Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Laurel Park
Thursday - November 09, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LRL-1   WIN (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/2)-(3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/2)-(3/7/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/1/2)-(3/7/4)-(2/10/4/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-2   WIN (3/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/4)-(3/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7/4)-(3/7/4)-(3/7/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/7/4)-(2/10/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/7/4)-(2/10/4/3)-(6/7/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-3   WIN (2/10/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/10/4/3)-(2/10/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/10/4/3)-(2/10/4/3)-(2/10/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/10/4/3)-(6/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/10/4/3)-(6/7/3)-(9/5/11) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-4   WIN (6/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/3)-(6/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/7/3)-(6/7/3)-(6/7/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/7/3)-(9/5/11) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/7/3)-(9/5/11)-(10/7/9/6/12) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
LRL-5   WIN (9/5/11) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/5/11)-(9/5/11) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (9/5/11)-(9/5/11)-(9/5/11) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (9/5/11)-(10/7/9/6/12) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (9/5/11)-(10/7/9/6/12)-(6/2/3/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LRL-6   WIN (10/7/9/6/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/7/9/6/12)-(10/7/9/6/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/7/9/6/12)-(10/7/9/6/12)-(10/7/9/6/12) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/7/9/6/12)-(6/2/3/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (10/7/9/6/12)-(6/2/3/4)-(8/5/2/6) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LRL-7   WIN (6/2/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/3/4)-(6/2/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/3/4)-(6/2/3/4)-(6/2/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/3/4)-(8/5/2/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
LRL-8   WIN (8/5/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/2/6)-(8/5/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/2/6)-(8/5/2/6)-(8/5/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LRL-1   11/09/2023 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($40K) Purse ($44K) 3UP ALL PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KENNER Oct03 Sep05 Aug04 Jul15 May29 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 119 5.00 9% 10.30    
2  ELUSIVE EDGE Oct27 Oct07 Jul08 Jun09 May13 (aguirre anthon)PEREZ XAVIER 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  RANGER FOX Aug27 Jul04       (terranova joh)LYNCH FEARGAL 123 1.60 65% 0.50    
SCR  MAGICAL JAIME Sep04 Aug27 Jul16 Jun24 Jun03 (sanchez-p)CARRASCO R 119 30.00    
5  BOSS MAN J J Oct01 Sep16 Sep08 Aug11 Jul27 (salzman timot)ALVELO C 119 12.00    
6  VOLKERT Oct05 Jul29 Jun23 May26 Mar10 (hennig mark)KARAMANOS A 123 2.00    
7  GREAT IDEA Oct26 Sep06 Aug04 Nov20 Oct29 (capuano phil)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 4.00    
 
LRL-2   11/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT-12:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELLIE VICTORINA Oct19 Oct01 Sep09 Aug25 Aug12 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 117 15.00    
2  RATIONALMILLENNIAL Oct19 Sep01 Aug09 Jul23 Jul05 (corrales )BOCACHICA J 116 20.00    
3  COCKTAIL DREAMING Oct21 Oct01 Sep17 Sep02 Jul23 (magee kiero)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 1.00 37% 1.70    
4  ALLIALLIOXENFREE Oct07 Sep02 Jul15 Jun16 Dec04 (dilodovico damon)CRUZ ANGEL 119 6.00 12% 7.50    
5  MERGER OF EQUALS Oct19 Sep28 Sep01 Jul20 Jul05 (corrales jose)CHAVEZ ANDRES 112 30.00    
6  GINGER GIRL Oct22 Oct05 Sep09 Aug20 Jul30 (shankle joann)ALVELO C 121 4.00    
7  LINAHASPECSHOES Oct19 Sep15 Sep02 Aug12 Jul14 (sillaman )CRISPIN ALEXANDER 124 2.50 21% 3.80    
 
LRL-3   11/09/2023 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 35 M/F PT- 1:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GOLDEN CHARM Oct19 Sep24 Sep08 Aug12 Jun16 (albert )ORTIZ ORLANDO 124 1.60    
2  VOLATILITY Oct26 Oct03 Aug06 Jul28 Jul07 (moore michae)BARBOSA JEIRON 124 1.80 28% 2.60    
3  FLITTER Oct19 Aug26 Jul22     (vera miguel)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 6.00 13% 6.50    
4  GET LOADED Oct15 Sep16 Aug26 Aug18 Aug05 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 124 5.00 15% 5.70    
5  QUALITY WEEKEND         (plumme)LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 30.00    
6  MAGNOLIA WIND Aug10 Jul16 Jun03 May12 Mar24 (dunham g)HO WESLEY 120 30.00    
7  IN HER CUPS Sep08 Aug20 Aug03 Jul19 Jul06 (manchio)BRICENO GREGOR 126 3.00    
8  DENIM N LACE Oct25 Oct05 Sep08 Aug20 Aug04 (bedard alan)LAPRIDA JEREMY 126 15.00    
SCR  QUIT QUAY Oct19 Sep29 Jul22 Jun17 May25 (ambrogi leo)CHATRIE E 114 10.00    
10  FINALJUMP Feb05         (keefe timot)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 124 8.00 21% 3.70    
SCR  PRINCESS LENA Oct05 Aug24       (brion keri)BOYCE FOREST 120 15.00    
SCR  NORAH BOO         (lucas bonnie)AGUILAR M 124 12.00    
 
LRL-4   11/09/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($25K) 2 F PT- 1:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SUPER SNEAKY Sep29 Sep01       (pickett crys)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 12.00    
2  SIPPIN' TIME Oct22 Oct05 Aug11 Jul22   (smith h)BRICENO GREGOR 118 8.00    
3  TURBO MILLIE Oct12 Sep09 Aug12     (simoff andrew)MENA E 122 3.00 15% 5.70    
4  ANY FOOLS GOLD Oct16 Sep24 Aug11 Jul14   (schoenthal ph)CHAVEZ ANDRES 111 5.00    
5  ROBBERY Nov02 Oct05 Sep05 Aug11   (doran car)CARRASCO R 118 10.00    
6  DOESN'THURTTOFLIRT Nov02 Sep22 Sep07     (rubley kell)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 2.50 24% 3.20    
7  DAZZLING DEMELZA Oct08         (mcmahon hugh )ALVELO C 122 4.00 21% 3.80    
8  R B'S BIG MOMENT Oct22 Oct05 Sep03     (geralis eman)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 10.00    
 
LRL-5   11/09/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WRECKING BALL Oct03 Sep09 Aug16 Jul08 Mar31 (alvarado di)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 6.00    
SCR  BOX N BEN Oct07 Aug19 Jul21 Jun03 May13 (mcmahon i)NO RIDER 120 3.00    
SCR  LAMARVELOUS Oct26 Aug24 Aug03 Apr30 Feb20 (eppler e)KARAMANOS A 124 3.50    
SCR  KING COVEE Oct28 Aug31 Aug12 Jul22 Jul08 (bailes w )CARRASCO R 124 8.00    
5  MISTER ABARRIO Sep17 Jul28 Jun25 Jun04 Mar22 (atras rob)BARBOSA JEIRON 124 2.50 12% 7.40    
6  OPPOSITES ATTRACT Oct21 Sep09 Aug18 Jul15 Jun11 (trombetta mic)KARAMANOS A 124 10.00    
7  WICKED SECRET Oct21 Jul21 Jul03 May18 Nov03 (mcmahon hu)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 124 6.00    
SCR  UNCLE JAKE Oct17 Aug26 Jul21 Apr08 Mar10 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 1.00    
9  ST. JOE LOUIS (GB) Oct13 Jul26 Oct29 Aug25 Jun25 (hennig mark)ROSADO JOHAN 126 2.00 57% 0.80    
SCR  BEAUTIFUL GORGEOUS Oct14 Sep22 Aug19 Aug02 Jun18 (george lair)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 30.00    
11  GENERAL'S DUTY Oct12 Aug26 Jul23 Jul09 May26 (cibelli jane)RUIZ JORGE 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
12  CROSSLAND Oct21 Sep29 Aug11 May05 Apr13 (hohlbein kerry)BOYCE FOREST 122 15.00    
 
LRL-6   11/09/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($48K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RHUMJAR Oct14 Sep28 Sep03 Aug05 Jul21 (gonzalez claudio)CRUZ ANGEL 126 4.50    
2  MIDNIGHT RENEGADE Oct05 Aug24 May25     (gaudet lacey)ROSADO JOHAN 121 8.00    
SCR  ARDEN'SLUCKYTOBE Oct20 Sep29 Sep08 Aug04 Mar18 (mcclure diana )ARAUJO DENIS 123 50.00    
4  HELDISH Oct20 Aug25 Aug05 Jun17 May19 (trombetta)CARRASCO R 124 10.00    
SCR  SUBJECT TO CHANGE Oct28 Aug13 Jul31 Jul15 Jun24 (kee j)BATISTA A 123 50.00    
6  GREAT HEAVENS Aug04 Jul02 Jun10 May04   (keefe timothy )BOYCE FOREST 121 8.00 6% 16.50    
7  DISPUTED CLAIM Oct14 Sep10 Aug20 Aug02 Jun16 (geralis emanu)TOLEDO JEVIAN 121 4.00 25% 3.00    
8  GOODAFTERNOONOSCAR Oct20 Sep08 Aug27 Aug05 Jul21 (mancilla carlos )RUIZ JORGE 121 12.00    
9  ORDER OFTHE KETTLE Sep29 Sep08 Oct14 Sep24   (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 121 8.00 12% 7.50    
10  FRIGHTLAND Sep02 Aug11 Jul01 Jun11 May05 (russell bri)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 3.00 33% 2.00    
SCR  FEELING WOOZY Oct19 Sep29 Sep03 Jul29 Jun24 (smith hamilt)BARBOSA JEIRON 124 10.00    
12  FOLE'S NOTION Sep16 Aug24 Aug03 Jun20 May31 (perri gin)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 123 30.00 5% 19.00    
 
LRL-7   11/09/2023 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($48K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UPSIDEDOWN MAN Oct20 Sep08 Aug03 Jun16 Jun02 (bailes rober)PEREZ XAVIER 121 6.00    
2  LOST WEEKEND Apr15 Mar25 Mar04 Feb12 Jan28 (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 121 5.00 28% 2.60    
3  TALL ORDER Oct20 Oct01 Sep08 Aug18 Jun09 (perri gina)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 4.50 12% 7.70    
4  ONE TRUTH Oct20 Oct01 Sep09 Jul28 Jul12 (dimitriou har)KARAMANOS A 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  TENAX Oct28 Oct14 Sep22 Sep10 Aug20 (garibay)ORTIZ ORLANDO 123 2.00    
6  FUN NOTION Oct27 Oct01 Sep08 Aug19 Jul27 (white ale)CARRASCO R 121 1.80 40% 1.50    
SCR  FREEZE THE FIRE Sep29 Sep08 Jul29 Jul01 Jun03 (lynch cathal)KARAMANOS A 121 3.00    
8  SURPRISE HELLO Nov02 Oct01 Jul21 Jul02 Jun09 (mcclure diana )ARAUJO DENIS 123 50.00    
9  DESPITE ODDS Jun24 Jun02 May13 Apr13 Mar17 (brion keri)BOYCE FOREST 123 30.00    
 
LRL-8   11/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CORA'S CHOICE Oct27 Oct05 Sep09 Aug25 Aug13 (walters john )KARAMANOS A 124 30.00    
2  MEETMEATTHEBEACH Oct15 Oct06 Sep15 Aug26 Aug05 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 124 2.50 7% 12.90    
3  ALWAYS FORWARD Oct19 Oct05 Sep03 Jul30 Jul09 (corrales )BOCACHICA J 117 30.00    
4  BALI HAI Oct01 Sep04 Jan15 Dec29 Nov12 (gonzalez claudio)CRUZ ANGEL 120 6.00    
5  LIL SPINNER Jul01 Jun23 Jun02 May19 May14 (sanchez-sal)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 124 3.50 8% 11.80    
6  JESS'S GYPSY GIRL Oct21 Oct10 Sep08 Aug16 Jun13 (alvarado di)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 8.00 5% 17.60    
7  FASHIONATTA Oct01 Aug18 Jul16 Jul08 May07 (mcmahon hugh )CHAVEZ ANDRES 115 8.00    
8  RUN RAEGAN RUN Oct15 Sep09 May20     (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 126 2.00 57% 0.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.