Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Wednesday - July 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-1   WIN (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/3)-(2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/3)-(1/3/6/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (2/1/3)-(1/3/6/5)-(6/4/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-2   WIN (1/3/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/6/5)-(1/3/6/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (1/3/6/5)-(1/3/6/5)-(1/3/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/6/5)-(6/4/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (1/3/6/5)-(6/4/1)-(4/5/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-3   WIN (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/1)-(6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/1)-(4/5/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (6/4/1)-(4/5/6)-(3/6/5/2/8) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
PID-4   WIN (4/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/6)-(4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/6)-(3/6/5/2/8) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
    PK3 (4/5/6)-(3/6/5/2/8)-(5/3/4) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
PID-5   WIN (3/6/5/2/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/6/5/2/8)-(3/6/5/2/8) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (3/6/5/2/8)-(3/6/5/2/8)-(3/6/5/2/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/6/5/2/8)-(5/3/4) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
    PK3 (3/6/5/2/8)-(5/3/4)-(8/1/6/4/10) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
PID-6   WIN (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/4)-(5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/4)-(8/1/6/4/10) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
    PK3 (5/3/4)-(8/1/6/4/10)-(3/5/7/1/6) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
PID-7   WIN (8/1/6/4/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/1/6/4/10)-(8/1/6/4/10) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (8/1/6/4/10)-(8/1/6/4/10)-(8/1/6/4/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/1/6/4/10)-(3/5/7/1/6) 25 $2.00 $50.00 
PID-8   WIN (3/5/7/1/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/5/7/1/6)-(3/5/7/1/6) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (3/5/7/1/6)-(3/5/7/1/6)-(3/5/7/1/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   07/19/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 2 ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FRIZZANTE         (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 120 2.50 21% 3.80    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of SECRET INGREDIENT by CONGRATS)
2  YEAH TAKE THAT Jul03         (brooks g)GALLARDO A 120 2.00 46% 1.20    
  (by ASTERN out of DIAMANTINE by GHOSTZAPPER)
3  ZHU DADDY         (engler jeff)ALLEN D 120 3.50 10% 9.00    
  (by HIT IT A BOMB out of ARGENTA by MINESHAFT)
4  A BIT OF CAPTAIN Jun14 May31       (hamm timothy)ROJAS MARTINA 113 4.50    
  (by COAL FRONT out of DISCREET STAR by DISCREET CAT)
5  GRUMPY BROOKSIE Jun14 May31       (brooks e)STANLEY O 120 10.00    
  (by BOISTEROUS out of CALI'S FINALE by SCIPION)
SCR  CHECKER CAB         (potts g)WALKER M 120 6.00    
  (by IMAGINING out of SANTOSHA by COLONEL JOHN)
 
PID-2   07/19/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REDHOT KATIE Jul12 Jun27 Jun20 May22 Mar17 (rojas eduardo)MORALES PABLO 122 1.60 41% 1.50    
2  TUDOX RUE MAJESTIC Jul05 Jun07 Jan31 Dec27 Dec08 (pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 3.00    
3  SCOOP THERE IT IS Jun14 May24 Mar20 Feb28 Jan03 (pappada michael)STANLEY O 122 6.00 19% 4.10    
4  ROLLING MO Jul05 Jun13 May29 Oct20 Oct10 (russell )MARTINEZ A 122 12.00    
5  JEFF'S ANGEL Jun14 May03 Apr16 Mar18 Mar03 (kintz matthew)MARTINEZ W 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  CAGUA May24 Apr09 Mar08 Feb12 Jan25 (bernardini p)VIGIL NOEL 122 4.00 12% 7.10    
7  SUMTING RIGHT Jun26 May29 Jul23 Jul08 May27 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 124 8.00    
 
PID-3   07/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CATCH ON EMOTIONAL Jun21 May29 May15 Apr01 Mar17 (skawinsk)GALLARDO A 124 3.00 9% 10.40    
2  DIAMOND DUST Jul03 Jun07 May17 Oct29 Oct10 (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 122 3.50    
3  HONEY HAULER Jun19 May24 Jan18 Oct24 Oct12 (wismer g)MARTINEZ A 113 6.00    
4  SAINT GOAR Jun20 Jun07 May17 Apr15 Mar13 (pappada michae)ALLEN D 122 5.00 9% 9.90    
5  GRAINGER COUNTY Jun26 Jun05 May15 Mar31 Dec15 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 122 4.50    
6  SOGNO DI CAMPIONE (CHI) May28 Apr28 Apr05 Mar17 Jul12 (sanche)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 2.50 53% 0.90    
 
PID-4   07/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WEEKEND IN COURT May16 Apr25 Apr18 Mar27 Feb28 (spanabel r)RIQUELME J 122 6.00    
2  FACTORINO Jun19 May24 May17 Sep07 Aug28 (depasquale ki)WALKER M 122 10.00    
3  LEBASI Oct13 Sep20 Sep14 Aug31 Aug22 (grace john)AYALA J 122 5.00    
4  CHARLIE CHARLIE Oct25 Oct11 Sep26 Aug02 Jul19 (hayes w)SPIETH S 122 2.50 49% 1.00    
5  ANOTHER BREEZE Jul04 Jun14 Oct26 Oct12 Sep27 (potts g)ALLEN D 122 2.00 21% 3.70    
6  CAPTAIN MAD JACK Jul04 May31 May24 Mar30 Jan18 (radosevi)MARTINEZ A 122 5.00 8% 12.30    
SCR  ANECHOIC Aug31 Aug03 Jul10 Jun08 May03 (herrington call)STANLEY O 122 10.00    
 
PID-5   07/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY MARVEL Jun19 May29 May16 Nov02 Oct17 (skawinski a)ALLEN M 122 15.00    
2  THE TWO NANCY'S Jun19 Jul20 Jul04 Jun20 Jun02 (buhrow d)WALES GARY 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  ABBEY'S SNOW WHITE Jun26 Jun19 May31 May16 Oct13 (buhrow d)STANLEY O 122 3.00 38% 1.60    
4  YES IT'S ERIE Jun13 May29 Oct24 Oct10 Sep08 (russell rand)AYALA J 122 12.00    
5  WILD LOOKER Jun19 Nov21 Nov08 Nov02 Oct24 (skawinski car)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  PLATINUM SKY Jun26 Oct17 Oct03 Sep14 Jul26 (kintz matthe)ALLEN D 122 2.50 37% 1.70    
SCR  SUNDRENCHED Jun27 Dec22 Dec05 Nov01 Oct03 (connelly tere)ROJAS MARTINA 115 20.00    
8  ANNIE UP BUCK Jan08 Dec24 Sep29 Sep13 Aug29 (guciardo john)RIQUELME J 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  AMAZON LIZZIE Jun19 Jun07 Oct24 Oct10 Sep29 (grace jo)MARTINEZ A 122 6.00    
10  TIZ PROMISING RVF Jun27 Jun07 May31 May22 Nov08 (valdez moises)MARTINEZ W 122 5.00    
 
PID-6   07/19/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EPIC LUCK Jun21 Jun07 Nov22 Nov08 Oct20 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 6.00    
2  BRADITUDE Jul05 Jun21 May17 Nov06 Oct20 (rogers ronal)AYALA J 122 12.00    
3  WHISKEYMAC Jul04 Jun21 Jun05 May16 Mar31 (rojas eduardo)ROJAS MARTINA 111 2.50 14% 6.40    
4  GREY INVASION Jul04 May31 May15 Nov15 Sep28 (lecesse )GALLARDO A 122 8.00 11% 7.90    
5  BARNEGAT LIGHT May30 May05 Apr05 Oct12 Sep07 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 122 1.80 53% 0.90    
SCR  LITTLE BIG Jul05 Jun13 May29 Apr12 Mar17 (amaya jo)MARTINEZ A 122 4.50    
SCR  LEONARD'S LEGACY Jun14 May30 Oct20 Sep21 Sep06 (russell randall)ALLEN M 122 8.00    
 
PID-7   07/19/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VAN Jul04 Jun12 Apr13 Mar30 Feb04 (depasquale ki)WALKER M 122 5.00 13% 6.90    
2  SAKETUMI Jun09 May06 Oct11 Sep25 Aug04 (dowling william)SPIETH S 122 3.50    
SCR  TRAPPEZOID May20 Apr05 Mar19 Feb08 Jan14 (guciardo john)RIQUELME J 122 12.00    
4  RIBBONS AND MEDALS Jun17 May27 Apr07 Jan15 Dec18 (diodoro robertin)MARTINEZ W 122 10.00 6% 15.40    
5  E MINOR Jun26 Jan28 Jan07 Dec03   (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 118 6.00    
6  FLIGHT TO PARADISE Jun21 Jun12 May23 Oct11 Sep19 (judd cas)MARTINEZ A 122 4.00 12% 7.70    
7  DECEITFUL Mar22 Feb12 Jan08 Dec07 Sep12 (hamm timothy)ROJAS MARTINA 109 15.00    
8  GET EVEN Jul04 Jun12 May15 Apr21 Feb22 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 122 4.50 41% 1.40    
9  MOONSTRIKE (GB) Jun24 May20 Apr28 Mar25 Feb24 (engler jeff)ALLEN D 116 10.00    
10  NIGHT RIDE Jun14 May29 Apr09 Mar19 Feb09 (stokes l)GALLARDO A 116 12.00 6% 16.40    
 
PID-8   07/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEXAS GANO Jun27 May25 Mar09 Feb04 Jan14 (rice kevin)AYALA J 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  LEAVE 'EM LOADED Jul07 Jun22 May26 Apr28 Dec21 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 124 6.00    
3  FUEL THE BERN Jun20 Jun07 May15 Nov20 Oct26 (rogers mich)ROJAS MARTINA 117 3.00 51% 1.00    
4  C THE KING Jul11 Jun12 May30 May23 May16 (depasquale ki)WALKER M 124 20.00    
5  SIDE TRACKED Jul04 Jun13 Oct25 Oct11 Sep21 (potts g)ALLEN D 124 2.50 16% 5.30    
6  GAGE HAS A GRAY Jun27 Jun06 May24 Dec29 Dec13 (bernardini p)VIGIL NOEL 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  KICKS ON SIXTY SIX Jun20 Oct13 Oct06 Sep22 Aug29 (russell randa)DELGADO DAVID 124 6.00 8% 10.80    
SCR  MARSAC Jul03 May16 Sep05 Jul25 Jul07 (depasqu)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 10.00    
9  FARAT Jun20 May30 May16 Oct18 Oct04 (markgraf davi)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 20.00    
10  CATHMOR Jun27 Jun06 May22 Oct25 Oct11 (pappada michael)STANLEY O 124 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.