Handicappers' Racing Form

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Hawthorne
Thursday - July 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

HAW-1   Win (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
HAW-2   Win (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
HAW-3   Win (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
HAW-4   Win (6/8/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
HAW-5   Win (6/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00
HAW-6   Win (2/7/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
HAW-7   Win (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
HAW-8   Win (9/7/8/3/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
HAW-1   07/20/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($43K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KATHAAN Jun22 May31 Apr22 Jan19 Nov25 (block chris)HERNANDEZ K 122 3.00 27% 2.70    
WAVE OF GOODNESS May21 Jan21 Dec26 Oct23 Sep24 (hernandez armando)EMIGH A 122 3.50    
SHE CAN'T SING Jun21 Mar25 Jan28 Nov19 Sep10 (block chris)MOJICA O 122 1.60 21% 3.70    
OMIXOCHITL Jun15 Feb04 Dec26 Nov04 Oct13 (gutierrez faus)TAVARES JAVIER 122 5.00    
CAT ATTACK Jun22 May21 Dec02 Nov11 Oct08 (boyce michele)FELIX E 124 4.50 19% 4.30    
 
HAW-2   07/20/2023 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:57
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RONAN Jul05 Jun07 May21 May14 Apr30 (quinonez ma)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 2.00 9% 9.50    
GIANNA'S GIFT Mar25 Feb12 Jan13 Dec16 Nov16 (contreras cipriano)EMIGH A 122 1.80 53% 0.90    
EMITYAAZ Jun21 May04 Mar26 Feb12 Nov01 (haran john)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 5.00    
FREE LOVE Jul09 Jun21 May25 May04 Apr11 (lopez elias)HERNANDEZ K 124 4.00 9% 10.20    
LUCY'S LOOKIN LEFT Jun22 Apr22 Mar26 Mar05 Feb15 (clay pat)FELIX E 122 3.50    
 
HAW-3   07/20/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:24
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COUGER Jul06 May28 May04 Apr16 Mar16 (perez manny)COLON H 122 2.00 36% 1.80    
C C'S WORLD Jun15 May23 May06 Apr18 Mar16 (gonzalez lilia)TAVARES JAVIER 122 6.00 16% 5.30    
MARIA'S GIFT Jul01 May30 May16 Apr18 Nov26 (essenpreis edw)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 3.50    
GHAALEB'S DREAMS Jul09 May18       (becker scott)EMIGH A 122 3.00 25% 2.90    
ZENCHUA SKY Jul09 Jun07 May23 Apr27 Mar26 (reavis michael)GILES EMMANUEL 117 6.00    
SCR  WEEKEND PASS Jun07 May14 May04 Apr27 Apr09 (hughes w)ORTIZ ALVIN 122 5.00    
 
HAW-4   07/20/2023 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($39K) 3 F PT- 4:51
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAT ROYALE Jun18 May31 May11 Apr20 Dec30 (boyce michele)FELIX E 120 10.00    
STARS ON FIRE (IRE) Jun08 Nov12 Sep01     (ward a)EMIGH A 120 6.00    
SECRET OPERATION Jun21 May25 May14 Apr23 Mar26 (slager mike)HUGHES CARLY 120 20.00    
LURE'EM IN Jun21 May20 Mar12 Jan21 Sep06 (block chris)MOJICA O 120 5.00 9% 10.00    
WILMA MANKILLER Jun29 Jun01 May04 Jan26 Dec17 (rivelli larry)CENTENO ALEXIS 120 3.50 11% 8.30    
NO KAY NEVER (IRE) Jun08 Oct08 Aug21 May30   (ward wesle)RODRIGUEZ A 115 2.00 38% 1.70    
SUNSET PAYNTER Jun08 May05 Apr22 Mar25 Jan21 (knott s)COLON H 120 12.00    
SWEET NELLIE Jun29 Jun02 Apr02 Mar19   (rosin w)HERNANDEZ K 120 4.50 22% 3.60    
 
HAW-5   07/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY WHITE SOX Jul11 Jun25 Sep19 Jun24 Jun10 (bahena fernand)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 12.00 7% 14.00    
SCR  COME ON LADY         (delong ben)TAVARES JAVIER 120 10.00    
FEATURED POWER Jul09 Jun25 Jun25 Jun10 May20 (rodriguez h)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 15.00    
SCR  NAPABIT Jul11 Jun25 May30 May16 May02 (rodriguez g)LOPEZ A 120 5.00    
FREEDOM ATTACK Jun21 Jun07 May21 May04 Apr18 (childers vance)EMIGH A 124 2.50    
LOVEYOULIKECRAZY Jun25 Jun07 Dec03 Nov12 Oct14 (lopez elias)HERNANDEZ K 120 0.80 62% 0.60    
 
HAW-6   07/20/2023 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($39K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BELPERRON Dec08 Nov19 Oct23 Aug07 Jul16 (manley steve)ORM CORY 122 6.00 16% 5.30    
MADELYN BELLE Jun25 Jun07       (catalano m)EMIGH A 120 4.50 34% 1.90    
RARE ACTION ATTACK Jun11 May25 May02 Nov27 Nov11 (childers vance)TAVARES JAVIER 122 15.00    
GOOD MONGOLIA Jun29 Jun11 Apr23 Mar26 Dec11 (rodriguez h)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FROSTED ECLAIR May31 May11 Apr20 Mar30 Mar12 (watkins m)FELIX E 122 20.00    
SCR  BALI BABY Jul09 Mar17 Feb22 Jan19 Nov13 (quinonez max)GILES EMMANUEL 117 15.00    
TAR HEEL GIRL Jun08 Apr23 Mar16 Jan22   (block chris)MOJICA O 118 3.00 24% 3.10    
PEACH COBBLER Jun29 Jun01 May06 Apr20 Mar15 (winebaugh cheryl)COLON H 122 1.80    
HEAVENLY SCENT Oct16 Sep23 Sep09 Aug26 Aug12 (pompell rober)ARRIETA REYNIER 122 20.00    
 
HAW-7   07/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($39K) 3 ALL PT- 6:12
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOOKIN FOR BALA Jun25 May30 May07 Dec10 Nov19 (essenpreis edw)CENTENO ALEXIS 120 4.00 31% 2.20    
SCR  FIT TO FLY Jun24 May31 May08 Sep06 Jul18 (rivelli larry)FELIX E 122 1.60    
CORTESE Nov02 Oct02 Sep21 Jul30 Jun26 (hernandez armando)EMIGH A 120 4.50 5% 19.00    
ONASA Jun24 Mar26 Mar09 Jan21 Dec16 (rivelli larry)MOJICA O 122 3.00 44% 1.30    
SILVER CHILLER Jul13 Jun18 May28 May07 Apr16 (spagnola ida)HERNANDEZ K 122 10.00    
STAR NATION Jun18 May28 Apr13 Mar05 Jan28 (spagnola ida)TAVARES JAVIER 120 8.00    
 
HAW-8   07/20/2023 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:39
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OVERTHOUGHT Jun22 May25 May06 Apr15 Mar08 (rodriguez edua)GILES EMMANUEL 117 15.00    
VITALE Jun21 May21 Apr15 Mar02 Dec30 (reavis michael)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
DYNABLUE Jun29 Jun11 May21 Apr23 Mar30 (poulos dee)FELIX E 122 4.50 5% 19.00    
ANDTHETHUNDERROLLS Jun29 Jun11 May14 Apr23 Dec17 (quinonez ma)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 8.00    
SON OF GRACE Jun25 Jun11 Jun04 May25 May14 (hughes w)ORTIZ ALVIN 122 6.00    
BLURT Jul06 Jun14 May31 Feb16 Jan22 (rodriguez edua)TAVARES JAVIER 122 20.00    
CLEAR N CONVINCING Aug17 Aug09 Jun24 Jun10 May13 (rivelli larry)MOJICA O 122 4.00 20% 4.00    
FLY NIGHTLY Jun29 Mar04 Jan25 Jan11 Dec22 (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 124 3.00 5% 17.50    
EXPROMPT (FR) Jun14 Jul10 May15 Jan23 Jan08 (campbell joel)HERNANDEZ K 122 6.00 49% 1.10    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.