Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Monmouth Park
Sunday - July 02, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MTH-1   WIN (5/6/1/2/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/6/1/2/8)-(5/6/1/2/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/6/1/2/8)-(5/6/1/2/8)-(5/6/1/2/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MTH-2   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
MTH-3   WIN (6/4/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/3/2)-(6/4/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/3/2)-(6/4/3/2)-(6/4/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-4   WIN (5/9/3/4/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/9/3/4/6)-(5/9/3/4/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/9/3/4/6)-(5/9/3/4/6)-(5/9/3/4/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MTH-5   WIN (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/5)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-6   WIN (6/1/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/2/3)-(6/1/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/2/3)-(6/1/2/3)-(6/1/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-7   WIN (4/3/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/2/7)-(4/3/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/2/7)-(4/3/2/7)-(4/3/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-8   WIN (7/2/4/6/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/2/4/6/8)-(7/2/4/6/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/2/4/6/8)-(7/2/4/6/8)-(7/2/4/6/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MTH-9   WIN (9/8/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/8/4/5)-(9/8/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/8/4/5)-(9/8/4/5)-(9/8/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-10   WIN (1/6/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/4/7)-(1/6/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/4/7)-(1/6/4/7)-(1/6/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MTH-1   07/02/2023 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($57.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOST MY SOCK Jun04 May20 Apr20 Jun19 May28 (ryan s)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 2.50 19% 4.10    
INSATIABLE Jun04 Dec31 Dec04 Oct27 Aug21 (sacco gregory )CAMACHO SAMY 120 6.00 10% 8.60    
WORLD TRAVELER Jun09 May27 Jun19 May15 Apr14 (sacco gregor)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 6.00    
COOLCALM COLLECTED Jun03 May13 Mar17     (hills timothy )RENDON JAIRO 117 5.00    
TAPESTRY COLORS Aug20         (crook-dem)RODRIGUEZ A 115 6.00 26% 2.80    
LADY IRVINE May27 Feb12 Jan15     (delgado jorge)FERRER C 117 3.50 22% 3.60    
SPEED SALSA Jun03 Apr28 Apr09 Mar09 Feb03 (breen ke)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 6.00    
CATALON May15 Apr24 Mar27 Mar07 Feb20 (moore michael)OCASIO M 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
RANDOM LUCK May20 Apr25 Apr11 Mar29 Mar15 (cole-davis)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 30.00    
SCR  BAHAMA PEARL May20 Feb03 Dec16 Nov11 Oct22 (gonzalez claud)COTTO L 120 8.00    
SCR  YOUR INHERITANCE Jun18 Jun04 Apr23 Mar24 Mar05 (gonzalez cla)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 5.00    
 
MTH-2   07/02/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FINANCIAL STRENGTH Jun16 Jun03 Apr21 Feb12 Sep03 (falcone rober)OLVER MADISON 113 2.50 32% 2.10    
VERBIER (IRE) Jun17 May29 May20 Mar15 Feb07 (martin f)JUAREZ NIK 121 6.00    
COCO SHELL Jun09 May14 Apr30 Apr08 Jan20 (gonzalez c)ROWLAND MADELINE 117 4.00 39% 1.60    
SCR  FIRE KING May21 Apr22 Mar19 Feb09 Jan08 (camejo m)SOSA LAUREANO 108 3.00    
SCR  TRUSTING BOND Jun10 May21 Oct09 Sep02 Aug14 (gonzalez clau)IORIO MELISSA 114 3.50    
SCR  SO THERE Jan16 Dec29 Nov03 Oct27 Oct06 (bake)HUAYAS (JASON) 116 15.00    
SHOULDHAVEBEENGONE Jun09 May29 May20 May03 Apr18 (martin ramon)HERNANDEZ ANDY 117 4.50    
 
MTH-3   07/02/2023 5490ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VIKRAM Jun09 May13 Apr12 Mar27 Mar08 (hernand)GONZALEZ LUIS 124 6.00    
SECRET PATH Jun18 May17 Aug31 Aug03 Jul04 (linder louis)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 4.50 8% 11.30    
NO SALT Feb01 Jan03 Dec11 Nov12 Oct31 (volk scott)FERRER C 120 5.00 15% 5.80    
P H FACTOR May14 Apr21 Mar31 Mar11 Jan27 (delgado j)RODRIGUEZ A 120 3.50 21% 3.70    
ICY STORM Jun16 Jun02 Apr14 Mar25 Mar18 (schultz l)VARGAS A 124 8.00    
BRASSTOWN Jun09 May20 Mar10 Dec08 Oct30 (delgado jorge)CAMACHO SAMY 124 1.20 35% 1.90    
INDIAN BUZZ Jun09 Apr21 Apr05 Feb19 Jan28 (torres pablo )SOSA LAUREANO 113 20.00    
 
MTH-4   07/02/2023 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($55K) 2 F PT- 2:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VICTORIA'S DANCER         (avila carl)OLIVERO A 117 5.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of ARTISANAL by MORE THAN READY)
PASS THE CASH         (cruz j)MARAGH RAMSAY 117 8.00    
  (by FORCE THE PASS out of ANALYZEYURSPENDING by OVERANALYZE)
H M S VICTORY         (cash j)LUZZI J 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of OLD HARBOR by RAFFIE'S MAJESTY)
MOMMA KIM         (nunn do)GONZALEZ LUIS 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of ESTORIL by INTO MISCHIEF)
BINGO'S GIRL Jun16 Jun03       (delgado h)CAMACHO SAMY 117 4.00 46% 1.20    
  (by YOSHIDA (JPN) out of ELOWEASEL by CITY ZIP)
BYRD OF EDEN Jun16         (spina charles)RENDON JAIRO 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of MY REDBYRD by ROYAL ACADEMY)
LADY D'ORO Jun16         (ortega leopold)MARIN SAMUEL 117 8.00    
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of POPSTAR by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
GOLD ALLIANCE         (einhorn kim)FERRER C 117 8.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of HEATHER'S VISION by ZENSATIONAL)
MADAME MISCHIEF         (delgado jorg)CASTILLO ISAAC 117 3.00 28% 2.50    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of MADAME ORBE by ORB)
10  SYMPHONYS OVERTURE         (servis c)PENNINGTON F 117 4.50    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  GET READY GAL         (delgado jorg)CASTILLO ISAAC 117 5.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of READY'S GAL by MORE THAN READY)
SCR  PERMED Jun02         (pletcher tod)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 2.50    
  (by STREET BOSS out of CURLED by CURLIN)
SCR  SUNSET VIBES         (penaloza migu)MARTIN MATTIE 110 10.00    
  (by YOSHIDA out of DE MARQUEE by TIZ WONDERFUL)
SCR  GOATS ON A TREE         (d'angelo jose )RENDON JAIRO 117 6.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of THE RAHY ANGEL by RAHY)
 
MTH-5   07/02/2023 5490ft DIRT RC11 FAST Boiling Springs Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 2:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHIDABHUTI Apr08 Mar04 Jan22 Sep17   (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 122 1.20 44% 1.30    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of A. P. CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
ATTHECROSSROADS May14 Apr16 Mar23 Jan01 Dec02 (david car)RODRIGUEZ A 118 8.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of MIDNIGHT MAGIC by CAHILL ROAD)
SEDUCTION Feb12 Oct02       (pletcher tod)LOPEZ PASCACIO 116 2.00 20% 3.90    
  (by BERNARDINI out of THORAYYA by SMART STRIKE)
CAIRO SUGAR Jun21 May26 Mar18 Feb19 Jan19 (bedard al)VARGAS A 122 15.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of SPUN SUGAR by AWESOME AGAIN)
CRYPTO MAMA Apr29 Apr15 Mar10 Jan22 Nov06 (breen ke)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 5.00 11% 8.10    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of SILLY LITTLE MAMA by OLD TOPPER)
MISS NEW YORK Jun10 May19 Mar25 Feb18 Dec16 (delgado jorg)CASTILLO ISAAC 116 4.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of LUNA VEGA by MALIBU MOON)
 
MTH-6   07/02/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STARLITE WALKER Jun17 Jun03 Dec01 Sep03 Jul30 (navarro m)RODRIGUEZ A 121 4.50 21% 3.70    
SMOOTH RICO Jun24 Jun10 Mar05 Feb12 Jan18 (gonzalez clau)IORIO MELISSA 107 3.50 20% 3.90    
BAYOU SHACK Jun17 Jun04 May28 May14 Apr29 (foglia )GONZALEZ LUIS 121 2.50 9% 10.70    
DORSODURO Jun17 May28 Apr29 Apr16 Mar29 (mcburney patri)RENDON JAIRO 121 3.00    
YO NESSROUNDONKERN Jun17 May14 May01 Apr17 Apr03 (ramirez silvin)TORRES JOMAR 121 12.00    
LOST A LEGEND Jun09 May28 May04 Mar24 Jan22 (perez l)CAMACHO SAMY 119 5.00 28% 2.60    
THEJIGISUP Jun17 May28 May14 Apr19 Apr07 (torres r)MARIN SAMUEL 121 6.00    
 
MTH-7   07/02/2023 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($57.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAPTAIN QUICK Jun18 May28 Dec09 Nov10 Oct29 (milne )ROJAS EDUARDO 124 10.00    
JUST JEREMY Jun18 May28 Dec13 Nov20 Oct23 (hogan )GONZALEZ JR 120 4.50 9% 10.50    
PATRIARCH ARTIE May31 Jul04 Jun04 May13   (krebs steven)ADORNO ABNER 120 3.50 13% 6.50    
ETNICO May29 Mar25 Feb11     (delgado jorg)LOPEZ PASCACIO 115 2.50 49% 1.00    
DECLARATION TIME May31 Sep23 Aug18 Jul08 Jun29 (crook-demasi k)RENDON JAIRO 120 5.00    
V MART May29 May21 Jan03 Dec05 Sep27 (avila carl)OLIVERO A 115 10.00    
TWO STEPPIN KLUKI Jun11 Apr16 Mar12 Jan08 Nov26 (pimental john )MARIN SAMUEL 120 8.00 8% 11.90    
SCR  PLAYGROUND LEGEND May28 Apr26 Oct29 Oct08 Sep18 (sacco gregory )CAMACHO SAMY 117 10.00    
WINTER SON Jun09 Apr20 Mar04 Jul14 Jun17 (arenas m)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 12.00    
SCR  SON OF A BIRCH May20 May05 Jul30 Jul01   (morley thomas)JUAREZ NIK 117 6.00    
 
MTH-8   07/02/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($57.5K) 2 ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TABLOID         (king clare)MITCHELL RICHARD 117 12.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of SMALL KITCHEN by CORINTHIAN (IRE))
GROUP TICKET Jun17         (sweezey j)VARGAS A 117 3.50 9% 10.70    
  (by LORD NELSON out of ELUSIVE HOPE by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
TUSCAN RULER         (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 117 5.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of TUSCAN CHIANTI by ROMAN RULER)
GRAN YACO         (avila carl)OLIVERO A 117 4.00 8% 12.10    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of LIKE IT HOT by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
PEACE NOT WAR         (bennett s)FERRER C 117 6.00    
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of DANDEE'S WARRIOR by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
OUTCAT         (ortega )GONZALEZ LUIS 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of CAT BE NIMBLE by TALE OF THE CAT)
UNDER THE OVERPASS May26         (russell brit)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 2.50 62% 0.60    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of BELIAL by TRITAP)
THE FUNK PHENOMENA         (hogan william)IORIO MELISSA 110 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BUSTIN STONES out of ROYAL OPPORTUNITY by KINGMAMBO)
ROCK N ROLL BOLT         (camej)DIAZ RAFAEL 117 8.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of BLAKELY'S SMILE by WILDCAT HEIR)
 
MTH-9   07/02/2023 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($57.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DETROIT CITY Apr21 Mar11 Feb19 Jan21 Dec22 (sisterson)VARGAS A 120 6.00    
JESTERS HONOR Sep18 Aug26 Aug13 Jul31 Jul17 (dini mike)FERRER C 120 6.00    
DESTIN'S MISSION Jun18 May01 Mar29 Jan03 Nov12 (servis c)PENNINGTON F 115 8.00    
SPEED WARNING Jun02 Mar16 Jan21 Dec16 Nov18 (stidham michae)CAMACHO SAMY 115 3.00 13% 6.80    
TAP FIRST Jun25 Apr16 Apr07 Mar11 Feb11 (ramirez silv)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
APACHE TEARS Jun16 Apr21 Jan20 Dec04 Oct16 (mcburney patri)LUZZI J 120 8.00    
FITTS Jun16 May29 Sep18 Sep04 Aug19 (berrios)GONZALEZ LUIS 124 10.00    
RAISE THE RENT Jun11 May21 Mar11 Jan01 Aug19 (breen ke)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 4.50 18% 4.60    
BIZ BIZ BUZZ Jun11 Feb19 Dec23 Nov05 Oct20 (trombetta mi)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 3.50 48% 1.10    
SCR  MY LAST MISSION Jun17 May20 May02 Dec11 Nov27 (pecoraro ant)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 4.50    
 
MTH-10   07/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($57.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUST BEAT THE ODDS Jun11         (sacco gregor)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 2.00 47% 1.10    
  (by MUNNINGS out of BELLA D'ORO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
STRAIGHT ARROW Jun11         (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 123 8.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of LULU'S NUMBER by NUMEROUS)
PENZANCE         (stidham mich)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 2.50    
  (by UNCLE MO out of PENWITH by BERNARDINI)
AQUARIUS MOON         (sweezey j)VARGAS A 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of REMEMBER THE KEG by TAPIT)
SCREAMING UNCLE May21         (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 118 2.50    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of VENKAT by DISTORTED HUMOR)
BURN THE EVIDENCE (GB) Apr19 Jan23 Dec05 Aug03 May14 (krebs steven)ADORNO ABNER 123 5.00 21% 3.80    
  (by UNCAPTURED out of FILADY by SWEETSOUTHERNSAINT)
EL DE CHIREL May28 May14 Mar11     (avila carl)OLIVERO A 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of CLAY'S ROCKET by AMERICAN CHANCE)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.