Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Mountaineer Park
Monday - September 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MNR-1   WIN (5/7/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/9)-(5/7/9/6) 9 $2.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/7/9/11)-(5/7/9/6/11)-(5/7/9/6/11) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
    DD (5/7/9)-(1/3/2/9) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
MNR-2   WIN (1/3/2/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/2/9)-(1/3/2/10/9) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    TRI (1/3/2/9)-(1/3/2/10/9)-(1/3/2/10/9) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
    DD (1/3/2/9)-(2/7/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/3/2/9)-(2/7/4/5)-(4/2/1) 48 $2.00 $96.00 
MNR-3   WIN (2/7/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/4/5)-(2/7/4/5) 12 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/4/5)-(2/7/4/5)-(2/7/4/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (2/7/4/5)-(4/2/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
MNR-4   WIN (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/1)-(4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/2/1)-(2/1/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
MNR-5   WIN (2/1/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/9)-(2/1/9) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/9)-(2/1/9)-(2/1/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
MNR-6   WIN (7/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/3)-(7/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    PK3 (7/3)-(7/6/5)-(9/2/3/10) 24 $2.00 $48.00 
MNR-7   WIN (7/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/5)-(7/6/5) 6 $2.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6/5)-(7/6/5)-(7/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (7/6/5)-(9/2/3/10) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
MNR-8   WIN (9/2/3/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/2/3/10)-(9/2/3/10) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (9/2/3/10)-(9/2/3/10)-(9/2/3/10) 24 $1.00 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MNR-1   09/04/2023 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLUEBERRY QUEEN Aug09 Aug02 Jul26 Jul17 Jul10 (larue steve)VIGIL NOEL 123 12.00    
  (by PERFECT SOUL out of JERSEY BEE'S by JERSEY TOWN)
FREEDOM'S ALLURE Aug09 Aug01 Jul09 Jun20 Jun07 (ramgeet tina)NELSON TYRONE 123 5.00    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of MAJESTIC ROSETTE by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
HIGHWAY ROBBERY Jun05         (sipp k)LEON A 118 20.00    
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of JAY AT NINE by STORM CAT)
SOPRISE ASTRAY Aug27 Aug08 Apr19 Sep05   (cascallares n)LUGO D 123 5.00    
  (by GONE ASTRAY out of CAMP SURPRISE by FOREST CAMP)
KETO FRIENDLY Jul25 Jun27 Jun05 Nov07 Aug24 (pease harry)GONZALEZ KEVIN 118 4.00 30% 2.30    
  (by MASTERY out of OLGA PAYNE by E DUBAI)
ALHAAN Aug27 Aug02 Jun21 Jun07 May24 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 118 8.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of ATAYEB by RAHY)
LOVE MY CANDY Aug09 Jul21 Apr29 Mar11 Oct28 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 118 2.50 26% 2.90    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of MARIA'S CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
BETHPAGE Aug22 Jul31 Jul12 Jun26 Jun07 (baird michael)PAUCAR E 123 8.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of THE CRANE by TIZNOW)
LUNA MIA Jul19 Jul10 Jun20 May22 May08 (montano wilfri)JURADO EDDIE 123 10.00 21% 3.70    
  (by GLOBAL RESPONSE out of ULTRA EMPIRE by EMPIRE MAKER)
10  NIKITA Aug16 Aug01 Jul16 Jun18 May01 (blackh)ENRIQUEZ JR 118 30.00    
  (by RELOAD out of JANE N ALI by QUIET AMERICAN)
SCR  FEEL THE RIDE Aug28 Sep11 Aug21 Jul24   (gotera c)TOLEDO S 123 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FEELS ALL RIGHT out of RUN RED RIDINGHOOD by WILD EVENT)
SCR  SHE IS ROYALTY May26 Apr05 Mar15 Feb24 Feb01 (suarez w)GONZALEZ HENDERSON 123 12.00    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of SCHERZI by BRAHMS)
SCR  MIDNIGHT IN PRAGUE Aug02 Dec01 Oct05     (morris )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 6.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of FROM TIZ MOMENT ON by TIZNOW)
SCR  DEVINE BY DESIGN Aug02 Jul25 Jul17 Jul10   (sipp burton)BARRIOS RICARDO 118 20.00    
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of MY COZY ANGEL by TOCCET)
 
MNR-2   09/04/2023 4620ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY LEAH May31 Mar03       (erdel john)DIAZ R 120 4.00 63% 0.60    
SHES THE NORTH Aug09 Aug01 Jul02 May18 Apr22 (bernard)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 3.50 5% 19.00    
CARISMATICA Aug28 Aug08 Jul11 Feb12 Sep27 (cascallares n)LUGO D 123 3.00 8% 11.90    
GRAND VENUS Aug21 Aug06 Jul19 Jul03 Jun25 (hebert julia)GILBERT KYLE 120 20.00    
AVENIDA MANANA Aug09 Aug01 Jul17 Jul09 Jun25 (larue steve)WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 30.00    
CAGUA Aug21 Aug09 Jul19 May24 Apr09 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 120 6.00    
GOLDEN ACCOUNT Aug09 Jul17 May21 May01 Feb15 (barker jame)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 5.00    
BEE WINGS Aug09 Aug01 Jul17 Jun06 Dec04 (noland a)WHITACRE B 120 30.00    
WHO U GONNA CALL Aug02 May04 Nov02 Sep02   (gotera c)TOLEDO S 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  KITTEN BY THE SEA Aug20 Aug09 Aug01 Jul09 Jun25 (blankenship do)JURADO EDDIE 120 6.00    
SCR  SUNDRENCHED Aug22 Jun27 Dec22 Dec05 Nov01 (connelly tere)CEDILLO MAURO 118 15.00    
 
MNR-3   09/04/2023 7260ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($18.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPY TOWN Aug28 Aug08 Jul10 Jun26 Jun04 (gotera car)LEON A 118 20.00    
EVIE'S PRINCE May07 Feb26 Jun04 May19 Mar10 (morris )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 1.20 53% 0.90    
MACHO CASH Aug22 Aug06 Jul10 Jun04 May22 (sipp burton)BARRIOS RICARDO 118 12.00    
TYRY TYRANNOSAURUS Aug18 Jul07 May26 May05 Apr22 (jones micha)WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 5.00 8% 10.90    
FOGGY ALBION Aug28 Aug13 Aug02 Jul18 Jul05 (meals loi)HERNANDEZ H 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
BLACK BULL Aug14 Aug02 Jul23 Jul10 Jun19 (knowles lucin)NELSON TYRONE 120 20.00    
B G LEE Aug25 Aug05 Jul13 Jun21 Jun04 (zook w)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 4.50 14% 6.30    
JACKSON MAN Aug20 Jul12 Jun05 May26 Dec10 (harrison gl)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 3.50    
 
MNR-4   09/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($9.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEQUILA SUNSET Aug21 Aug08 Jul26 Jul16 Nov15 (van dennis)VIGIL NOEL 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
BALLYKEEN Aug01 Jul23 Jun20 May28 May07 (viands greg)WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 4.00 31% 2.30    
WICKED VALENTINE Aug21 Aug01 Jul09 Jun11 May23 (howard m)DAVILA M 120 30.00    
POLITICAL ASTRAY Aug28 Aug08 Jul25 Jul17 Jun18 (cascalla)GONZALEZ HENDERSON 123 1.60 34% 1.90    
NURSE KATIE Aug16 Jul05 Jun19 May23 May16 (gilbert timothy)VEGA L 120 30.00    
GORILLA GIRL Jun24 May25 May12 Apr28 Apr06 (fletcher kev)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 4.50    
QUEEN OF CLASS Aug28 Aug08 Jul16 May14 Apr15 (silva juan )BARRIOS RICARDO 120 2.50    
SCR  PAINTED ROCKET Jun19 Oct18 Aug08 May22 May08 (kocijan m)HERNANDEZ H 120 20.00    
 
MNR-5   09/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAUTREC Aug20 Jul31 Jul16 Jun21 Feb08 (walker ch)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 4.00 10% 8.60    
ICONIC Aug07 Jul26 Jul06 Jun15 May17 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 118 2.50 63% 0.60    
DYNAFORM Aug22 Jul25 Jul18 Jul10 Jun26 (lopez e)PAUCAR E 120 10.00    
GOOD IDEA Jul17 Jun24 Jun13 May24 Apr15 (fletcher kev)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 5.00    
ONLYATTHESHOE Aug22 Aug09 Jul30 Dec07 Nov27 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 120 15.00    
SCR  RY'S REVENGE Aug21 Jul31 Jul09 May30 May09 (depasquale )WILLIAMS AJHARI 123 12.00    
SCR  PAISANO Aug09 Jul30 Jun19 Dec07 Nov14 (zook w)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 12.00    
GAGE HAS A GRAY Aug22 Jul19 Jun27 Jun06 May24 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 120 15.00    
LEMON BLITZ Aug22 Jul30 Jul17 Jul09 Jun18 (jansen kenny)VEGA L 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BACK ALLEY CAT Aug09 Jul30 Jul18 Jun11 May29 (bernard)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 4.50    
 
MNR-6   09/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WATCHING SNOW FLY Aug21 Jul31 Mar11 Jan26 Jul08 (delong ben)CEDILLO MAURO 118 1.60    
  (by UNBRIDLED ENERGY out of SNOW FROLIC by ARTAX)
CASH IS MONEY Aug21         (johnson jennif)JURADO EDDIE 118 6.00    
  (by THE LADY'S GROOM out of KARACUDA by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
KID QUICK         (jensen)ENRIQUEZ JR 118 10.00 25% 3.00    
  (by THE LADY'S GROOM out of FRISCO GAL by FRISCO STAR)
SCR  LET'S ROCK Aug21         (johnson jen)BARRIOS RICARDO 118 3.00    
  (by THE LADY'S GROOM out of HEARTS FOREVER by AMWAAL)
WHY WINCHILL WHY Aug21 Aug07 Jul31 Jul18 Jul10 (meeks karl)NELSON TYRONE 123 10.00    
  (by WINCHILL out of WHYPRINCESSWHY by WHYWHYWHY)
SCR  SOMESAYNEIGH Jun02 May25 May04 Apr23   (shuler jo)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 123 12.00    
  (by BULLSBAY out of SOME SAY by CHELSEY CAT)
SWORD OF DAMOCLES Aug21 Aug07 Jul31     (baird mic)WILLIAMS AJHARI 123 3.50 28% 2.60    
  (by MACHEN out of NATALIE'S WONDER by TIZ WONDERFUL)
 
MNR-7   09/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($21.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAD PAISLEY Aug11 Jun30 Jun09 Apr29 Apr16 (brown r)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 3.00    
BANKX TURBO May28 May14 Dec14 Dec05 Nov22 (demczyk vir)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 15.00    
INSIDE RISK Mar11 Feb23 Feb09 Jan19 Jan12 (caison jody)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 10.00    
BLACK CANDY Aug05 Jul20 Jun21 May26 May11 (blackhurst randy)AVILES YAN 120 10.00    
TRAGICALLY QUEWICK Jul30 Jul19 Jun21 Jun01 May16 (spiess )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 20.00 8% 12.20    
DAVID'S GEM Aug08 Jun27 May29 May02 Jan28 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 115 2.00 18% 4.70    
ENERGIZER Jul16 Jun11 May16 May08 Mar13 (treharne dav)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 1.60 46% 1.20    
 
MNR-8   09/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROARING OCEAN Jul10 Jun13 Jun14 Jun01 May22 (treharn)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 20.00    
SHAKEDOWN STREET Aug09 Jun18 Jan27 Jan06 Dec09 (barker jame)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 2.50 22% 3.50    
SANTIAGO'S CAT Aug09 Jul25 Jul03 Jun19 Jun13 (silva juan )BARRIOS RICARDO 118 6.00 18% 4.70    
SCR  GREGORIA'S BAY Aug09 Jul30 Jul07 Jun01 Oct22 (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 120 8.00    
BRAVE HILARIO Mar11 Feb11 Feb03 Jan27 Dec31 (stansbury julie)LEON A 120 15.00    
INGERSOLL Aug15 Aug02 Jul12 Jun19 May29 (vickers t)YARANGA Y 120 6.00    
VASY SAYS NYET Aug20 Aug02 Jul16 Jul02 Jun19 (hebert julia)GILBERT KYLE 118 10.00    
SCR  GRAND SIR Jun10 Jan13 Dec14 Nov26 Sep23 (montano wilfr)NELSON TYRONE 120 15.00    
LONE LEADER Aug15 Jul03 Jun05 Apr22 Mar22 (fletcher kevi)CEDILLO MAURO 116 3.00 33% 2.00    
10  OLD FORTY FIVE Jul30 Jul17 Jul03 Jun11 May23 (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 10.00 5% 18.60    
SCR  HARD TO HANDLE Jun04 May05 Mar24 Feb23 Feb04 (cascallares n)LUGO D 118 4.00    
SCR  LIL MR MATT Nov24 Oct18 Sep27 Jul14 Jun13 (collins tim)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 12.00    
SCR  FIFTY PESOS Aug20 Jun25 May29 May21 May07 (silva)MONSERRATE A 118 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.