Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Monday - July 03, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-1   WIN (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/2)-(5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/2)-(4/3/6/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2)-(4/3/6/5)-(1/4/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-2   WIN (4/3/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/6/5)-(4/3/6/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (4/3/6/5)-(4/3/6/5)-(4/3/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/6/5)-(1/4/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (4/3/6/5)-(1/4/3)-(3/4/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-3   WIN (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/3)-(1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/3)-(3/4/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (1/4/3)-(3/4/6)-(2/6/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-4   WIN (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/6)-(3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/6)-(2/6/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/4/6)-(2/6/5)-(4/5/3/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-5   WIN (2/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/5)-(2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/5)-(4/5/3/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (2/6/5)-(4/5/3/6)-(2/3/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-6   WIN (4/5/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/3/6)-(4/5/3/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (4/5/3/6)-(4/5/3/6)-(4/5/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/3/6)-(2/3/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (4/5/3/6)-(2/3/8)-(3/8/1/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PID-7   WIN (2/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/8)-(2/3/8) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/8)-(2/3/8)-(2/3/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/8)-(3/8/1/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
PID-8   WIN (3/8/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/1/2)-(3/8/1/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (3/8/1/2)-(3/8/1/2)-(3/8/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   07/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALVARY KAT         (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 113 4.00 13% 6.70    
  (by ARMY MULE out of KHALEESI KAT by AFLEET ALEX)
2  KOTYLOS Jun05 May15 Oct18 Sep07 Aug09 (russell )MARTINEZ A 118 3.00 13% 6.80    
  (by KANTHAROS out of CAMBIATA by CONCERTO)
3  DONAHUE         (faulkner c)VELEZ J 118 5.00    
  (by LORD SHANAKILL out of GADWALL by ESKENDEREYA)
SCR  EXCLUSIVE ENTRY         (depasquale ki)WALKER M 118 10.00 8% 11.20    
  (by EXCLUSIVE QUALITY out of CHARMING ENTRY by KEYED ENTRY)
5  NATURE TRAIL May22 Sep22 Aug26 Aug05 Jul01 (judd cassandra)WALES GARY 119 3.50 22% 3.60    
  (by PETIONVILLE out of TAHITIAN PEARL by EL PRADO (IRE))
6  BAD AS JOHN Jun05 May15       (morrell r)FOX CHRIS 118 8.00    
  (by GOT THE LAST LAUGH out of TURKOCRAFT by CRAFTY FRIEND)
7  CHIEF CRAZY MOON         (russell randall)ALLEN M 118 8.00    
  (by ELUSIVE HOUR out of SEPTEMBERSHALFMOON by MISNOMER)
8  MACKENZIE'S NOVVA Jun14 May29 Sep08 Aug25 Jul28 (shuman m)GALLARDO A 124 6.00    
  (by JUMP START out of SANIBEL STAR by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
 
PID-2   07/03/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EL DUQUE Jun19 Jun06 Dec11 Nov28 Nov15 (herrington ca)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 8.00    
2  UP FOR THE CHANCE Jun07 May31 Oct25 Oct17 Oct05 (fennessy john)WALES GARY 122 1.80    
3  MAGIC WIZARD Jun19 Jun12 May24 May03 Apr19 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 124 3.00 27% 2.70    
4  GRAVE DANGER Jun12 May24 Oct06 Sep21 Sep08 (kintz matth)ROJAS MARTINA 117 4.50 33% 2.00    
5  SUMMER BOSS Jun19 May08 Sep08 Aug30 Aug09 (schneider ki)AYALA J 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  RISEN SAVIOR Jun19 Jun06 Mar23 Feb15 Jan19 (hayes leland)SPIETH S 122 4.00 15% 5.80    
7  RAPA NUI Jun19 May31 May16 Aug16 Jul04 (buhrow jam)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 10.00    
 
PID-3   07/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FREDDY'S MUSIC Jun12 Feb17 Jan07 Dec03 Nov05 (dickey keith)RIQUELME J 124 3.00 55% 0.80    
2  GEMINI MOON Jun14 May23 Jun03 May19 Apr28 (depasquale ki)WALKER M 124 2.50    
3  ON AN ISLAND Jun21 May15 Mar31 Feb24 Feb01 (judd cassa)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
4  DAD'S LIL SPARK Jun12         (rice kev)MARTINEZ A 118 6.00 16% 5.30    
SCR  DOM GERVASIO May25 Apr16 Mar24 Feb01 Dec21 (wong jon)GALLARDO A 124 1.80    
6  DUDEWITHTHEDIAMOND Jun12         (rice kevin)AYALA J 118 12.00    
 
PID-4   07/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RATTLESNAKE RIDGE Jun13 May30 Apr16 Apr02 Mar18 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 4.50    
SCR  STRAIGHT UP GUY Jun11 Jun05 May16 Jan13 Dec27 (valdez m)MARTINEZ A 122 12.00    
3  RUNAWAY HARRY Jun21 May24 May11 Apr16 Mar26 (stokes l)GALLARDO A 122 2.00 35% 1.90    
4  SNAKERATTLEANDROLL Jun13 May30 May16 Oct03 Sep21 (rojas eduardo)ROJAS MARTINA 115 3.50 25% 3.00    
5  MARSAC May16 Sep05 Jul25 Jul07 Jun23 (depasqu)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 8.00    
6  COUNTY COURT Jun13 May30 May16 Aug17 Aug01 (rojas eduardo)MORALES PABLO 122 3.00 15% 5.70    
7  PHARAOH FANCY PANT Jun13 May30 Apr16 Apr02 Mar04 (gonzalez aldana)STANLEY O 122 10.00    
 
PID-5   07/03/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 2 ALL PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWO MORE SHOTS         (morey william)MORALES PABLO 122 8.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
2  RAMMING SPEED Jun14         (rice kev)MARTINEZ A 122 2.50 72% 0.40    
  (by FLASHBACK out of MISS FOREESTA by GRAND SLAM)
SCR  DO YOUR JOB         (desormeaux kei)RIQUELME J 122 10.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of SHAKEDOWN SISTER by PUT IT BACK)
4  WHY NOT ME         (hamm timothy)ROJAS MARTINA 115 8.00    
  (by COMMISSIONER out of HIGHEST QUALITY by QUALITY ROAD)
5  YEAH TAKE THAT         (brooks e)STANLEY O 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ASTERN out of DIAMANTINE by GHOSTZAPPER)
6  FACE DOWN Jun14         (girten tim)ALLEN D 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of RUTHERFORD RD by FIRST SAMURAI)
SCR  LAST MINUTE         (rivelli la)CORRALES GERARDO 122 3.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of IMPROV by FLY SO FREE)
8  READY FOR ACTION         (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 122 12.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of EPISCOPAL by CARPE DIEM (FR))
SCR  UNCLE KENNY May31         (potts g)WALKER M 122 4.50    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of PHYLLIS ANN by PUT IT BACK)
 
PID-6   07/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROBBY'S RANSOM May17 Oct25 Oct11 Sep29 Sep06 (stites w)SPIETH S 122 8.00    
2  LIVE FIRE May25 Nov30 Oct04 Sep14 Aug24 (mcclellan )MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 12.00    
3  COURT AND SPARK Jun05 May15 Sep21 Aug24 Aug04 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 6.00 8% 11.60    
4  NICE ACE Jun06 Oct23 Sep19 Aug22 Aug03 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 122 1.40 42% 1.40    
5  DIAMOND DUST Jun07 May17 Oct29 Oct10 Sep19 (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 122 3.00 18% 4.50    
6  GOODIE GOOMER Jun07 Oct25 Oct04 Sep12 Aug22 (bourke john)STANLEY O 122 3.50 6% 15.20    
7  SHY GUY May30 May16 Dec10 Nov23 Nov06 (sauer j)BOWEN ROCCO 122 12.00    
 
PID-7   07/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Karl Boyes Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HAMMER LANE Mar26 Dec22 Sep26 Sep19 Aug23 (cooper thomas)NO RIDER 118 20.00    
  (by SONGANDAPRAYER out of MIMI'S SHOT by TRAPPE SHOT)
2  TAPE TO TAPE Jun09 Apr29 Mar30 Feb26 Feb03 (rivelli larry)BAIRD T 122 3.00 75% 0.30    
  (by UNCAPTURED out of TRIPPI HONOR by TRIPPI)
3  SURLY FURIOUS May06 Apr01 Mar11 Feb18 Dec31 (wismer g)GALLARDO A 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UPSTART out of PERFECT PREDICTION by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
SCR  NICE ACE Jun06 Oct23 Sep19 Aug22 Aug03 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 118 4.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of A LADY WITH AN ACE by FIRST SAMURAI)
SCR  NOBALS May06 Apr22 Mar23 Aug13 Jul17 (rivelli la)CORRALES GERARDO 125 2.50    
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of PEARLY BLUE by EMPIRE MAKER)
6  FRANZ JOSEF Jun26 May29 Mar25 Mar04 Feb11 (wismer s)ALLEN D 118 8.00    
  (by MSHAWISH out of SILENT EMOTION by GHAZI)
SCR  CLOSETHEGAME SUGAR Jun05 Aug31       (rice ada)MARTINEZ A 113 6.00    
  (by GIRVIN out of CASUAL COCKTAIL by MAGNA GRADUATE)
8  SPIRITED SOL Jun06 May17 Sep26 Sep07 Aug22 (depasquale ki)WALKER M 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SOLDAT out of SPIRITED STORM by STORMY ATLANTIC)
9  ZOOMBIE Jun05 Oct04 Sep15 Aug29 Jul28 (walsh d)BECKMAN ALICE 118 15.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of SWEET NKOSI by A. P. WARRIOR)
 
PID-8   07/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SALIT Jun13 May24 Apr19 Mar24 Mar08 (kintz ma)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 3.00 18% 4.70    
2  WILL OR WON'T Jun13 May31 May12 Apr14 Mar23 (stites w)FLORES E 122 8.00 12% 7.30    
3  JULIETTE FALLS Jun13 Oct18 Oct03     (stokes lance)MARTINEZ W 122 6.00 20% 4.10    
4  WILD IRISH May22 Oct17 Sep26 Aug29 Aug08 (martin willia)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 2.00    
5  THAT'S MY CAT Jun07 Dec28 Dec03 Nov20 Oct23 (hardesty leslie)BOWEN ROCCO 116 10.00    
6  LADY ITCH Jun20 Jun01 May21 Jul18 Jun29 (blackhurst ra)BECKMAN ALICE 115 15.00    
7  WORLDLY BEAUTY Jun13 May24 Mar22 Feb10 Nov01 (hamm timothy)ROJAS MARTINA 109 8.00    
8  READY SHE IS Jun21 Apr29 Apr06 Feb16 Jan22 (cheeks joseph)WALKER M 116 4.00 18% 4.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.