Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Friday - October 06, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/4)-(3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/4)-(5/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/1/4)-(5/7/6)-(3/6/7/9/10) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
CT-2   WIN (5/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/6)-(5/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/7/6)-(5/7/6)-(5/7/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/7/6)-(3/6/7/9/10) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/7/6)-(3/6/7/9/10)-(4/2/1/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-3   WIN (3/6/7/9/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/6/7/9/10)-(3/6/7/9/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/6/7/9/10)-(3/6/7/9/10)-(3/6/7/9/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/6/7/9/10)-(4/2/1/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/6/7/9/10)-(4/2/1/5)-(7/2/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-4   WIN (4/2/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/1/5)-(4/2/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/1/5)-(4/2/1/5)-(4/2/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2/1/5)-(7/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/1/5)-(7/2/8)-(4/1/2/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-5   WIN (7/2/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/8)-(7/2/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2/8)-(7/2/8)-(7/2/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/2/8)-(4/1/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/2/8)-(4/1/2/5)-(7/2/10) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-6   WIN (4/1/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/2/5)-(4/1/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/2/5)-(4/1/2/5)-(4/1/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/2/5)-(7/2/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/2/5)-(7/2/10)-(3/9/5/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-7   WIN (7/2/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/10)-(7/2/10) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2/10)-(7/2/10)-(7/2/10) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/2/10)-(3/9/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-8   WIN (3/9/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/9/5/2)-(3/9/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/9/5/2)-(3/9/5/2)-(3/9/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   10/06/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AUNT TOOTY Jul22         (curtis f)ARAUJO DENIS 121 4.00 25% 3.10    
2  VIESTE Aug26 Aug04 Jul27 Jul08 Jun23 (schiano-d)BOCACHICA J 112 20.00    
3  NINETY PROOF Sep02 Jul29 Apr20 Mar16 Sep10 (groves janice)BATISTA C 122 0.60 32% 2.10    
4  FLATTERING WAY Sep15 Jun23 Jun01 Apr20   (barahona isaac)MAWING A 121 20.00 16% 5.20    
5  ITSUPTOME Sep21 Jun17 May19 Apr28   (boykins kevin)ACOSTA D 124 30.00    
6  LOCKDOWN VANNA Aug26 Jun17 May25 Apr29 Mar31 (locklear james)CECIL Y 119 3.00    
SCR  PLAYING FOR TWO Aug26 Aug18 Aug12 Jul27 Jan06 (shanley timot)ADAMS L 112 15.00    
 
CT-2   10/06/2023 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($18.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MELODIOUS SINGER Sep06 Jul28 Mar09 Feb09 Jan25 (kulp brand)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 3.00    
2  SHERIFF'S KID Sep14 Aug12 Jul22 Jul08 Jun10 (shanley mark)RODRIGUEZ V 120 15.00    
3  FLAVA'S DREAM Sep29 Sep04 Aug25 Aug06 Jul18 (woodit jose)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 12.00    
4  KATY THE CAT Aug17 Jul27 Jun24 May25 Apr28 (kravets bruce )ARAUJO DENIS 120 15.00    
5  DIVINE FASHION Jul29 Jul01 Jun17 May27 May06 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.00 56% 0.80    
6  R WORKING GIRL Sep08 Feb02 Jan05 Dec16 Dec01 (hillegass al)BATISTA A 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
7  VOLNAY Sep04 Jul08 Jun17 Mar12 Mar04 (perri gina)ALVELO C 120 2.50 20% 4.10    
 
CT-3   10/06/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 2 F PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOMESUGARNSPICE Aug10 Jul20 Jul06     (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 30.00    
  (by DENIS OF CORK out of COTTON CANDY by BANDINI)
2  ANOTHER FINE JUBA Sep15 Aug10 Jul20 Jul06   (petty kristy)LARROSA G 122 20.00    
  (by JUBA out of JACKY'S NOTION by GREAT NOTION)
3  MALIBU YEARS Sep21 Aug31 Aug10     (johnson jamey )ARAUJO DENIS 122 3.00 48% 1.10    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of MALIBU LOVE by MALIBU MOON)
4  CEDAR'S IMAGE Sep15         (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 20.00    
  (by IMAGINING out of CEDAR'SGREATNOTION by GREAT NOTION)
5  PARALLAX VIEW Aug31         (runco c)BATISTA A 122 10.00    
  (by KLIMT out of WIDE OPEN by FLAT OUT)
6  MITOLE CANDY Sep15 Aug26 Aug10     (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.50 20% 4.10    
  (by MITOLE out of DANDY CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
7  MAKANI Sep15 Aug31 Aug10 Jul13   (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 122 2.50 5% 18.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of NASHI by E DUBAI)
8  JUNE BELLE         (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 6.00    
  (by KEEN ICE out of TAPITEAO by TAPIT)
9  VICE ON ICE Sep15 Aug31       (jones e)BOCACHICA O 122 8.00 5% 18.60    
  (by BOURBON COURAGE out of RED HOT DIVA by DEVON DEPUTY)
10  GIRLS PERFUME Sep15 Aug31       (tuomisto cliff)REYNOLDS C 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of PERFUME IN THE AIR by MUNNINGS)
 
CT-4   10/06/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMIDA COMIDA Sep21 Sep02 Aug03 Jul13 Jun16 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 120 3.50 10% 8.50    
2  TALENTED CORINNA Sep14 Aug24 Aug03 Jul15 Jun23 (brown ronney )ROJAS MARTINA 117 5.00 16% 5.40    
3  BESTLA Sep15 Aug24 Jul14 Jul08 Jun01 (sandoval michae)PELTROCHE F 122 8.00    
4  LIKELY CHOICE Sep15 Aug30 Aug07 Jul11 May04 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 122 4.50 42% 1.40    
5  HOWSAFEAREMYCOLORS Sep15 Aug26 Aug04 Jun22 Jun01 (walters dav)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 12.00 10% 9.30    
SCR  NAUGHTY NAN Sep21 Sep02 Jul27 Jul02 May29 (barr h)CRUZ ANGEL 120 1.80    
7  WATERLOO ROSE Aug05 Jul15 Jul07 Jun15 Dec10 (o'neill tonya )CHILO MAXIMO 122 30.00    
8  STOPWATCHSONNY Sep16 Sep02 Aug19 Aug04 Jun01 (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 122 15.00    
9  SURCHARGE Sep16 Aug17 Aug02 Jul18 Jan29 (jones mic)BOCACHICA J 115 12.00    
 
CT-5   10/06/2023 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($18.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANTIPOISON Aug25 Aug12 Aug03 Jul06 Jun24 (sanche)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 8.00    
2  RIDICULOUS Sep14 Aug18 Jul27 Jul06 Jun24 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 124 2.50 9% 10.50    
3  SCOTTSDALE Sep21 Sep02 Aug26 Aug05 Jul15 (tobin l)RODRIGUEZ V 120 15.00    
4  UNCAPTURED KING Sep14 Aug18 Aug04 Jul01 Jun02 (murdock steph)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 5.00    
SCR  PRINCE FILIP Sep13 Aug12 Jul20 Jul03 Jun21 (pennella rhe)BATISTA A 120 30.00    
6  RAISE A SPEIGHTS Sep14 Jun24 May22 May05 Apr08 (pickett c)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 15.00    
7  JAYJAYDEE Sep14 Aug18 Jul27 Jul06 May20 (kreiser t)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.40 66% 0.50    
8  PYEONG CHANG Sep02 Aug11 Jun24 Jun02 May18 (runco jef)BOCACHICA J 113 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-6   10/06/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOCTOR PARDO Sep15 Sep01 Jul28 Jul06   (brown w)CRUZ ANGEL 118 6.00 14% 6.00    
2  RED HOT TODDY Aug11 Jul15 May26 Apr07 Feb23 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.00 11% 7.70    
3  COMEONTURNMELOOSE Sep15 Aug05 Jul07 Jun16 Jun09 (atkins mi)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 20.00    
4  HARPERSGONEFISHING Sep15 Aug18 Aug05 Jul06 May06 (carlisle john)RIVERA JAVIER 118 3.00 44% 1.30    
5  LIEUTENANT BROWN Sep22 Sep01 Jul21 Jun30 Jun09 (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 122 30.00 8% 11.20    
SCR  ONE CANDY CASTLE Aug26 Jul13 May26 Apr29 Mar30 (petty kristy)LARROSA G 120 5.00    
7  HILLBILLY ROCK Sep15 Aug05 Jul15 Jun09 May26 (atkins michae)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 20.00    
8  MONKEY WRENCH Jul15 Jun09 May26 Apr27 Apr13 (barahona isaac)MAWING A 122 12.00    
9  LASTWALKTOFREEDOM Sep15 Aug05 May12 Apr13 Feb17 (mckee e)CECIL Y 120 10.00    
SCR  OFFICER STONE Sep01 Aug11 Jul15 Jun09 May19 (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 122 3.50    
 
CT-7   10/06/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPUNMAN Aug04 Jun23 May12 Mar31 Jan27 (runco jef)BOCACHICA J 113 15.00    
2  GRAN ANDREWS Sep15 Aug26 Aug12 Jul14 Apr08 (farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 122 5.00 27% 2.70    
3  ROCKY DICE Sep29 Sep01 Aug11 Aug03 Jul13 (murdock stephen)PELTROCHE F 120 15.00    
SCR  SILIPO May20 Apr14 Mar25 Sep24 Aug24 (hillegass al)BATISTA A 120 10.00    
SCR  INDIAN BUZZ Sep02 Aug11 Jul28 Jul02 Jun09 (kulp brand)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 12.00    
SCR  GAMMA SQUEEZE Sep16 Aug18 Jun22     (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 12.00    
7  LANGLEE AVENUE Aug26 Aug11 Jul23 Jun09 May20 (mckenzie )HERNANDEZ F 120 4.00 39% 1.60    
8  MARK DID IT Sep15 Aug25 Aug10 Feb18 Feb01 (brown ronney )ROJAS MARTINA 115 3.00    
9  OVER AND THUNDER Aug09 Jul07 Apr26 Mar15 Feb22 (kulp brando)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 12.00    
10  VAIL OF HONOR Sep15 Aug25 Aug09 May12 Mar11 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.50 8% 11.60    
 
CT-8   10/06/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SURF CITY GOLD Sep16 Sep07 Sep01 Aug11 Aug04 (mckenzie dani)ROJAS MARTINA 119 6.00    
2  D TACHYON Jun17 May05 Apr14 Feb10 Jan21 (davis bil)BOCACHICA J 115 12.00 10% 9.00    
3  HAGGERSDALE Sep08 Aug18 Jul22 Jul01 May19 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.50 25% 2.90    
4  SEIZE THE BREEZE Sep16 Sep08 Aug25 Aug10 Jul20 (sandoval michae)PELTROCHE F 120 12.00    
5  SWEET SYNTAX Sep29 Sep01 Aug20 Aug04 Jul16 (robb j)HO WESLEY 122 4.00 14% 6.30    
SCR  SAVANNAH'S SUGAR Aug30 Aug17 Aug05 Jul08 Jun22 (lopez mario)ZAPLITNY SKYLAR 110 20.00    
7  RUNAWAY ROAD Sep28 Aug27 Aug05 Jul09 Jun18 (feliciano ben )ARAUJO DENIS 122 5.00    
8  PERSONAL FINANCE Sep08 Aug18 Jul28 Jul15 Jul01 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 20.00    
9  SKY OF GOLD Oct07 Sep15 Aug27 May26 May04 (atkins william )RODRIGUEZ V 122 4.50 24% 3.20    
10  SAAFEN Jul15 Jun01 Mar16 Feb10 Jan27 (rodriguez j)VILLASMIL EDGAR 122 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.