Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Delaware Park
Saturday - October 07, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DEL-1   WIN (7/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/5)-(7/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/3/5)-(7/3/5)-(7/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/3/5)-(2/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/3/5)-(2/5/6)-(3/2/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
DEL-2   WIN (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/6)-(2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/6)-(3/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/5/6)-(3/2/6)-(3/5/8) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
DEL-3   WIN (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/6)-(3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/6)-(3/5/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/2/6)-(3/5/8)-(8/9/7/3/10) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
DEL-4   WIN (3/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/8)-(3/5/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/8)-(3/5/8)-(3/5/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/8)-(8/9/7/3/10) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/5/8)-(8/9/7/3/10)-(1/6/9/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
DEL-5   WIN (8/9/7/3/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/9/7/3/10)-(8/9/7/3/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/9/7/3/10)-(8/9/7/3/10)-(8/9/7/3/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/9/7/3/10)-(1/6/9/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/9/7/3/10)-(1/6/9/7)-(10/8/5/7) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
DEL-6   WIN (1/6/9/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/9/7)-(1/6/9/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/9/7)-(1/6/9/7)-(1/6/9/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/9/7)-(10/8/5/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/6/9/7)-(10/8/5/7)-(1/2/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
DEL-7   WIN (10/8/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/8/5/7)-(10/8/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/8/5/7)-(10/8/5/7)-(10/8/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (10/8/5/7)-(1/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
DEL-8   WIN (1/2/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/8)-(1/2/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/8)-(1/2/8)-(1/2/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DEL-1   10/07/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($21K) 2 ALL PT-12:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WESLEY THOMAS Sep14 Sep02 Jul12 Jun10   (robb john)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 119 8.00    
HORSESHOE PATSY         (rigattieri john)MENA E 119 6.00    
MINNY SPEIGHTSTER Jul19         (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 119 2.00 22% 3.50    
FREE DROP BACH Sep22 Sep08       (dunham berna)TROTMAN KEIMAR 119 4.00    
HOT ON YOUR HEELS         (nazario pe)MENDOZA JHONATAN 119 8.00 11% 8.10    
DOWNPATRICK Sep14         (strauss beverly)GOMEZ KEVIN 119 10.00    
SECRET ZIPPER Aug30         (capuano gary)ARROYO S 119 3.00 32% 2.20    
 
DEL-2   10/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FLATTER ME Aug26 Jul29 Jun17 May29 Mar29 (hills timo)SANCHEZ J 122 2.50    
PRACTICAL WAY Sep16 Aug18 Jul28 Jun24 Jun10 (avila carl)OLIVERO A 122 3.00 26% 2.80    
MIDNIGHT STRIKES Sep07 Aug17 Aug04 Jul19 Jun14 (lucas bonnie)HIRALDO JOHN 115 12.00    
DAREDAVITE Aug20 Jul29 Jul08 Jun23 May25 (albert )BRICENO GREGOR 119 6.00    
LEAOFLITTLEFAITH Sep04 Aug17 Jul23 Jun28 Jun04 (robertson )GALLARDO EDUARDO 119 4.00 22% 3.60    
BOCA GUY Sep13 Aug24 Jul13 May27 Apr02 (alvarado diane)MARIN SAMUEL 122 8.00 18% 4.50    
OILER Sep15 Aug30 Aug12 Jul22 Jun23 (nazario pe)MENDOZA JHONATAN 124 10.00    
THE BEARRISH ONE Aug04 Jul15 Jun23 May28 Apr28 (simone mi)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 119 8.00    
 
DEL-3   10/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($30K) 2 F PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LITTLE CRYBABY Sep21 Aug31 Aug12     (worsley j)VARGAS A 119 15.00    
LADY PROSPECT Aug13         (rodriguez ru)ARROYO S 117 2.50 17% 4.80    
BOLD BABY Sep21         (compton greg)GOMEZ KEVIN 119 3.00 37% 1.70    
LATE NITE LIZZIE Sep07         (stidham michael)CENTENO E 119 4.50    
JUST THE THING Sep22 Sep01 Jun10 May25 May07 (corrales jose)ACOSTA D 119 10.00    
AMIRATI Jul29 Jul13 Jun18 Jun03 May11 (chichakly)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 117 6.00 14% 6.20    
MUCHO TIGGER         (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 119 6.00    
SCR  ELLIE'S RUNNER         (margotta antho)MOYA F 119 10.00    
 
DEL-4   10/07/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MUST BE LOVE Sep16 Jul28 Jun21 Jun05 May01 (pino micha)SANCHEZ J 123 2.50    
SPRITZER Sep01 Aug18 Aug03 Jul20 Feb08 (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 119 12.00    
BAYOU SHACK Aug18 Jul28 Jul02 Jun17 Jun04 (ward dan)JUAREZ NIK 123 4.00 21% 3.90    
BRIGHT FORECAST Sep16 Aug03 Jul14 Jun23 Apr08 (nazario pedro)MENA E 120 10.00    
SIX WHIPS Jul15 Jun21 Jun03 May04 Mar31 (arriagada juan)HIRALDO JOHN 120 5.00 20% 3.90    
SCR  WASABI BOY Sep20 Aug18 Aug06 Jul16 Jun11 (rathman e)HERNANDEZ A 118 8.00    
SCR  PRINCELY GOD Sep01 Aug02 Jul14 Jun28   (smith robert )ALICEA JEREMY 116 6.00    
TOUCHDOWN MONTAGE Sep16 Sep06 Aug03 Jul07 Apr28 (rodriguez)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 120 10.00 19% 4.20    
SUPER ROCKER Sep15 Aug30 Jul08 Jun24 Jun09 (lucas bonnie)MARIN SAMUEL 116 8.00    
 
DEL-5   10/07/2023 4950ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38K) 2 F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MOLLY MALONE Sep20         (tapsas e)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 118 15.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of DORITZA by MINESHAFT)
SALTY GIRL         (trombetta mi)ARROYO S 118 10.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of TERMINOLOGY by BERNARDINI)
BIG BOLT Sep21         (compton greg)GOMEZ KEVIN 118 8.00 12% 7.70    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of BIG MOVE by MR. BIG)
SCR  MISS MELODRAMATIC Sep02 Aug12 Jul26     (husted rac)MENDOZA JHONATAN 118 20.00    
  (by FRANK CONVERSATION out of DRAMA MAMA by KODIACK)
FREE CHARGING         (schistl rafael)MENA E 118 12.00    
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of WOW ME FREE by MENIFEE)
MATCHING ENERGY Aug19 Jul20       (stidham michael)JUAREZ NIK 118 12.00    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of SILENT TRIUMPH by CITY ZIP)
PURE MAGIC GIRL Sep21         (lopez r)FUENTES MARIO 118 12.00 18% 4.50    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of RICKETYRACKETYRUSS by BORREGO)
VICTORIA'S DANCER Sep02 Aug05 Jul02     (avila carl)OLIVERO A 118 4.00 24% 3.20    
  (by MUNNINGS out of ARTISANAL by MORE THAN READY)
POWER SQUEEZE Sep10 Aug19       (delgado jorge)OLVER MADISON 111 2.50 19% 4.30    
  (by UNION RAGS out of CALLMETHESQUEEZE by AWESOME AGAIN)
10  STILL TEMPER Sep02 Aug10       (stidham michae)CEDENO CAROL 118 5.00 8% 12.30    
  (by ARROGATE out of BELVEDERA by AWESOME AGAIN)
11  TAKE THE COOKIES Aug17         (motion g)SANCHEZ J 118 10.00    
  (by DIVISIDERO out of SHE'S NOT LAZY by TIZNOW)
12  BERNA DITTY Sep02         (motion graham)CENTENO E 118 10.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of SONG OF SOLOMON by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SCR  PARISH LANE         (matz mich)HERNANDEZ A 118 10.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of SILK AND SCARLET by SADLER'S WELLS)
SCR  GOLD ALLIANCE Jul15 Jul02       (einhorn kim)LUZZI J 118 20.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of HEATHER'S VISION by ZENSATIONAL)
 
DEL-6   10/07/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($30K) 2 F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPIRITED RIDE Sep21         (russell brittan)GOMEZ KEVIN 119 3.00 43% 1.30    
GRACE REFORMED Sep09 Aug25       (catalano l)CEDENO CAROL 117 8.00    
BOOTSY'S MERLOT Sep16 Aug05 Jul14 Jul01 Jun17 (ginter raymo)ARROYO S 117 10.00    
ELOPER Aug04 May25       (bedard a)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 117 10.00    
EDEN'S GIGI Sep29 Sep10 Aug10     (russell britt)CHAVEZ ANDRES 108 8.00    
SHAKE IT BABY Aug12 Jul22 Jun16     (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 119 3.50 19% 4.30    
CATALINA CRUZIN Sep20 Jun10       (pecoraro antho)HIRALDO JOHN 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
INSOUCIANT Sep20 Aug24 Jul08     (nazario pedro)MENA E 117 8.00    
CHUBLIN Sep03 Aug12       (robb john)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 117 5.00 15% 5.70    
 
DEL-7   10/07/2023 4950ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FLYING SCOTSMAN Sep08 Aug11 Jul16 Nov13 Oct29 (morris ne)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 12.00    
SCR  BORGOBYTHESEA Aug19 Aug04 Jun15 May06 Apr14 (carrascojr v)ARROYO S 120 8.00    
ROCK SOLID GOLFER Aug31         (luqueno giovan)HIRALDO JOHN 120 20.00    
SCR  PETIT FILS (FR) Sep07 Jul15 May24 May12 Sep16 (lawrence james )GOMEZ KEVIN 120 8.00    
JOE PHILLIPS Sep06 Aug24 Aug11 Jul27 Apr14 (raven kerri)CENTENO E 120 8.00 8% 11.30    
MARVIN Jul30 Jun18 Jun04 May13 Apr15 (ward dan)JUAREZ NIK 120 10.00    
COLONEL MOORHEAD Aug31 Jul26 Jun15 May26 Mar16 (rathman e)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
DREAM LINER (BRZ) Aug19 Jun24 Feb25 Jan21 Dec14 (falcone robert)RENDON JAIRO 120 4.00 33% 2.10    
SCR  BACKWOODS BOOGIE Jul21 May07 Apr02 Mar11 Feb02 (eppler e)CEDENO CAROL 120 10.00    
10  OFFSHORE AFFAIR Aug30 Aug10 Jul10 Jun20 Jun06 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 120 4.50 33% 2.00    
11  OFFICER COUNTRY Sep15 Aug24 Aug18 Aug11 Jul15 (mcgoey m)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 120 6.00    
12  MOUNT TRAVERS Jul30 Jul13 Jun17 May14 Apr14 (chichakly amir)LUZZI J 120 8.00    
 
DEL-8   10/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOON ME AGAIN Sep20 Sep02 Aug19 Jul27 Jul13 (sullivan )CRISPIN ALEXANDER 121 3.00 29% 2.50    
BEACH HOUSE Sep27 Sep08 Aug24 Aug12 Jul21 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 121 6.00 22% 3.50    
ROSY APPLE Sep02 Aug09 Jun24 Jun14 May31 (arriagada juan)CEDENO CAROL 121 2.00    
KIRBY Sep14 Sep02 Aug19 Jul21 Jul05 (neilson wa)MITCHELL RICHARD 121 15.00    
CUP OF LIFE Sep20 Sep02 Aug03 Jun19 May15 (simoff andre)ARROYO S 123 4.00    
SCR  EPICUREAN Sep13 Aug23 Aug03 Jun23 Jun10 (neilson wall)TROTMAN KEIMAR 121 12.00    
SALSA RITA Sep20 Aug19 Jul16 Jun17 Jun02 (gayle webster)MARTIN MATTIE 114 12.00    
PLAYERA Sep20 Sep08 Jun30 Jun14 May31 (aguayo r)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 121 12.00 21% 3.80    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.