Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Monday - June 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-1   WIN (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/6)-(1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/6)-(5/4/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (1/4/6)-(5/4/6)-(2/5/1/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-2   WIN (5/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/6)-(5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/6)-(2/5/1/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (5/4/6)-(2/5/1/3)-(4/2/3/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PID-3   WIN (2/5/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/1/3)-(2/5/1/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (2/5/1/3)-(2/5/1/3)-(2/5/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/1/3)-(4/2/3/6) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (2/5/1/3)-(4/2/3/6)-(1/8/2/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
PID-4   WIN (4/2/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/3/6)-(4/2/3/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (4/2/3/6)-(4/2/3/6)-(4/2/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2/3/6)-(1/8/2/5) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (4/2/3/6)-(1/8/2/5)-(5/7/4/3) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
PID-5   WIN (1/8/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/2/5)-(1/8/2/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (1/8/2/5)-(1/8/2/5)-(1/8/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/8/2/5)-(5/7/4/3) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (1/8/2/5)-(5/7/4/3)-(8/5/4/3) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
PID-6   WIN (5/7/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/4/3)-(5/7/4/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (5/7/4/3)-(5/7/4/3)-(5/7/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/4/3)-(8/5/4/3) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (5/7/4/3)-(8/5/4/3)-(6/7/2/4) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
PID-7   WIN (8/5/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/4/3)-(8/5/4/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (8/5/4/3)-(8/5/4/3)-(8/5/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/5/4/3)-(6/7/2/4) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
PID-8   WIN (6/7/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/2/4)-(6/7/2/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (6/7/2/4)-(6/7/2/4)-(6/7/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   06/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REGAL SPEAKER May16 Mar05 Feb19 Jan13 Nov11 (rogers m)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 2.00 33% 2.10    
2  LAUDERDALE May16 Mar18 Feb24 Jan25 Dec21 (gonzalez ald)AYALA J 122 6.00    
3  C THE KING May30 May23 May16 Oct18 Oct04 (depasquale kim)ALLEN D 122 3.00    
4  SPETTACOLI (ARG) May30 May23 Apr14 Jul19 Jul07 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 124 1.80 26% 2.90    
SCR  BEACHSIDE May30 May15 Nov08 Oct24 Oct11 (schudlick michae)RIQUELME J 122 10.00    
6  JAMA DILLON Jun05 May17 Mar25 Mar05 Feb12 (rice kevin)BECKMAN ALICE 115 12.00 6% 16.00    
 
PID-2   06/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANA L May30 May15 Aug31 Aug10 Jul26 (cheeks katy)ROJAS MARTINA 111 3.00    
2  SHE'D RATHER DANCE May29 Apr24 Apr01 Mar05   (vitali mar)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 118 5.00    
3  HOPE SHE COMES May22 Oct18 Sep29     (morrell justi)WALKER M 118 4.50    
4  ORPHAN EXCHANGE         (russell randa)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 6.00 28% 2.60    
5  RUNNETH OVER         (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 118 2.50 40% 1.50    
6  AIR ONE May22 Aug30 Aug17 Jul26   (dickey keith)RIQUELME J 118 3.50 11% 8.10    
 
PID-3   06/12/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 2 F PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EQUINAMOUS         (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CONNECT out of STORMY PERON by HARD SPUN)
2  TWO HEARTED May23         (matejka pavel)MARTINEZ W 120 2.50 58% 0.70    
  (by HEART TO HEART out of WELCOME ABOARD by AVENUE OF FLAGS)
3  SHE'S FIRE         (rice kevin)AYALA J 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of MY WISH LIST by FLATTER)
4  FOXXY CLEOPATRA         (rivelli larry)MORALES PABLO 120 3.50    
  (by MUNNINGS out of ONE FOXY GREY by BIG BROWN)
5  SPENDING CUTS         (potts g)WALKER M 120 3.00 18% 4.70    
  (by FROSTED out of ORINOQUIA by WHYWHYWHY)
6  LITTLE MUSIC May19 Apr26       (holsapple hutc)ALLEN D 120 10.00    
  (by CARPE DIEM (FR) out of FROZEN MUSIC by LANGFUHR)
7  MASHKA         (matejka )GALLARDO A 120 5.00    
  (by DEMARCHELIER (GB) out of GDANSKING QUEEN by LANGFUHR)
 
PID-4   06/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VAMONOS Feb14 Jan11 Dec22 Dec02 Sep26 (kinmon keith)BECKMAN ALICE 111 3.50    
2  FREDDY'S MUSIC Feb17 Jan07 Dec03 Nov05 Oct07 (dickey keith)RIQUELME J 124 3.00 18% 4.60    
3  DUDEWITHTHEDIAMOND         (rice kevin)AYALA J 118 8.00 14% 5.90    
4  FUNNY MAN Apr16 Mar03 Feb11 Jan07 Dec17 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 118 2.50 33% 2.10    
5  NATHANIEL'S HOPE May30 Oct06 Sep21 Aug29 Jul26 (cheeks )DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 4.50    
6  MAGIC WIZARD May24 May03 Apr19 Apr05 Dec23 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 124 8.00 9% 10.30    
7  BLUE COSMO Jun05 May24 Jan14 Dec23 Dec02 (martin jane)WALES GARY 118 12.00    
 
PID-5   06/12/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIVEFORTHESONG May29 Apr22 Mar31 Mar19 Feb15 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 122 4.00 47% 1.20    
2  CREATIVE CHOICE May29 Apr29 Apr07 Dec09 Nov30 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  CLEMSON TIGER May24 Apr02 Mar05 Feb19 Apr10 (gonzalez ald)AYALA J 122 6.00    
4  BATTLE CREEK May24 Apr22 Mar17 Feb22 May13 (potts g)MARTINEZ W 122 3.50    
5  FARM STRONG Jun05 Sep21 Jan23     (buhrow jam)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  ROWDY JESS May24 Apr02 Mar18 Mar04 Feb03 (fennessy john)WALES GARY 122 12.00    
SCR  K. K. ICHIKAWA May15 Oct13 Sep28 Sep06 Jul26 (lecesse micha)MORALES PABLO 122 6.00    
8  GOODTIME ARTIE May17 Oct18 Oct05 Sep21 Sep08 (kintz matth)ROJAS MARTINA 115 4.50 23% 3.40    
SCR  GYPSY KITTEN May31 May22 Mar08 Feb11 Jan25 (brooks g)MARTINEZ A 124 6.00    
10  STRASBOURG May29 Apr21 Apr08 Mar25 Feb26 (bayeh edgar)DELGADO DAVID 122 3.00    
 
PID-6   06/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  QUEEN OF CHILL May24 Mar24 Feb22 Jan11 Dec29 (girten t)GALLARDO A 118 2.50    
2  ETTAPLACE May24 Sep21 Aug22 Jul18 Jun28 (gonzalez aldan)ALLEN D 122 5.00    
3  CINCO DE MANDEE Sep26 Aug22 Jul12 Jun29 Jun07 (pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  TRIPLE R RATED May24 Aug29 Jul18 Jun28 May30 (russell ra)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 10.00 7% 12.80    
5  BREEZY CONNECTION May22 May15 May07 Mar16 Jan26 (brooks geral)AYALA J 122 3.50 41% 1.40    
6  QUEEN WIGGY May16 Dec28 Dec14 Oct24 Sep15 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 118 4.00    
7  MOLISE May05 Sep07 Jul27 Jul11 Jun18 (martin willia)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 8.00 21% 3.80    
8  BABY DRAGON May24 Oct11 Sep28 Sep21 Sep08 (russell )MARTINEZ A 122 6.00    
 
PID-7   06/12/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  IM A MODEST MAN May16 Apr14 Mar25 Mar10 Feb16 (kinmon keith)BECKMAN ALICE 111 8.00    
SCR  SAKETUMI Jun09 May06 Oct11 Sep25 Aug04 (dowling william)RIQUELME J 122 10.00    
3  TEMPLET May23 May16 Oct25 Oct11 Sep27 (connelly)GALLARDO A 122 6.00 7% 13.80    
4  EXTRASEXYBIGDADDEE Mar09 Feb09 Jan13 Dec22 Nov14 (trombetta michae)MARTINEZ W 122 3.00 21% 3.70    
5  PIKE PLACE May23 Mar24 Feb04 Jan07 Dec03 (harty eoin)MORALES PABLO 116 4.00 24% 3.20    
6  GET EVEN May15 Apr21 Feb22 Jan29 Jan21 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 122 8.00    
7  FLIGHT TO PARADISE May23 Oct11 Sep19 Aug30 Aug10 (judd cassa)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 12.00    
8  SUN DADDY Mar15 Feb23 Feb01 Dec16 Oct18 (martin willia)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 4.50 28% 2.60    
SCR  PROPHETS VOICE (IRE) May31         (hendriks richa)ALLEN D 122 12.00    
10  BRUMBA WAFFLE TOES May30 May17 Apr21 Dec10 Nov13 (rice kev)MARTINEZ A 118 12.00    
SCR  GREG'S HONOR May29 Feb22 Jan29 Jan13 Jan05 (brooks geral)AYALA J 122 10.00    
12  VAN Apr13 Mar30 Feb04 Jan02   (depasquale ki)WALKER M 122 12.00    
 
PID-8   06/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BLOWN OUT May15         (walden wil)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 118 20.00    
2  DAD'S LIL SPARK         (rice kev)MARTINEZ A 118 12.00 7% 12.40    
3  RECKLESS AFFAIR Apr29 Mar12 Feb25 Jan07 Nov18 (girten t)GALLARDO A 118 3.50    
4  RUBY ROAD May30 May15 Nov05 Oct28 Sep09 (martin jane)WALES GARY 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  FLAT BUSTED May30 Mar01 Feb16 Feb01 Jan13 (stites w)MARTINEZ W 124 6.00    
6  GRAVE DANGER May24 Oct06 Sep21 Sep08 Jul30 (kintz matth)ROJAS MARTINA 117 1.80 41% 1.40    
7  BIALYSTOCK May23 Apr28 Apr14 Oct12 Sep27 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 118 4.50 25% 3.00    
8  MOCA MONSTER May24 Mar29 Oct26 Oct18 Sep21 (cooper thoma)AYALA J 124 6.00    
9  SHAKEN AND SHIMMY May24 May03       (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 118 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.