Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Delaware Park
Saturday - September 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
DEL-1   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/1)-(6/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (3/1)-(6/5)-(5/4/7/2) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
DEL-2   WIN (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/5)-(6/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/5)-(5/4/7/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/5)-(5/4/7/2)-(8/3/4/2) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
DEL-3   WIN (5/4/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/7/2)-(5/4/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/7/2)-(5/4/7/2)-(5/4/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/7/2)-(8/3/4/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/4/7/2)-(8/3/4/2)-(6/3/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
DEL-4   WIN (8/3/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/4/2)-(8/3/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/4/2)-(8/3/4/2)-(8/3/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/3/4/2)-(6/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/3/4/2)-(6/3/7)-(6/4/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
DEL-5   WIN (6/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/7)-(6/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/7)-(6/3/7)-(6/3/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/7)-(6/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/3/7)-(6/4/5)-(7/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
DEL-6   WIN (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/5)-(6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/5)-(7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/4/5)-(7/6)-(3/1/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
DEL-7   WIN (7/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/6)-(7/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (7/6)-(3/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
DEL-8   WIN (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/4)-(3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
DEL-1   09/30/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 WET FAST Maiden Claimer ($28K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT-12:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ADAYINSPAIN         (brinkman brett)HIRALDO JOHN 120 6.00 25% 3.00    
2  HUMOR SENSE Jul21 Jul07 May05 Mar11 Jan14 (ochoa gerard)MARIN SAMUEL 120 8.00    
3  ONE VIOLENT AFFAIR Sep09 Aug05 Jun04 Apr15 Mar26 (o'connell )ROWLAND MADELINE 120 3.50 32% 2.10    
4  BEST WORST IDEA Aug23 Aug05 Jul19 Jul07 Jun10 (ramirez jose)ARROYO S 120 8.00    
SCR  INTRO Aug23 Aug05 Feb17 Jan11 Dec10 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 123 2.50    
6  DIXIE LARK Sep15 Aug27 Aug18 Oct07 Sep10 (mcburney patric)GOMEZ KEVIN 119 1.80    
 
DEL-2   09/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FANCY WARRIOR Sep06 Aug31 Jul06 Jun24 Jun15 (ashby lynn)ARROYO S 118 6.00    
2  CIVIL NOTION Sep04 Aug23 Jun12 Mar15 Feb07 (st uri)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 8.00    
SCR  QUANTICO CREEK Sep04 Aug05 Nov02 Oct19 Oct05 (shuman mar)SANCHEZ J 120 8.00    
4  BODACIOUS BREN Sep08 Dec11 Nov25 Nov04   (allard t)GOMEZ KEVIN 120 3.50    
5  CLOUDY BAY Aug28 Jul22 Jun30 May29 Apr27 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 120 1.80 32% 2.10    
6  BALI MOON Jan01 Dec04 Oct21 Sep16 Aug28 (alvarado diane)MENA E 123 2.50 32% 2.10    
 
DEL-3   09/30/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 WET FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOVE ME OR DON'T Aug31 Aug15       (saville n)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 121 20.00    
2  ALLIE'S HALO Sep22 Aug23 Aug09 Jul08 Jun22 (lopez mario)ZAPLITNY SKYLAR 114 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  IRISH EMPRESS Sep13 Aug08 Jul16 Jun26 Jun03 (lucas bonnie)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 5.00    
4  STEPH'S TOP NICK Sep03 Aug17       (robertson )GALLARDO EDUARDO 121 3.50 18% 4.70    
5  TOUGH ENOUGH Sep22 Sep02       (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 124 3.00 44% 1.30    
6  BELIEVE IN LOV Sep22 Aug31 Aug17 Aug05   (lopez r)IORIO MELISSA 114 2.50    
7  I LOVE MARIA Sep13 Dec14 Nov23 Jun09 May25 (ovando melv)VILLASMIL EDGAR 124 10.00 12% 7.20    
SCR  TEMPTRESS CALLING Sep13 Aug25 Aug04 Jul19 Jul06 (kravets b)HERNANDEZ A 124 10.00    
SCR  TIPSY TOURIST Sep17 Aug27 Aug03 Jul02 Jun10 (eubanks annette)MONTERREY R 124 15.00    
10  SPUN IN A MILLION Aug31 Jun10 Feb26     (allen fe)SANCHEZ J 121 10.00    
SCR  SUPER MONEY Sep15 Aug27 Aug13 Aug05 Jun23 (smith valrie)GOMEZ KEVIN 121 12.00    
SCR  FLASHY FIG (IRE)         (hendriks rich)ROJAS MARTINA 116 8.00    
13  SEA IMAGE Sep22 Sep09 Aug23 Jul05   (strauss beverl)MENDEZ KEVIN 121 20.00    
 
DEL-4   09/30/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GHOSTINYOU Sep16 Aug30 Aug17 Jul25 Jun23 (hayford jenn)ARROYO S 120 10.00    
2  PATTY'S BOY Sep13 Aug08 Jul14 Jun16 May24 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 122 8.00 7% 12.40    
3  CAMP PENDLETON Sep09 Aug31 Aug09 Jul14 Jun18 (nazario pedro)MENA E 122 6.00 24% 3.20    
4  POLITICAL Sep16 Aug31 Jun21 May17 May05 (sullivan )CRISPIN ALEXANDER 120 8.00 11% 8.00    
5  MAJOR KONG Sep10 Jul07 Jun18 May27 May05 (ward dan)IORIO MELISSA 113 3.50    
6  THE METHOD Sep13 Jul28 Jul16 Jun16 May27 (lucas bonnie)MARIN SAMUEL 120 8.00    
7  SAMURAI SAINT Aug28 Jul19 Jul12 Jun20 May24 (sot)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 4.00    
8  NIGHT OPS Sep16 Sep08 Aug09 Jul12 Jul03 (simone micha)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 2.50 29% 2.50    
 
DEL-5   09/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 WET FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38K) 2 ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEAVY EQUIPMENT         (carrascojr vic)HIRALDO JOHN 119 10.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of DRAGONBERRY by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
2  PAPPY'S REVENGE         (robertson )GALLARDO EDUARDO 119 4.50    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of STEADY N LOVE by NOT FOR LOVE)
3  CALI HEAT Aug13         (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 3.50 23% 3.30    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of LIVERMORE VALLEY by MT. LIVERMORE)
4  AMERICAN WAR HERO         (motion g)SANCHEZ J 119 4.50    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of LIBBY'S TAIL by TIZ WONDERFUL)
5  SANDERSON Sep01         (motion graham)GOMEZ KEVIN 119 6.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of SILENT JOY by KITTEN'S JOY)
6  PRADO ROAD         (russell brittan)MONTERREY R 119 2.50 40% 1.50    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of FOOLS PRINCESS by BELLAMY ROAD)
7  EDDIE FELSON Sep08         (shuman mark)ARROYO S 119 12.00 5% 18.60    
  (by TAPITURE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  WRIGLEY RESERVE Sep18         (servis tyler)BOWMAN ADAM 119 10.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of WRIGLEY IVY by PLEASANT TAP)
 
DEL-6   09/30/2023 5490ft DIRT RC6 WET FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAXIMUS MIDANI Jul07 Jun16 Apr01 Mar10 May28 (perkins jr)MARIN SAMUEL 120 8.00    
2  KRUG Aug27 Aug10 Jul15 Jun18 May12 (capuano phil)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 6.00    
3  GOLDINI Aug06 Jul27 Jun17 May20 Apr29 (rodriguez ru)ARROYO S 120 3.50    
4  LITTLE DEMON Sep06 Aug22 Jul23 Jun25 May20 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 124 1.80 28% 2.60    
5  FAST BREAK Sep10 Sep02 Aug18 May20 Jul26 (falcone ro)ROWLAND MADELINE 120 8.00 18% 4.60    
6  WINTER'S GHOST Sep09 Aug10 Jul19 May05 Apr16 (rigattieri john)MENA E 124 2.50 31% 2.30    
 
DEL-7   09/30/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($28K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAK E LADY Sep15 Sep01 Aug17 Jul22 Jul13 (ashby lynn)ARROYO S 117 6.00    
SCR  SASSY BABE Sep06 Aug18 Jul13 Jun20 Jun04 (pickett c)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 117 5.00    
SCR  GLOSSAMER Aug31 Aug17 Jul07 Jun22 May25 (ashby lynn)MENA E 117 6.00    
4  O SHAUGHESEY Sep02 Jul22 Jul14 Jun25 Jun04 (patterson kevin)GOMEZ KEVIN 116 4.00    
SCR  MOONBOOTS Sep19 Jun10 May25 Apr10 Mar21 (morgan carla)HIRALDO JOHN 123 10.00    
6  LADY SHYLOCK Sep10 May27 Mar30 Mar03 Feb02 (falcone ro)ROWLAND MADELINE 114 10.00 23% 3.40    
7  HONEY BELLA Sep16 Sep03 Aug06 Jul12 Jun18 (robertson )GALLARDO EDUARDO 123 3.00 44% 1.30    
SCR  BOHEMIA BABE Sep19 Aug22 Jul28 Jul12 Jun24 (mercedes ped)HERNANDEZ ANDY 117 10.00    
9  BAND SWEETHEART Aug06 Jul09 May20 Apr21 Mar26 (cudworth paul)FUENTES MARIO 123 8.00    
 
DEL-8   09/30/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZIPPER ZAPPER Aug26 Aug17 Jul26 Jul05 Jun23 (ramirez jose)ARROYO S 122 3.00 23% 3.30    
2  SPEAKERIT Sep07 Aug20 Jul29 Jul07   (kee willie )CHATRIE E 110 4.00    
3  ROARING RIVER Sep08 Aug17 Aug04 Apr06 Mar20 (smith g)MENA E 120 2.00 52% 0.90    
4  SUNNY SAINT Sep06 Aug28 Aug16 Aug05 Jul19 (padilla hugo )RANGEL JOEZER 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  MELINA'S DREAM Sep08 Aug26 Aug09 Jul22 Jul06 (nazario pedr)TROTMAN KEIMAR 118 8.00    
6  ROYAL COUP Sep02 Aug27 Aug05 Jul23 Jul01 (potts wayne)CONNING CRYSTAL 118 8.00    
7  LORD DARNLEY Aug04 Jul14 Jun28 Jun03 May24 (douthall )CRISPIN ALEXANDER 120 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.