Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Finger Lakes
Wednesday - June 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FL-1   WIN (5/4/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/6/1)-(5/4/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/6/1)-(5/4/6/1)-(5/4/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/6/1)-(4/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-2   WIN (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/5)-(4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/5)-(1/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/5)-(1/4/6)-(2/3/1/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
FL-3   WIN (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/6)-(1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/6)-(2/3/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/6)-(2/3/1/8)-(5/7/1/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
FL-4   WIN (2/3/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/1/8)-(2/3/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/1/8)-(2/3/1/8)-(2/3/1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/1/8)-(5/7/1/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FL-5   WIN (5/7/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/1/2)-(1/5/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/1/2)-(1/5/7/2)-(1/5/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/1/2)-(2/1/5/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FL-6   WIN (2/1/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/5/7)-(2/1/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/5/7)-(2/1/5/7)-(2/1/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/5/7)-(1/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5/7)-(1/4/2)-(9/8/1/2/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
FL-7   WIN (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/2)-(1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/2)-(9/8/1/2/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
FL-8   WIN (9/8/1/2/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/8/1/2/5)-(1/9/8/2/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/8/1/2/5)-(1/9/8/2/5)-(1/9/8/2/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FL-1   06/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WESWORLD Jun12 May23 May09 Nov22 Oct25 (ficarella bro)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 12.00 7% 12.70    
2  JUNCTION POOL May15 Nov02       (dixon k)ALVARADO R 119 5.00    
3  DAKOTA'S DESTINY May08         (breed ronal)PAREDES JHOVANY 109 5.00    
4  DR. CERFOLIO Oct31 Oct17 Sep26 Sep13 Feb10 (acquilano jame)COA J 124 2.50 17% 4.80    
5  DYNAMIC STORM May22 May09 Feb15 Jan27 Jan07 (dixon k)DIAZ J 112 3.50 42% 1.40    
6  GREEK EASTER May23 Nov09 Oct17 Sep27 Sep13 (lecesse michael)BAEZ JOSE 124 4.00 13% 6.60    
7  WATERMELON CRUSH Jul20 Jun24 Mar27 Mar13 Jan22 (tebbutt john)HARKIE K 124 8.00    
 
FL-2   06/21/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DARE TO BE GREAT May31 May22 May08 Mar09 Feb10 (grusmark)DAVIS A 118 4.00 6% 16.20    
2  RENNINAS ROSE May31 May22 May09 Nov23 Nov09 (fal)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 118 12.00    
3  QUIET HORIZON May31 May22 Nov15 Nov07 Oct24 (cabrera josep)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 5.00    
4  AVID SUCINORI May22 May08 Nov23 Oct10 Sep14 (dominguez car)DAVILA A 122 2.50 65% 0.50    
5  WILLOW GROVE May31 Nov15 Oct12 Sep20 Sep07 (ficarella brooke)GOMEZ O 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  PAVE MY WAY May31 May22 May08 Jan22 Jan06 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 122 1.40    
 
FL-3   06/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCHIFFHAUER STRONG May24 May08 Apr24 Sep28 Sep13 (lecesse )DAVIS A 120 3.50 27% 2.60    
2  HUTCH Nov23 Nov07 Oct17 Sep21 Sep05 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 8.00    
3  N Y RIESLING May24 May09 Jul26 Jun03   (dixon k)ALVARADO R 120 6.00    
4  JOHN'S PROTEGE May05 Mar03 Jan15 Dec29 Dec09 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 1.80 23% 3.30    
5  LIEUTENANT SAM May02 Apr24 Feb11 Jan21 Dec11 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 120 6.00    
6  SUPERB SURPRISE May24 Apr24 Mar17     (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 124 2.50 23% 3.30    
 
FL-4   06/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIERY HEART Jun05 Sep14 Aug14 Jul16 Jun12 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 6.00 9% 10.70    
2  HYPER SPEED May23 Apr27 Apr08 Feb24 Sep29 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 2.50 36% 1.80    
3  BILLIEVE IN JOSH Jun02 Oct19       (ficarella brooke)GOMEZ O 120 5.00 27% 2.70    
4  SHANTY SHACK May09 Oct18 Sep28 Jul25 Jul04 (miller-saul)CAMILO D 124 10.00    
5  GOT THE GOLD May24 May09 Apr25 Apr01 Mar18 (sells rachel)SONE Y 124 4.00    
6  RED FORTRESS Nov23 Nov14 Oct17 Sep27   (ferraro michae)COA J 124 3.50    
7  CRYPTO CAUSEWAY May15 Nov09 Oct17 Oct05 Sep12 (bireta donn)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 10.00    
8  B C GLORY DAYS May06 Mar25 Mar18 Mar05 Feb19 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
FL-5   06/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMORE FIRE May15 Apr24 Jul17 Jul04 May30 (acquilano jam)DAVILA A 124 5.00 ★    
1A  GOLDEN MOONLIGHT May29 May08 Jul01     (acquila)NAVARRO J 120 5.00 11% 8.10    
2  WAITWAITDONTTELLME May23 May08 Mar22 Mar08 Jan18 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 120 8.00 9% 9.80    
3  SUPER SLIDE May15 Apr25 Mar24 Dec18 Nov19 (bar)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 10.00    
4  EVER GRACEFUL May20 Apr16       (dixon k)ALVARADO R 120 6.00    
5  ISABEL LUVS GOLD Oct24 Sep26 Aug08 Jul18   (ferraro michae)COA J 120 3.00 48% 1.10    
SCR  ROAD TO ROYALTY Jun06 May23 May08 Nov22 Oct31 (breed a)GOMEZ O 124 4.00    
7  CAPITAL GAL Jun06 Nov27 Nov06 Oct20 Sep24 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 2.50 11% 8.00    
 
FL-6   06/21/2023 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($24.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SABREEN May31 May22 Nov15 Oct03 Sep19 (acquilano jam)DAVILA A 122 3.50 10% 9.00    
2  B B'S BUSTED Jun12 May04 Feb07 Jan09 Nov13 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 1.50 58% 0.70    
3  SMART BROAD May31 May17 Nov02 Oct19 Oct05 (shaffer ric)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 8.00    
4  SWEET BLINDNESS Jun06 Jan25 Dec09 Nov15 Oct19 (englehart jef)DAVILA R 122 5.00    
5  KATERI EMPIRE May31 May17 Nov02 Oct19 Oct05 (cabrera a)CRUZ JOEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  MELISSA'S SMILE May22 Nov15 Oct09 Sep12 Aug23 (babcock kathleen)BAEZ JOSE 122 15.00    
7  HOLMDEL PARK May24 May08 Jan11 Dec16 Nov22 (ferraro anth)COA J 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  MIND OF GOLD May22 Nov02 Oct19 Oct05 Sep19 (oyola david)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 6.00    
 
FL-7   06/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FATHER WALSH Jun05 May22 Apr24 Mar30 Mar10 (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 122 3.00 56% 0.80    
SCR  BUSTIN PIETRE May24 May08 Mar24 Feb16 Feb02 (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 122 3.00    
2  MASETA Feb23 Feb04 Jan21 Dec07 Nov05 (murphy timot)HARKIE K 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BOWING SNOWMAN Jun05 May23 May09 Apr24 Nov09 (muller thom)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 15.00    
4  FORWARD MOTION May30 Mar24 Mar12 Feb08 Oct25 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 122 5.00 16% 5.20    
5  SHARED SUCCESS Jun05 Nov15 Oct25 Oct05 Sep14 (acq)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 4.50    
6  CANDYROCK Jun05 Nov15 Oct10 Sep19 Aug24 (donegan )DAVIS A 122 20.00    
SCR  CANDY ZIP Jun05 May09 Mar08 Feb13 Jan10 (smith troy)COA J 122 2.00    
SCR  BLUES CITY Jun05 May23 May09 Apr25 Nov23 (dominguez car)DAVILA A 122 20.00    
9  RINGGOOD May29 Nov15 Oct31 Oct19 Oct10 (bond brent)ROHENA JR 122 12.00    
 
FL-8   06/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUR LITTLE TIGER May17 May28 Apr08 Mar24 Feb28 (buc)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 8.00 ★    
1A  RUSSIARUSSIARUSSIA Mar30 Feb24 Jan21 Dec30 Oct08 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  SMALL PEBBLES May31 May17 Apr25 Dec17 Nov20 (dixon k)ALVARADO R 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  SHESAWILDJOKER May31 Nov02 Oct10 Sep16 Aug18 (bartlett william )BAEZ JOSE 122 6.00    
4  LOCKBOX May22 May08 Apr24 Mar30 Mar03 (d'alessandro )DAVILA A 120 3.50    
5  MISTY GALE May31 May15 Mar31 Feb15 Jan18 (falk jacqueline)FRET STEVEN 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SARATOGA KISSES May22 Nov21 Nov07 Oct24 Oct12 (miller-saul beth)CRUZ JOEL 122 12.00    
7  STARTED WITH STARS Jan13 Nov30 Oct11 Sep19 Jul13 (englehart jef)DAVILA R 122 6.00    
8  MISSING FORTUNE May31 Sep14 Aug23 Jul25 Jun29 (saul dana)COA J 122 4.00 12% 7.50    
9  SANDY'S GARDEN May23 Jul04 Mar27 Feb19 Jan22 (tebbutt )DAVIS A 124 3.00 59% 0.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.