25 Aug19 Aug04 Jul15 Jul03 (toye kara )ANDERSON MCKENNA 119 30.00    
12  AMERICAN RAIDER Oct12 Sep14 Jan07 Nov18 Oct16 (castillo ric)RAMOS D 122 4.50 42% 1.40    
SCR  GENERATION (GB) Oct25 Oct02 Sep20 Aug26 Aug09 (orantes yon)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 15.00    
SCR  JAY BIRD Oct15 Sep17 Jan11 Dec22 Dec03 (meah anna)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 8.00    
 
IND-4   11/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHADOW BELLE Oct18 Aug24 Aug03 Jul16 Jun06 (douglass dev)TERRAZA GERMAN 115 6.00    
MOON OVER TUSCANY Sep19 Aug22 Aug02 Aug08 Jun30 (swango kevi)BURNHAM MATILDA 115 20.00    
HAYTHERE JOGEEGIRL Oct18 Jul21 Jun27 Jun08 May23 (hammond k)BERMUDEZ E 122 3.50 14% 6.20    
INCREDIBLE JUSTICE Oct28 Oct10 Sep26 Aug11 Jul21 (paquett)DE CRUZ 119 5.00 21% 3.70    
ZIPPIN PIPPIN Oct31 Oct17 Sep05 Aug15 Jul03 (garcia gen)ANDERSON MCKENNA 122 2.00 24% 3.10    
TIZ ABBY Jun15 May22 May03 Mar02 Feb01 (mcbride barb)BURGOS ALBERTO 119 10.00    
COLUMN Oct26 Oct10 Sep20 Sep07 Aug12 (meah anna )VILLARREAL OSCAR 109 15.00    
PERFECT SMOKEY EYE Sep26 Sep06 Aug28 Jul03 Jun08 (haran john)MORALES JOSHUA 119 8.00    
CANT BE TOUCHED Oct23 Jan01 Nov25 Nov03 Oct02 (garcia ge)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 12.00 10% 8.90    
 
IND-5   11/10/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRACIE'S KITTEN Nov01 Aug29 Aug05 Jul29 Jul12 (maker michae)RAMOS D 119 3.50 25% 2.90    
HAPPY SAILS Sep20 Aug05 Jul06 Jun20 May31 (martinez a)PEREZ E 122 10.00    
WEST COASTER Sep12 Aug11 Jun23 Jun06 May19 (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 119 4.50    
DALTON'S LOVE Sep20 Aug22 Jul18 Jun27 May31 (greenhill)BERMUDEZ E 122 20.00    
A STAR FOR CORA Nov01 Oct16 Sep26 Sep05 Aug09 (hammond k)PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 15.00    
ULTIMATE MISSION Aug18 Jul11 Dec28 Oct17 Sep22 (west w)PRESCOTT R 122 6.00 35% 1.80    
SCR  MORNING ANGEL Nov01 Oct16 Sep28 Aug31 Aug05 (richardville)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 10.00    
SWEET BABY RAY Aug31 Jul27 Jul07 Jun16 May31 (reed er)DE CRUZ 122 8.00 9% 10.10    
SPLIT DECISION Sep28 Aug18 Jul26 Jul06 Jun08 (ewing an)PARKER L 122 20.00 6% 15.60    
SCR  HURRY UP CHIC CHIC Sep20 Apr13 Feb20 Dec05 Nov02 (reed r)FELIX E 122 10.00    
11  AMERICANA ANNA Aug22 Jul20 Jun10 May18 Apr26 (elliott miche)LEAHEY HANNAH 116 15.00    
SCR  CLASSY DREAM Oct16 Aug19 Jul18 Jun21 May18 (matthews ran)BURGOS ALBERTO 116 10.00    
 
IND-6   11/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 2 ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
V MAX Oct18         (hernandez r)PETERSON FERRIN 119 30.00    
  (by UNBRIDLED EXPRESS out of FIGHTING XENA by NOBLE CAUSEWAY)
FIREBALL JUSTICE Oct23 Oct04 Sep25 Sep06   (klopp randy)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 15.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
ICE EXPRESS Oct04 Sep06 Aug08     (leonard iii)MOJICA O 122 8.00    
  (by KEEN ICE out of EXPRESS RUN by UNBRIDLED EXPRESS)
MIDNITESTATEOFMIND Oct12         (west aaro)BERMUDEZ E 122 2.50 14% 6.30    
  (by MSHAWISH out of HIGHER LOGIC by HIGH FLY)
IT'S LAST CALL Oct23 Sep06 Aug15 Aug08 Jun20 (duran antonio)PARKER L 122 12.00    
  (by BRETHREN out of EILA by BENNY THE BULL)
HADLEY'S MAX Oct23 Oct04 Sep25 Sep06 Jul21 (klopp randy)RAMOS D 122 3.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of HARD TO GET EVEN by EVEN THE SCORE)
MIKE'S CYCLONE Oct23 Oct12 Sep06 Aug08   (haran john)MORALES JOSHUA 122 8.00    
  (by BIG BAD MIKE out of TORNADA by HIGH FLY)
COWBOY JUSTICE (GB) Nov02 Oct11 Sep19 Sep14 Aug02 (gorham m)PEREZ E 119 4.50 63% 0.60    
  (by HARRY'S HOLIDAY out of BREEZY POINTESS by MALIBU MOON)
EL TULIPAN Oct18 Sep19 Sep08 Aug15   (garcia genar)TERRAZA GERMAN 112 20.00    
  (by SKYLORD out of BLACK TULIP by ROCK HARD TEN)
10  RAZED Oct18         (ellio)ULLOA PATRICIO 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TAPRIZE out of PRIZE SURPRIZE by PURE PRIZE)
SCR  SHIESTY TO CHASE Oct23 Oct03       (langemeier j)ROMERO GREGORY 122 10.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of EXCEDERE by SHAKESPEARE)
SCR  THEO'S PROMISE Nov01 Oct11       (richard)DE CRUZ 119 4.00    
  (by HOLIDAY PROMISE out of G GS GOT THE GOODS by GOODS)
SCR  FUNTASTICALLY         (gorostieta ci)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 122 12.00    
  (by FUNTASTIC out of VOODOOTHATYOUDO by GIACOMO)
SCR  SLINK Nov01         (short ricky)BURNHAM MATILDA 112 8.00    
  (by ELNAAWI out of MISS CHATTY CAT by ARTICLE OF FAITH)
 
IND-7   11/10/2023 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIVER BOY Oct18 Oct03 Sep15 Aug30 Aug17 (garcia israe)RAMOS D 119 12.00    
RAISON KARTER Sep20 Sep13 Aug16 Jul29 Jul14 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 122 4.00 66% 0.50    
BIG PAPER Oct24 Sep07 Aug01 Jul06 May11 (richardville)TERRAZA GERMAN 115 20.00    
WARTIME HERO Jun15 May04 Mar26 Mar03 Jan08 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 10.00    
SCR  TRIKITRAKI Oct16 Sep20 Sep05 Aug10 Jul19 (davis d)PRESCOTT R 122 8.00    
VASILEVSKIY (IRE) Oct05 Sep15 Aug12 Jul08 Jun08 (bahena isma)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 15.00    
NORDIC LIGHT Oct20 Sep27 Aug16 Jul22 Jun10 (cox bra)DE CRUZ 122 3.00    
GOLDEN TEXT May18 Feb23 Jan19 Dec30 Sep20 (clark rob)BERMUDEZ E 122 12.00 10% 8.80    
ICE BLAST Sep20 Aug30 Aug23 Jul26 Jun22 (villa francisc)LEZCANO ABEL 122 5.00    
SCR  GOLD BUCKLE Sep14 Sep03 Aug20 Aug09 Jun29 (haran john)CENTENO ALEXIS 119 30.00    
11  CIELO AZUL Oct31 Oct17 Oct04 Aug22 Jul15 (duran antonio)PARKER L 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
12  BUZZER Oct25 Sep18 Aug19 Jul02 Jun16 (sanchez emma)MORALES JOSHUA 122 20.00    
 
IND-8   11/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($41K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHEZA NUT Oct28 Oct17 Sep21 Aug30 Aug10 (green)ULLOA PATRICIO 119 8.00    
FOREVER PINK Oct28 Oct10 Sep11     (delacruz mej)RAMOS D 119 1.80 45% 1.20    
MOON DAZE Oct26 Oct17 Aug30 Aug10 Jul05 (leonard ge)ANDERSON MCKENNA 119 3.50 9% 10.00    
CIERRA EMPIRE Oct28 Aug30 Aug10 Jul20 Jul08 (fosdick stev)BURGOS ALBERTO 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
HERE KITTY KITTY Oct28 Oct11 Sep18 Aug17 Aug02 (gorham m)PEREZ E 119 4.50    
ANTE ANGEL Oct28 Oct10 Sep18 Aug26   (cluley )DE CRUZ 119 20.00    
NIGHT LIVIN Jul07 Jun22 May30 May02 Nov14 (fontenot daw)MORALES JOSHUA 119 15.00    
SECOND EXCHANGE Oct18 Oct02 Sep18 Aug22 Aug08 (fosdick steve)PARKER L 122 5.00 23% 3.30    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.